Upload
others
View
2
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
$4,368
$1,563
$4,833
$7,049 $6,818
$10,631
$4,032
77
115 119 114
158
213
117
0
50
100
150
200
250
$0
$2,000
$4,000
$6,000
$8,000
$10,000
$12,000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 YTD
75, 64%
31, 27%
11, 9%
Strategic Add-On Sponsor-Owned Strategic Add-On Platform Investment
25 25
12
109
87
4 4 4 43
2
Building
Products
Broadline
Industrial
Flu id Power /
ProcessControl
Auto /
Transportation
Electric &
Wiring
Power
Transmission
Safe ty JanSan /
Foodservice
Chemicals Lubricants Packaged
Gas / Welding
Packag ing Miscellaneous
/ Specia lty
Current M&A Market Perspectives for DistributorsThe current environment for middle-market distribution M&A remains strong
[1] Includes transactions with both disclosed and undisclosed multiples (2011 depressed value due to a high number of transactions with undisclosed data); YTD as of August 2016 (multiple not illustrated due to high
number of transactions with undisclosed data)
Distribution M&A Activity [1]
Valuations remain at or near all-time highs
Financing markets have improved significantly since a slowdown in 4Q
2015 and 1Q 2016
Premium assets trading for high multiples with compressed deal
timelines and favorable contract terms
Transaction Value Transaction Volume
($ in millions, volume actuals)
8.4x 7.9x 9.3x 8.7x 9.4x 10.4xEV / EBITDA
Multiple
M&A Market Sentiment M&A Activity Summary
Uninvested private equity capital at peak levels
YTD August 2016 Distribution M&A Activity by Type
YTD August 2016 Distribution M&A Activity by Sector
Increase in independent, privately-held businesses evaluating sale or
private equity partnership transactions (number of transactions)
Key Value Drivers for Industrial Distribution M&AFinancial partners are paying increasingly more attention to (and higher valuation multiples for) companies exhibiting
many of the key value drivers that are applicable to industrial distributors
Reasons for Sponsor
Interest in Distribution
Countercyclical working
capital / free cash flow
Key Value Drivers Attractive to Sponsors
High industry
fragmentation
Multi-pronged growth
strategies
Highly scalable
business models
Experienced
management teams
Minimal risk of import
competition
Leadership position in specific product categories and/or distribution model
Demonstrable, tangible value proposition for customers and suppliers
Diversity of end-market, geography, customers, suppliers
Robust line card consisting of leading brands; private label often a plus
Meaningful MRO / aftermarket content
Aftermarket services / support capability
Multi-channel capability field, catalog, tele, e-commerce, etc.
Minimal exposure to commodity price volatility (i.e., lack of inventory de-valuation risk)
Organic and acquisition growth story (fragmented industry)
Highly scalable business model
Strong free cash flow performance through downcycles
Company size caters to a broad cross-section of prospective buyers
Operating performance metrics at higher end of comparables same day / next day delivery, fill rates,
customer wallet share, supplier product share, purchasing power, national account penetration, etc.
Financial metrics at higher end of comparables growth, margins, inventory turns, ROIC/RONA, etc.
Strong systems CRM / MIS, customer interface, established e-commerce platform, etc.
Highly experienced management team
(30%)
(20%)
(10%)
0%
10%
20%
30%
(3.0%)
(2.0%)
(1.0%)
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
2Q '14 3Q '14 4Q '14 1Q '15 2Q '15 3Q '15 4Q '15 1Q '16 2Q '16
Qo
Q %
Ch
ang
e in F
ree Cash
Flo
wQ
oQ
% C
han
ge
in R
even
ue
Free Cash Flow Revenue
(60%)
(40%)
(20%)
0%
20%
40%
60%
(60%)
(40%)
(20%)
0%
20%
40%
60%
2Q '10 2Q '11 2Q '12 2Q '13 2Q '14 2Q '15 2Q '16
% C
han
ge in
Free C
ash F
low
% C
han
ge
in R
even
ue
Free Cash Flow Revenue
Distribution Free Cash Flow Dynamics
Source: SEC Filings, Capital IQ
Note: Analysis based on broad industrial distribution group comprised of AIT, AXE, DXPE, ESND, FAST, GPC, GWW, KAMN, MSM, MRC, PKOH, WSO and WCC (excludes HDS and DNOW due to limited data available prior to IPO); [1] Free Cash Flow =
Cash Flow from Operations – Capex
Revenue vs. Free Cash Flow Analysis (QoQ Change in Revenue and Free Cash Flow) [1]
As sales have started to decline, distributors begin to destock existing inventory
Revenue vs. Free Cash Flow Analysis (Indexed to 2Q 2010 Revenue and Free Cash Flow) [1]
Strong free cash
flow generated
during period of
depressed
revenue
Executive Commentary: M&A Remains a Core Focus
With a robust M&A, pipeline, we will stay active
in extending our business reach and expanding
Applied's capabilities to serve industrial
customers in our geographic markets.
Neil Schrimsher (CEO)
August 12, 2016
”
…to do some acquisitions that create value and
expand our capabilities or expand our footprint,
whether that be in the JanSan space or the office
products space or automotive or industrial...I
expect you’ll see us take some of those
opportunities.
Earl Shanks (CFO)
July 21, 2016
”
“ “
…we will continue to seek additional acquisition
opportunities across all of our distribution
businesses to further enhance our prospects for
future growth. We’ll continue to target those bolt-on
acquisitions of companies with annual revenues in
the $25 million to $150 million range.
Carol Yancey (CFO)
July 19, 2016
”
…our posture over the several quarters on M&A
has been – were open. We’re looking, but we’re also
very selective. And I would say our posture is no
different than it has been.
Erik Gershwind (CEO)
July 06, 2016
”
“ “
We bought 12 companies even in this
downturn…And we’ll continue to be
acquisitive…we’re going to continue to be an
acquisition company, that’s in our DNA.
Dan Molinaro (CFO)
September 7, 2016
”
We’re doing acquisitions in conjunction with our
organic initiatives. It’s to increase our scale and
scope in all our served markets. As we do that, I
believe benefits accrued to the strongest players in
all markets clearly for distribution that’s true.
John Engel (CEO)
July 28, 2016
”
“ “
8.7x
9.2x
10
.4x
9.2x
6.6x
10
.9x
11.8
x
9.0x
8.1x
7.
5x
9.6x
8.0x
5.2x
8.
8x 9.
5x
5.6x
7.3x
13.8
x
8.5x
14.8
x 8.
5x 9.
2x
9.5x
9.0x
7.
0x
8.4x
7.1x
12.5
x
8.0x
7.1x
9.2x
7.5x
8.
9x
10.0
x
8.3x
7.7x
9.2x
10.0
x
9.7x
7.
9x
12.3
x
8.1x
11
.1x
10.9
x
9.4x
10
.9x
13.6
x
8.4x
8.8x
7.3x
7.4x
9.5x
10
.7x 11
.3x
6.7x
8.
7x
8.1x
11.7
x
7.0x
6.
2x
8.8x
10.0
x 8.
6x
10.9
x
10.6
x 11
.7x
14.4
x
10.5
x
10.0
x 11
.0x
11.4
x 13
.2x
7.8x
9.6x
11.2
x
7.9x
10.4
x
15.5
x 10
.5x
10.4
x 11.0
x
10.0
x 8.
9x
8.5x
A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W X Y Z
AA
AB
AC
AD
AE
AF
AG
AH AI
AJ
AK AL
AM AN
AO AP
AQ
AR
AS
AT
AU
AV
AW AX
AY
AZ
BA
BB
BC
BD
BE
BF
BG
BH BI
BJ
BK BL
BM BN
BO BP
BQ
BR
BS
BT
BU
BV
BW BX
BY
BZ
CA
CB
CC
CD
CE
CF
Strategic 9.2x
Sponsor 9.0x
2014 - 2016 YTD 10.4x
Overall 9.2x
Median
M&A Transaction ValuationsM&A valuation multiples are driven by a number of factors, including type of acquirer, transaction timing, transaction size and growth / margin / ROIC profile
Note: Acquirers who are owned by financial sponsors are considered to be Sponsor Acquirers
‘04
Strategic Acquirer Sponsor Acquirer
‘05 ‘06 ‘07 ‘08 ‘09 ‘10 ‘11 ‘12 ‘13 ‘14 ‘15 ’16
14
Anatomy of a Deal: Considerations for Business Owners
Evaluate Alternatives1
Preparation2
The Process3
Partner Selection and Structuring4
Post-Closing Considerations5
15
Evaluate Alternatives1
Successful business owners and operators have several strategic options available to them at any given point in time…
…and several factors can influence the decision to migrate from status quo
Status
Quo
Minority Equity or
Subordinated Debt
Partner with
Private Equity
Outright
Sale
Continue to operate ‘as is’ Expensive capital for growth
or shareholder liquidity
Monetize a portion of
ownership (>50%),
diversifying wealth and
aligning with a partner for your
next phase of growth
Sell 100% (or close to 100%)
of your business to a strategic
or financial buyer
Market-Related Business-Related Shareholder-Related
Are companies with my profile, in my
sector in favor?
Are today’s M&A and debt financing
markets attractive?
Would I benefit from aligning with a
partner to grow?
Is the industry consolidating and I
don’t want to be left behind?
Is a substantial portion of my wealth
invested in the business?
Would I or my fellow shareholders
benefit from liquidity?
What is my succession plan?
16
Preparation2
It is ideal to start the process to prepare for a recapitalization or a sale early, perhaps
a year or more in advance
Starting the process later makes it even more important to have qualified advisors
Plan Ahead
Corporate documentation and reports
Financials
Tax documents
Know your Company’s metrics
Calibrate your story
Get Organized
Attorney
Accountant
Investment Banker
Not a time to be penny wise and pound foolish
Pick Qualified
Advisors
17
PreparationRelevant Pre-Marketing Transaction Items Considerations
Finance &
Accounting
Consider quality of earnings report
– Adjust historical financials to eliminate unusual or non-recurring expense items
Develop projection model with detailed build-up (with and without acquisitions) validate / bridge
growth trajectory
– Revenue and margin analysis
– Product or service type / region / customer mix and related margins
Surprises that surface late in the process negatively impact value
Enables buyer analysis and increases credibility of the “growth story”
Operations
Formulate key positioning thesis / elements
Market analysis / sales pipeline / customer surveys, etc.
Develop measurable metrics for key operational items
Define historical cost savings / initiatives and future opportunities
Understand organic growth potential of the Company addressable market share, new customer
opportunities, tangible “wallet share” opportunities, expanding contracts with existing customers, etc.
Articulate acquisition opportunities process, status and potential synergy
Helps buyers better understand investment thesis
Provides support for management’s growth initiatives and plan
Supports growth success stories and strategic buyer synergy analysis
Positions additional growth-levers (aside from revenue opportunities)
Legal Diligence
& Tax
Considerations
Engage outside transaction counsel and initiate legal diligence
Complete draft of purchase agreement
Define preferred deal structure
Understand any unique tax considerations (e.g. 338(h)(10) election)
Explore potential Rep & Warranty insurance
Expedite purchase agreement negotiations
Proactively identify and define all relevant legal and tax issues
Optimize deal structure to maximize shareholder proceeds
Minimize ongoing liability exposure
Transaction
Diligence
Fully ‘scrub’ all internal documentation, removing any information that the Company isn’t willing to
provide
Complete organization and population of data room
Proactively compile all relevant documentation and data (financial, operations, legal, HR, etc.)
Allows buyers that want to expedite the process to move quickly
Corporate
Bandwidth
Need for organized internal corporate team for due diligence process
Early identification of any timing issues (union agreements, other corporate events, etc. that could
extend process)
Difficult to push buyer timing if seller is unable to fulfill diligence requests
High potential to extend timing
2
18
The ProcessBelow is a high-level example of a multi-phase process (subject to change based on the specific situation)
Organizational meeting;
preliminary banker due diligence
Determine list of potential
buyers, including “VIP” buyers
Prepare marketing materials
Finalize financials and model;
prepare supporting EBITDA
analysis, QofE and other third-
party work
Reach out to VIP and
international buyers prior to
broader marketing calls
Preview opportunity
Heightens market anticipation
Ensures proper buyer
attention
Situation Dependent
Phase I
Preparation / Pre-
Marketing
Phase II
Marketing and Buyer
Review
6 Weeks
Phase III
Mgmt. Presentations &
Due Diligence
Conduct MPs; provide limited data
room access following MPs
Facilitate initial financial and
commercial diligence
Refresh bids due; narrow the
field
Provide expanded data room
access; facilitate continued
diligence
Post draft Purchase Agreement
(“PA”) and working capital peg
Receive initial PA markups prior to
final bid date; begin negotiating
multiple PAs
Final bids (with committed
financing) and PA markups due
Stress completion of diligence
during this phase
8 – 10 Weeks
Phase IV
Negotiate and Sign
2 – 3 Weeks
Contact remaining strategic and
financial buyers; negotiate NDAs
Distribute Offering Materials
Discussions with potential
lenders
Begin drafting Management
Presentation (“MP”)
Prepare electronic data room
Banker conducts customized
“Fireside Chats” with select
VIP buyers
Indications of Interest due
Choose buyers to meet
management after diligencing
bids
Review final bids and PA
markups
Enhance finalist proposals
(economic items, terms)
Select winning party – any
exclusivity provided is
extremely limited
Execute PA; close shortly
thereafter
3
19
Partner Selection and Structuring
It is critical for your advisors to understand your goals, objectives and ultimate desires
4
Picking the Right Partner
Strategic vs. Financial?
Valuation vs. DNA Match?
Impact on employees, customers, suppliers, and other constituents?
How much control am I willing to give up (financial and operational)?
What is my succession plan?
How would the Company benefit from a well-capitalized partner?
20
Post-Closing ConsiderationsPerspectives from the trenches
5
Partnering with Private Equity?
Partnering with a Strategic Buyer?