Hypothesis N Testing.ppt (1)

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    Specialization Project

    MMS Semester-IV

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    Topics

    How to Select the Test

    Steps for Hypothesis Testing

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    Hypothesis

    A hypothesis is a proposition that is empiricallytestable.

    Its an empirical statement concerned with avariables.

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    How To Select Test

    Step 1: Which type of data do you have?

    When you are determining which type of data you have, remember that

    you are looking at the Dependent Variable, or in other words, the

    variable that measures the difference (or the relationship for

    correlations).

    For example, if you are

    looking at the difference between men and women in how well they

    scored on the SATs, their score on the SAT is the dependent variablebecause it is the one that you are measuring in order to determine if

    there is a difference.

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    How To Select Test

    Step 1: Which type of data do you have?

    Nominal Data: Numbers or words that are used merely as labels.

    Some examples of nominal data are types of religion (Christian,

    Catholic, Jewish, etc.). Note that these cannot be ranked in any logical

    order.

    Ordinal Data: Numbers (or words, but usually numbers) that can be

    rank ordered or scaled. Some examples of ordinal data are the placefinished in a race (1st, 2nd, 3rd, etc.), degrees of happiness (sad, neutral,

    happy).

    .

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    How To Select Test

    Step 1: Which type of data do you have?

    Numeric Data: Numbers that can be rank ordered or scaled, that do

    express a degree of magnitude, that have consistent intervals. Some

    examples of numeric data are test scores, time, and height. Note that

    with the numeric data of time, 40 minutes is twice as much as 20

    minutes, and that the amount of time between 20 to 40 minutes is the

    same amount of time as the amount of time between 40 and 60 minutes.

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    How To Select Test

    Step 2: What are you looking for?

    Differences: If you are trying to determine if one group is different, greaterthan, or less than another group. For example, are men taller than women?

    Correlations : If you are trying to determine if there is a relationshipbetween one variable and another. For example, does alcohol consumption

    increase as unemployment rates increase?

    Regressions : If you are trying to determine if one variable can accurately

    predict another variable. For example, can the amount of rainfall predict theamount of mud slides?

    Note : for Correlation and Regression one need not to take step 3 and 4.

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    How To Select Test

    Step 3: Between Groups or Within Groups? (aka IndependentGroups or Correlated Groups)

    Between (aka Independent) Groups: When each participant is in only one of

    the groups. For example, when comparing men and women, a man would not bein both groups. Thus, you are testing two (or more) different groups of people.

    Within (aka Correlated) Groups: When each participant is in all of the groups.

    For example, giving exams to a group of people on three separate occasions and

    comparing their scores on the three different exams (here the three groupswould be the three test scores). Thus, you are comparing the same group of

    people at three different times.

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    How To Select Test

    Step 4: One Group, Two Groups, or More than Two Groups?

    Remember that you are looking at the Independent Variable when you are

    determining how many groups your variable has.

    One Group: If you are comparing the distribution of one group of people to

    a hypothetical or actual population distribution. For example, comparing the

    ethnic distribution of the Claremont Colleges with the ethnic distribution of

    the USA.

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    How To Select Test

    Step 4: One Group, Two Groups, or More than Two Groups?

    Two Groups:

    For between (aka independent) groups: If you are comparing one group of

    people to another. For example, comparing men and women.

    For within (aka correlated) groups: If you are comparing the same group of

    peoples test scores on two separate occasions.

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    How To Select Test

    Step 4: One Group, Two Groups, or More than Two Groups?

    More than Two Groups:

    For between (aka independent) groups: If you are comparingmore than two groups. For example, comparing students from

    Delhi, Bangalore, Chennai and Punjab University .

    For within (aka correlated) groups: If you are comparing thesame group ofpeoples test scores on more than two occasions.

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    How To Select Test

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    Step 1: Set null and alternative hypothesis

    Step 2: Determine the appropriate statistical test

    Step 3: Set the level of significance

    Step 4: Set the decision rule

    Step 5: Collect the sample data

    Step 6: Analyse the data

    Step 7: Arrive at a statistical conclusion and

    business implication

    Seven Steps of Hypothesis Testing

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    Hypothesis Testing

    Null Hypothesis: The null hypothesis, denoted by H0, is

    usually the hypothesis that sample observations result purely

    from chance.

    Alternative Hypothesis: The alternative hypothesis, denoted

    by H1 or Ha, is the hypothesis that sample observations are

    influenced by some non-random cause.

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    Measurement Scale One Sample Case

    Nominal Binomial

    Chi square one-sample test

    Ordinal Kolmogrov-Smirnov one sample test

    Runs test

    Interval and Ratio t-test

    z- test

    One Sample Case

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    Measurement

    Scale

    Related

    Samples

    Independent Samples Related

    Samples

    Nominal Mc Nemar Fisher exact test

    Chi square two-sample test

    Cochran Q

    Ordinal Sign Test

    Wilcoxon

    matched pairs

    test

    Median test

    Mann- Whitney U

    Kolmogrov-Smirnov

    Wald- Wolfowitz

    Friedman

    Two-way

    ANOVA

    Interval and

    Ratio

    t-test for paired

    samples

    t-test

    z- test

    Repeated-

    measuresANOVA

    Two Sample Tests

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    Measurement Scale One Sample Case

    Nominal Chi square for k samples

    Ordinal Median Extension

    Kruskal-Wallis one-way ANOVA

    Interval and Ratio One-way ANOVA

    n-way ANOVA

    k-Sample Tests

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    Set the Level of Significance

    Level of Significance is denoted by .

    It is also known as size of rejection area or the size of the

    critical region.

    The levels of significance which are generally applied by the

    researchers are 0.01,0.05,0.10.

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    Set the Decision Rule

    Critical region, is the area under the normal curve, divided

    into two mutually exclusive regions.

    These regions are termed as acceptance region when the nullhypothesis is accepted, and the rejection region when the null

    hypothesis is rejected.

    If the computed value of the test statistics falls in the

    acceptance region, the null hypothesis is accepted or otherwise

    it is rejected.

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    Acceptance and Rejection Regions for Null

    Hypothesis

    Rejection region, /2 (H0 is rejected)

    Acceptance region (1-)

    (H0 is accepted)

    Critical values

    -z +z/2 /2

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    Collect the Sample Data

    In this stage sampling, data are collected and appropriate

    sample statistics are computed.

    It is advisable to decide on the stages of hypothesis testing and

    then collect the data.

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    Analyse the Data

    In this stage the researcher compute the test statistic.

    This involves the selection of an appropriate probability

    distribution for a particular test.

    The most commonly used test are t test, z test, F test and chi

    square test.

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    Statistical Conclusion and Business Implication

    In this stage the researcher draw a statistical conclusion. It is a

    decision to accept or reject the hypothesis.

    This depends on whether the computed test statistics falls in the

    acceptance region or the rejection region.

    If we test a hypothesis at 5% level of significance and the observed

    set of the results have a probability of less than 5% it means that the

    difference between sample statistical and hypothesized population

    parameter as significant . In this situation researcher rejects null

    hypothesis and accepts the alternate hypothesis.