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The rise of subscription boxes and the consumers behind them John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise

John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise - SUBTA...John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise 1 Methodology Industry trends Audience profiles Traffic sources 3 2 4 Wrap-up 5 1 Methodology Unique

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Page 1: John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise - SUBTA...John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise 1 Methodology Industry trends Audience profiles Traffic sources 3 2 4 Wrap-up 5 1 Methodology Unique

The rise of subscription boxes and the consumers behind themJohn Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise

Page 2: John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise - SUBTA...John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise 1 Methodology Industry trends Audience profiles Traffic sources 3 2 4 Wrap-up 5 1 Methodology Unique

1Methodology

Industry trends

Audience profiles

Traffic sources

3

2

4

Wrap-up

5

Page 3: John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise - SUBTA...John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise 1 Methodology Industry trends Audience profiles Traffic sources 3 2 4 Wrap-up 5 1 Methodology Unique

1

Methodology

Page 4: John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise - SUBTA...John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise 1 Methodology Industry trends Audience profiles Traffic sources 3 2 4 Wrap-up 5 1 Methodology Unique

Unique data and consumer insightsPowerful combination of scale, depth and quality

Subscription Summit 2017

3 million mobile devices

20 M sites/500 M Searches

8.5 million panelists

60K consumer attributes

Unlimited

Audience

Possibilities &

Reporting

Combinations

Page 5: John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise - SUBTA...John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise 1 Methodology Industry trends Audience profiles Traffic sources 3 2 4 Wrap-up 5 1 Methodology Unique

Hitwise subscription box industry

267 leading sites

Subscription Summit 2017

Page 6: John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise - SUBTA...John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise 1 Methodology Industry trends Audience profiles Traffic sources 3 2 4 Wrap-up 5 1 Methodology Unique

2

Industry trends

Page 7: John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise - SUBTA...John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise 1 Methodology Industry trends Audience profiles Traffic sources 3 2 4 Wrap-up 5 1 Methodology Unique

US subscription box industry

Monthly visits

Subscription Summit 2017

0

5,000,000

10,000,000

15,000,000

20,000,000

25,000,000

30,000,000

35,000,000

40,000,000

45,000,000

50,000,000

Ap

r-14

Ma

y-1

4

Ju

n-1

4

Ju

l-14

Au

g-1

4

Se

p-1

4

Oc

t-14

No

v-1

4

De

c-1

4

Ja

n-1

5

Fe

b-1

5

Ma

r-15

Ap

r-15

Ma

y-1

5

Ju

n-1

5

Ju

l-15

Au

g-1

5

Se

p-1

5

Oc

t-15

No

v-1

5

De

c-1

5

Ja

n-1

6

Fe

b-1

6

Ma

r-16

Ap

r-16

Ma

y-1

6

Ju

n-1

6

Ju

l-16

Au

g-1

6

Se

p-1

6

Oc

t-16

No

v-1

6

De

c-1

6

Ja

n-1

7

Fe

b-1

7

Ma

r-17

Ap

r-17

Surpassed 40 million visits in January and March

831%

increase

since 2014

Page 8: John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise - SUBTA...John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise 1 Methodology Industry trends Audience profiles Traffic sources 3 2 4 Wrap-up 5 1 Methodology Unique

Top subscription sites

Number of visits in April 2017

Subscription Summit 2017

672,654

863,400

2,173,196

2,174,466

2,325,358

2,508,378

2,705,429

3,039,143

4,152,038

5,185,943

- 1,000,000 2,000,000 3,000,000 4,000,000 5,000,000 6,000,000

BESPOKE POST

FABFITFUN

LOOT CRATE

BIRCHBOX

HELLO FRESH

STITCH FIX

HOME CHEF

DOLLAR SHAVE CLUB

BLUE APRON

IPSY

Page 9: John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise - SUBTA...John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise 1 Methodology Industry trends Audience profiles Traffic sources 3 2 4 Wrap-up 5 1 Methodology Unique

Subscription Box vs Traditional Retail match up

Top subscription sites now on par with major brands (in visits)

Subscription Summit 2017

Page 10: John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise - SUBTA...John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise 1 Methodology Industry trends Audience profiles Traffic sources 3 2 4 Wrap-up 5 1 Methodology Unique

Category breakdown

Share of subscription box sites visits, April 2017

Subscription Summit 2017

35%

33%

16%

12%

2% 2%

Beauty Food

Apparel Lifestyle

Pets Kids

Page 11: John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise - SUBTA...John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise 1 Methodology Industry trends Audience profiles Traffic sources 3 2 4 Wrap-up 5 1 Methodology Unique

Category breakdown

Monthly visits by sub-category and three year change

Subscription Summit 2017

0

5,000,000

10,000,000

15,000,000

20,000,000

25,000,000

30,000,000

35,000,000

40,000,000

45,000,000

50,000,000

Ap

r-14

Ma

y-1

4

Ju

n-1

4

Ju

l-14

Au

g-1

4

Se

p-1

4

Oc

t-14

No

v-1

4

De

c-1

4

Ja

n-1

5

Fe

b-1

5

Ma

r-15

Ap

r-15

Ma

y-1

5

Ju

n-1

5

Ju

l-15

Au

g-1

5

Se

p-1

5

Oc

t-15

No

v-1

5

De

c-1

5

Ja

n-1

6

Fe

b-1

6

Ma

r-16

Ap

r-16

Ma

y-1

6

Ju

n-1

6

Ju

l-16

Au

g-1

6

Se

p-1

6

Oc

t-16

No

v-1

6

De

c-1

6

Ja

n-1

7

Fe

b-1

7

Ma

r-17

Ap

r-17

Pets Kids Lifestyle Apparel Food Beauty

Beauty

+630%Food

+949%

Apparel

+1,017%

Lifestyle

+1,052%Kids

+306%

Pets

+3,232%

Page 12: John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise - SUBTA...John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise 1 Methodology Industry trends Audience profiles Traffic sources 3 2 4 Wrap-up 5 1 Methodology Unique

Category breakdown

Monthly visit share by sub-category and 3 year change

Subscription Summit 2017

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Ap

r-14

Ma

y-1

4

Ju

n-1

4

Ju

l-14

Au

g-1

4

Se

p-1

4

Oc

t-14

No

v-1

4

De

c-1

4

Ja

n-1

5

Fe

b-1

5

Ma

r-15

Ap

r-15

Ma

y-1

5

Ju

n-1

5

Ju

l-15

Au

g-1

5

Se

p-1

5

Oc

t-15

No

v-1

5

De

c-1

5

Ja

n-1

6

Fe

b-1

6

Ma

r-16

Ap

r-16

Ma

y-1

6

Ju

n-1

6

Ju

l-16

Au

g-1

6

Se

p-1

6

Oc

t-16

No

v-1

6

De

c-1

6

Ja

n-1

7

Fe

b-1

7

Ma

r-17

Ap

r-17

Pets Kids Lifestyle Apparel Food Beauty

Beauty

-22%Food

+18%

Apparel

+26%

Lifestyle

+31%Kids

-62%

Pets

+301%

Page 13: John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise - SUBTA...John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise 1 Methodology Industry trends Audience profiles Traffic sources 3 2 4 Wrap-up 5 1 Methodology Unique

466,531/4%

863,400/7%

2,174,466/17%

3,039,143/23%

5,185,943/40%

0 1,000,000 2,000,000 3,000,000 4,000,000 5,000,000 6,000,000

eSalon

FabFitFun

Birchbox

Dollar

Shave

IPSY

Beauty box sites

Top beauty/grooming sites, April 2017

Subscription Summit 2017

-31%

+17%

-18%

+204%

-16%

Page 14: John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise - SUBTA...John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise 1 Methodology Industry trends Audience profiles Traffic sources 3 2 4 Wrap-up 5 1 Methodology Unique

536,375/4%

581,927/5%

2,325,358/19%

2,705,429/22%

4,152,038/34%

0 1,000,000 2,000,000 3,000,000 4,000,000 5,000,000

Plated

Graze

Hello

Fresh

Home

Chef

Blue

Apron

Food box sites

Top food sites, April 2017

Subscription Summit 2017

-48%

+44%

+395%

+42%

+81%

Page 15: John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise - SUBTA...John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise 1 Methodology Industry trends Audience profiles Traffic sources 3 2 4 Wrap-up 5 1 Methodology Unique

Apparel box sites

Top apparel/accessories sites, April 2017

Subscription Summit 2017

412,971

454,070

510,060

672,654

2,508,378

0 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 3,000,000

GwynnieBee

FiveFourClub

Dia

Bespoke Post

Stitch Fix +86%

+65%

+1,180%

+48%

-23%

Page 16: John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise - SUBTA...John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise 1 Methodology Industry trends Audience profiles Traffic sources 3 2 4 Wrap-up 5 1 Methodology Unique

75,463/2%

215,032/5%

308,416/7%

437,458/10%

2,173,196/50%

0 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000

Globein

Nerd Block

Mystery Tackle Box

Grove.co

Loot Crate

Lifestyle box sites

Top lifestyle sites, April 2017

Subscription Summit 2017

-41%

+259%

+57%

-54%

+157%

Page 17: John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise - SUBTA...John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise 1 Methodology Industry trends Audience profiles Traffic sources 3 2 4 Wrap-up 5 1 Methodology Unique

12,825/2%

24,468/4%

51,968/8%

131,184/20%

380,264/57%

0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000 400,000

Green Kids

Crafts

Pley

Bitsbox

Little

Passports

Kiwi Crate

Kids box sites

Top kids sites, April 2017

Subscription Summit 2017

+114%

+88%

+147%

-15%

-4%

Page 18: John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise - SUBTA...John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise 1 Methodology Industry trends Audience profiles Traffic sources 3 2 4 Wrap-up 5 1 Methodology Unique

20,574/2%

44,384/5%

49,749/6%

58,163/7%

664,560/78%

0 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000

Meow Box

Kitnipbox.

com

Cat Lady

Box

Bullymake

.com

Bark Box

Pet box sites

Top pet sites, April 2017

Subscription Summit 2017

+697%

+20%

+72%

+58%

-15%

Page 19: John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise - SUBTA...John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise 1 Methodology Industry trends Audience profiles Traffic sources 3 2 4 Wrap-up 5 1 Methodology Unique

Overlap analysis

Where are the biggest cross-sell opportunities?

Subscription Summit 2017Icons created by: Marvdrock, Oliviu Stolan and Maria Kislitsina from Noun Project

+8X

+8X

+11X

+11X

+5X

+8X

+10X

+11X

+10X

+5X

+8X

+10X

+9X

+7X

+7X

+11X

+11X

+9X

+14X

+17X

+11X

+10X

+7X

+14X

+4X

+5X

+5X

+7X

+17X

+4X

Page 20: John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise - SUBTA...John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise 1 Methodology Industry trends Audience profiles Traffic sources 3 2 4 Wrap-up 5 1 Methodology Unique

3

Audience profiles

Page 21: John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise - SUBTA...John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise 1 Methodology Industry trends Audience profiles Traffic sources 3 2 4 Wrap-up 5 1 Methodology Unique

Who are America’s 5.7 MM subscription box shoppers?

Audience profile: Demographics

Subscription Summit 2017

Late Millennial/

Gen X

(123 index)

61% Female

(index 116)

Liberal

(index 127)

College degree

(index 128) HHI $100K+

(index 119)

Kid age 3-5

(index 109)

Page 22: John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise - SUBTA...John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise 1 Methodology Industry trends Audience profiles Traffic sources 3 2 4 Wrap-up 5 1 Methodology Unique

“I look for organic

and natural

products”

(index 130)

“Social networking

sites are a way to tell

others about

companies I like”

(index 130)

“I need to be

connected to the

internet 24/7”

(index 134)

Who are America’s 5.7 MM subscription box shoppers?Audience profile: Mindset

Subscription Summit 2017

“All things being

equal, I’m more

likely to buy online

than in store”

(index 128)

“I don’t mind companies

using information about

me to better understand

products I might want”

(index 120)

“I am consumed

with getting the

best deal”

(index 107)“I like to keep

up with the

latest fashions”

(index 124)

“I like to try things

no one else has”

(index 117)

“I really enjoy any

kind of shopping”

(index 103)

Page 23: John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise - SUBTA...John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise 1 Methodology Industry trends Audience profiles Traffic sources 3 2 4 Wrap-up 5 1 Methodology Unique

Who are America’s 5.7 MM subscription box shoppers?Where else do they shop?

Subscription Summit 2017

Page 24: John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise - SUBTA...John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise 1 Methodology Industry trends Audience profiles Traffic sources 3 2 4 Wrap-up 5 1 Methodology Unique

Who are Loot Crate’s visitors

Cut from a different cloth

Subscription Summit 2017

Millennial/ Gen Z

(148 index)

Never married

(index 142)

Male

(index 110)

“Video games are

my main source of

entertainment”

(index 212)“I often click on

links shared in

social media”

(index 142)

“I often eat frozen

dinners” (index 135)

“I am usually the first

to…” (index 85-95)

Page 25: John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise - SUBTA...John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise 1 Methodology Industry trends Audience profiles Traffic sources 3 2 4 Wrap-up 5 1 Methodology Unique

Blue Apron vs Hello Fresh

“Recipe” search “cookoff”

Subscription Summit 2017

Vegetarian (+25%)

Paleo (+144%)

Instant Pot (+91%)

Prime Rib (+137%)

Curry (+42%)

Rhubarb (+22%)

Page 26: John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise - SUBTA...John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise 1 Methodology Industry trends Audience profiles Traffic sources 3 2 4 Wrap-up 5 1 Methodology Unique

Ipsy vs Birchbox

Search comparison

Subscription Summit 2017

EM cosmetics (+117%)

Maracuja oil (+61%)

Benefit cosmetics (+56%)

Aveda (+229%)

MAC cosmetics (+92%)

How to cancel ipsy (+193%)

Page 27: John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise - SUBTA...John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise 1 Methodology Industry trends Audience profiles Traffic sources 3 2 4 Wrap-up 5 1 Methodology Unique

2

Traffic sources

Page 28: John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise - SUBTA...John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise 1 Methodology Industry trends Audience profiles Traffic sources 3 2 4 Wrap-up 5 1 Methodology Unique

Traffic drivers: Social

Subscription boxes rely much more heavily on social

Subscription Summit 2017

14%

8%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

Subscription boxes Retail 500

Icons created by: Lohan J from Noun Project

Page 29: John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise - SUBTA...John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise 1 Methodology Industry trends Audience profiles Traffic sources 3 2 4 Wrap-up 5 1 Methodology Unique

Traffic drivers: Social

Pinterest is responsible more nearly 3X the share of traffic to sub-box sites

Subscription Summit 2017

+119% +120%

+124% +290%

Page 30: John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise - SUBTA...John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise 1 Methodology Industry trends Audience profiles Traffic sources 3 2 4 Wrap-up 5 1 Methodology Unique

Traffic drivers: Social

Pinterest is responsible more nearly 3X the share of traffic to sub-box sites

Subscription Summit 2017

Page 31: John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise - SUBTA...John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise 1 Methodology Industry trends Audience profiles Traffic sources 3 2 4 Wrap-up 5 1 Methodology Unique

Traffic drivers: Email

Email drives double share of traffic to subscription box sites

Subscription Summit 2017

9%

4%

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

9%

10%

Subscription boxes Retail 500

Icons created by: Galazicon from Noun Project

Page 32: John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise - SUBTA...John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise 1 Methodology Industry trends Audience profiles Traffic sources 3 2 4 Wrap-up 5 1 Methodology Unique

Traffic drivers: Affiliates

Sub-box sites get about the same share of traffic from affiliates

Subscription Summit 2017

1.6%

1.8%

0.0%

0.2%

0.4%

0.6%

0.8%

1.0%

1.2%

1.4%

1.6%

1.8%

2.0%

Subscription boxes Retail 500

Page 33: John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise - SUBTA...John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise 1 Methodology Industry trends Audience profiles Traffic sources 3 2 4 Wrap-up 5 1 Methodology Unique

Traffic drivers: Affiliates

My Subscription Addiction drives about 1/3 of affiliate traffic

Subscription Summit 2017

0.06%

0.07%

0.17%

0.24%

0.50%

0.00% 0.10% 0.20% 0.30% 0.40% 0.50% 0.60%

Coupon by

Everafterguide

RetailMeNot

Groupon

Swagbucks

My Subscription

Addiction

Page 34: John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise - SUBTA...John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise 1 Methodology Industry trends Audience profiles Traffic sources 3 2 4 Wrap-up 5 1 Methodology Unique

Traffic drivers: Search

Search still the biggest driver of traffic but less than retail in general

Subscription Summit 2017

30%

46%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

Subscription boxes Retail 500

Icons created by: Deepz from Noun Project

Page 35: John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise - SUBTA...John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise 1 Methodology Industry trends Audience profiles Traffic sources 3 2 4 Wrap-up 5 1 Methodology Unique

Traffic drivers: Search

1 in every 52 searches to sub-box sites include the word “review” or “best”

Subscription Summit 2017

“Best meal delivery service”

Page 36: John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise - SUBTA...John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise 1 Methodology Industry trends Audience profiles Traffic sources 3 2 4 Wrap-up 5 1 Methodology Unique

Traffic drivers: Search

1 in every 266 searches to sub-box sites include the word “cancel”

Subscription Summit 2017

“How to cancel Blue Apron”

Page 37: John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise - SUBTA...John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise 1 Methodology Industry trends Audience profiles Traffic sources 3 2 4 Wrap-up 5 1 Methodology Unique

36%

Mobile share of visits

Subscription boxes are ahead of the curve in the shift to mobile

Subscription Summit 2017Icons created by: unlimicon and DewDrops from Noun Project

46%

All sites Sub-box sitesRetail 500

52%

Page 38: John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise - SUBTA...John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise 1 Methodology Industry trends Audience profiles Traffic sources 3 2 4 Wrap-up 5 1 Methodology Unique

2

Wrap up

Page 39: John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise - SUBTA...John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise 1 Methodology Industry trends Audience profiles Traffic sources 3 2 4 Wrap-up 5 1 Methodology Unique

5 Key takeaways

Subscription Summit 2017

1. Personalization is key. Don’t be afraid to ask for info

to help you deliver a more curated experience.

2. Keep things fresh, but offer replenishment sales and

“fan favorites.”

3. Know your audience. Find a niche, but don’t get

stuck in it so that you can’t grow.

4. Make social central to sharing your message. Make it

easy for your customers to spread your word.

5. Think mobile first.

Page 40: John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise - SUBTA...John Fetto, Senior Analyst, Hitwise 1 Methodology Industry trends Audience profiles Traffic sources 3 2 4 Wrap-up 5 1 Methodology Unique

Thank you!

John [email protected]

www.hitwise.com