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1 DEBORAH WEINSWIG, EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR–HEAD OF GLOBAL RETAIL & TECHNOLOGY [email protected] US: 917.655.6790 HK: 852.6119.1779 CN: 86.186.1420.3016 Copyright © 2016 The Fung Group. All rights reserved. FEB. 26, 2016 (FL) 4Q15 Results: Strong Sales Benefited from Nike and Under Armour Foot Locker reported 4Q15 revenue of $2.0 billion, up 5.0% year over year, in line with the consensus estimate. The company reported adjusted EPS of $1.16 for the quarter, up 16.0% year over year and beating the consensus estimate of $1.12. The upside was driven by sales in the basketball and running footwear segments. Comparablestore sales increased by 7.9%, beating the consensus of 5.9% and in line with guidance for a midsingledigit increase. For 2016, Foot Locker expects a midsingledigit comp increase, in line with the consensus estimate of 4.7%. EPS is projected to grow in the double digits versus analysts’ expectations of a 10.8% increase, to $4.75. Figure 1. Foot Locker Key Metrics 4Q15 4Q14 YoY Change Revenue (USD Bil.) $2.0 $1.9 5.0% Gross Margin 33.6% 32.9% 72 b.p. SG&A/Sales 19.3% 19.6% (34) b.p. Operating Margin 12.2% 11.7% 49 b.p. Adjusted EPS (USD) $1.16 $1.00 16.0% Source: Company reports Foot Locker reported strong 4Q15 total sales of $2.0 billion, up 5.0% year over year and in line with the consensus estimate. On a constantcurrency basis, sales increased by 8.8%. Net income totaled $158 million, or $1.16 per diluted share, an 8.2% gain over the yearago quarter. Results by Segment Footwear drove sales gains, with doubledigit growth in the quarter. Men’s footwear increased at a highsingledigit rate, while women’s and kids’ footwear were both up by double digits. Nike, Under Armour and other activewear brands have driven sales amid the ongoing athleisure trend. By category, the running business recorded midteen gains in comps in the quarter, with doubledigit gains in every region, driven by Nike and adidas. Basketball saw gains in the lower end of the midsingle digit range, thanks to strong growth of the Jordan brand (especially in North America), as well as Nike and Stephen Curry for Under Armour. These gains were partially offset by lowsingledigit declines in apparel and accessories. Results by Division Total sales in the international division increased by more than 10% in local currency in each of the regions, led by Foot Locker AsiaPacific’s midteens comparable sales gain. Foot Locker Europe increased in the teens and Foot Locker Canada saw doubledigit comp growth.

(FL) 4Q15 Results: Strong Sales Benefited from Nike and ... Microsoft Word - Foot Locker FL 4Q15 Results by FBIC Global Retail Tech Feb. 26 2016.docx Author Lan Rosengard Created Date

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  1 DEBORAH  WEINSWIG,  EXECUTIVE  DIRECTOR–HEAD  OF  GLOBAL  RETAIL  &  TECHNOLOGY  [email protected]    US:  917.655.6790    HK:  852.6119.1779    CN:  86.186.1420.3016  Copyright  ©  2016  The  Fung  Group.  All  rights  reserved.  

FEB.  26,  2016  

(FL) 4Q15 Results: Strong Sales Benefited from Nike and Under Armour • Foot  Locker  reported  4Q15  revenue  of  $2.0  billion,  up  5.0%  year  over  year,  in  line  

with  the  consensus  estimate.  

• The  company  reported  adjusted  EPS  of  $1.16  for  the  quarter,  up  16.0%  year  over  year  and  beating  the  consensus  estimate  of  $1.12.  The  upside  was  driven  by  sales  in  the  basketball  and  running  footwear  segments.  Comparable-­‐store  sales  increased  by  7.9%,  beating  the  consensus  of  5.9%  and  in  line  with  guidance  for  a  mid-­‐single-­‐digit  increase.  

• For  2016,  Foot  Locker  expects  a  mid-­‐single-­‐digit  comp  increase,  in  line  with  the  consensus  estimate  of  4.7%.  EPS  is  projected  to  grow  in  the  double  digits  versus  analysts’  expectations  of  a  10.8%  increase,  to  $4.75.    

Figure  1.  Foot  Locker  Key  Metrics  

 4Q15   4Q14   YoY  Change  

Revenue  (USD  Bil.)   $2.0   $1.9   5.0%  

Gross  Margin   33.6%   32.9%   72  b.p.  

SG&A/Sales   19.3%   19.6%   (34)  b.p.  

Operating  Margin   12.2%   11.7%   49  b.p.  

Adjusted  EPS  (USD)   $1.16   $1.00   16.0%  Source:  Company  reports  

Foot  Locker  reported  strong  4Q15  total  sales  of  $2.0  billion,  up  5.0%  year  over  year  and  in   line  with   the   consensus   estimate.   On   a   constant-­‐currency   basis,   sales   increased   by  8.8%.  Net  income  totaled  $158  million,  or  $1.16  per  diluted  share,  an  8.2%  gain  over  the  year-­‐ago  quarter.  

Results  by  Segment  

Footwear   drove   sales   gains,   with   double-­‐digit   growth   in   the   quarter.  Men’s   footwear  increased  at  a  high-­‐single-­‐digit  rate,  while  women’s  and  kids’  footwear  were  both  up  by  double  digits.  Nike,  Under  Armour  and  other  activewear  brands  have  driven  sales  amid  the  ongoing  athleisure  trend.  

By  category,  the  running  business  recorded  mid-­‐teen  gains  in  comps  in  the  quarter,  with  double-­‐digit  gains  in  every  region,  driven  by  Nike  and  adidas.  Basketball  saw  gains  in  the  lower   end   of   the  mid-­‐single   digit   range,   thanks   to   strong   growth   of   the   Jordan   brand  (especially   in   North   America),   as   well   as   Nike   and   Stephen   Curry   for   Under   Armour.  These  gains  were  partially  offset  by  low-­‐single-­‐digit  declines  in  apparel  and  accessories.  

Results  by  Division  

Total  sales  in  the  international  division  increased  by  more  than  10%  in  local  currency  in  each  of   the  regions,   led  by  Foot  Locker  Asia-­‐Pacific’s  mid-­‐teens  comparable  sales  gain.  Foot   Locker   Europe   increased   in   the   teens   and   Foot   Locker   Canada   saw   double-­‐digit  comp  growth.  

 

 

  2 DEBORAH  WEINSWIG,  EXECUTIVE  DIRECTOR–HEAD  OF  GLOBAL  RETAIL  &  TECHNOLOGY  [email protected]    US:  917.655.6790    HK:  852.6119.1779    CN:  86.186.1420.3016  Copyright  ©  2016  The  Fung  Group.  All  rights  reserved.  

FEB.  26,  2016  

The  direct-­‐to-­‐customer  division   turned   in  another  strong  performance,  with  an  overall  comparable   sales   gain   of   9.6%.   Domestic   store   banner   e-­‐commerce   businesses  collectively  increased  by  20%,  with  even  faster  growth  outside  the  US.  This  was  partially  offset  by  Eastbay  sales,  which  experienced  a  low-­‐single-­‐digit  decrease  in  the  quarter.  

The  domestic  divisions  posted  solid  sales,  with  Kids  Foot  Locker  leading  the  way  with  a  high-­‐single-­‐digit   comparable   sales   gain   and   a   double-­‐digit   revenue   increase.   Champs  Sports  and  Lady  Foot  Locker  each  had  mid-­‐single-­‐digit  comp  increases,  while  Footaction  saw   a   low-­‐single-­‐digit   increase   compared   to   the   year-­‐ago   quarter.   The   Runners   Point  and  Sidestep  banners  saw  mid-­‐single-­‐digit  decreases  in  comps.  

2015  Results  

For   2015,   Foot   Locker   reported   that   total   sales   increased   by   3.6%,   to   $7.4   billion.  Adjusted  EPS  was  $4.29,  up  20%  compared  to  2014.  Comparable-­‐store  sales   increased  by  8.5%  in  the  year.  

Guidance  

For  2016,  Foot  Locker  expects  mid-­‐single-­‐digit  comp  growth,  in  line  with  the  consensus  estimate  of  4.7%.  EPS  is  projected  to  grow  by  double  digits  versus  analysts’  expectations  of  a  10.8%  increase,  to  $4.75.  The  consensus  estimate  calls  for  sales  to  increase  by  5.1%  to  $7.8  billion.  The  company  did  not  provide  sales  guidance  for  2016.  

   

 

  3 DEBORAH  WEINSWIG,  EXECUTIVE  DIRECTOR–HEAD  OF  GLOBAL  RETAIL  &  TECHNOLOGY  [email protected]    US:  917.655.6790    HK:  852.6119.1779    CN:  86.186.1420.3016  Copyright  ©  2016  The  Fung  Group.  All  rights  reserved.  

FEB.  26,  2016  

   Deborah  Weinswig,  CPA  Fung  Business  Intelligence  Centre  New  York:  917.655.6790    Hong  Kong:  852.6119.1779  China:  86.186.1420.3016  [email protected]    Filippo  Battaini  [email protected]  

Chim  Sau  Wai  [email protected]  

Rachael  Dimit  [email protected]  

Marie  Driscoll,  CFA  [email protected]  

John  Harmon,  CFA  [email protected]  

Aragorn  Ho  [email protected]  

John  Mercer  [email protected]  

Shoshana  Pollack  [email protected]  

Kiril  Popov  [email protected]  

Jing  Wang    [email protected]  

Steven  Winnick  [email protected]  

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