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Fertilizer Statistics Overview KENYA 2011 - 2014 2015 Edition

Fertilizer Statistics Overview KENYA · statistics in Kenya from 2011 – 2014. More emphasis is given to the year 2014 and each analysis is based on the products with higher quantities

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Page 1: Fertilizer Statistics Overview KENYA · statistics in Kenya from 2011 – 2014. More emphasis is given to the year 2014 and each analysis is based on the products with higher quantities

Fertilizer Statistics Overview

KENYA2011 - 2014

2015 Edition

Page 2: Fertilizer Statistics Overview KENYA · statistics in Kenya from 2011 – 2014. More emphasis is given to the year 2014 and each analysis is based on the products with higher quantities

1. Production

2. Imports

3. Exports

4. Origins and Destinations

5. Agric. and non Agric. use

6. Consumption

7. NPK analysis

8. Volumes and Values

9. Summary

10. About us

An overview of fertilizer statistics in Kenya from 2011 –2014.

More emphasis is given to the year 2014 and each analysis is based on the products with higher quantities.

Data obtained from Kenya National Bureau of Statistics (KNBS) and Validated by Fertilizer Technical Working Group – Kenya (FTWG-KEN)

2014 data validated on September 15th – 17th, 2015

Outline Background information

Page 3: Fertilizer Statistics Overview KENYA · statistics in Kenya from 2011 – 2014. More emphasis is given to the year 2014 and each analysis is based on the products with higher quantities

Fertilizer production

Comments:

• There is primary production of SSP in Kenya by KEL Chemicals limited.

• There are also secondary production of fertilizers by Athi River Mining and MEA Limited, blending different grades of NPK’s

HS Code Product 2011 2012 2013 2014

3103100000 SSP 2,500 Source: FTWG-KEN

Page 4: Fertilizer Statistics Overview KENYA · statistics in Kenya from 2011 – 2014. More emphasis is given to the year 2014 and each analysis is based on the products with higher quantities

Fertilizer imports

Comments:

• DAP, NPK’s & CAN account for 75% of the total fertilizers officially imported to Kenya.

• Comparing the imports for the past four years shows that the top 5 imports have been consistent throughout.

• Urea imports however reduced to 5% of the total imports in 2014 as compared to previous year of 17%

HS Code Fertilizer Name 2011 2012 2013 2014

3105300000 DAP 178,195 126,470 273,939 144,450

3105200000 NPK's 119,499 139,578 129,540 136,880

3102400000 CAN 132,150 53,616 101,201 87,900

3105510/3105590 NP Compounds 19,738 12,028 20,853 35,594

3102100000 Urea 32,021 66,804 114,515 25,117

Others fertilizers 42,643 46,684 49,983 64,779

Total fertilizer for agric (mt) 524,246 445,180 690,032 494,720

DAP29%

NPK's28%

CAN18%

NP Compounds

7%

Urea5%

Others fertilizers13%

TOP 5 IMPORTED FERTILIZERS 2014

Source: FTWG-KEN

Other fertilizers includes products like; Phosphate Rock, SOP, MOP, Potassium nitrate, etc

-

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

DAP NPK's CAN NPCompounds

Urea Othersfertilizers

MT

TOP FERTILIZER IMPORTS PER YEAR

2011 2012 2013 2014

Page 5: Fertilizer Statistics Overview KENYA · statistics in Kenya from 2011 – 2014. More emphasis is given to the year 2014 and each analysis is based on the products with higher quantities

Fertilizer monthly imports

Comments:

• Most fertilizers imported to Kenya reach the port in the first quarter.

• In 2014, fertilizers imports was at its peak in January with 139,117mt (almost 30% of all 2014 imports).

Quarter 2011 2012 2013 2014

Q1 224,909 207,676 198,290 223,978

Q2 115,021 20,365 113,542 80,909

Q3 131,339 181,479 214,146 94,846

Q4 52,978 35,661 164,053 94,986

Total 524,246 445,180 690,032 494,720

Source: FTWG-KEN

FAO/GIEWS,FEWSNET

-

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov DecMT

KENYA FERTILIZER MONTHLY CUMULATIVE IMPORTS (2011-2014)

2011

2012

2013

2014

SEASON CROPS Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Beans

Fertilizer peak demand

Maize

Fertilizer peak demand

Millet

Fertilizer peak demand

Sorghum

Fertilizer peak demand

Wheat

Fertilizer peak demand

Rice

Peak demand

Maize, Millet, Sorghum, Beans, Barley

Fertilizer peak demand

Key: fertilizer Peak demand sowing growing harvesting

Major

Season

(Long

Rains)

Minor

Season

(Short

Rains)

Page 6: Fertilizer Statistics Overview KENYA · statistics in Kenya from 2011 – 2014. More emphasis is given to the year 2014 and each analysis is based on the products with higher quantities

Fertilizer exports

Comments:

• In 2014, NPK’s with unknown grades were the most exported fertilizers from Kenya-37%, more than a third of fertilizer exports.

• Over the years, NPKs, Urea and DAP have been the most exported fertilizers but in 2014, PK compounds were the second most exported fertilizers from Kenya

Source: FTWG-KEN

NPK (Unknown Grade)

37%

PK Compounds19%

NPK's12%

DAP12%

Urea9%

Other fertilizers11%

TOP 5 EXPORTED FERTILIZERS 2014

Other fertilizers includes products like; Phosphate Rock, SOP, MOP, Potassium nitrate, etc

HS Code Fertilizer Name 2011 2012 2013 2014

3105900000 NPK (Unknown Grade) 3,869 4,347 3,931 8,835

3105600000 PK Compounds 31 15 2 4,576

3105200000 NPK's 16,707 9,774 10,257 3,002

3105300000 DAP 1,664 1,127 5,951 2,897

3102100000 Urea 2,745 3,375 3,393 2,176

Other fertilizers 4,298 2,067 2,551 2,740

Total fertilizers for Agric (mt) 29,313 20,705 26,084 24,227

-

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

NPK(Unknown

Grade)

PKCompounds

NPK's DAP Urea Otherfertilizers

MT

TOP FERTILIZER EXPORTS PER YEAR

2011 2012 2013 2014

Page 7: Fertilizer Statistics Overview KENYA · statistics in Kenya from 2011 – 2014. More emphasis is given to the year 2014 and each analysis is based on the products with higher quantities

Fertilizer origins and destinations 2014

SAU

DI A

RA

BIA

, 1

44

,27

2

UK

RA

INE,

12

9,6

00

RU

SSIA

N ,

59

,01

5

CH

INA

, 4

8,4

46

CR

OA

TIA

, 2

5,2

00

NO

RW

AY,

23

,33

0

SWIT

ZER

LAN

D,

12

,00

0

SOU

TH A

FRIC

A,

6,9

77

ISR

AEL

, 6

,27

5

RO

MA

NIA

, 5

,00

0

-

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

MT

COUNTRY OF ORIGINS (IMPORTS)

Countries of

OriginsSaudi

ArabiaUkraine Russia China Croatia Others

DAP 100% - - 0% - 0%

NPK's - 52% 14% 0% - 33%

CAN - 66% - - 29% 5%

NP Compounds - - 99% 0% - 0%

Urea - - - 98% - 2%

Other fertilizers - - 6% 36% - 58%

2014 product per origin

UG

AN

DA

, 1

2,3

59

BU

RU

ND

I, 9

,25

9

RW

AN

DA

, 2

,07

9

-

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

MT

COUNTRY OF DESTINATIONS (EXPORTS)

Countries of

DestinationsUganda Burundi Rwanda Others

NPK (Unknown Grade) 28% 52% 17% 3%

PK Compounds 79% 21% - 0%

NPK's 93% 5% - 2%

DAP 9% 89% - 2%

Urea 98% 1% 0% -

Other fertilizers 41% 35% 21% 3%

2014 product per destination

Source: FTWG-KEN

Page 8: Fertilizer Statistics Overview KENYA · statistics in Kenya from 2011 – 2014. More emphasis is given to the year 2014 and each analysis is based on the products with higher quantities

Agricultural and non agricultural uses

Comments:

• Some fertilizer products can be used for both agricultural and industrial purpose depending on the importer.

• On the average, about 0.2% of products imported to Kenya as fertilizers are not used for agricultural purpose.

UAN77%

Ammonium Sulphate

9%

Ammonium Nitrate

4%

MOP3%

NPK (Unknown grade)3%

Others4%

2014 NON FERTILIZER USE

Source: FTWG-KEN

Others includes Urea, Sodium nitrate, etc

Usage

Volume (MT) % Volume (MT) % Volume (MT) % Volume (MT) %

Agriculture 524,246 99.8% 445,180 99.9% 690,032 99.8% 494,720 99.8%

Industrial/Mines 917 0.2% 396 0.1% 1,134 0.2% 793 0.2%

Total (MT) 525,163 100.0% 445,576 100.0% 691,166 100.0% 495,513 100.0%

2011 2012 2013 2014

Page 9: Fertilizer Statistics Overview KENYA · statistics in Kenya from 2011 – 2014. More emphasis is given to the year 2014 and each analysis is based on the products with higher quantities

Fertilizer apparent consumption

Comments:

• DAP and NPK’s are the most consumed fertilizers in Kenya (accounts for more than 50%).

• In 2014 total apparent consumption of fertilizers in nutrients were 211 with 108 N, 87 P2O5 and 20 K2O.

HS Code Fertilizer Name 2011 2012 2013 2014

3105300000 DAP 176,531 125,344 267,988 141,553

3105200000 NPK's 102,792 129,803 119,283 133,878

3102400000 CAN 131,363 53,000 99,898 87,021

3105510000 NP compound 19,458 11,954 20,829 35,587

3102100000 Urea 27,295 63,480 110,838 22,941

Other Fertilizers 35,913 40,961 48,146 64,029

Total (mt) 493,352 424,542 666,981 485,008

Source: FTWG-KEN

DAP29%

NPK's28%

CAN18%

NP compound7%

Urea5%

Other Fertilizers13%

2014 APPARENT CONSUMPTION

NB: Apparent consumption = Production + Imports – Exports –non fertilizer use

Nutrient aggregates was derived using AFO conversion methodology

-

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

DAP NPK's CAN NPcompound

Urea OtherFertilizers

MT

TOP FERTILIZER APPARENT CONSUMPTION PER YEAR

2011 2012 2013 2014

Page 10: Fertilizer Statistics Overview KENYA · statistics in Kenya from 2011 – 2014. More emphasis is given to the year 2014 and each analysis is based on the products with higher quantities

NPK analysis

Comments:

• NPK’s with known grades accounted for 78% of all NPK complex fertilizers imported to Kenya in 2014

• Although total imports of fertilizers reduced in 2014, there was an increase in NPK imports as compared to previous years

Total NPK78%

Total NP20%

Total NK0%

Total PK1% NPK (Unknown

Grade)1%

2014 NPK COMPLEX FERTILIZERS

-

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

2011 2012 2013 2014

NPK COMPLEX FERTILIZERS PER YEAR

Total NPK Total NP Total NK Total PK NPK (Unknown Grade)

HS Code Fertilizer Name 2011 2012 2013 2014

3105200000 Total NPK 119,499 139,578 129,540 136,880

3105510000 Total NP 19,738 12,028 20,853 35,594

3105700000 Total NK 3 466 3

3105600000 Total PK 168 86 23 1,610

3105900000 NPK (Unknown Grade) 7,476 8,758 1,442 800

Total (mt) 146,884 160,450 152,324 174,887

• NPK (Unknown Grade) refers to NPK fertilizers whose grades are not known.

Source: FTWG-KEN

Page 11: Fertilizer Statistics Overview KENYA · statistics in Kenya from 2011 – 2014. More emphasis is given to the year 2014 and each analysis is based on the products with higher quantities

NPK analysis – top 5 2014

Comments:

• 59 various grades of NPK, NP, NK and PK have officially been listed with 5 accounting for 86% of all NPK complex fertilizers

NPK 26 5 541%

NP 23 23 020%

NPK 17 17 1712%

NPK 25 5 5 + 5S7%

NPK 25 5 106%

Other complex fertilizers14%

DISTRIBUTION OF NPK COMPLEX PER GRADE

Source: FTWG-KEN

HS Code Fertilizer Name 2014 Major Crops

3105203110 NPK 26 5 5 71,300 Tea

3105513704 NP 23 23 0 35,416 Maize, Rice, Sugarcane

3105202522 NPK 17 17 17 21,908 Coffee, Rice, Sugarcane

and Horticulture

3105203106 NPK 25 5 5 + 5S 12,508 Tea

3105203210 NPK 25 5 10 10,004 Tea

Other complex fertilizers 23,751

Total (mt) 174,887

Page 12: Fertilizer Statistics Overview KENYA · statistics in Kenya from 2011 – 2014. More emphasis is given to the year 2014 and each analysis is based on the products with higher quantities

Volumes and Values 2014

HS Code Fertilizer Name Volumes (mt) Values (USD) USD/Ton

3105300000 DAP 144,450 71,784,817 497

3102400000 CAN 87,900 30,350,017 345

3105203110 NPK 26 5 5 71,300 30,170,924 423

3105513704 NP 23 23 0 35,416 15,783,284 446

3102100000 Urea 25,117 9,589,860 382

3105202522 NPK 17 17 17 21,908 9,142,498 417

3105203106 NPK 25 5 5 + 5S 12,508 4,207,017 336

3105203210 NPK 25 5 10 10,004 3,810,898 381Exchange rate source: (oanda.com Time Period: 1/1/2014 to 31/12/2014) Kenya=86.57KES/US$

Comments:

• The table shows volumes and values of selected fertilizers officially imported in 2014

USD/Ton = FOB values ÷ volumes imported

Page 13: Fertilizer Statistics Overview KENYA · statistics in Kenya from 2011 – 2014. More emphasis is given to the year 2014 and each analysis is based on the products with higher quantities

Summary of 2014 fertilizer statistics for Kenya

HS 10 digits Product Name Production Imports Exports

Domestic

Availability

Non Fertilizer

Use

Apparent

Consumption

2510000000 Phosphate Rock - 1,114 10 1,104 - 1,104

2834210000 Potassium Nitrate - 5,047 15 5,032 - 5,032

3101000000 Organic Fertilizer - 639 88 551 - 551

3102100000 Urea - 25,137 2,176 22,961 21 22,941

3102210000 Ammonium Sulphate - 21,134 137 20,997 75 20,922

3102300000 Ammonium Nitrate - 29 451 0 29 0

3102400000 CAN - 87,900 879 87,021 - 87,021

3102500000 Sodium Nitrate - 8 8 8 0

3102600000 Calcium Nitrate - 20,873 4 20,869 - 20,869

3102800000 UAN - 610 610 610 0

3102900000 Other N Fertilizer - 54 262 0 - 0

3103100000 SSP 2,500 - - 2,500 - 2,500

3103101000 TSP - 2,425 58 2,367 - 2,367

3103900000 Other P Fertilizer - 6 28 0 6 0

3104200000 MOP - 6,677 459 6,217 22 6,195

3104300000 SOP - 2,651 29 2,623 0 2,623

3104900000 Other K Fertilizer - 1 84 0 - 0

3105200000 NPK's - 136,880 3,002 133,878 - 133,878

3105300000 DAP - 144,450 2,897 141,553 - 141,553

3105400000 MAP - 1,868 5 1,863 - 1,863

3105510000 NP Compound - 35,594 7 35,587 - 35,587

3105590000 NP (Other) - 703 0 0

3105600000 PK Compound - 1,610 4,576 0 - 0

3105700000 NK - 3 3 - 3

3105900000 NPK (Unknown grade) - 800 9,067 0 21 0

Total 2,500 495,513 24,938 473,076 793 485,008

Page 14: Fertilizer Statistics Overview KENYA · statistics in Kenya from 2011 – 2014. More emphasis is given to the year 2014 and each analysis is based on the products with higher quantities

About AfricaFertilizer.Org

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Links

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@AfricFertilizer

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Report of 2015 Regional EAC workshop