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Monetary EconomicsEkonomi Moneter
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MONETARY ECONOMICSLECTURE #1:INTRODUCTION 1REFERENCE:
Mishkin, Frederic S, Ch. 1&3Miller, Roger Leroy dan David D. Van Hoose, Ch.3www.bi.go.id
Lecturer #1: Introduction*Money, Banking & Financial MarketWhy study Money, Banking, and Financial Market?What is money and what are its functions?Is money related to economic activity? What properties are necessary for something to be considered money?What are the various types of monetary and non-monetary economies? 1@wisnu2015
Lecturer #1: Introduction
Lecturer #1: Introduction*Why Study Money? Money- money supply -, is linked to changes in economic variables that effect all of us and are important to the health of the economy: Evidence suggests that money plays an important role in generating business cycles.A continuing increase in money supply might be an important factor in causing the continuing increase in the price level (inflation) Money plays an important role in interest-rate fluctuations, which are of great concern to businesses and consumers
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Lecturer #1: Introduction
Why Study Financial Institutions and BankingBank and other financial institutions are what make financial market work. Bank and FIs play a crucial role in the economy, they make financial market would be able to move funds form people who save to people who have productive investment.
Lecturer #1: Introduction*1@wisnu2015
Lecturer #1: Introduction
Fact #1: Money Growth and Business Cycles in US 1950-2011Lecturer #1: Introduction*Although money growth has declined before every recession, not every decline in the rate of money growth is followed by a recession Shaded areas represent recessions@wisnu2015
Lecturer #1: Introduction
Fact #2: Average Inflation Rate Versus Average Rate of Money Growth for Selected Countries, 2000-2010Lecturer #1: Introduction*Inflation may be tied to continuing increases in the money supply. The countries with highest inflation rates are also the ones with the highest money growth rate@wisnu2015
Lecturer #1: Introduction
Lecturer #1: Introduction*Fact #3: Money Growth (M2 Annual Rate) and Interest Rates (Long-Term U.S. Treasury Bonds), 19502011Prior to 1980, the rate of money growth and the interest rate on long-term Treasury bonds were closely tied.Since then, the relationship is less clear but the rate of money growth is still an important determinant of interest rates.@wisnu2015
Lecturer #1: Introduction
Fiscal Policy and Monetary PolicyMonetary policy is the management of the money supply and interest ratesConducted in the U.S. by the Federal Reserve System (Fed)Fiscal policy deals with government spending and taxationBudget deficit is the excess of expenditures over revenues for a particular yearBudget surplus is the excess of revenues over expenditures for a particular yearAny deficit must be financed by borrowing
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Lecturer #1: Introduction*
Government Budget Surplus or Deficit as a Percentage of Gross Domestic Product, 19502010Source: www.gpoaccess.gov/usbudget/fy06/sheets/hist01z2.xls.US Debt Clock.orgWhy deficits budget might lead to higher rate of money growth, a higher rate of inflation, and higher rate interest rate ? *Lecturer #1: Introduction@wisnu2015
Lecturer #1: Introduction*
Lecturer #1: IntroductionWhat is money?
Anything that people generally accept in exchange for goods and servicesbut,the concepts of money today is normally more inclusive*@wisnu2015
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Lecturer #1: Introduction*Types of Money@wisnu2015
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Lecturer #1: Introduction*The Functions of MoneyThe functions of money are:1) Medium of exchange - Any asset that sellers will accept as payment2) Unit of accounting - A measure by which prices are expressed3) Store of value (purchasing power)- The ability to hold value over time 4) Standard of deferred payment - use as a means of settling debts maturing in the future@wisnu2015
Lecturer #1: Introduction
Lecturer #1: Introduction*The Functions of MoneyLiquidityThe degree to which an asset can be acquired or disposed of without much danger of any intervening loss in nominal value and with small transaction costsMoney is the most liquid asset.
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Lecturer #1: Introduction
Lecturer #1: Introduction*The Desirable Propertiesof Money
Minimum Properties:PortabilityDurabilityDivisibilityStandardizabilityRecognizability@wisnu20151
Lecturer #1: Introduction
Lecturer #1: Introduction*Types of Monetary and Non- Monetary EconomiesBarter Economies (Non-Monetary economies):Pure Barter EconomiesTrading-Post Economies/systems of organized barterMonetary EconomiesCommodity Money EconomiesCommodity Standards:Full-bodied money Face value=market valueRepresentative-full bodied moneyFiat Money
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Lecturer #1: Introduction
Lecturer #1: Introduction*Commodity Standards :If people widely use tokens, rather than actual physical commodities, in exchange for goods and services.Individuals use tokens whose values are fully or partially related to, or backed by, the value of a physical commodity (gold, silver)People may use alternative token other than coin (pieces of paper) Representative full-bodied money
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Lecturer #1: Introduction
Lecturer #1: Introduction*Fiat Money :Paper currency decreed as legal tender but not convertible to gold or precious metal. (Less in value than its commodity )Can be broken down into 2 major sub-classification:(1). Fiat money issued by governments and Central Bank(2). Fiat money issued by depository institutions@wisnu2015
Lecturer #1: Introduction
DEFINE AND MEASURE MONEY(Miller, Ch. 3)Why it is important to define and measure money?What are the transaction and liquidity approaches to measuring money?What is the best definition of money?Does money have a future? 1*Lecturer #1: Introduction@wisnu2015
Lecturer #1: Introduction
Importance to define and measure money
Money as Store of Value MoneyQuantity of MoneyInflationInterest rateEmploymentExchange rateNat. incomeNat.outputEc. GrowthDefinition of MoneyTheoriticalEmphiricalHow to measure?TransactionApproach LiquidityApproachMoney asMedium of Exchange*Lecturer #1: Introduction@wisnu20151
Lecturer #1: Introduction
Approaches to Defining and Measuring Money1. The transaction approach:Emphasizes moneys function as medium of exchange We should only include assets that serve as media of exchange in the empirical measurement of money (coins and paper currency, checkable accounts) Transaction motive for holding moneyIf total money supply rise spending rise, so: national income, national input, employment and price level rise too.*Lecturer #1: Introduction@wisnu20151
Lecturer #1: Introduction
Money as a store of valueMoney is the most liquid of all assets. An individual does not need to convert money into something before purchasing a good and serviceMoney: All assets that people can convert into money quickly without loss of nominal dollar value and without much cost
2. Liquidity Approach:*Lecturer #1: Introduction@wisnu2015
Lecturer #1: Introduction
Measuring Money-1 (in US):1. The Narrowest Measure of Money (Monetary Base or MB): MB = Currency +Total Reserves of Depository Institutions
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2. M1 = The Transactions Approach
M1 = Currency + Transaction deposits (Demand deposits + Other checkable deposits) + Travellers checks
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3. M2 = The Liquidity Approach
M2 = M1 + Saving deposits and money market deposits + Small-denomination time deposits +Overnight RPs and Eurodollar + Money Market mutual funds
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Lecturer #1: Introduction
4. M3 : An Even Broader Definition of MoneyM3 = M2 + Large denomination time deposits at all depository institutions + Term repurchase agreement at commercial banks and savings and loan associations + Term eurodollars + Institutions-only money market mutual funds balance*Lecturer #1: Introduction@wisnu2015
Lecturer #1: Introduction
Measuring Money (in Indonesia):Uang Inti/Uang Primer (M0):
M0 = C + Rdimana: C = uang kartal (kertas dan koin)R = saldo giro bank umum di Bank Sentral (BI)*Lecturer #1: Introduction@wisnu2015
Lecturer #1: Introduction
2. Uang beredar dalam arti sempit (M1):
M1 = C + Ddimana: C = uang kartal (kertas dan koin)D = uang giralCont.*Lecturer #1: Introduction@wisnu2015
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3. Uang Beredar dalam arti luas (Likuiditas Perekonomian)/ M2
M2 = M1 + T
dimana:T = Uang Kuasi (uang yang disimpan dalam rekening tabungan dan deposito berjangka)
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Why the definition of money differ among countries?Definisi uang beredar di berbagai negara bervariasi, sesuai kondisi sektor keuangan dan perbankan serta kebutuhan otoritas moneter negara bersangkutanContoh:US: M1,M2,M3Inggris: M1, M2, M4Kanada: M1,M2,M2+, Adjusted M2+, M3*Lecturer #1: Introduction@wisnu2015
Lecturer #1: Introduction
What is the Best Definition of Money?
The criterions of Monetary Policy
A close correspondence must exist between the theoretical definition of money and the emphirical (measurable) definition of moneyAn ability on the part of the monetary authorities to control empirically defined money supply A close and predictable relationship between changes in the empirically defined money supply and ultimate national economic goals *Lecturer #1: Introduction@wisnu20151
Lecturer #1: Introduction
The Future of Money:(The Evolution of Money : An empirically view)
BarterCommodity Money (gold & silver)Paper money(certificate)Bank money(demand deposit)Intangible money
Electronic money(e-money)*Lecturer #1: Introduction@wisnu2015
Lecturer #1: Introduction
Lecturer #1: Introduction*TUGAS #1 :Dengan data yang diakses dari website Bank Indonesia di: www.bi.go.idGambarkan (dalam bentuk grafis) hubungan antara jumlah uang beredar dengan output, price level dan suku bungaBerikan ulasan singkat terhadap masing-masing hubungan variabel di atas
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