Elmore County - 1

Elmore County Profile

TABLE OF CONTENT

Workforce

Labor Force Activity

Employment and Wages

Job Creation and Net Job Flows

Underemployment and Available Labor

Commuting Patterns

Workforce Report Link

GDP & Employment Forecasts

Socio-Demographics

Population Characteristics and Projections

Housing

Per Capita Income

Education

Poverty

Occupations

High-Demand Occupations

Fast-Growing Occupations

High-Earning Occupations

Transportation Maps

Elmore County - 2

WORKFORCE

Labor Force Activity

Elmore County's civilian labor force averaged 36,075 workers in 2015, down 1.3 percent from 2014 (Table 1). Employment fell slower as the county's economy is recovering, declining 0.6 percent to 34,236. From 2014 to 2015, county unemployment rate declined from 5.7 percent to 5.1 percent, as the number of employed residents fell more slowly than the labor force. The county's unemployment rate was lower than the average unemployment rate across the state and the country during the last year.

Labor Force Employed Unemployed RateElmore County 36,550 34,455 2,095 5.7%Alabama 2,161,313 2,014,284 147,029 6.8%United States 155,922,000 146,305,000 9,617,000 6.2%

Labor Force Employed Unemployed RateElmore County 36,075 34,236 1,839 5.1%Alabama 2,146,157 2,015,189 130,968 6.1%United States 157,130,000 148,834,000 8,296,000 5.3%

Source: Alabama Department of Labor and U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Table 1. Elmore County Labor Force InformationYear 2014

Year 2015

The 2015 average unemployment rate in Elmore County was still higher than the levels seen 10 years ago in 2006. The lowest level of county's unemployment rate for the past decade was 3.3 percent in 2007. The unemployment rate increased modestly due to the last recession, reaching a peak of 9.5 percent in 2009, but started to decline afterwards.

3.0%

6.5%

10.0%

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Figure 1. Elmore County Unemployment Rate

Source: Alabama Department of Labor and U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Elmore County - 3

Employment and Wages

The Retail Trade industry sector was the leading employer in Elmore County with 3,265 jobs in the second quarter of 2015, followed by Manufacturing with 2,594 jobs (Table 2). Rounding out the top five industries by employment were Educational Services; Health Care and Social Assistance; and Accommodation and Food Services. These five industries provided 12,213 jobs, 66 percent of the county total employment.

The average monthly wage across all industries in the county was $2,736. Two of the top five industries–Manufacturing and Educational Services–paid more than this average. Overall, the highest average monthly wages were in Utilities ($5,296); Information ($4,296); and Manufacturing ($4,186). Accommodation and Food Services paid the least at $1,166 per month.

Share Rank

11 Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting 156 0.84% 15 $4,131 $2,717

21 Mining 62 0.33% 20 $2,905 $2,839

22 Utilities 152 0.82% 16 $5,296 $3,364

23 Construction 673 3.63% 8 $3,238 $2,749

31-33 Manufacturing 2,594 13.98% 2 $4,186 $2,747

42 Wholesale Trade 151 0.81% 17 $4,113 $3,992

44-45 Retail Trade 3,265 17.60% 1 $1,875 $1,326

48-49 Transportation and Warehousing 215 1.16% 13 $3,565 $2,896

51 Information 121 0.65% 18 $4,296 $3,816

52 Finance and Insurance 452 2.44% 10 $3,656 $2,305

53 Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 183 0.99% 14 $2,351 $1,855

54 Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services 462 2.49% 9 $3,581 $2,072

55 Management of Companies and Enterprises 85 0.46% 19 $2,334 $4,467

56 Administrative and Support and Waste

Management and Remediation Services 382 2.06% 12 $2,383 $1,943

61 Educational Services 2,225 11.99% 3 $2,959 $1,265

62 Health Care and Social Assistance 2,146 11.56% 4 $2,678 $1,879

71 Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation 1,326 7.15% 7 $2,544 $1,978

72 Accommodation and Food Services 1,983 10.69% 5 $1,166 $1,057

81 Other Services (except Public Administration) 384 2.07% 11 $2,173 $1,772

92 Public Administration 1,539 8.29% 6 $2,961 $1,798

ALL INDUSTRIES 18,557 100% $2,736 $1,734

Note: Employment and wage data include both full-time and part-time employees. Average monthly new hire earnings could include earnings for less than a full month of employment. Source: Alabama Department of Labor and U.S. Census Bureau.

Table 2. Elmore County Employment and Wages (2nd Quarter 2015)

Industry by 2-digit NAICS CodeTotal

Employment

Average Monthly

Wage

Average Monthly New

Hire Wages

Elmore County - 4

Based on broad industry classification, service providing industries accounted for 72.9 percent of all jobs in Elmore County in the second quarter of 2015. Goods producing industries contributed 18.8 percent and 8.3 percent of all jobs were in public administration (Figure 2).

8.3%

72.9%

18.8%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Public Administration

Service Providing

Goods Producing

Figure 2. Elmore County Employment Distribution

Source: Alabama Department of Labor and U.S. Census Bureau.

Employment in Elmore County averaged 17,731 quarterly from the second quarter of 2009 through the second quarter of 2015 (Figure 3). Over the past six years, the number of quarterly jobs varied from a high of 18,557 in the second quarter of 2015 to a low of 16,985 in the first quarter of 2010.

16,000

17,500

19,000

Figure 3. Elmore County Employment

Source: Alabama Department of Labor and U.S. Census Bureau.

Elmore County - 5

Job Creation and Net Job Flows

On average, 724 new jobs were created per quarter in Elmore County from the second quarter of 2009 to the second quarter of 2015. The number of new jobs reported were created either by new area businesses or through the expansion of existing firms. Figure 4 shows that job creation has improved during this time period, increasing to 884 jobs in the second quarter of 2015. Quarterly net job flows, or the difference between employment in the current and prior quarter at all businesses, averaged 98 over the last six years (Figure 5). During this time period, net job flows in Elmore County have ranged from a quarterly loss of 170 in the third quarter of 2009 to a quarterly gain of 716 in the fourth quarter of 2013.

300

700

1,100

1,500

Figure 4. Elmore County Job Creation

Source: Alabama Department of Labor and U.S. Census Bureau.

-300

100

500

900

Figure 5. Elmore County Job Flows

Source: Alabama Department of Labor and U.S. Census Bureau.

Elmore County - 6

Underemployment and Available Labor

Elmore County had an underemployment rate of 21.7 percent in 2015. Applying this rate to March 2016 labor force data means that 7,436 employed residents were underemployed (Table 3). Adding the unemployed gives a total available labor pool of 9,301 for the county. This pool is 5.0 times the number of unemployed.

Labor force 36,071Employed 34,206Underemployment rate 21.7%Underemployed workers 7,436Unemployed 1,865Available labor pool 9,301

Table 3. Elmore County Available Labor

Note: Rounding errors may be present. Based on March 2016 labor force data and 2015 underemployment rates. Source: Center for Business and Economic Research, The University of Alabama and Alabama Department of Labor.

Commuting Patterns

In 2014, there were 12,732 fewer in-commuters than out-commuters in Elmore County (Table 4). The one-way commute in 2015 took less than 20 minutes for 32.6 percent of workers, but more than 40 minutes for 15.2 percent. About 56.5 percent of all workers spent 20 to 60 minutes, almost the same share as in 2014. The 2015 commute was less than 10 miles for 31.7 percent of workers, while 46.3 percent traveled 10 to 25 miles. About 19.5 percent of workers traveled more than 25 miles one-way, with .0 percent exceeding 45 miles. The 65.9 percent traveling at least 10 miles one-way in 2015 was down from 67.5 percent in 2014.

Number Percent Number Percent

10,370 100.0 23,102 100.0

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 201557.6 41.8 35.1 41.2 37.0 32.627.1 43.6 49.1 33.3 43.5 41.311.9 12.7 12.3 11.8 13.0 15.20.0 1.8 1.8 2.0 0.0 0.0

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 201547.4 29.1 30.4 28.9 30.2 31.736.8 43.6 39.3 51.1 44.2 46.314.0 25.5 23.2 15.6 23.3 19.51.8 1.8 3.6 0.0 0.0 0.0

Note: Rounding errors may be present. Respondents that did not indicate their travel time are not included.Source: U.S. Census Bureau and Center for Business and Economic Research, The University of Alabama.

Less than 10 miles10 to 25 miles25 to 45 milesMore than 45 miles

More than an hour

Average commute distance (one-way)

40 minutes to an hour

Percent of workers

Less than 20 minutes20 to 40 minutes

Table 4. Elmore County Commuting Patterns Inflow, 2014 Outflow, 2014

Average commute time (one-way) Percent of workers

Workforce Report Link

The workforce report for the county is available at: http://www2.labor.alabama.gov/workforcedev/WorkforceReports

Elmore County - 7

GDP & EMPLOYMENT FORECASTS

CBER forecasts improvement in nonfarm employment in Elmore County with a 2.1 percent increase for 2016. County inflation-adjusted (real) gross domestic product (GDP) is expected to rise by 2.5 percent this year. In comparison, statewide nonfarm employment and real GDP are forecasted to increase by 1.7 percent and 2.3 percent, respectively.

Table 5. Elmore County GDP and Nonfarm Employment Forecasts, 2016Nonfarm

Employment Forecast,

Real GDP Forecast,

Rank, Employment

Rank, Real GDP

Percent Percent Forecast ForecastElmore County 2.1 2.5 4 18Alabama 1.7 2.3 -- --Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Alabama Department of Labor, and Center for Business and Economic Research, The University of Alabama, February 2016. SOCIO-DEMOGRAPHICS

Population Characteristics and Projections

The county population estimate of 81,468 for 2015 is 2.7 percent more than was recorded in the 2010 census (Table 6). Elmore County's population is projected to grow 5.9 percent in this decade to 83,991 by 2020. The 2015 population was 75.7 percent white and 21.3 percent black. About 2.8 percent of county population were of Hispanic origin.

2000 2010 2015 2010-2015 2020 2010-2020 Census Census Estimate Change Projection Change

Elmore County 65,874 79,303 81,468 2.7% 83,991 5.9%

Alabama 4,447,100 4,779,736 4,858,979 1.7% 4,940,438 3.4%

United States 281,424,600 308,745,538 318,857,056 3.3% 334,503,000 8.3%

Table 6. Elmore County Population

Source: Center for Business and Economic Research, The University of Alabama and U.S. Census Bureau.

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Census Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate

Population 79,303 79,983 80,392 80,808 80,977 81,468White alone 61,321 61,047 61,288 61,564 61,508 61,699Black alone 15,985 16,786 16,868 16,972 17,182 17,381Hispanic 2,129 2,183 2,156 2,199 2,215 2,293

Population, percent 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%White alone, percent 77.3% 76.3% 76.2% 76.2% 76.0% 75.7%Black alone, percent 20.2% 21.0% 21.0% 21.0% 21.2% 21.3%

Hispanic, percent 2.7% 2.7% 2.7% 2.7% 2.7% 2.8%

Table 7. Elmore County Population by Race and Hispanic Origin

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division and Center for Business and Economic Research, The University of Alabama.

Elmore County - 8

Housing

Housing units in Elmore County totaled 33,570 in 2015, of which 13.3 percent, or 4,478 units, were vacant. The number of occupied housing units rose by 782 (2.8 percent) between 2010 and 2015. Home ownership in the county was 75.6 percent and the median value of owner-occupied housing units was $143,800, according to the 2010-2014 estimates (Table 8).

Table 8. Elmore County Selected Housing Data2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Total housing units 32,668 32,767 32,889 33,091 33,324 33,570 Occupied 28,311 28,396 28,502 28,677 28,879 29,092

Change 86 106 175 202 213Percent change 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7%

Vacant 4,357 4,371 4,387 4,414 4,445 4,478Units in multi-unit structures* 7.7%Home ownership rate* 75.6%Owner-occupied, median value* $143,800* 2010-2014 American Community Survey 5-year estimates.

Source: U.S. Census Bureau and Center for Business and Economic Research, The University of Alabama.

Per Capita Income

Elmore County per capita income (PCI) was $36,528 in 2014, up about 15.3 percent from 2007 (Figure 6). This PCI was $984 less than Alabama's average PCI of $37,512, or 2.6 percent lower.

$31,682 $33,469 $33,104 $34,089 $35,190 $35,597 $35,390 $36,528

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Figure 6. Elmore County Per Capita Income

Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and Center for Business and Economic Research, The University of Alabama.

Poverty

Most current estimates indicated that 14.4 percent of the county's population lives in poverty, which is higher than 2010 poverty estimates of 12.5 percent. Elmore County poverty rate is lower than the statewide rate of 19.2 percent.

12.5

13.8 13.813.4

14.4

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Figure 7. Elmore County Poverty Rate

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates Program.

Elmore County - 9

Education

Looking at educational attainment, 87.2 percent of Elmore County's 25 and over population had at least a high school education compared to the state's 83.7 percent, according to the 2010-2014 estimates. Among county residents aged 25 and over, 21.4 percent held a bachelor's or higher degree, below the 23.1 percent statewide average.

Table 9. Elmore County Educational Attainment for the Population 25 Years and OverTotal 53,964

High school graduate or higher 47,040 Bachelor’s degree or higher 11,549

High school graduate or higher, rate 87.2% Bachelor’s degree or higher, rate 21.4%No schooling completed 256 High school graduate/equivalent 19,002Nursery to 4th grade 80 Some college, less than 1 year 3,1255th and 6th grade 299 Some college, 1+ years, no degree 8,6757th and 8th grade 1,012 Associate degree 4,6899th grade 1,029 Bachelor’s degree 7,25310th grade 1,425 Master’s degree 3,44511th grade 1,519 Professional school degree 56312th grade, no diploma 1,304 Doctorate degree 288

Source: Center for Business and Economic Research, The University of Alabama, and U.S. Census Bureau,

American Community Survey, 2010-2014 5-year estimates.

Colleges and Universities

Elmore County has one community college, which serves incarcerated adults and eligible parolees.

Table 10. Elmore County Colleges and UniversitiesFour-year public institutionsNone approved or recognized by ACHE

Community collegesJ.F. Ingram State Technical College(Serves only incarcerated adults and eligible parolees)

Private colleges and universitiesNone approved or recognized by ACHE

Source: Alabama Commission on Higher Education (ACHE).http://www.ache.state.al.us/Content/CollegesUniversities/Directory.aspxhttp://www.istc.edu

Elmore County - 10

OCCUPATIONS

High-Demand Occupations

Table 11 shows the top 40 occupations ranked by projected demand for jobs. The top five high-demand occupations are Team Assemblers; Registered Nurses; General and Operations Managers; Personal Care Aides; and Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses. Overall, 15 of the high-demand occupations are also fast-growing.

TotalDue to

GrowthDue to

SeparationsTeam Assemblers 255 165 90Registered Nurses 145 75 70General and Operations Managers 85 40 50Personal Care Aides* 60 55 5Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses 55 30 25Home Health Aides* 45 30 15Carpenters 35 25 10Medical Assistants 30 20 15First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers 30 20 10Industrial Machinery Mechanics 30 15 15Computer User Support Specialists 25 15 10Management Analysts 20 15 10Network and Computer Systems Administrators 20 10 10Healthcare Social Workers* 20 10 10Medical Secretaries* 20 15 5Construction Managers 15 10 5Cost Estimators 15 5 5Computer Systems Analysts 15 10 5Dental Hygienists* 15 10 5Radiologic Technologists 15 10 5Emergency Medical Technicians and Paramedics* 15 10 5Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers 15 5 10Training and Development Specialists 10 5 5Market Research Analysts and Marketing Specialists 10 5 5Software Developers, Applications 10 5 5Software Developers, Systems Software 10 5 5Computer Network Support Specialists* 10 5 5Architects, Except Landscape and Naval 10 5 5Physical Therapists* 10 5 5Nurse Anesthetists 10 5 5Nurse Practitioners* 10 5 5Physical Therapist Assistants* 10 5 5Logisticians 5 5 0Personal Financial Advisors 5 0 0Health Specialties Teachers, Postsecondary* 5 5 0Nursing Instructors and Teachers, Postsecondary* 5 0 0Occupational Therapists* 5 5 0Respiratory Therapists 5 5 0Diagnostic Medical Sonographers* 5 5 0Computer Numerically Controlled Machine Tool Programmers, Metal and Plastic* 5 0 0

† Workforce Development Region 7 consists of Autauga, Butler, Crenshaw, Elmore, Lowndes, and Montgomery counties.

Table 11. Region 7† Selected High-Demand Occupations (Base 2012 and Projected 2022)

Average Annual Job Openings

Note: Occupations are growth- and wages-weighted and data are rounded to the nearest 5. Occupations in bold are also high-earning.* Qualify as both high-demand and fast-growing occupations.Source: Alabama Department of Labor and Center for Business and Economic Research, The University of Alabama.

Occupation

Elmore County - 11

Fast-Growing Occupations

The 20 fastest growing occupations ranked by projected growth of employment are listed in Table 12. The top five fast-growing occupations are Personal Care Aides; Physical Therapist Assistants; Diagnostic Medical Sonographers; Home Health Aides; and Physical Therapists.

2012 2022

Personal Care Aides* 1,020 1,570 54 4.41 60

Physical Therapist Assistants* 130 190 46 3.87 10Diagnostic Medical Sonographers* 90 130 50 3.75 5Home Health Aides* 720 1040 44 3.75 45Physical Therapists* 140 200 36 3.63 10Magnetic Resonance Imaging Technologists 70 100 34 3.63 5Veterinary Technologists and Technicians 70 100 42 3.63 5Occupational Therapists* 100 140 38 3.42 5Medical Secretaries* 440 610 39 3.32 20Health Specialties Teachers, Postsecondary* 80 110 37 3.24 5Emergency Medical Technicians and Paramedics* NA NA 37 3.15 15Helpers--Electricians 230 310 36 3.03 10Nurse Practitioners* 180 240 36 2.92 10Dental Hygienists* 250 330 35 2.82 15Healthcare Social Workers* 390 510 29 2.72 20Social and Human Service Assistants 100 130 34 2.66 5Computer Network Support Specialists* 210 270 29 2.54 10Nursing Instructors and Teachers, Postsecondary* 70 90 33 2.54 5Physical Therapist Aides 70 90 31 2.54 5Computer Numerically Controlled Machine Tool Programmers, Metal and Plastic*

60 70 33 1.55 5

Note: Employment data are rounded to the nearest 10 and job openings are rounded to the nearest 5. Occupations in bold are also high-earning.

* Qualify as both high-demand and fast-growing occupations. NA - Not available.

Source: Alabama Department of Labor and Center for Business and Economic Research, The University of Alabama.

† Workforce Development Region 7 consists of Autauga, Butler, Crenshaw, Elmore, Lowndes, and Montgomery counties.

Table 12. Region 7† Selected Fast-Growing Occupations (Base 2012 and Projected 2022)

EmploymentPercent Change

Annual Growth

(Percent)

Average Annual Job

OpeningsOccupation

Elmore County - 12

High-Earning Occupations

Table 13 shows the 50 highest earning occupations in the region. They are mainly in health, management, engineering, architecture, and science fields and have a minimum mean salary of $79,572 per year. Nine of the top 10 listed are health occupations. The selected high-earning occupations are generally not fast-growing or in high-demand.

Occupation Mean Annual Salary ($)Anesthesiologists 252,443Psychiatrists 228,137Physicians and Surgeons, All Other 205,100Family and General Practitioners 199,346Chiropractors 187,458Chief Executives 183,781Dentists, General 173,421Pediatricians, General 173,153Nurse Anesthetists* 135,387Pharmacists 117,544General and Operations Managers* 115,577Commercial Pilots 115,390Marketing Managers 112,824Securities, Commodities, and Financial Services Sales Agents 109,813Financial Managers 109,019Computer and Information Systems Managers 107,815Sales Managers 106,026Podiatrists 105,895Electrical Engineers 103,992Architectural and Engineering Managers 103,569Law Teachers, Postsecondary 101,891Political Science Teachers, Postsecondary 101,611Personal Financial Advisors* 97,898Administrative Law Judges, Adjudicators, and Hearing Officers 96,859Education Administrators, Postsecondary 96,730Industrial Production Managers 96,552Lawyers 96,486Physician Assistants 96,177Education Administrators, All Other 95,708Electronics Engineers, Except Computer 94,330Financial Analysts 93,498Computer Hardware Engineers 93,423Managers, All Other 92,120Medical and Health Services Managers 91,913Purchasing Managers 91,732Business Teachers, Postsecondary 91,126Construction Managers* 90,796Architects, Except Landscape and Naval* 90,424Software Developers, Applications* 88,793Human Resources Managers 88,101Nurse Practitioners* 87,967Software Developers, Systems Software* 87,250Computer Occupations, All Other 83,561Health and Safety Engineers, Except Mining Safety Engineers and Inspectors 82,930Advertising and Promotions Managers 82,423Transportation, Storage, and Distribution Managers 81,962Computer Network Architects 81,373Veterinarians 80,563Administrative Services Managers 80,121Public Relations and Fundraising Managers 79,572Note: Employment data are rounded to the nearest 10; openings to the nearest 5. The salary data provided are based on the May 2014 release of the Occupational Employment Statistics (OES) combined employment and wage file. Estimates for specific occupations may include imputed data. Occupations in bold are also fast-growing. 

* Qualify as both high-earning and high-demand occupations.

Source: Center for Business and Economic Research, The University of Alabama and Alabama Department of Labor.† Workforce Development Region 7 consists of Autauga, Butler, Crenshaw, Elmore, Lowndes, and Montgomery counties.

Table 13. Region 7† Selected High-Earning Occupations (Base 2012 and Projected 2022)

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Each traffic count is labeled withan Annual Average Daily Traffic(AADT) count. This count iscalculated by dividing the totalnumber of vehicles counted in ayear by 365 days. These countscome from the AlabamaDepartment of Transportation's2015 Annual Report.

MillbrookTraffic Counts