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Market Briefing:MSCI Currency Indexes
Yardeni Research, Inc.
June 19, 2020
Dr. Edward Yardeni516-972-7683
Joe Abbott732-497-5306
Please visit our sites atwww.yardeni.comblog.yardeni.com
thinking outside the box
Table Of Contents Table Of ContentsTable Of Contents
June 19, 2020 / MSCI Currency Indexes www.yardeni.com
Yardeni Research, Inc.
FiguresAll Country World MSCI 3All Country World ex-US MSCI 4BRIC MSCI 5Developed Europe MSCI 6Developed World ex-US MSCI 7EAFE MSCI 8Emerging Markets MSCI 9EM Asia MSCI 10EM Eastern Europe MSCI 11EM Latin America MSCI 12EMU MSCI 13Europe MSCI 14Europe ex-United Kingdom MSCI 15
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21165
215
265
315
365
415
465
515
565
615
665
715
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
650
6/19
yardeni.com
Source: MSCI.
ALL COUNTRY WORLD MSCI INDEX(ratio scale)
Local currency
US$
Figure 1.
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.75
.80
.85
.90
.95
1.00
.75
.80
.85
.90
.95
1.00
6/19
yardeni.com
Source: MSCI.
ALL COUNTRY WORLD MSCI INDEX CURRENCY RATIO (US$ index / local currency index)
Figure 2.
All Country World MSCI
Page 3 / June 19, 2020 / MSCI Currency Indexes www.yardeni.com
Yardeni Research, Inc.
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21100
150
200
250
300
350
400
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
6/19
yardeni.com
Source: MSCI.
ALL COUNTRY WORLD EX-US MSCI INDEX(ratio scale)
Local currency
US$
Figure 3.
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.6
.7
.8
.9
1.0
1.1
.6
.7
.8
.9
1.0
1.1
6/19
yardeni.com
ALL COUNTRY WORLD EX-US MSCI INDEX CURRENCY RATIO(US$ index / local currency index)
Source: MSCI.
Figure 4.
All Country World ex-US MSCI
Page 4 / June 19, 2020 / MSCI Currency Indexes www.yardeni.com
Yardeni Research, Inc.
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2150
150
250
350
450
550
50
150
250
350
450
550
650
750850
6/19
yardeni.com
Source: MSCI.
BRIC MSCI INDEX(ratio scale)
Local currency
US$
Figure 5.
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.4
.5
.6
.7
.8
.9
1.0
1.1
.4
.5
.6
.7
.8
.9
1.0
1.1
6/19yardeni.com
Source: MSCI.
BRIC MSCI INDEX CURRENCY RATIO(US$ index / local currency index)
Figure 6.
BRIC MSCI
Page 5 / June 19, 2020 / MSCI Currency Indexes www.yardeni.com
Yardeni Research, Inc.
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21600
1000
1400
1800
2200
2600
500
900
1300
1700
2100
2500
6/19
yardeni.com
Source: MSCI.
DEVELOPED EUROPE MSCI INDEX(ratio scale)
Local currency
US$
Figure 7.
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.8
.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
.8
.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
6/19
yardeni.com
Source: MSCI.
DEVELOPED EUROPE MSCI INDEX CURRENCY RATIO(US$ index / local currency index)
Figure 8.
Developed Europe MSCI
Page 6 / June 19, 2020 / MSCI Currency Indexes www.yardeni.com
Yardeni Research, Inc.
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21700
1100
1500
1900
2300
2700
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
6/19
yardeni.com
Source: MSCI.
DEVELOPED WORLD EX-US MSCI INDEX(ratio scale)
Local currency
US$
Figure 9.
96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 221.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.9
2.0
2.1
2.2
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.9
2.0
2.1
2.2
6/19
yardeni.com
Source: MSCI.
DEVELOPED WORLD EX-US MSCI INDEX CURRENCY RATIO(US$ index / local currency index, daily)
Figure 10.
Developed World ex-US MSCI
Page 7 / June 19, 2020 / MSCI Currency Indexes www.yardeni.com
Yardeni Research, Inc.
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21100
125
150
175
200
225
250
275
300
325
350
100
150
200
250
300
6/19
yardeni.com
Source: MSCI.
EAFE MSCI INDEX(ratio scale)
Local currency
US$
Figure 11.
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.7
.8
.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
.7
.8
.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
6/19
yardeni.com
Source: MSCI.
EAFE MSCI INDEX CURRENCY RATIO(US$ index / local currency index)
Figure 12.
EAFE MSCI
Page 8 / June 19, 2020 / MSCI Currency Indexes www.yardeni.com
Yardeni Research, Inc.
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
9000
19000
29000
39000
49000
59000
69000
6/19
yardeni.com
Source: MSCI.
EMERGING MARKETS MSCI INDEX(ratio scale, daily)
Local currency
US$
Figure 13.
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022.15
.20
.25
.30
.35
.40
.15
.20
.25
.30
.35
.40
6/19
yardeni.com
EMERGING MARKETS MSCI CURRENCY RATIO(US$ index / local currency index, daily)
Source: MSCI.
Figure 14.
Emerging Markets MSCI
Page 9 / June 19, 2020 / MSCI Currency Indexes www.yardeni.com
Yardeni Research, Inc.
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21100
200
300
400
500
600
700
100
250
400
550
700
850
1000
1150
6/19
yardeni.com
Source: MSCI.
EMERGING MARKETS ASIA MSCI INDEX(ratio scale)
Local currency
US$
Figure 15.
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.50
.55
.60
.65
.70
.75
.80
.85
.90
.95
1.00
.50
.55
.60
.65
.70
.75
.80
.85
.90
.95
1.00
6/19
yardeni.com
Source: MSCI.
EMERGING MARKETS ASIA MSCI INDEX CURRENCY RATIO(US$ index / local currency index)
Figure 16.
EM Asia MSCI
Page 10 / June 19, 2020 / MSCI Currency Indexes www.yardeni.com
Yardeni Research, Inc.
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2125
100
175
250
325
400
475
25
135
245
355
465
575
6/19
yardeni.com
Source: MSCI.
EMERGING MARKETS EASTERN EUROPE MSCI INDEX(ratio scale)
Local currency
US$
Figure 17.
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.4
.5
.6
.7
.8
.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
.4
.5
.6
.7
.8
.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
6/19
yardeni.com
Source: MSCI.
EMERGING MARKETS EASTERN EUROPE MSCI INDEX CURRENCY RATIO(US$ index / local currency index)
Figure 18.
EM Eastern Europe MSCI
Page 11 / June 19, 2020 / MSCI Currency Indexes www.yardeni.com
Yardeni Research, Inc.
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21500
1500
2500
3500
4500
5500
6500
750
2750
4750
6750
8750
10750
6/19
yardeni.com
Source: MSCI.
EMERGING MARKETS LATIN AMERICA MSCI INDEX(ratio scale)
Local currency
US$
Figure 19.
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.2
.3
.4
.5
.6
.7
.8
.9
1.0
.2
.3
.4
.5
.6
.7
.8
.9
1.0
6/19yardeni.com
Source: MSCI.
EMERGING MARKETS LATIN AMERICA MSCI INDEX CURRENCY RATIO(US$ index / local currency index)
Figure 20.
EM Latin America MSCI
Page 12 / June 19, 2020 / MSCI Currency Indexes www.yardeni.com
Yardeni Research, Inc.
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2170
110
150
190
230
270
310
70
110
150
190
230
270
310
6/19
yardeni.com
Source: MSCI.
EMU MSCI INDEX(ratio scale)
Local currency
US$
Figure 21.
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.6
.7
.8
.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
.6
.7
.8
.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
6/19
yardeni.com
EMU MSCI INDEX CURRENCY RATIO(US$ index / local currency index)
Source: MSCI.
Figure 22.
EMU MSCI
Page 13 / June 19, 2020 / MSCI Currency Indexes www.yardeni.com
Yardeni Research, Inc.
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21175
275
375
475
575
675
175
275
375
475
575
675
6/19
yardeni.com
Source: MSCI.
EUROPE MSCI INDEX(ratio scale)
Local currency
US$
Figure 23.
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.6
.7
.8
.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
.6
.7
.8
.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
6/19
yardeni.com
Source: MSCI.
EUROPE MSCI INDEX CURRENCY RATIO(US$ index / local currency index)
Figure 24.
Europe MSCI
Page 14 / June 19, 2020 / MSCI Currency Indexes www.yardeni.com
Yardeni Research, Inc.
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21350
550
750
950
1150
1350
1550
1750
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
6/19
yardeni.com
Source: MSCI.
EUROPE EX-UK MSCI INDEX(ratio scale)
US Dollars
Local Currency
Figure 25.
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 211.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.9
2.0
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.9
2.0
6/19
yardeni.com
Source: MSCI.
EUROPE EX-UK MSCI INDEX CURRENCY RATIO(US$ index / local currency index)
Figure 26.
Europe ex-United Kingdom MSCI
Page 15 / June 19, 2020 / MSCI Currency Indexes www.yardeni.com
Yardeni Research, Inc.
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