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From Research to Deployment: California’s Solar Energy Progress Chair Robert B. Weisenmiller California Energy Commission [email protected] (916) 6545036 University of California Solar Research Symposium Davis, CA May 2 nd , 2013

From Research to Deployment: California’s Solar Energy Progressucsolar.ucmerced.edu/files/public/documents/Robert Weisenmiller CEC.pdf · Fresno) – Creating Accurate Solar Forecasting

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Page 1: From Research to Deployment: California’s Solar Energy Progressucsolar.ucmerced.edu/files/public/documents/Robert Weisenmiller CEC.pdf · Fresno) – Creating Accurate Solar Forecasting

From Research to Deployment: California’s Solar Energy Progress 

Chair Robert B. WeisenmillerCalifornia Energy Commission

[email protected](916) 654‐5036

University of California Solar Research Symposium Davis, CA

May 2nd, 2013

Page 2: From Research to Deployment: California’s Solar Energy Progressucsolar.ucmerced.edu/files/public/documents/Robert Weisenmiller CEC.pdf · Fresno) – Creating Accurate Solar Forecasting

California’s Solar Energy Policies & Goals

• Assembly Bill 32: The California Global Warming Solutions Act of 2006– Requires California to reduce its greenhouse gas emissions to or below 1990 

levels by 2020

• 33% Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS)– Requires all California electricity retailers to meet 33% of their retail sales with 

renewable energy resources by 2020

• Senate Bill 1: California Solar Initiative – Encourage Californians to install 3,000 megawatts of solar energy systems on 

homes and businesses by the end of 2016

– The program also has a goal to install 585 million therms of gas‐displacing solar hot water systems by the end of 2017 

• Governor Browns Clean Energy Jobs Plan 12,000 MW DG Goal– California should produce 20,000 new megawatts (MW) of renewable

electricity by 2020 12,000 MW of distributed generation energy

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Page 3: From Research to Deployment: California’s Solar Energy Progressucsolar.ucmerced.edu/files/public/documents/Robert Weisenmiller CEC.pdf · Fresno) – Creating Accurate Solar Forecasting

California Energy Commission Public Interest Energy Research (PIER) Program: Solar

• Research, Development & Demonstration Focus Areas:– Utility Scale

– Community Scale

– Building Scale

– Technologies 

• Examples of Solar Research Funded Includes:– Developing a Framework for Analyzing Cumulative 

Biological Impacts for Solar Energy Projects in the California Desert (UC Santa Barbara)

– Developing a Decision Support System to Improve Mitigation and Facilitate Siting Renewable Energy (CSU Fresno)

– Creating Accurate Solar Forecasting Tools and Models (UC San Diego)

– Demonstrating  Solar Thermal Technologies in Combined Heat and Power Applications (CIEE)

– Developing Highly Efficiency Thin‐Fill Solar PV (nLiten Energy Corporation)

– Demonstrating Solar PV in Microgrid Operations (UC San Diego)

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Page 4: From Research to Deployment: California’s Solar Energy Progressucsolar.ucmerced.edu/files/public/documents/Robert Weisenmiller CEC.pdf · Fresno) – Creating Accurate Solar Forecasting

2010‐2013 California Energy Commission Solar Thermal Power Plant Activity

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Page 5: From Research to Deployment: California’s Solar Energy Progressucsolar.ucmerced.edu/files/public/documents/Robert Weisenmiller CEC.pdf · Fresno) – Creating Accurate Solar Forecasting

California Energy Commission Solar Thermal Power Plant Projects Permitted in 2010 & Currently Under Review 

Project  Capacity (MW) Location Site Acreage & OwnershipEst. Jobs  

Constr. Peak/Perm.Est. Capital Cost

Ivanpah # 370 San Bernardino Co. 3200 ac –admin. by BLM 2,000/100 $1.1 billion

Genesis # 250 Riverside Co.  1800 ac –admin. by BLM 900/50 $1 billion

Abengoa  Moj.Sol. One 250 San Bernardino Co. 1765 ac – priv. owned 1,200/70 $1.2 billion

Blythe* 500 Riverside Co.  9400 ac–admin. by  BLM 1,000/300 $4 billion

Calico* 663 San Bernardino Co.  4613 ac –admin by BLM 700/140 Not available

Palen** 500 Riverside Co.  4366 ac –admin by BLM 2,000/100 $2 billion

Rice 150 Riverside Co.  1387 ac – priv. owned 438/37 $850 million

Beacon 250 Kern Co.  2012 ac‐ priv. owned 836/70 $1 billion

Totals 3,433 N/A 9,074/867 ~$11.15 Billion

Projects  Suspended in  Energy Commission  Review 

Rio Mesa  500  Riverside Co.3805 ac – Metropolitan Water District owned 

2188/100$ 2.0 billion

Hidden Hills 500 Inyo  Co. 3277 ac –priv. owned  2000/100 $ 2.7 billion

Imperial Valley* 709 Imperial Co.  6140 ac – admin by BLM 700/164 Not available

# Project has begun construction*Converting to PV or has announced an intention to convert. Blythe and Calico projects have filed amendments re conversion to PV. Project  approved in September 2010, but withdrawn from Energy Commission jurisdiction in June 2011.   ** Palen project approved for solar parabolic trough; current owner filed an amendment for conversion to solar tower/heliostats. 5

Page 6: From Research to Deployment: California’s Solar Energy Progressucsolar.ucmerced.edu/files/public/documents/Robert Weisenmiller CEC.pdf · Fresno) – Creating Accurate Solar Forecasting

California's Renewable Generation 33% Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS)

Source: California Energy Commission Total System Power (accessed January 24, 2013) and estimate of forecasted RPS procurement using Energy Commission POU contract database (updated November 2011), CPUC RPS Project 

Status (January, 24, 2013), and CPUC RPS Compliance Filings March 1, 2012 (accessed March 1, 2013).

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

Estimated Generation

RPS Target Estimated Generation

RPS Target Estimated Generation

RPS Target

Cumulative annual GWh by compliance period

Compliance Period

Contracts Online After 2011: POUs

Contracts Online After 2011: CPUC‐Regulated Retail Sellers 

RPS Compliance Period Targets: POUs

RPS Compliance Period Targets: CPUC‐Regulated Retail Sellers

Existing Generation

2011‐2013 2017‐20202014‐2016

Page 7: From Research to Deployment: California’s Solar Energy Progressucsolar.ucmerced.edu/files/public/documents/Robert Weisenmiller CEC.pdf · Fresno) – Creating Accurate Solar Forecasting

California's Renewable Generation Solar Thermal & PV

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Renewable Resources

Peak Production Time

Peak Production (MW)

Daily Production (MWh)

Solar Thermal 3:33 pm 303 2,703

Solar PV 12:31 pm 1,346 11,617

Sunday, April 28th 2013 Solar Production* 

*Only Includes Solar Interconnected to California Independent Systems Operator (CAISO)

Page 8: From Research to Deployment: California’s Solar Energy Progressucsolar.ucmerced.edu/files/public/documents/Robert Weisenmiller CEC.pdf · Fresno) – Creating Accurate Solar Forecasting

Progress Towards the 12,000 MW Distributed Generation Goal

8Sources: California Energy Commission based on sources [D1] through [D11]

Page 9: From Research to Deployment: California’s Solar Energy Progressucsolar.ucmerced.edu/files/public/documents/Robert Weisenmiller CEC.pdf · Fresno) – Creating Accurate Solar Forecasting

• Memorandum of Understanding among 8 state agencies

• Goal of 2,500 MW by 2020– Help State achieve 33% RPS (if wholesale) by 2020

– Help achieve Governor’s goal of 20,000 MW of renewables by 2020

• 60 to 70 MW self‐generation projects already underway at CA Dept. of Corrections and Rehab., CA Dept. or Trans., CA State Universities and Universities of CA

9Dept. of Motor Vehicles HQ - 428 kW Solar PV System UC Davis West Village – 4,000 kW Solar PV System

Progress Towards the 12,000 MWState Buildings

Page 10: From Research to Deployment: California’s Solar Energy Progressucsolar.ucmerced.edu/files/public/documents/Robert Weisenmiller CEC.pdf · Fresno) – Creating Accurate Solar Forecasting

California Energy Commission Electric Program Investment Charge (EPIC): Opportunities for Solar RD&D 

• Proposed EPIC  2012‐2014 Investment Plan– Applied Research & Development

• Clean Generation ($44 Million – S3, S4 & S5) – S3 Strategic Objective: Develop Innovative Technologies, Tools, and Strategies to Improve the Affordability of Distributed Generation

– S4 Strategic Objective: Develop Emerging Utility‐Scale Renewable Generation Technologies and Strategies to Increase Power Plant Performance, Reduce Costs, and Expand the Resource Base

– S5 Strategic Objective: Reduce the Environmental and Public Health Impacts of Electricity Generation and Make the Electricity System Less Vulnerable to Climate Impacts

– Technology Demonstration & Deployment• Clean Generation ($48.0 – S13)

– S13 Strategic Objective: Demonstrate and Evaluate Clean Energy Generation Technologies and Deployment Strategies 10

Page 11: From Research to Deployment: California’s Solar Energy Progressucsolar.ucmerced.edu/files/public/documents/Robert Weisenmiller CEC.pdf · Fresno) – Creating Accurate Solar Forecasting

Any Questions?Chair Robert Weisenmiller

California Energy [email protected]

(916) 654‐5036

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