India Power Market Forecast Sample

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    INDIA POWER MARKETOUTLOOK &

    FORECAST 2014By

    TechSci Research

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    India Power Market Forecast 2014(TechSci)

    Report Overview

    Power sector is one of the crucial inputs to the growth of other industrial sectors and

    overall economic growth of India. It has been rightly awarded the status of infrastructuresector which enables tax holiday and priority status in bank lending.

    India has fourth largest installed generating capacity in world but the per capita

    consumption of electricity is very low owing to a huge gap between demand and supply of

    power. Traditionally the power sector was dominated by public sector but has been

    opened for competition from private and foreign players by government sector.

    The power sector is highly regulated by the government and is dependent on the policies

    framed regarding bidding for power projects, regulations regarding transmission of the

    power between states and pricing for power supply to consumers is also decided by the

    government.

    While other infrastructure sectors such as telecom, roads, and airports have seen much

    progress in last few years as India embarked on a fast growth track, power sector has

    lagged behind with not much progress.

    India Power Market Forecast 2014 reportdiscusses around the following areas-

    Present Installed capacity and plans for future

    Demand and supply scenario

    Rural electrification market

    Ultra Mega Power Projects in India

    Power equipment market

    Sector Trends Smart Grid Infrastructure

    Government, Policy and Regulations in power industry

    Competitive landscape

    India Power Market Forecast 2014 has covered all the aspects of power market such as

    generation, transmission and distribution. This study gives unprejudiced view on various

    aspects of power market and helps reader to get complete overview on latest trends,

    market potential, infrastructure and investments related to the industry. This study will

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    India Power Market Forecast 2014(TechSci)

    help investors, infrastructure developers, business professionals to identify the market

    opportunities in the kingdom and will help them in market centric decision making

    process.

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    India Power Market Forecast 2014(TechSci)

    Table of Contents

    1. Executive Summary2. Indian Power Sector Overview3. Indian Power Sector Performance: Current & Future Scenario

    3.1 Installation Capacity by Fuel3.1.1 Thermal3.1.2 Hydro Power3.1.3 Nuclear3.1.4 Wind3.1.5 Solar3.1.6 Biomass3.2 Installation Capacity by Sector3.2.1 Central Government

    3.2.2 State Government3.2.3 Private Sector3.2.4 Power Capacity Forecast3.3 Power Generation3.4 Demand-Supply Scenario3.4.1 Power Demand Forecast 20143.5 Distribution3.6 Transmission

    4. Rural Electrification5. Ultra Mega Power Projects

    5.1 Regulation of UMPP5.2 The Bidding Process

    6. Power Equipment Market6.1 Transmission Lines6.2 Transformers6.3 Switchgears6.4 Energy Meters

    7. Sector Trends7.1 Rising Investment7.2 Power Sector Reform7.3 Focus on Renewable Energy

    8. Opportunity for Smart Grid Infrastructure9. Policy & Regulatory Framework

    9.1 Electricity Act, 2003

    9.2 Central Electricity Authority9.3 Central Electricity Regulatory Commission9.4 FDI Policy9.5 Incentives/ Benefits

    10. Competitive Landscape10.1 NTPC10.2 NHPC10.3 Power Grid Corporation of India Ltd10.4 Rural Electrification Corporation Ltd10.5 Reliance Power10.6 Adani Power Limited10.7 Tata Power10.8 Suzlon Energy10.9 GVK Power & Infrastructure

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    List of Figures

    Figure 2 1: India Installed Power Capacity (MW), FY07-FY10Figure 2 2: Power Demand (Million Units), FY07-FY10

    Figure 2 3: Per Capita Power Consumption (kWh), FY03-FY08Figure 3 1: Installed Capacity by Fuel (%), 2009 & 2010Figure 3 2: Installed Thermal Capacity (MW), FY07-FY11*Figure 3 3: Thermal Power Installed Capacity by Fuel (%), FY11*Figure 3 4: Thermal Power Installed Capacity by Region (%), FY11*Figure 3 5: Thermal Power Generation Plant Load Factor by Fuel (%),2008 and 2009Figure 3 6: Plant Load Factor of Thermal Power Stations (%), FY05 to FY10Figure 3 7: Hydro Power Installed Capacity (MW), FY07- FY11*Figure 3 8: Hydro Power Installed capacity by Region (%), FY11Figure 3 9: Hydro Power Plants Plant Load Factor (%), FY05-FY08Figure 3 10: Nuclear Power Generation (Million Units), FY07-FY11Figure 3 11: Nuclear Power Installed Capacity by Region (%), FY11Figure 3 12: Map of Atomic Energy Establishments in IndiaFigure 3 13: Installed Wind Power Capacity (MW), FY07-FY10Figure 3 14: India Solar Radiation MapFigure 3 15: Installed Power Capacity by Central, State & Private Sector (MW), January2010Figure 3 16: Power Plant Operating Availability by Sector (%), FY08Figure 3 17: Central Government Power Capacity Addition (MW), FY05-FY10Figure 3 18: Central Government Power Capacity Addition by fuel (MW), FY10 Figure 3 19: State Government Power Capacity (MW), FY05-FY10Figure 3 20: State Government Power Capacity Addition by Fuel (MW), FY10 Figure 3 21: Private Sector Power Capacity (MW), FY05-FY10

    Figure 3 22: Private Sector Power Capacity by Fuel (MW), FY10Figure 3 23: Forecast of power installed capacity (in MW) from FY11 to FY14Figure 3 24: Power Generation (Billion Units), FY04-FY10Figure 3 25: Hydro power Generation (MW) FY01 to FY08 (MW)Figure 3 26: Power Demand, Supply and Shortage Scenario (Million Unit), FY05-FY10Figure 3 28: Forecast of power demand (in MU) from FY11 to FY14Figure 3 29: All India Transformation, T&D and AT&C losses (%), FY05-FY08Figure 6 1: Composition of Electric Power Equipment Market (%), FY10Figure 6 2: Size of Indian Transmission Llines Market (Rs. Crore), FY05-FY10Figure 6 3: Size of Indian Transformer Market from FY05-FY10 ( Rs. Crore)Figure 6 4: Switchgear Market (Rs. Crore), FY05-FY10Figure 6 5: Energy Meters Market (Rs. Crore), FY05-FY10

    Figure 7 1: FDI in Power Sector (US$ Million), FY09-FY11Figure 7 2: Funds release and utilized under APDP from FY03 to FY08 (in Rs. Crore) Figure 7 3: Funds released under incentive component of APDP (Rs. Crore)Figure 7 4: Sources / Systems Estimated Mid-Term (2032) Potential (in MW)Figure 9 1: Structure of Power regulation in India

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    List of Tables

    Table 3 1: Installed capacity by Fuel (MW), 2009 & 2010Table 3 2: Hydro-electric stations by Region, FY07 & FY08Table 3 3: Nuclear Power Plants Capacity (MW) and Power Generation (MU), FY10 Table 3 4: Nuclear Projects under ConstructionTable 5: World Wind Power CapacityTable 3 6: State wise installed wind generating capacity (MW), FY07-FY10Table 3 7: Tariffs Charges for wind Energy in Different States (Rs./kWh)Table 3 8: India PV Module and Cell Production (Figures in MWp)Table 3 9: Potential for Bagasse Based Cogeneration In Major Sugar Producing StatesTable 3 10: Additional statistics of Biomass energyTable 3 11: Region wise Power shortage of electricity (July, 2010)Table 3 12: Anticipated power supply position by State(Mu), FY11Table 3 13: Average Power Supply Cost & Realization ( paisa/kWh), FY02 -FY07Table 3 14: All India Length of Transmission and Distribution Lines (Power) in India (As on31.03.2008)

    Table 4 1: Status of Rural Electrification by End of FY10Table 4 2: Status of RGGVYTable 5 1: Status of UMPPTable 7 1: Estimated renewable energy potential in India and achievements in the sectorTable 7 2: Government Five Year Plan for Renewable EnergyTable 10 1: NTPC Insalled Capacity & Power Plants, FY10Table 10 2: NTPC Future CapacityTable 10 3: NTPC SWOT AnalysisTable 10 4: NHPC Projects UndertakenTable 10 5: NHPC SWOT AnalysisTable 10 6: Power Grid Corporation Installed Capacity,FY09Table 10 7: Power Grid Corporation SWOT Analysis

    Table 10 8: REC Sanction of loans (cumulative since FY03 to FY09)Table 10 9: REC Status of Sanction and Disbursement of T&D Division (Rs. Crore), Fy04 -FY09Table 10 10: Rural Electrification Corporation Limited SWOT AnalysisTable 10 11: Reliance Power SWOT AnalysisTable 10 12: Adani Power SWOT AnalysisTable 10 13: Tata Power SWOT AnalysisTable 10 14: Suzlon Energy SWOT AnalysisTable 10 15: GVK Power & Infrastructure SWOT Analysis

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    1. Executive Summary

    India is the world's fifth largest energy consumer accounting for about 4.1% of the world'stotal annual energy consumption. But the average per capita consumption of energy in

    India is very low at 631 kWh as compared to world consumption of 2873 kWh which needs

    to be increased to bring economic and social development in India. This is possible only

    when the installed capacity base of the power sector is substantially increased as there is

    a huge demand supply gap prevalent in the power sector.

    The installed power generation capacity has grown 94 times since independence and the

    total installed capacity of power generation in India has reached 1,63,669.8 megawatts (ason 31.07.2010). However, there is still a peak demand shortage of around 14.8% and an

    energy deficit of 8.4% in the country. This demand shortage has the potential to turn into

    big time business opportunities for the players in power sector as the government has

    opened the power generation and distribution sector for competition.

    The Eleventh Five Year Plan estimates the energy requirement to go up to the level of

    1140 billion units by the year 2012. Its necessary to meet this energy requirement to

    continue the growth of GDP at 8-9 %.

    The Indian government plans to raise the generating capacity through various means.

    While the regulations regarding electricity generation have been relaxed through

    amendment in Electricity Act to attract higher private investment, effort has also been

    directed towards improving the inefficiencies in transmission and distribution of power.

    It has undertaken the set up nine Ultra Mega Power Plants (UMPPs) in order to create

    additional capacity of 100,000 megawatts by fast tracking the land, fuel, water and other

    statutory clearances. The successful completion of these projects holds a huge potential

    for the power sector players.

    Lastly, Renewable energy is being seen as another big potential source of generating

    power as India owing to its geographic advantages has access to critical natural resources

    such as water, wind and sun. The country is gearing up to meet the challenge of

    mobilizing huge investments required to tap the renewable energy sources.

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    About Us

    TechSci Research is a global market research and consulting company with offices in

    Canada and India. TechSci Research provides market research reports in a number of areas

    to organizations. We use innovative business models that focus on improved productivity,

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    respondents observations, expectations, satisfaction, confidence, and attitudes pertaining to

    different aspects of a specific sector.

    TechSci Researchs expertise lies in the dynamic combination of industry and country risk.

    Our proprietary forecasting models use various analyses of both industry-specific and

    macroeconomic variables on a state-by-state basis to produce a unique bottom-up model of

    country, regional and global industry prospects. Combined with our detailed analysis of

    company activity and industry trends, the result is a uniquely rich evaluation of the

    opportunities available and the risks facing companies.

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