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Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics

Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics

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Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics. Oskar Morgenstern (1902-1977) John von Neumann (1903-1957) John Nash (b. 1930). Nash-Equilibrium. Arbitrarily many players each has arbitrarily many strategies there always exists an equilibrium solution no player can improve payoff by deviating - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics

Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics

Page 2: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics
Page 3: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics
Page 4: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics
Page 5: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics
Page 6: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics
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Oskar Morgenstern (1902-1977)John von Neumann (1903-1957)

John Nash (b. 1930)

Page 12: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics

Nash-Equilibrium

• Arbitrarily many players

• each has arbitrarily many strategies

• there always exists an equilibrium solution

• no player can improve payoff by deviating

• each strategy best reply to the others

Page 13: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics

Nash equilibria can be ‚inefficient‘

game Dilemma Prisoners'

mequilibriuNash only theis ),(

015D

510C

DC

D and C strategies

not or euro) 5cost own (at player -coon

euro 15confer can player each :gameDonation

DD

Page 14: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics

John Maynard Smith (1920-2004)

Page 15: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics

• Population of players

(not necessarily rational)

• Subgroups meet and interact

• Strategies: Types of behaviour

• Successful strategies spread in population

Evolutionary Game Theory

Page 16: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics

Population setting

Page 17: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics

Population Dynamics

Page 18: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics

Example: Moran Process

Page 19: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics

Discrete time

Page 20: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics

Continuous time

Page 21: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics

Replicator Dynamics

so remainsit ,homogenous is population if

allfor 0)( then0)0( if

imitationor einheritanc throughspread strategies

population of evolution predicts

ttxx ii

Page 22: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics

Replicator dynamics and Nash equilibria

Page 23: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics

Replicator equation

))())((()(

invariant equ. leaves of columns toconstants adding

))((

jij

i

j

i

Tiii

AxAxx

x

x

x

A

AxxAxxx

Page 24: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics

Replicator equation for n=2

)0 i.e. 1, and 0 between (provided

and 1,0for points fixed

])()[1(

0

0ly equivalentor

1 ,

2221

1211

21

abxba

axxx

xbaaxxx

b

a

aa

aa

xxxx

Page 25: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics

Replicator equation for n=2

• Dominance

• Bistability

• stable coexistence

Page 26: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics

Example dominance

s)cooperator of (freq. 0

05

5-0

lyequivalentor

015

5-10

Dilemma) s(Prisoner' gameDonation

x

Page 27: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics

Vampire Bat (Desmodus rotundus)

Page 28: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics

Vampire Bat (Desmodus rotundus)

Page 29: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics

Vampire Bats

Blood donation as a Prisoner‘s Dilemma?

Wilkinson, Nature 1990

The trait should vanish

Repeated Interactions? (or kin selection?)

Page 30: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics

Example bistability

AllD and TFT Strategies

game previous of roundssix play

Dilemma sPrisoner' Iterated

Page 31: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics

Example bistability

Tat)Tit For of (frequ. 1or 0

045-

5-0

lyequivalentor

015

5-60

Dilemmas Prisoner'Iterated

xx

Page 32: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics

Example coexistence

Page 33: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics

Example coexistence

Page 34: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics

Innerspecific conflicts

Ritual fighting

Konrad Lorenz:

…arterhaltende Funktion

Page 35: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics

Maynard Smith and Price, 1974:

Page 36: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics

Example neutrality

(drift) points fixed are points all

6060

6060

round each in cooperate all

ALLC of that 1 TFT, offrequency

Dilemmas Prisoner'iterated

xx

Page 37: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics

If n=3 strategies

• Example: Rock-Paper-Scissors

Page 38: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics
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Rock-Paper-Scissors

/3)(1/3,1/3,1 mequilibriu Nash Unique

011-S

1-01P

11-0R

SPR

matrix Payoff

Page 43: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics

Rock-Paper-Scissors

dynamics Replicator

011-

1-01

11-0

matrix Payoff

Page 44: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics

Generalized Rock-Paper-Scissors

z

ba

ab

ba

A

mequilibriu Nash Unique

1321

0

0

0

21

31

32

Page 45: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics

Generalized Rock-Paper-Scissors

Page 46: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics

Bacterial Game Dynamics

Escherichia coli

Type A: wild type

Page 47: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics

Bacterial Game Dynamics

Escherichia coli

Type A: wild typeType B: mutant producing colicin

(toxic) and an immunity protein

Page 48: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics

Bacterial Game Dynamics

Escherichia coli

Type A: wild typeType B: mutant producing colicin

(toxic) and an immunity proteinType C: produces only the immunity

protein

Page 49: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics

Bacterial Game Dynamics

Escherichia coli

Rock-Paper-Scissors cycleNot permanent!Serial transfer (from flask to flask):only one type can survive!(Kerr et al, Nature 2002)

Page 50: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics

Mating behavior

• Uta stansburiana (lizards)

• (Sinervo and Lively, Nature, 1998)

Page 51: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics
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Mating behavior

• males: 3 morphs (inheritable)

Page 53: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics
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Rock-Paper-Scissors in Nature

• males: 3 morphs (inheritable)

• A: monogamous, guards female

Page 55: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics

Rock-Paper-Scissors in Nature

• males: 3 morphs (inheritable)

• A: monogamous, guards female

• B: polygamous, guards harem (less efficiently)

Page 56: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics

Rock Paper Scissors in human interactions

• Example: three players divide some goods

• Any pair forms a majority

• Shifting coalitions

Page 57: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics

Phase portraits of Replicator equations:

attractors chaotic

cycleslimit severalor one

1,...,1

)(

Volterra-Lotka with equiv.

classif. no 4for

ni

ybryy

n

jijiii

Page 58: Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics