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1. Introdction
.. W mk uu m , xp ,
y l b qul, wll , l p, bu
l . W x u
uu- pp mk uu u? T w wul
b w w mply m ul
mm lbly . A , w, pp
wk lk u wll l u xpl bmb. I
m mk l l my, pll k mw
T bw uu- l u u Vllm (997), 47. Rp T bw uu- l u u Vllm (997), 47. Rp
Vllm (000).
hREE WAyS O SPilliNg iNKOMORROW
LUCA FERREROUy W Mlwuk / S Uy
ABSRAC
My l u u l uu- l ju m by f m w mly ul mpul m l l-l. Mpm w m -mpul -b -mpulpyll pp -. T pblm w l w y uly mp, y u xluly m my mm -mpul y. I u ppl u l uuu- mu kwl ly b fu uu u. T uly u y w
u l mpl bly upp up . T bly ul u lm mmy p lb, w pmy u -mpul l uu-.
Ke wors: y, uu- , , mmy.
ORIGINAL SCIENIFIC PAPERUDK: 3
7.0 : 59.95
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RAIONALIY IN BELIEF AND ACION
ju by mk uu- . A J.H. Sbl w, B nt o
seer w, p my b bl mk y bl
m I b u w , p ul,
u l , ll .
Tbly w mlly mly by wll pp b wzly
pw, y w u qu quly w mkbl u. A Jy F
mk, wul w w w p
w w p uu b mply b l
, ly w mu uly b l ply mp
w u b.3
.. Dp ubquy lbly, l l-l uu-
puzzl pm. b w, m p m pp
, w wk-wll. S m p mu mbl. S mbl, w p l
mbl ym, p w ppuy mbl. W
pp lz p lu, ju bu past, l
x p . I mbl w w:
I m m I bl rea barrerbw mbl myl,
w I uly p my m u u
m mmy , mmy l... A ply
bul up b wll, l myl m l lu,
I p w u notnp m m mbl.4
T mbl wk wll. T pblm ll p
lu bu p . A p lu m l
upp kp m m l . Bu m
ll. A m mmy p b p u.
A mbl pm w, mpl m p
Sbl (994), 47 (my mp): A p py m mly, mkSbl (994), 47 (my mp): A p py m mly, mk uu ly m bu bl. B nt o seer w, p my b bl
mk y bl m , wl mk mpbl y wul w b pbl l I b u w , p ul, u l , ll .3 F (987), 3-4: I m b yu p 3 p.m. f, , pbu, F (987), 3-4: I m b yu p 3 p.m. f, , pbu, wll pu b w wll u pl m, b m-l lu G. A wk ju w ppl w pyly yu kw mly:yu l , y, pu yu bm. I wk w absote straners; ppl yu wulkw yu bump . A wk ju lby w w l - blbu l, pmly, l w ll yu kw bu u w mm pyly ll yu bu m. Rmkbl. I w ul wllw p w, wul w: y ly w muuly b l ply mp w u b.
4 S (956), 70.S (956), 70.
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8
RAIONALIY IN BELIEF AND ACION
T l wy wA p fu uu u.
A ,A m mere ul mm (
l xl by) u pll k mw.
T uu k-pll b pu A uu x l , mw A wll b u pyl pll
k. S wll b w mpu m. O
ul mm m, m m ly l
. W ju, m m bw w mw, l
pll k, jum wul by l p mm. S ul
p ly bytampernw .
.3. T wy A mk pll k mw by wy
-ll precommtment.8 A pmmm m ul , pyll
mm, ul l p u m lly . T w wy mpl
. F, pmmm m py bl u
, wll x p x
m -. F , m pmm l
p k by k u lk ulm, w mk plly
uplly mll mu ll. A xmpl
w pmm kp m my uu m by p
m u mp pl ly wwl. S,
pmmm m bly u l -.
F , w mp mp k by lk lqu
b w wy ky, pu my m u
llw ly wwl.
Alu mm w pmmm u m
pyl , lk Uly b m p, I k b
m , y l wk m
ul mm, ll l x ratona overnance m ;
, bu l b
m by pmmm, w umb lp py-. I my m, l
pmmm lwy p acronc l ,
w ul pmmm x l b
m an l m . Im mw ully A
w m bu l m kll l pll k
lu mw. I u, l- wll wk
pmmm mk pll k mw. T pll m
8 T m pmmm w u El (979).T m pmmm w u El (979).
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L. F HREE WAYS OF SPILLING INK OMORROW
A w mpu , ulk w, y, k
pll lbly u ly ul mm A xp
mk kp pll k.
A p ly pmm x ly nrectfu A uu .A mu k m p p m b
bu wll u pll k mw. Sly,
m mply, fu pmmm manpatve . T
wll uA pll k l p xu
l m , .., upp l
pll k. Nl b u l u
b m ubl. H, wA bu pmmm pll
k mw, m up pll k rectant. T bu wul
pll k w w w w ply p pmmm. I , l b
pll k, ulmly
p l ( , p p pmm ).
T mpul pmmm pl, m
y m b p u ( y mply m
wll l l b m by m). T p
pmmm b bl u rearess w
m wul ll b pmmm. T
wy pmmm plly u l l-l w m l xp llw u
uu.
.4. T l wy mk uu
wA pll k mw ju ot o p . T
w I m : T u uu- .
L z wy w y p by w wy l
l-l p b. F, u p , u
pyl ; u Vllm xpu m
ll l p .9 S, u uu- ,ulk pmmm, mpul . I u ,
bu - wy w m
y m. Fuu- k l- mpul.
A p z wy pll k mw, wy
u uu- , b m
acronc atonom. I u , ly x l
9 T xp m ll l m Vllm (000).T xp m ll l m Vllm (000).
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100
RAIONALIY IN BELIEF AND ACION
b m m (m ly
u by pmmm), bu x p
b mpully l. A u uu- u
pm pul k mplly x l y, y p umy. L ll atonomos
ntentona acronc aenc, AidA .
T m w mu kp m u m
w uu- : N u b qu y
u uu- ( m l m l
l-l) l kwl mk m bu
AidA. O b I p
l w , l w u u uu-
(ul w , m w I wll u uu- ).
. Decision-Based Reasons
3.. F ul by w b l, m qu mp u
uu- wul qu m pyl
pmmm. I , wul b l
b qum umy.0 T wul b ply
qu lu z u u uu-
.
I k l m wk, w, quy
u m -ll -b . T b
, by , uu l (uully) lu
m. T u w y p
x l m . A w b, w,
u qu y . A ll, pmmm l
u upp - p l . W
mu b w -b mpul, ..,
0 V w uu- pmmm b u Sll (980);V w uu- pmmm b u Sll (980);Al (99); Al (00); Hl (999); Rl (000). S A (996), 54: W m ly u p ulS A (996), 54: W m ly u p ul umu . W umuly ly w w w u. Bu y x m. Aumy u qu w mk w b bl l u uu . Bu w umuly uu m ul l up l x mpbl w u m. T pbl ly w mmm w m u ulll m w. S l Vllm (997),
46. Rp Vllm (000).
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L. F HREE WAYS OF SPILLING INK OMORROW
101
p umy. T b bl
ly by lk l w u xpl u
-b . O mply w
llly u l bu l. lm I u--u w mply bu I l u--u
ju pblm , l ul, ,
lly wk m.
3.. Sl ppl b xpl w -b
b . F, w k b ntrapl
m ml ly wll u nterpl pm. T
w l- mm ju. T,
w l- p (..,
p G mmu bw p l uu ).3
A , l l l l uully lu
, ly w wul p by
mm .
A mly u, -b
bu l m p .
A u w, p w ; w bu
u pu w kp w u w
w , u, w wul.4 A ppl, llw u
p u l-kwl. A uw, uu- ll p bu u uu. H, by
my w , w u u by y u p
S Ky (963), 6-0; C, (975), 4-43, 55; l Vllm, (989), 99: My y S Ky (963), 6-0; C, (975), 4-43, 55; l Vllm, (989), 99: My y b ml y w mm u by ml... My y qu ml. F lu I y wmm, I y m w xp w u wul y mm. F m l- mm w, Rul (997), 89. N w ply u
, uy l-mm p mm-b reason.T ul b l-mm y quly -b w. T u k mm wk by lz pyll, bw.3 S R (998), 49: A m l-m pl, I m bu wS R (998), 49: A m l-m pl, I m bu w I wll k uu. S by m , I l p my uul I I m l-m b m, I my l myp wll b my w I w . S l Hm (003), .4 S Sbl (994), 49: T [ ] mm l m, l S Sbl (994), 49: T [ ] mm l m, l , wul b w , mu wy w pm p mppl w w w y pm . T l p wy w wk m ppl. M ppl lu b , pp m wul
y u bu pp pl my py.
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102
RAIONALIY IN BELIEF AND ACION
l-kwl. F w , u u b l-ulll
p.5
A u u u -b
ply lbl p eventa wu ull lb . T bu p
, w lb , wul m
lu w lly .6 A ppl
wk by wbll .7 A ul m
uu m, mk m w uu -. W
m m, u m
l uully k w p .8,9
3.3. I ubl b m ul m
l l-l. Ty , w, pblm u u l AidA. H I m m
5 S Vllm (989), 98: I ... xp u m fS Vllm (989), 98: I ... xp u m fl . T l-ulll xp p by mm plly l-ulll l bu p y b ulll, y pml u... T xp... , p ml b, l-ulll xp p u ulllm... I m y p- pyll l , bu y uu- bl , y wll b ll p.6 S Jy (999), 6: A p w pl A my by uu l S Jy (999), 6: A p w pl A my by uu l reason A;
, uu m k A w p pl mk m lkly . O , I up m mm, wy pp w p pl A uu levence k wul A w k bu m l. T, u, uu l not k bu m l.7 T m wbll u by Bm (987), 8, w J Emy.T m wbll u by Bm (987), 8, w J Emy.8 S Pk, (996), 30, l 75: By my , I ly lklyS Pk, (996), 30, l 75: By my , I ly lklyk b I ll pm . D A l... p -. A y mk m lkly b A, I ll pm -ump I my ll A. Su b I m A. I ly wll . My ly by b pp. S ly p m wm jym. O , k A l, bu y fu,l lkl my pm I ll pm ul, , I A.9 I pp, I u -b llly by uu--I pp, I u -b llly by uu-- seecton m w m qully wy p. I u m m xly myD, D-Aumy, D Dlb Lb (mup). Bfy pu, pblm w lu wl. F, l w uu- l upp x fu m, w p pblm w w I m . E u l --l u l lu upp l, qu ll m w u x fu m. W mk -bk mpl ju b pk pul p p. x, y mu b upplm w m w u pp. S, u l--b b l y : N ll uu-
l m l -bk qully wy .
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L. F HREE WAYS OF SPILLING INK OMORROW
103
p u bu -b . I w
u l pblm w y -b : Su
pp b my. O , - y m
m bl pp ly m , ly -b . O ,
m wul l - wy w
m, -b pp w Bm ll bpp
.0 T ublm. F, pp b mp
. S, mp pully pblm
m bu w - upp by (u
p lb qu l l
m).
3.4. N bpp by l ly ubl. O mw b bpp - w xp llw
u l . T , w, xly w pmmm
upp wk. I wy wk, u. T, lu
bpp ly pblm , ly pblm
y . A wy w upp b
bpp ( pp pm mmm
lly pu u ubj) y y k. T,
m , k pu l ,
-b , pp pmmm, ul p y
u pu. Bu -b b ly
, w w lly x y m m
. O , -b m b
, m ly mpully, , by u
w p l b m
mply wm. T wul mk bpp Bm
, -b ul u l l
- l . T, w, l qum
umy. N u l p w l
- m. T pblm ul b b mpul - l - ll l. A u
wat up , bu ow l . I -b
m bu xu l m ,
u mpul.
0 S Bm (987).S Bm (987). S D (980), 90: I w , mlly wS D (980), 90: I w , mlly w
ml xpl ply.
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104
RAIONALIY IN BELIEF AND ACION
3.5. T m -b pp, ,
lmm bw w uppl l. O , y m b
bull mb uly u w
lly p umy. O , y m l umy by mk -b b b u , y ,
ly bl pu ub y lly y b pw
. T, w, u m
u , mly, uu- mw
fu uu u.
T lmm y w y y m -b
m. I p w y k ll. T y mu w
wy -b ll uu u,
bu b mmly k up w , bpp mpul.
N ll ppl u b m qupp l up ll.
T plly u mul m
l-kwl ulllm
l- p. T bu u lwy pl
ly b ulll by lly , l w
ll . A l-kwl ,
m, y m u ly lu
l-kwl pm by p p. Pblm l wbll- y. T wbll l bpp.
Bu , uk w p . I l
xp bkk, u wul l
w w wu b u by wbll
by p .
T y l- mm u m bpp
pblm. L w. T y xpl ml
pl mm. I pl mm, mply
bu b mm . x, mm lwy bpp. T , ll, m p mm:
mm l. A u, bpp
I m u -b . My p I m u -b . My p ly , w p, wu ml xpl umu y. Nl, w pbly u -b b , ul b w pl bpp . T , w, mu py nrectqu , u wbll -b b (w wul mlly w , bu m m u u ply uu l l p w , w, wul
l b u , bu w-bll l ).
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L. F HREE WAYS OF SPILLING INK OMORROW
10
pblm pl mm. Bu bm ublm w w
k wk pl l mm,
upp b bpp. A pbl lu lm l-
mm lwy b k u y lly bp .T lu, w, p u pblm w
l- mm. I lly pw k l-
mm, l l w bu by mm
l u. N u pblm pl mm,
ubj p p, ly
p k mm. Bu pl u u
uy m pp p l-
mm y l uy.3 A l- mm ul
bpp uu u, bu ly p
u u.
3.6. T l- l
pp b. T uk w ju bu p
l upp -. E k
b w up u luly
upp by p . M, plubl lm
-b ly u. F y m lp
w m w w ubl uwll mbk
ull lb m. T, m u ,
mul m l- l pp
m pm.
I mu u u. I w b AidA,
uuul w up ul p
p bu w wul w w ull
lb. Lkw, b w u p
p uwy G mmu m m
p l. O u, m l , l- ,
l- mpl mmu b k lm w expct refectve l- ul l
. H y ul b ul by m b w
m ply y p. Nl, ll mplubl
lm , ly mplly -fly, w w u u p
, w lwy ul l l-
u mpl G mmu.
3 S 6 b.S 6 b.
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10
RAIONALIY IN BELIEF AND ACION
I m y m b b pply b
m . T , w, pp b m, u
p w enerau . T m wul b
uju w m wk lm, mly, u wk mw anao w pl pm lk mm,
, mmu. A u, wul b m b
ul mm pbl u -b .
T ly wul b m ly llu uu -b ;
w -b () pl ly w mk , (b)
uully lu, y bl, () u, y mpul. I
w, y wul mply lm -b y mu lk
-b G-mmu-b , xp y b
pu ul p pl mmu. T l
lm, w, p u ppl l xply pw. W w
l w ly w -b upp lk lk
y ply pbl l u uu-
AidA. T wul mu m ll, lu . T
y wul y bu w upp , w
y , u w; w qu w y w
. W mu u lu m pm m -b
u u b pp. I ppl, ll l p pbly
mul y m -b , bu
w p y.
. he Pschoogica-Proensit Vie
4.. A l w by -b
wy w l. T m muly w wk
Ml Bm. H p u l fu
u u u pyll mk-up: uly b, kll,
p, pp , u ml , mk u u p llw u m wu u w m
p.4 T k l -b ,
ull lb bu w . T lz
pp xpl m ; b eat
llw u p .
4.. I ubl u pyll mk-up ply mp l
xpl fu l u. Bu plu
4 S Bm (987), 6-7, 5, 60, 65-66.S Bm (987), 6-7, 5, 60, 65-66.
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L. F HREE WAYS OF SPILLING INK OMORROW
10
y mu y . F w m p z
ll bu pp. A w mu mk u m
p u u ubl u by w
u . I pul, w mu mk u f u w pyl pmmm.
4.3. H u w lp pyll-ppy w (
ppy w, ) . Sm u wk by
ll mm pyll p b.5 T u
mply ul pyll bly
pbly w. T bly w lly ll by p
m pyll mm p b p
m m l .
A p mm k m b ully p u( w m u x), bu b p
pbl u u AidA. T p p l
umy. I mpul , lu m
bpp. T p l u by xu
, bu by bly pp
pl u . T u wk
by l up m w ( -b y
m ), bu by bw . Lk y mpul ,
p mm mmly p jum bu w . T b u b m ( ll) ly by
mp w uly ppy.
4.4. A b ppy wul lm
mk nabe w . I ul m
ppy , bu lwy p
, ly l . I , ppy mu
b jum-, b m m pylly
pyll lk b, p, bw,
yp.
5 S Sp (00): Rul mlly p m wll b m, S Sp (00): Rul mlly p m wll b m, by pylly bl wll xp [.. by ]. Hw m - wll ? F, ul m p m by ul. T bk ul wul, w, b p by ul. T pblk pbly l y ul , b uw bk ul, wul b ubl bk ul . S, ul m bl pml pyll b. A p ul m l b bl w - ml pu, u ul m, u wul b w mp
bk ul.
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108
RAIONALIY IN BELIEF AND ACION
T mp m ll u pblm. T u w
ppy p l
- . O mp u pp
l pbl l lly . A ppl, bu u pyll mk-up, w ,
yplly pu b ul u uu y: ul w
actve ppy by u p , w ully l
.
4.5. T lu, w, pblm. I m u llw u
p umm, bastc pm. I y
bll pm pm xly m u
ul l pyl p, u w. T pp
by mp w pp w p w k p. W w u wy, p p w l
ly p w, by m xl mp (
, by p pyl b p mpl w). A
ppy llw u p , , lwy
b rect ppup l mm b p . T
mply by ly p . T m
ll m l l ul pp
pbl fu p l u. T l
, w, x ly w stops ppy,
ml ul. A ppl, u
p . T p , y, m-p : I p by ul,
bu l m mm up. I w, l
pl lk yw. yplly, yw ul ply ul m
uly pyll p, bu uully bl k l
yw ly p w .
A Bm ml ly mk, mlly l
l w w m [ ] m. Fllw u w
pl , ll, lk llw u w w.6
I m m-py llu b, p m
w, u pu x l l
- . T m-py yw- ppy w l
qum umy. I u p ,
mlly l b ul .
W b p x uu u, by wy u
ul absence l . T u, my w, j
6 Bm (999), 60.Bm (999), 60.
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L. F HREE WAYS OF SPILLING INK OMORROW
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mp ppy w. (Fum, w u
m AidA w llw u p ply,
b pm u w mul l y .)
4.6. N pu u I bu yw-w Bm. T () Bm ppl pyll pp
xpl m , (b) xpl
bu m-p u , b m llw
qu.
Nf p yplly l
l m . R, f
p yplly mly absence
, b xpl by ppl l
l b p.7
Dp xpl m m-py ,
l w k pp b l pp
llw u p ly w yw. T l p
m mply by u . I pbl, l
ppl, kp p u p
m u m (w pmy
p ). F, b u
. S, b m, u
p . I upp bl
m, by . M,
m b m pyll py
. I , p mu b up lu
b pbl bj . G pl
p bw , m m-py
l, wl l p pbly b
ly p p umy.
T lu l p pbly ppy w
ppl w pp, uly ,
uly . T wul mp ly w
yw. Bu ly, ul ly l w u
AidA. T bu y wul b u,
bu u lm m y up pp uly
w p mpbl w umy.
N lkly , bu b m l p u
7 Bm (987), 6, mp.Bm (987), 6, mp.
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110
RAIONALIY IN BELIEF AND ACION
pp, b b bu ppy w m
pll l xpl ll m.
. An Incsive Accont o Ftre-Directed Decisions
5.. I pu , I w lm w
. T m mm pblm my w l z
l bu y. T w u
wy u m y l
l-l, u mpul pmmm. I k f
uully u, m y u
u uu- . Ty mply l pp y lly
u .
T u ll . Sm w u b (u
l w, G-mmu,
ppy w) u wy mk uly m
m l l-l. T w, w, u m pblm.
E u, ully k, u p
l y . I w mp lz y u
ll uu- , wul mp ullly
ul xpl ly m . A b,
w y ul mmy u l bu w wul lu w
ull lb w; bu lwy . Lkw, w
m uly G-mmu w uu l; bu
lwy . Flly, w pyll pp xpl
; bu ll pp wk wy.
O m mp lz w by k m ll u
ul mm pbl AidA, bu m b z
u by ly w pm u G
mmu pyll pp. T ublm
m, w, p w ll xply pw. T
w wul mply pblm, by ll u wy w
m m l l-l, ll u ow y
p y.
5.. A u, w wul k xply mp,
mb l u m pm w m
mp y. T pbl, mpbly bw
mm l , G-mmu, pyll
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L. F HREE WAYS OF SPILLING INK OMORROW
111
ppy. D mm m b wk x. E
mm wul b k lz AidA, yp y
u uu- . T mb w wul
p. Hw, lk ll ju b by m mb y bu ll u, mb w xplly wk. W lk
ppl wy m w mm ul u lz AidA
wy.
I m pp, I wll u wy pu m z
u mm pp ul AidA, m
mx-b--k u . I wll p mw ux
wy. All u ump uu-
b eectve fu uu u. Cy
ump, I wll u pmy u ul b uml uu AidA, l p w, w x,
uu- bu AidA l l l
u. A my y, qu k w w
k y w mlly w uu-
w lk uu- w pw fu
uu u. I wll u AIDA p . T
lm wll lp u b u u u bu
uu- y, w u wll lp u
ppl wy mk py mm b uby w .
5.3. L u pll k u u. L m I m
w upp l lu mw llw
l (I wll S). Im ll l
bly my uu k-pll ly bl m ly
w, bu l y m m w ul mw. T m w
I my qu w I ul mw lu,
mmly l m b ly lbl I
u pll k.
I lk , lly m w my l
mw mk my uu u. G l
lwy mmly ly bl m, w I
m w I m , I mply ul mmly
lz I m . T lz fu by y pu m
bu w - , m x y fu
uu m uu u. T ly w m mk
, p m w I m now. I
, m w -
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112
RAIONALIY IN BELIEF AND ACION
present- mmly xu w. T l ,
, xu. I mly m I u . I p,
l m y m bu -
I m mk bw m l m .G , Hum ly mk, wll fu ly p
(, III..5) m fu
uu . E m xu pw ly m
w I m at te tme o tat assessment( , w mmly
y w my uu k-pll).
5.4. N S, umy p. F, I x
l bu my m my u b m
l l m . S, l x
b m p l, -mpul m . Tm umy, w l AidA, qu
uu- x y k xu pw uu m
, m . I ul m up
umy u S, u m m
l m upp ul l m
.
5.5. I llw I w w w S ml
uy u u uu- u l l
l wl. B , w, I mu u
ll y. I ul b u S b u ml wk
l-wl bu m pbl lm
u uu- ; mly, py uu-
sette w uu.
5.6. T u l qu w . Cl
l uu (
bluly by ul) u w . I ubl m
S. I S, qu w lwy ull m m. I , l --m l
w ; mm mk uu
ulkly mpbl.
5.7. T , w, ulmly m uml w
qu w b l. T qu l
w bly u , u
w xp uu -. Nmlly, w k u pu
y , w u pu by .
Bu S w u wu w lm. I S,
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L. F HREE WAYS OF SPILLING INK OMORROW
113
uu- l w wll . I l u
aent s sette , w ulmly w lly m.
I S, u m upp w y m
qu w . T, b b l - l uu- m fu,
ly, - . T lbly p wll ,
ulyeectve uu- . T m , l u pl
lk S, - b pu m
p mpl transmsson preservaton l m. N u
m p y u m bw
m m m. T m b muully l
y b l -. T m bw m
um muul fu m, bu ul pp u, z., u mpl lu
- . T m w bu y p
pp m .
5.8. T lu pu u k l b
l - l l bl mpl stabt b
() mpl upp - , (b) py pp
. T bly u mb w
. O , l u w
bl u x p puu u (y, xmpl pll k, kp pp u
x upbly, b lu, .).
O , w m b ll lb . T
w G Wl ll u uy
w b m pl m. 8 T
lb k bu p k lb,
l/mpl , w ju pll k
mw.
Tu, l m mp by blyb uu pp ,
k p m w p bu uu u,mly, wll lly
xu pw. T w, lk S, uu-
( w uu- by qu) b k u
lbl p bu uu u (by mk pbl
w x p uu -).
8 Wl (000), 8.Wl (000), 8.
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114
RAIONALIY IN BELIEF AND ACION
5.9. O pbl pblm w p u l p
wl m xp kl. T bu,
w wl m bu w , ppuy
pbly m bu w . Nl, l b bly pp bl,
wy wll m m m
. Nl, umy qu b
ppuy , w w mk , by xp
l ppl by m. T , w,
y p w py jy umy
AidA. (T y ll u w p w py, w
mp qu, bu b pp.)9 I y
, ul b kl p my u
uu- . I p y u l
l , x u mpul . T u
pmmm , mu u uu- , lwy
ulm p m . T
ppl lwy u , w l . T ly wy
py uu p k by
j x l m pyl , by k
ly pbl ulbl u ul mm.
5.0. T mp bu lu I m xpl. I
, pl S, u AidA
u uu- ly l, -xu m
m u ump bly. Bu w ll u bu uu-
AidA l? W I u u S, pl
. O m b u mp
u ml AidA. T mpl. T pu
u uu- AidA m S b y
b ppl ll u. T bu u
Sz., p muully l, -xu m
bku bl reatve ea y w k b u uu-
. T l z ppl l y .
F, llw u w bw b m y.
T xlu bwAidA u u
AidA ly k y m by l llu
byS. N u l m, , l l-l pylly
mm pmmm. S, l ppl u w
9 F m x u u, my Pl Iy D Ay (m).F m x u u, my Pl Iy D Ay (m).
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L. F HREE WAYS OF SPILLING INK OMORROW
11
z w p ll mm m w I
l ll mb w, .., m ju xpl
by m pm . I w pbl u
mm bu pbly qully uul lm blk u p l AidA.
5.. B ul my ppl, I l bj
l , l bly ly. T bj
uully w um bly. G um b
pu , wk pp b u
mp u bly, u y u u
m. T, bj u, u k
wk xluly, l pmly, u bly
ly.I bj b u mu
uml l u uu- AidA. I mk
k wk u bly. R,
bly pupp u uu- . H, m
AidA manestaton uly bly ly.
5.. Vllm wy , by ly bl ly, m
lz bu y.30 T
wy , w, ly m w mb w u : ()
uu- necessar bu y
l l uu u, (b) u l mu b ml
xp uu ly. I k y w ,
mkly y m w l, u pmmm,
plly xp bly by mp
p u . Gu uu-
b u w ml l, lu m lu,
w u bpp l- mpul xp uu
ly.
My bw ml l ul
b p l y bu . My p ly
bu y ( l u l S)
30 C Vllm (997), 46 w u mk uy mmm by pC Vllm (997), 46 w u mk uy mmm by p xly u mpbly bw u p uu l. T bu by p xly mmm uk lly wul lwy b by l lb l l, w wul ly mz w w m mmm l uk. Bu xly wul lp xpl u ul py uu- mmm; wul mly w wy l f w u
u py l.
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11
RAIONALIY IN BELIEF AND ACION
ml. A w mk bu, bu
ly bku bly, ly m
actate uu pp bl .
I y bly, I m u bly ,m b k lwy . My p p ly bly
pupp pul AidA u y ump
u pul . A u w mu b
pl um u bly b xu w l mu
b l .3 Flly, I mk lm bu w quly w
ly bly ly. F my p pup, I ju
w bw (w xp bly)
mpul ml l l l-l (w xp bly).
I u u um u m p ubl, u AidA b qu , pbly m w
lly u. Bu wul b pblm my u, w
y bu w w bly.3
. A Pschoogica Pasie Accont
6.. L w w w mk pl S l
u uu- AidA -lz um.
T bw S ml u l l
bly, w I lm pu l
u AidA. W mk S uuul ump y m
lly mmly mpl upp
- . T w llw S b bl p lb m
w qu w . O u, m
b xp m ul . T mpl - uully
3 S my Pl Iy D Ay (m).S my Pl Iy D Ay (m).3 T wT wAidA ppl l p jubl l p, p, lu m l .T ypl bly. A w l p u pul mpl uu u , l pbl m l . T (lk x puzzl) w b a bl beore ully ppuy , ly pp , b b, ul l . A my w, p qu w u AIDA u . I mplly ubl lyu, llw m my y u uu- . Hw, y ly w b bl , I m mm lm u uu-
.
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L. F HREE WAYS OF SPILLING INK OMORROW
11
qu xpu u, lu m. T p
ull lb wul pu ubbl lb
u. A lk S u m AidA pu
C uu . I w u ll AidA, w,w wul b w Hul lb pw, w
u w .
6.. I llw , I wll w w w lm lb u
ly lk u uAidA. W , I wll u,
x w ly pyll mm, qu, llw u
m lm -mpul , , kp w
p mpl pu m AidA xmpl S: I p
wl mm p ull bl .
6.3. A p w m lu pyllly plubl u wy bu assessments I lm ul b w
m. T m u b wly
p xplly jum u b . Ty
b u bly. Ty m b u
kwlm lu -. Uully, kwlm
xb w ul xpl
upp . T b m kwlm
mm p k my w
m ppl. T p pmly m n w u u, ly u xplly mul
jum. W I pk u , I ly m
at te tme o te assessment p u qu by
(y, m m w w uu
-, k ply lbl y m, mk ppy m,
k wul mk uu - ly, ju l ul
u uub w - , .). My
w qu wl m b xplly
uly jum u . R, qu wl -mpul kwlm - n
p ml bly u.
N mmeac p mk p
m umy. T mmy b w
p u ul mpul. Aumu
p k rectresponsbt u
ul mm jum-y u, b
w takn o steps to te eect tat u wll b m
m ppl.
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118
RAIONALIY IN BELIEF AND ACION
. Meor and Decisions
7.. A lz S wl mpl
m m . Uuly, lly u
lm lk u. Ulk Hul lb, w ul
rescover mpl . I lz ,
p kwlm pu wl b scover
o assent to . T lm kwlm x
lm y . I pu y b p
m, bu wl wll b lm assentn, w buly mu
l ly. T bu bu pbl uly
mmy, .., uly p l w
w y qu .33
7.. T u wy pu l mmy AidA mk
lbl um p lb, w ly
kwl mpl . A l , w
qu w , mply ul p
lu ly. I mp k mmy a
uu- . W lb, lu ( ), ,
mmb m , . T m b mpl,
w. b w, S wy qu p
pp. W bu p m u
by ? T mmy p pyll event( my p lb m m) by l y mm b w I m
w. A m, I k b , lu
I k u my p lb w I m w.
A l w pu mmy b bu p pyll -,
wy . Bu w mmy pmly bu u p
ml y. W mmy m p
jum w w m, bu p jum. I
as w je b , jn
.
7.3. I mp mmy p ju--b-
-. W m pl m u
m w ul (lu bl) cam
u wy. x, S wy mpl,
lk lm m m m pyll ju.
33 F mmy uly p, w p my p m,F mmy uly p, w p my p m,
Bu (993) Ow (000).
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L. F HREE WAYS OF SPILLING INK OMORROW
11
Nl, p S wy ju. E
ju m w ul lm b mmly p,
ll p . T lm mk
m l xu p jum. Mmy ulyby w p jum x xu l m by byp
uu x l . T x l k
m assent . T kwl
, , by mmly p u m w
, .., by - .
7.4. T uly mmy p u w m,
m qu ly y, bu ly l . T
mmy lp w wl m m byAidA by
, y, ym ul ppl. Mmy p u mpl lb, bu k y l
p lb, .., acceptance lb lu. T uly
mmy, uly p m ul
mm, w lm mm
mm p mpu u m umy.
Sll, lm pl juy m
u, mu assent to lm p m.34
7.5. T p lm p by mmy m b
m w lm b w m m w m AidA. T l mmy qu Hul
lb pw. I z lb. I mml
l m kwl , uully by m. T
mply m j qu lm by mmy
by l lm u p u. N m j
lm x y. I , ly u
m, lly .
7.6. T by mmy -b-ju-,
ym ju , bu mm b eat. I w w, wul b p ly mmy. F wul b u
bu kwlm . O ul bw, w,
ul um ul qu. T
ul ulmly l l umy u
34 S Bu (999), 405: I lu u mbl p , muS Bu (999), 405: I lu u mbl p , mum ( ) reason mbl. u, l lu f ylu jum. Y w y w , uu b b bu m ly m by p jum
l w x.
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120
RAIONALIY IN BELIEF AND ACION
mpl l p l p l. T um wul b
uu. F, wul l b u p p
w k u m w ply. S,
ym mpl lm m l wul ulmly b l uu x y, wul u mly
u mpl m p wll.
7.7. T ul m p p xpl w Bm
ll , b m,
xp b eat. T m, w, llw
u p -l m, , ul p
ul m uly pyll pp ( , llw u
m p p, mm l , ubpl pyll
mm). I pm , u ul actve m , b . T l
m f ul;
mply m. W mp m u
contemporaneos p l , k mml
m p ym p , u,
ul upp lm w ply . 35
7.8. T l mmy xpl w uu- mk
uu u, x l ul , ll l,
xu uy m. T fu by bu b by mmy. T l lb p y
, y , bu u lm m u, w
ubl p m .
T fu mpbl w umy. I mpul.
Mmy u y l xu u
. I mply p ummy
l m . T mmy l jum stan-n
w ul m l lb. H,
35 D umy qu m wbly m. I ll D umy qu m wbly m. I ll wl w I ll p . T l p u p m ppl ( ly mpl -f). I mm m l y. Awbly , , b m . T u b wbl w p-ly ly p ( , l qu p m). Lkw w ply ubl ly p m ppl (y bu pu lu pylly ) m ll b wbl , xp bbl juy up x l . I y , wbly qu , ll l up m, b ly ly p
.
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L. F HREE WAYS OF SPILLING INK OMORROW
121
mmy llw kwl, lu ly, b ul
. T kwlm, , mm l
p . I k m ul p p
m - wu u .
. he re Meor o he Wi
8.. I pu , I u mb mmy
p w ul wl uully u AidA.
T y mmy l AidA. Mmy pbl
l lm b lk u. Bu ly l u x AidA, w
ppl wu mmy. A AidA p,
bu wl kwlm l, uul m . T wl m w p u m
mm p uu kwlm bl . T
kwlm w lp , bu l
AidA. T kwlm m ju wll b ly w ex no.
u Nz mu xp, u mmy wll36 qu
byAidA bly mmb p m. I blyconsstent
k u , mm, qu u
- ; u constant w umu kwlm
mplly bl, -mpul -. T xly w pp
S llu b, w wy I u
llu uu AidA pu m.
8.. T l mmy u pbl ppl, bu lly p
wll. Fuu- ly u. Ty
mk b AidA. A m m,
w y mk , b p
llu b. W m AidA umy b p
l wy. T l wl m k y
m, l y mpul. T ul wl p
p mp wy, pbly m mm , w
lm lk u AidA. Bu ly wy.37 Gu
AidA m b pu by m mm mp by l
u.
36 Nz (887).Nz (887).37 I llu m wy D, D-Aumy, D DlbI llu m wy D, D-Aumy, D Dlb
Lb (m).
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122
RAIONALIY IN BELIEF AND ACION
. A Reassessent o the raditiona Vies
9.. T l w uu- b ul l
l-l. Sm p umy u u
u AidA. Bu mk l y u
u l mp y . W y lz,
l u u w pblm. F, y pmllly
mplubl, ly p ul AidA m
xpl. S, l u l u ulm uu
AidA. A qu, y lz () mm y mp
lysome m my um l AidA;
(b) , u bl , ll um pbl.
9.. T l ul p u w. L m llu m
m . C u b -b
. T u ly m wl
kwlm . Hw, y by u
u pl , f w w
ju ly mm m lu
p lb. I w pu pm
m , -b y . T
bu f , p w p , wll
qu: W ul I w w wy? I p
, m k qul l- mm , u l bu w wul w, w
ull lb. By w ly w w pp
pl up , k l
lu lly . I pm f
, kwlm -b ul xply
llw u p . T m, w,
xpl ll AidA. k w
llulz pu u uu- ; pu
b pmllly mplubl xplly u.
T m -b b u w
y mul m enttement p by mmy.
I l , p p mpl
-b . T m ppl u ly w
ll juy l p jum. I b
ll, w, wu k u y
-b . A - p lu, by
mmy llw b rect p, -,
upp p lu. T ppl y
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L. F HREE WAYS OF SPILLING INK OMORROW
123
my -b ul w ul u
lm ly l mmy m
m p .38
9.3. T pu lu pp upp ppy w. A , u ml , wu ul y -b
. S mply l l b u by m uly ppy
p b up. H,
wu u ; wu p . T ul
p p , m lly, wk mm
-p um uly pyll
pp.
T ppy w l . T
p ppy w mul m pmm ul wk uly mmy. R,
w mk m ppl x pyll p,
b, pp mk w p .
T pblm w w ppl x uly
pyll pp uly m bw u m
mplly x y. T pyll b, p,
pp ply l y y m. T l
y , w, u p m
y. N ll wy w u pyll pp l u w u p b u u AidA. T
p m I b w I l py
yw pu w l y wl--p
pu. A b ml, - lly m by
ul pyll pp. Bu ly wl--p
p pp mu , pl-ll,
-l lm . T
lm y l pp u u
AidA. T y b wk uubl pyly. T bu b, ly bu ulm pyl
u pyll p. T ubl
umy l ll. T bu umy m
ly x b l p
38 A u pblm w m -b w, w I m wll A u pblm w m -b w, w I m wll wk, y z pl l pl pm u u mm G mmu. T k , u llly p,
l z l- uly ppy m.
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124
RAIONALIY IN BELIEF AND ACION
llw u p . T u w S
lm u.39
1. Concsion
0.. I pp, I u w u l uu-
p uu u ly by bu
m y, w I ll umu l
y AidA. T m y m mpul l
l-l (pu by pyl pmmm). A
AidA l p umy. D umy
u pm m by wl m
ull kwlm bl . I ppl, AidA qu bu uu- . Nl, bu
lm u lb u, m w u y qu
bu m bu p kwlm .
Su qu u mplm AidA ly x y
jpz uy u p bl ,
uy m by umy.
T y wy wAidA b mplm ( m mm
b p m mmy). T b ul
y y by u xluly pbl
mplm AidA. I uly, lly pl uqu mm
uly bu u uu- . W m ly
u mm lp lm b lk u w u p
umy, u u ul l pu m
AidA. E mm u ly uml u l
u AidA, z., -mpul wl kwlm bl
pl . E mm ppl pbl, ly bu
l mm m b lbl, bu l bu m b u
bl llw w ull kwlm .
A mp y uu- mu mk m
y wy w bu AidA. T u I
ul pp. I mp, w, ym uy ll
wy w AidA b mplm.40 My m
39 S (956), 04.S (956), 04.40 T um w mpy up umy u uT um w mpy up umy u u
l w m l m l mpul p k p u
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L. F HREE WAYS OF SPILLING INK OMORROW
12
b wl. F, ul w l AidA.., wl
kwlm bl , , w
uqu pl wy u l uu AidA. N
m , pu AidA, xp wu uu- l.
0.. By b l b uu umu y,
bm pbl xpl u puzzl u m
u. O w pp umu l y
qu renewa u kwlm , w lz
y m umy qu u pj b actvesstane
m. I w u k uu- wul l u
bu, w wul b up by S lm bu p m
u lu. Bu by w w ul b bl pp w uly b u u ply u wl
kwlm upp .
S l lm m ex no wl
u p . , w mp
kwlm , w I ll y p
. T y u. H, lm b lk u, w
lk Hul lb pw u, mu k
u qu p m p .
T mb p qu u uu- . W , w, mpbl lp w
bu w p . b l m bu wul
mu lqu x u m mpl y, z.,
mplly x l y m umy. I
, wl kwlm ex no. W u b u
b p ly l w u w u p
bl pl upp .4 H, mplly-x
x pj. A xmpl wul b w uu - lly mpl - bw w uu mbu w m b p ( pp -, m bl, ). I u w m mpul qu l l-l (lk l ly mm, l-u lk), wu y m l ulm u pj p u ll umy. Alu, ly pk, AidA, y b qu uul srroates . W pk l ppul wy, w m bxu k m u uu- . T ubl l wu y ju m AidA, w b p ly pm ul l umy. W w ul , , u pl mpl p ml l y,m uuly u mpy u.
4 S M (00), 8: T lu m kp bk y m. F m myS M (00), 8: T lu m kp bk y m. F m my
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12
RAIONALIY IN BELIEF AND ACION
umu w wu Hul, bu w lwy
m p Sypu.4
REFERENCES
Al, G., (99), Pcoeconomcs: Te Stratec interacton o Sccessve Motvatona States Wtn tePerson, Cmb: Cmb Uy P.
Al, G., (00), Te Breakown o W, Cmb: Cmb Uy P.
A, E., (996), R, Au, Vlu: Rpl Su Pp, Etcs, 06, 538-544.
Bm, M., (987), intenton, Pans an Practca Reason, Cmb: H Uy P.
Bm, M., (999), aces o intentons, Cmb: Cmb Uy P.
Bu, ., (993), C P, Te Posopca Revew, 0, 457-488.
Bu, S., (999), W Pl R Mu B I W A F Ou R, Astraasan Jornao Posop, 77, 399-4.
C, H-N., (975),(975), Tnkn an don: te Posopca onatons o instttons, D:Rl.
C, G.A., (996), R, Humy Ml Lw, K, C., (.), Te Sorces oNormatvt, Cmb: Cmb Uy P, 996.
D, D., (980), Essas on Actons an Events, Ox: Ox Uy P.
El, J., (979), usses an te Srens, Cmb: Cmb Uy P.F, L., Pl Iy D Ay (m).
F, L., D, D-Aumy, D Dlb Lb (m).
F, J., (987), Pscosemantcs, Cmb: MI P.
Hm, E., (003), u D Ay, Nos, 37, 5-5.
Hl, R., (999), I Wk Wll,Jorna o Posop, 96, 4-6.
Jy, J., (999), Te onatons o Casa decson Teor, Cmb Nw Yk: CmbUy P.
K, I., (797),Metapsca Prncpes o Vrte, Cmb Uy P, 996.
lu b m w I my b p, bu I mu z lu ly x y b p I u . Amy m ppl wbl w I l m u .Ty w bu m qu pl ly ly my l pl .4 El pp b p Uy Rjk, UCLA, APA E D-El pp b p Uy Rjk, UCLA, APA E D- M. I k u bk m. I k El B, Cl Bl,yl Bu, Bb Hm, Pml Hym, A Jm, S Kly, C K, RulKum, G Lw, R M, Jm Py, F Sul lubl u m. Pul Sl kly lp w pp l mup. T b pp b plly u by Uy W Mlwuk Gu Sl
R Aw.
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L. F HREE WAYS OF SPILLING INK OMORROW
Ky, A., (963),Acton, Emoton an W, L: Rul.
MCl, E., (990), Ratonat an dnamc Coce, Cmb: Cmb Uy P.
MCl, E., (997), Pm Rly Rul, Posop an Pbc Aars, 6, 0-58.
M, R., (00), Atort an Estranement, An Essa on Se-Knowee, P: PUy P.
Nz, F., (887), On te geneao o Morat, Ipl: Hk, 998.
Ow, D., (000), Reasons wtot reeom, L: Rul.
Pk, ., (996), Te Pscoo o reeom, Cmb: Cmb Uy P.
Rl, H., (000), Te Scence o Se-Contro, Cmb: H Uy P.
R, C., (998), Te Bons o Aenc, P: P Uy P.
Rul, B., (997),Mn n Acton, Nw Yk: Ox Uy P.
S, J.P., (956), Ben an Notnness, Nw Yk: Pk Bk.
Sll, ., (980), Te Strate o Confct, Cmb: H Uy P.Sp, S., (00), Jul C, Posopca isses, , 530-57.
Sbl, J.H., (994), Uul I akn Cances, Cmb Uy P.
Vllm, D., (989), Practca Refecton, P: P Uy P.
Vllm, D., (997), D Hw D, Cully, G. Gu, B., (.), Etcs an PractcaReason, Ox Uy P, (997). Rp Vllm, D., (000), Te Possbt oPractca Reason, Ox: Ox Uy P.
Wl, G., (000), Pxml Pl F, Posopca Stes, 99, 3-9.