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Financial Fraud - hkdsa€¦ · “hedge fund trading. ... 12 2,176,782,336 13 13,060,694,016 Greater than World Population Greater than Population of China A Pyramid Scheme is mathematically

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Page 1: Financial Fraud - hkdsa€¦ · “hedge fund trading. ... 12 2,176,782,336 13 13,060,694,016 Greater than World Population Greater than Population of China A Pyramid Scheme is mathematically
Page 2: Financial Fraud - hkdsa€¦ · “hedge fund trading. ... 12 2,176,782,336 13 13,060,694,016 Greater than World Population Greater than Population of China A Pyramid Scheme is mathematically

Financial Fraud

• Ponzi Schemes• High Yield Investment Programs• Pyramid Schemes• Inventory Loading Schemes• Oil Field Fraud• Protecting Investors

Page 3: Financial Fraud - hkdsa€¦ · “hedge fund trading. ... 12 2,176,782,336 13 13,060,694,016 Greater than World Population Greater than Population of China A Pyramid Scheme is mathematically

Carlo Ponzi

• Went from anonymity tomillionaire in six months.

• He promised to “double your money” in 90 days by buying and selling

“international postal reply coupons.”• In 1920, bout 40,000 people invested about $15

million (roughly $150 million in 2007 dollars).• Only a third of that money was returned

Page 4: Financial Fraud - hkdsa€¦ · “hedge fund trading. ... 12 2,176,782,336 13 13,060,694,016 Greater than World Population Greater than Population of China A Pyramid Scheme is mathematically

How it worked!

• Early investors were given double their money back but not from profits.

• The returns came from funds paid in by later investors.

• Word spread and more people invested…• …and REINVESTED!!!

Page 5: Financial Fraud - hkdsa€¦ · “hedge fund trading. ... 12 2,176,782,336 13 13,060,694,016 Greater than World Population Greater than Population of China A Pyramid Scheme is mathematically

Do the Math!

• 160 million postal reply coupons would have been needed to cover the investments.

• But only 27,000 were actually circulating.• Ponzi insisted that the investments were real

but…• The judge who convicted him called him a

“financial idiot.”

Page 6: Financial Fraud - hkdsa€¦ · “hedge fund trading. ... 12 2,176,782,336 13 13,060,694,016 Greater than World Population Greater than Population of China A Pyramid Scheme is mathematically

Hi-YIP

• High Yield Investment Programs• Often offered on the Internet• Offer profits up to 1% per Day• Investment sounds good but is vague…

“global currency arbitrage”“hedge fund trading.”

Page 7: Financial Fraud - hkdsa€¦ · “hedge fund trading. ... 12 2,176,782,336 13 13,060,694,016 Greater than World Population Greater than Population of China A Pyramid Scheme is mathematically

Recent Hi-YIP’s:• Diamond Mortgage Company stole $50 million in

Michigan in the 1980s. • From ‘93 until ‘97, Greater Ministries International in

Florida, cheated 18,000 people out of $500 million.• In 1995, the Foundation for New Era Philanthropy in

Pennsylvania took $500 million from 1,100 investors, mostly charities including the Red Cross.

• In 2000, a Scientology minister took $600 million from 500+ investors, mostly Hollywood Celebrities.

Page 8: Financial Fraud - hkdsa€¦ · “hedge fund trading. ... 12 2,176,782,336 13 13,060,694,016 Greater than World Population Greater than Population of China A Pyramid Scheme is mathematically

More Hi-YIPS• MMM in Russia bilked at least two million people out of

$1.5 billion in the 1990s.• In 1994, the European Kings Club collapsed after taking in

about $1.1 billion. In the Swiss cantons of Uri and Glarus 1 in 10 adults invested in EKC.

• In 1997, the Government of Albania endorsed investment funds that caused the Albanian people to lose $1.2 billion. They protested and toppled the government.

• In 2007, a man known as “Double Shah" was accused of taking in about $1 Billion across the Middle East.

Page 9: Financial Fraud - hkdsa€¦ · “hedge fund trading. ... 12 2,176,782,336 13 13,060,694,016 Greater than World Population Greater than Population of China A Pyramid Scheme is mathematically

The Reality

• The "return" is paid from new investment money, not out of profits.

• When investor D puts in money, that money becomes available to pay out "profits" to investors A, B, and C.

• Early investors quite commonly reinvest and keep their money in the scheme.

• Thus, the operator actually pays out very little. • He just send statements to investors that claim to

show how much they earned.

Page 10: Financial Fraud - hkdsa€¦ · “hedge fund trading. ... 12 2,176,782,336 13 13,060,694,016 Greater than World Population Greater than Population of China A Pyramid Scheme is mathematically

At Some Point:

• The scheme will collapse of its own weight, as investment slows; or,

• The authorities will examine the enterprise and find that the "assets" that should exist, do not; or – more often than not –

• The promoters vanish, taking the money with them.

Page 11: Financial Fraud - hkdsa€¦ · “hedge fund trading. ... 12 2,176,782,336 13 13,060,694,016 Greater than World Population Greater than Population of China A Pyramid Scheme is mathematically

Do the Math!

• If the promoter claims a return of 1% per day,

• Remember that Warren Buffet, one of the best investors ever, only earns

1% per month!(on average over 20 years.)

Page 12: Financial Fraud - hkdsa€¦ · “hedge fund trading. ... 12 2,176,782,336 13 13,060,694,016 Greater than World Population Greater than Population of China A Pyramid Scheme is mathematically

Pyramid Schemes

• A Pyramid Scheme requires participants pay to play.

• They give money for the right to get money.• To get money back, they must recruit others,

usually without delivering any product or service.

Page 13: Financial Fraud - hkdsa€¦ · “hedge fund trading. ... 12 2,176,782,336 13 13,060,694,016 Greater than World Population Greater than Population of China A Pyramid Scheme is mathematically

Geometric ProgressionLevel Participants1 62 363 2164 1,2965 7,7766 46,6567 279,9368 1,679,6169 10,077,69610 60,466,17611 362,797,05612 2,176,782,33613 13,060,694,016

Greater than World Population

Greater than Population of China

A Pyramid Scheme is mathematically unsustainable!

Page 14: Financial Fraud - hkdsa€¦ · “hedge fund trading. ... 12 2,176,782,336 13 13,060,694,016 Greater than World Population Greater than Population of China A Pyramid Scheme is mathematically

Inventory Loading• Selling product that cannot be resold.• Often happens at Christmas in the States,

when someone wanting to earn a few extra dollars buys toys to sell…

• Only to find that they can be purchased for less in a discount store.

• Not a “big dollar” scheme but a problem.

Page 15: Financial Fraud - hkdsa€¦ · “hedge fund trading. ... 12 2,176,782,336 13 13,060,694,016 Greater than World Population Greater than Population of China A Pyramid Scheme is mathematically

The Producers• The heroes set out to bilk investors out of money to produce a bad play.

• With too many investors, they win only if the play fails.

• But the play succeeds, wildly.

• Listed as one of the funniest movies ever made.

Page 16: Financial Fraud - hkdsa€¦ · “hedge fund trading. ... 12 2,176,782,336 13 13,060,694,016 Greater than World Population Greater than Population of China A Pyramid Scheme is mathematically

Oil Field Fraud“How Texans get rich drilling dry holes.”• “Quarter pays a Third.”• Four investors each pay one-third of the

cost of a new oil well in a proven field.• The promoter gets a carried interest.• And is paid to drill the well.

Page 17: Financial Fraud - hkdsa€¦ · “hedge fund trading. ... 12 2,176,782,336 13 13,060,694,016 Greater than World Population Greater than Population of China A Pyramid Scheme is mathematically

Oil Field Fraud

• However, when promoter sells more than four “quarter” interests in a new oil well…

• He wins if the well is dry…• But if he hits oil, he has a problem.“An oil well is nothing but a hole in the

ground with a liar on top of it.”

Page 18: Financial Fraud - hkdsa€¦ · “hedge fund trading. ... 12 2,176,782,336 13 13,060,694,016 Greater than World Population Greater than Population of China A Pyramid Scheme is mathematically

Identifying Fraud

• Too good to be true?• Unrealistic returns on Investment?• Inventory “easy” sell?• Asked to invest in a venture you don’t fully

understand?

Page 19: Financial Fraud - hkdsa€¦ · “hedge fund trading. ... 12 2,176,782,336 13 13,060,694,016 Greater than World Population Greater than Population of China A Pyramid Scheme is mathematically

Direct Selling

Direct Selling Companies Protect Investors.• Low cost to enter the business.• Cooling off period on contract.• Inventory can be returned for a full refund.• Earning potential consistent with amount of

investment and level of effort.• Underlying enterprise provides a quality

product or service.

Page 20: Financial Fraud - hkdsa€¦ · “hedge fund trading. ... 12 2,176,782,336 13 13,060,694,016 Greater than World Population Greater than Population of China A Pyramid Scheme is mathematically