Integrating Statistics in Development PLANNING 18 June 2014 High Level Seminar and Workshop on ACSS Strategic Plan 2016-202 Hotel Salak, Bogor Indonesia

Integrating Statistics in Development PLANNING

18 June 2014High Level Seminar and Workshop on ACSS Strategic Plan 2016-202Hotel Salak, Bogor Indonesia

National Economic and Development AuthorityPhilippines

Planning

The rational process of identifying and defining the best manner with which to achieve certain goals with the available means.

Goal, Objective and Target Setting

Policy and Strategy Formulation

Program/Project Identification

Investment Programming

Plan Implementation

Monitoring and Evaluation

Situation Analysis andProblem Identification

Plan Formulation

Steps in Planning





Plan Formulation

Steps in Planning

Analysis of current situation

• Describe the overall condition• Problems• Opportunities• Constraints• Potentials• Factors influencing the above

items





Plan Formulation

Steps in PlanningProblem situations

• Unacceptable outcomes• Economic• Social• Political• Environmental• Demographic

• Identify the root cause of the problem

• Prioritize the problems - gravity, extent of negative impacts, number of people affected





Plan Formulation

Steps in PlanningGeneral goal and specific

objectives• Based on the identified

problems• Improve the situation

Targets• Quantified goals and objectives





Plan Formulation

Steps in Planning

Policies and Strategies

• Intervention points as pointed out by the factors causing the problem

• Appropriateness of policies and strategies depends on comprehensiveness of the situation analysis





Plan Formulation

Steps in PlanningPrograms and Projects

• Translation of the policies and strategies

• Scope of programs and projects depends on the same set of determinants of the problem


Plan Implementation


Steps in PlanningInvestment Programming and

Budgeting

• Resource generation and resources allocation • Where to get funds• How much is needed• Which activities to fund

• Support activities that generate maximum benefits and wide coverage of needy beneficiaries


Plan Implementation


Steps in PlanningPlan Implementation

• Implement the plan in coordination with other institutions• Government• Private organizations• Community organizations

• No overlap of activities and functions

• Minimize waste of resources


Plan Implementation


Steps in PlanningPlan Monitoring and

Evaluation

• Goals and objectives are attained as programmed

• Resources are efficiently utilized• Policies and programs are

appropriately identified• Intended direct impacts of

programs and projects are achieved

• Target beneficiaries are reached• Unintended impacts are identified





Plan Implementation



Plan Formulation

Steps in Planning“re-calibrate if an element of the plan is not met

Potential Gains from Improved Development Planning

• Greater effectiveness of development policies and programs/projects

Hmm…policies/programs/projects…Will I choose one or a combination of

two or more will do good?What will be the direct/indirect

impacts? Any unintended consequences

• Greater efficiency in resource allocation

What are the direct and indirect costs and benefits?

Who should be responsible for what?


• Greater equity

Who are the target population?How many are they?Where are they?What is the extent of their

problem?Are they reached by government

intervention?


Key Words For Integrating Statistics in Development Planning

INTENDED DIRECT IMPACT

BENEFICIARIES ARE REACHED

TARGETS ARE ATTAINED

PRUDENT FOREIGN BORROWING

PROBLEMS APPROPRIATE WIDER VIEW POTENTIAL

OPPORTUNITIES RATIONAL PROCESS COORDINATION MINIMIZE WASTE

CONSTRAINTS NEGATIVE IMPACT ROOT CAUSE RE-CALIBRATION

POTENTIALS POSSIBLE AREA MAXIMUM BENEFIT COVERAGE

UNACCEPTABLE OUTCOMES

NUMBER OF AFECTED PEOPLE

INTERVENTION POINTS

OVERLAPPING ACTIVITIES

EFFECTIVENESS EFFICIENCY EQUITY DECISION

PRIORITIZE THE PROBLEMS

QUANTIFIED TARGET

SCOPE OF PROGRAMS & PROJECTS

AVAILABLE DOMESTIC RESOURCES

GRAVITY OF THE PROBLEM

COMPREHENSIVE ANALYSIS

RESOURCE GENERATION

RESOURCE ALLOCATION

FRAMEWORK FOR DEVELOPMENT PLANNING APPROACHA General Perspective

Development Intervention

A VIEW OF HOW THE REAL WORLD

BEHAVES

Development Outcomes

Development Policy/ Strategy/Program/ Project (Y)

Population Policy Strategy/Program/Project (X)

Desired Development Outcomes

Population Outcomes

Development Processes

Population Processes

X

Y

Development Outcomes

External Factors

Social, Economic and Environmental Development Projects:

Other sources of change

Community Environment

- Agricultural & Natural resource base

- Structure of market & price of factor inputs and products

HouseholdCharacteristics

- Physical assets- Human capital- Size, age-sex

composition of

members

HOUSEHOLD DECISIONS- Savings &

consumption- Investment in

physical & human capital

- Labor utilization- Fertility- migration

- physical, social and economic infrastructure

- social structure and organization

- population size and age-sex composition

Framework for Development Planning: Analyzing Interactions at the Household Level

Source: Herrin, 1983

Integrating Statistics in Development PLANNING

18 June 2014High Level Seminar and Workshop on ACSS Strategic Plan 2016-202Hotel Salak, Bogor Indonesia

National Economic and Development AuthorityPhilippines

Documents

Integrating Statistics in Development PLANNING 18 June 2014 High Level Seminar and Workshop on ACSS Strategic Plan 2016-202 Hotel Salak, Bogor Indonesia