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1 INDONESIA’S ELECTRICITY SECTOR PROGRAM - CURRENT AND PLANNING - 2 Juli 2020

INDONESIA’S ELECTRICITY SECTOR PROGRAM ......(RUPTL PT PLN (Persero) 2019-2028) In the future, coal and oil share in energy mix of power generation will decrease, while gas and NRE

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Page 1: INDONESIA’S ELECTRICITY SECTOR PROGRAM ......(RUPTL PT PLN (Persero) 2019-2028) In the future, coal and oil share in energy mix of power generation will decrease, while gas and NRE

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INDONESIA’S ELECTRICITY SECTOR PROGRAM- CURRENT AND PLANNING -

2 Juli 2020

Page 2: INDONESIA’S ELECTRICITY SECTOR PROGRAM ......(RUPTL PT PLN (Persero) 2019-2028) In the future, coal and oil share in energy mix of power generation will decrease, while gas and NRE

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OUTLINE

OUTLOOK OF ELECTRICITY SECTOR DEVELOPMENT 73

5ELECTRICITY IN INDONESIA – CURRENT STATUS2

ELECTRICITY CONDITION DURING PANDEMIC 104

POLICY IN INDONESIA’S ELECTRICITY SECTOR 31

NUCLEAR POWER PLANT 115

CLOSING 136

Page 3: INDONESIA’S ELECTRICITY SECTOR PROGRAM ......(RUPTL PT PLN (Persero) 2019-2028) In the future, coal and oil share in energy mix of power generation will decrease, while gas and NRE

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INDONESIA’S ENERGY TRILEMMA

Increase accessibility/

Electrification ratio.

Additional Capacity.

Increase

acceptability (reliability, quality

and eco-friendly).

National

Electricity

Sustainability.

Affordable of

electricity price.

Source: World Energy Council

“ The basic philosophy of developing the electricity sector in Indonesia must be carried out in a balanced manner between Energy Security, Energy Equity, and Environmental Sustainability ”

Page 4: INDONESIA’S ELECTRICITY SECTOR PROGRAM ......(RUPTL PT PLN (Persero) 2019-2028) In the future, coal and oil share in energy mix of power generation will decrease, while gas and NRE

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POLICY DIRECTION FOR ELECTRICITY SUPPLY DEVELOPMENT

Source: National Electricity Master Plan

2019 - 2038

• Minimum share of RE 23% by 2025.

• Diesel generation is only for emergency and temporary power supplies such as crisis areas.

• GTPP/CC/GE/CCGE platform.• CFPP uses Clean Coal

Technology (CCT).• Utilization of local primary

energy sources.• The use of nuclear energy is

in line with National Energy Policy (KEN).

• Dispatching electricity to business and industrial centers (Special Economic Zones, Tourism and Industrial Zones).

• HVDC transmission for long distance power evacuation (point to point / inter-island).

• Expansion of access to electricity in remote and scattered areas.

• In 2020 smart grids is began to be implemented in Java-Bali.

GENERATION TRANSMISSION

• At least 1 substation for each district/city.

• The addition transformer of the substation if the load capacity of transformer has reached about 70%.

• Development of Gas Insulated Switchgear (GIS) for limited land.

• Reducing losses and rehabilitation of old network.

SUBSTATION RURAL ELECTRICITY AND SMART GRID

AFFORDABLE PRICEGOOD QUALITYSUFFICIENT Rp

GUARANTEE

THE AVAILABILITY

OF ELECTRICITY

Page 5: INDONESIA’S ELECTRICITY SECTOR PROGRAM ......(RUPTL PT PLN (Persero) 2019-2028) In the future, coal and oil share in energy mix of power generation will decrease, while gas and NRE

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INSTALLED CAPACITY OF NATIONAL POWER GEN.

69,6GW

PLTG/GU/MG

19.860

PLTU

34.737

PLTD

4.674

PLTA/M/MH

5.975

PLTP

2.131

PLT EBT

Lainnya2.194

1,4GW

14,3GW

PLTG/GU/MG

4.166

PLTU

4.584

PLTD

1.230

PLTA/M/MH

1.950

PLTP

744

PLT EBT

Lainnya1.629

PLTG/GU/MG

476

PLTU

243

PLTD

637

PLTA/M/MH

33

PLT EBT

Lainnya20

INDONESIA

MALUKU PAPUA

JAWA-BALI-NUSRA

SUMATERA KALIMANTAN

SULAWESI

Geothermal. PP

Other NRE PP

Hydro/Micro PP

Diesel PP

Gas PP/CC/Gas Engine

CFPP

5,6GW

4,0GW

44,3GW

PLTG/GU/MG

828

PLTU

2.571

PLTD

911

PLTA/M/MH

919

PLTP

120

PLT

EBT Lainnya

212

PLTG/GU/MG

833

PLTU

1.651

PLTD

1.183

PLTA/M/MH

265

PLT EBT

Lainnya81

PLTG/GU/MG

13.558

PLTU

25.689

PLTD

713

PLTA/M/MH

2.808PLTP

1.266

PLT

EBT Lainnya

251

The total capacity of NRE power generation reaches 10,301 MW or 14.81% of the total installed capacity of national power gen.

48.353 50.41854.658

58.38662.203 64.925

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

PLN Non PLN

INSTALLED CAP. OF NRE POWER GEN.

JENIS PEMBANGKIT ONGRID OFFGRIDPLTP 2.131 -PLTA 4.621 938 PLTB 154 0,5 PLTBg 42 68

PLTBm 142 1.617 PLTBn 5 PLTM 311 -PLTMH 99 7 PLTS 77 49 PLTS Atap 5 15 PLTS Hybrid - 4 PLTSa 16 -

TOTAL 7.603 2.698

ACHIEVEMENT

PLN42,35

60,9%

IPP18,12

26,0%

PPU3,58 5,1%

Pemerintah0,05

0,1%

IO5,46 7,8%

IPP : Independent Power ProducerPPU : Private Power UtilityIO : Izin Operasi

BASED ON OWNERSHIP

69,6GW

*) Berdasarkan Data Hasil Verifikasi koordinasi dengan Ditjen EBTKE, PUDATIN KESDM dan PT PLN (Persero) tanggal 20 Januari 2020.

Sumber: Ditjen Ketenagalistrikan 2020

2019

Page 6: INDONESIA’S ELECTRICITY SECTOR PROGRAM ......(RUPTL PT PLN (Persero) 2019-2028) In the future, coal and oil share in energy mix of power generation will decrease, while gas and NRE

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TREND OF NATIONAL POWER GENERATION CAPACITY (MW)

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

PLT EBT Lainnya 29 29 46 69 768 1.385 1.427 1.780 1.831 1.913 2.090 2.194

PLTP 1.069 1.206 1.206 1.226 1.336 1.398 1.403 1.438 1.533 1.808 1.948 2.131

PLTA/M/MH 4.785 4.802 4.822 4.925 5.128 5.181 5.207 5.277 5.621 5.658 5.742 5.976

PLTD 2.509 2.597 3.074 3.250 3.362 3.562 3.637 3.824 3.979 4.396 4.631 4.674

PLTG/GU/MG 10.137 10.747 11.019 12.459 14.117 14.552 14.885 15.890 17.070 17.660 18.926 19.860

PLTU 12.634 13.071 13.371 16.751 20.741 22.275 23.858 26.448 28.352 30.768 31.587 34.737

Total 31.162 32.451 33.537 38.680 45.452 48.353 50.418 54.658 58.386 62.203 64.925 69.572

31.162 32.451 33.537 38.680

45.452 48.353 50.418

54.658 58.386

62.203 64.925

69.572

0

10.000

20.000

30.000

40.000

50.000

60.000

70.000

80.000

KA

PA

SIT

AS

PE

MB

AG

KIT

(M

W)

• Conventional of CFPP• Type of NRE power plant (Hydro, Geothermal, & Biomass)

• Utilization of CCT (SC & USC) in Java Bali system (June & Oct 2012: CFPP Paiton III (815 MW) & CFPP Cirebon (660 MW); Year 2019 (CFPP Jawa 7 (1000 MW) & CFPP Jawa 8 (1000 MW)

• Conventioanl of CFPP in outside Java Bali system

• VRE development (Wind & Solar PP) (Wind PP Sidrap (75 MW) , Wind PP Tolo (7,2 MW) & Rooftop Solar PV (20 MW)

6

Source : Ditjen Ketenagalistrikan 2020

Page 7: INDONESIA’S ELECTRICITY SECTOR PROGRAM ......(RUPTL PT PLN (Persero) 2019-2028) In the future, coal and oil share in energy mix of power generation will decrease, while gas and NRE

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POWER GENERATION DEVELOPMENT PLAN • The total additional capacity of power generation to be built up to 2028 is about of 56.39 GW.

• Coal fired power generation will be still developed in the next 5 years from 2019 and then it will be

gradually reduced.

• Gas fired power generation will be developed relatively constant after 2019.

• Renewable Energy (RE) power generation will be developed relatively constant up to 2024 and then it will

be increased significantly by 2025.

Source: PLN’s RUPTL 2019-2028

Page 8: INDONESIA’S ELECTRICITY SECTOR PROGRAM ......(RUPTL PT PLN (Persero) 2019-2028) In the future, coal and oil share in energy mix of power generation will decrease, while gas and NRE

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NRE POWER GENERATION DEVELOPMENT PLAN

Source: PLN’s RUPTL 2019-2028

56,39GW

56,39GW

56,39

GW

16,72GW

Page 9: INDONESIA’S ELECTRICITY SECTOR PROGRAM ......(RUPTL PT PLN (Persero) 2019-2028) In the future, coal and oil share in energy mix of power generation will decrease, while gas and NRE

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ENERGY MIX OF PLN’s POWER GENERATION

Source: Ditjen Ketenagalistrikan dan PLN’s RUPTL 2019-2028

Oil (include Biofuel)4,18%

Gas21,40%

Coal62,98%

Others NRE

11,44%

Realization Target 2025

(RUPTL PT PLN (Persero) 2019-2028)

In the future, coal and oil share in energy mix of power generation will decrease, while gas and NRE will increase.

Oil (include Biofuel)0,40%

Gas22,00%

Coal54,60%

Others NRE23,00%

Energy Mix (%) 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Oil 4,0 2,9 1,5 0,5 0,5 0,4 0,4 0,4 0,4 0,4

Gas 21,2 19,3 18,0 18,4 19,6 19,8 22,0 22,0 22,0 22,0

Coal 62,7 65,5 68,2 67,8 66,6 63,7 54,6 54,4 54,4 54,4

New and Renewable Energy 11,4 11,7 12,2 13,1 13,2 16,0 23,0 23,2 23,2 23,2

IMPORT 0,6 0,6 0,1 0,1 0,1 - - - - -

Oil (include Biofuel)6,04%

Gas21,70%

Coal60,28%

Others NRE

11,98%

Year 2019Year 2018

Page 10: INDONESIA’S ELECTRICITY SECTOR PROGRAM ......(RUPTL PT PLN (Persero) 2019-2028) In the future, coal and oil share in energy mix of power generation will decrease, while gas and NRE

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ELECTRICITY CONDITION DURING PANDEMIC

IMPACT:

• Peak Load System declines between 10-15% due to consumers cut their business activities

• Electricity supply is overload, more than 3.000 MW power plant cannot operate.

• Some projects are having difficulties in material supply distribution and labour dispatched (expert).

• Financial difficulties in PLN’s cash flow.

THE GOVERNMENT ACTION:

• For Costumer: Provide tariff discount for households, business, and industry costumer (over THREE

MONTHS, that are in April, May, and June 2020 for electricity consumer 450 VA (households, business,

and industry) shall be free of charge, and for households consumer 900 VA subsidized shall receive a

discount at 50%).

• For Developer: Allowing the overseas labor (expert) to enter Indonesia by following the health protocols

of Covid-19 to complete the project work; Issuing the government letter of statement of Health

Emergency Response due to Covid-19 including Force Majeure; and Renegotiate IPP/EPC Contractor

contract for extension of COD.

• For PLN: Increasing the State’s Capital Participation (PMN) for PLN; and Accelerating the compensation

payment to PLN (in year 2018 is about Rp. 23.17 T).

Page 11: INDONESIA’S ELECTRICITY SECTOR PROGRAM ......(RUPTL PT PLN (Persero) 2019-2028) In the future, coal and oil share in energy mix of power generation will decrease, while gas and NRE

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NUCLEAR POWER PLANT – IN ELECTRICITY SECTOR

National Energy Policy (NEP)Nuclear energy is utilized by considering the security of national energy supply on a large scale, reducing carbon

emissions and still prioritizing the potential of new and renewable energy according to its economic value, and

considering it as a last option by paying attention to high safety factors.

National Electricity Master Plan 2019 – 2038

• In line with NEP, the utilization of nuclear energy is carried out by considering the security of national

energy supply on a large scale, reducing carbon emissions and still prioritizing the potential of new and

renewable energy according to its economic value, and considering it as a last option by paying attention to

high safety factors.

• Every nuclear enterprise must pay attention to the safety and risk of accidents and bear all compensation to

third parties who have suffered losses due to nuclear accidents. Another factor to consider is the

independence of supporting industries and national support services in the use of nuclear energy.

• In an effort to encourage greater use of new and renewable energy sources for electricity supply, research

and feasibility studies are one of the important factors that must be considered to be carried out so that

development can be carried out to the fullest. Thus, it is possible to study the use of nuclear energy in the

supply of electricity.

Page 12: INDONESIA’S ELECTRICITY SECTOR PROGRAM ......(RUPTL PT PLN (Persero) 2019-2028) In the future, coal and oil share in energy mix of power generation will decrease, while gas and NRE

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NUCLEAR POWER PLANT – INDICATION TARGET

Mid-term National Development Plan 2020 – 2024 (RPJMN)

Priority Program Indicator Indication of Target

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

Construction of

commercial NPP

Commerci

al NPP to

be built

Researching

the

development

of NPP

technology

with

economic

and safety

aspects

Encouraging

the mastery

of NPP

technology in

line with the

latest

development

s in NPP

technology

advances in

the World

Building

international

cooperation

related to the

study of the

development

of NPP

Conducting multi-

criteria analysis of

the implementation

of NPP including

urgent interests,

large scale,

guarantee of supply,

balance of energy

supply, reduction of

carbon emissions,

safety factors and

economies of scale

by involving various

views from

stakeholders

Preparing a

roadmap for

the

implemen-

tation of

NPP as a last

option in the

priority of

national

energy

development

Page 13: INDONESIA’S ELECTRICITY SECTOR PROGRAM ......(RUPTL PT PLN (Persero) 2019-2028) In the future, coal and oil share in energy mix of power generation will decrease, while gas and NRE

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CLOSING

• Electricity sector development in Indonesia must be carried out in a balanced

manner between Energy Security, Energy Equity, and Environmental

Sustainability.

• Renewable energy will gradually to be boosted by considering the readiness

of electricity system, particularly intermittent power generation in order to

achieve 23% of share of renewable energy by 2025.

• As an effort to master energy technology, including nuclear energy, R&D

Agency of Ministry of EMR continues to encourage research activities in

collaboration with other parties and countries.

Page 14: INDONESIA’S ELECTRICITY SECTOR PROGRAM ......(RUPTL PT PLN (Persero) 2019-2028) In the future, coal and oil share in energy mix of power generation will decrease, while gas and NRE

Jl. Ciledug Raya Kav. 109 Cipulir

Kebayoran Lama – Jakarta

Selatan 12230

Address

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THANK

YOU