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* ** Elementi sustavne analize atentata i sigurnosti ko nasilje i atentat kao oblik - nu e i strune javnosti U aktera su odreene od uvjeta kao do išaka subjekata i slubi Strukturi- i š okvira ra na slu stvaraju se osjetlji- – kriti toaka u djelovanju sustavau varijabli ena je sustavnost i u ivanju kao aktivnosti tijela u štiti ti osoba e se nost te ava uinkovitost i u sustava Klju ko nasiljeatentat - obavještajna slubatiena osoba * **

Elementi sustavne analize atentata i sigurnosti - mup.hr · Bjeličić, Solomun: Elementi sustavne analize atentata i sigurnosti štićenih osoba Polic. sigur. (Zagreb), godina 20

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Page 1: Elementi sustavne analize atentata i sigurnosti - mup.hr · Bjeličić, Solomun: Elementi sustavne analize atentata i sigurnosti štićenih osoba Polic. sigur. (Zagreb), godina 20

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Page 2: Elementi sustavne analize atentata i sigurnosti - mup.hr · Bjeličić, Solomun: Elementi sustavne analize atentata i sigurnosti štićenih osoba Polic. sigur. (Zagreb), godina 20

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Page 4: Elementi sustavne analize atentata i sigurnosti - mup.hr · Bjeličić, Solomun: Elementi sustavne analize atentata i sigurnosti štićenih osoba Polic. sigur. (Zagreb), godina 20

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Page 5: Elementi sustavne analize atentata i sigurnosti - mup.hr · Bjeličić, Solomun: Elementi sustavne analize atentata i sigurnosti štićenih osoba Polic. sigur. (Zagreb), godina 20

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3&.59$8#1(5(8+.*$'$#1('$-&)16(L59$,1#9$'(5('$>+8&;#5'(+-9$A19$'(%+4-+*1(5(*$45<591/(

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&%.5*5'1(3*$-3&8-1.4919+(8$(21%(5(8+%&;5(A5.54501A591(+()&<4$)#&'(.*$'$#+(M.5)5(N+#-5#F

<-&#/(!OO"P/(1(8.$(+-$'$49$#&(5(3&.$01#&(8(.9$*8%5'(*104525-&8-5'16

1.2. Rizik, prijetnja i kriza

7505%/(3*59$-#91(5(%*501 +()*+,-.$#5'(&)#&85'1(&0#121.19+(&)*$>$#1(8-1#91(01&,F

-*$#&8-5(3*545%1('$>+(1%-$*5'1(5(8+%&;49$#&8-5(#95:&.5:(5#-$*$81(5(3*$)8-1.4919+(;45@+(545(

)149+(.9$*&91-#&8-(3&91.495.1#91(5(3&45-52%&<(#1854916

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&*<1#501A5956(G3*6(%1)1(3&45-52%5(#$58-&'5,49$#5A5(#$(0#19+(%1%&(*59$,5-5(&)*$>$#5(3&45-52%5(

3*&;4$'/(-1%&>$*('&<+()&;5-5('&-5.(01(3&)+05'1#9$(&)*$>$#$(1%A59$(#1854916

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Bjeličić, Solomun: Elementi sustavne analize atentata i sigurnosti štićenih osobaPolic. sigur. (Zagreb), godina 20. (2011), broj 1, str. 14-31

!"#"$%&'()(*+,-

#$%&'&()*+6 je onaj koji je !"#$%$&'( i donio je odluku,$,%&'+)'+-,.$'./)('&0,aktivnosti,-,

1&*+-,&23$4)'+5,6$*&(&%.$7,'58&*+59,:',8),6$+53*+-+),.5$,')6$8/);'&,6$%&'&()*+,5*&,8),<$=),6/)>

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1.4.1. !"#$% &"'$($#)*+,

@$(&3,)"*$($#+,-', +), ;)()/<&'&/5',./&"0"!9,A'-(5/'+5, 6$./)(5%.5, 8'575,6$(&%),

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6$*&(&%.),5<B&1&+),$8(35/-+-,6$*&(&%.&<,'58&*+)<9,#$./)(5%.-,8'57-,25,($,'5*52),-,83$+&<,

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Bjeličić, Solomun: Elementi sustavne analize atentata i sigurnosti štićenih osobaPolic. sigur. (Zagreb), godina 20. (2011), broj 1, str. 14-31

#$%&'()#(*+,')#&-.*+/*+#&#012()+,'13*(/*+(*%10$2($4+#$%&'()#($4+,)/12156+7*8&0$9:+;1+<)(1=(&+#$%&'()#(&+,')#&-.&+/*-(1<)+#&+21>(*+$+,);$0$2(*+#$%&'()#(*+,)/12*5?"+@&#012+#$%&'()#0$+)A/*(/&/*+#$%&'()#()+#01(/*+$+-1/*+)-%)2)'*+(1+()2*+$;1;)2*+<)/$+,')$;B1;*+$;+!"#$%&'(!)*!+),-%&(!5+@$%&'()#(1+,')#&-.1+(*$;)#0121(+/*+*B*9*(0+$+0*9*B/+<)-+-)()C*(/1+)-B&<1+2$C$4+'1;$(1+&+#&#012&+#$%&'()#0$:+)-()#()+<))'-$(1A$/#<)D&#9/*'$21=<$4+0$/*B1+$+,)B$0$=<)%+9*(1->9*(015+E1+),*'10$2()D$;2'C(1+0$/*B1:+,),&0+#$%&'()#()D).12/*C01/($4+$(#0$0&A$/1+ $+#B&>.$+#$%&'()#0$:+#$%&'()#(1+,')#&-.1+ /*+ 0*9*B/+;1+-)()C*(/*+ $;2*-.*()%+,B1(1:+<)/$+#B&>$+;1+&#9/*'121(/*+$+,')2)8*(/*+)-'*8*(*+1<0$2()#0$5+F21B$0*0()+,B1($'1(/*+$+,')2)8*(/*+(*<*+<)(<'*0(*+1<A$/*+)2$#$+)+<21B$0*0()/+#$%&'()#()/+,')#&-.$5

!"#"$%&'()(*+($,-./01,-.)

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1.8. Djelo nasilja i posljedica

Q/*B)+(1#$B/1+$+,)#B/*-$A1+)-()#*+#*+(1+(*,)#'*-()+,)=$(/*(/*+(1,1-1+(1+(*<&+9*0&5+Q)B1;1<+,)=$($0*B/1+&+,'$B$<&+-1+$;+(*,)#'*-(*+.B$;$(*:+)-()#()+#+&-1B/*()#0$:+,)%)-($9+)'&>/*9+$B$+)'&8*9:+,)=$($+(1,1-+#+0*C<)9+,)#B/*-$A)9:+(1/)#/*0B/$2$/$+/*+0'*(&01<+&+,')A*#&+

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liranja.

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Bjeličić, Solomun: Elementi sustavne analize atentata i sigurnosti štićenih osobaPolic. sigur. (Zagreb), godina 20. (2011), broj 1, str. 14-31

#$%&'($)*+,(-*.$/0&0#&1*%#$+$1$*2%0$(3*45$(#($*%5-,%06$)*$*728&#&0-'(*(-*&.'29-#*&*42#$8#2(*

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1.9. Sanacija

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E251$'#&*0&(-4*4$.#-#2+*72%0374$;

2. ATENTAT

O0-#0$0&*4$2*&#%0531-#0*72'&0&842+*#$%&'($*&1$(3*%62(*A&4'3%*2,*#$%0$#4$*&,-(-*,2*&.$.&6$#($*

%$1-*72%'(-,&A-;*I*G(-8#&43*45&1&#$'&%0&4-*KP2,'Q*&*,5;)*!LLRSTLN*$0-#0$021*%-*%1$05$S!

"#$%&'()$*!+,-.)$/$,.)$*!0+&$1$23$!#+1$4$,.)!3,$#$).&)$!.31!3+'$!'(!5"#'(,()!).!5"#,6$-

4.)'(!+7,(8()(!+"+9(:!;9$2)+!'(!,$'(2!+!+"+9.#.!3+'(!+9.4&'.'5!+7,(8()5!7,<.4)5!$&$!

7,5%14()5!=5)3>$'5!$&$!"5!0+/).1(!0+&$1$23(!$&$!'.4)(!+"+9(:!?'$@+4+#!1'(&(")+#!(&$#$-

).>$'+#!<(&$!"(!7'(&+4.1$!0,+1$4!7,5%14()+-!5,(8()'.!$!"$-5,)+"1$!)(3(!/(#&'(:

C$4'-)*!"#$%&#%'(*$0-#0$0$*(-*3*72'&0&84&*120&6&5$#21*,(-'3)*42(&*(-*%1&/'(-#*&*25+$H

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Page 10: Elementi sustavne analize atentata i sigurnosti - mup.hr · Bjeličić, Solomun: Elementi sustavne analize atentata i sigurnosti štićenih osoba Polic. sigur. (Zagreb), godina 20

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Bjeličić, Solomun: Elementi sustavne analize atentata i sigurnosti štićenih osobaPolic. sigur. (Zagreb), godina 20. (2011), broj 1, str. 14-31

#$%&'()*+,-.'/*0-+, ')'$*1*0')-, (2, 32.'+,+24%)'0-.)-, 1)'&'()*5, .-6'4'(', %,

0'1.-/$(%,-.,789":,.-,!;;<:,6-.*)2:

Uloga u

društvu

Povijesni

kontekstPočinitelj

Motivi

napada

Modus

operandi

Uloga

sig.-obavj.

službi

John F.

Kennedy

35. predsje-dnik SAD-a, demokrat

1963. go-dina,

demokrat-sko uređe-nje – SAD

Lee Harvey Oswald,

profesiona-lac, teorije

zavjere

politički, komunist

snajperska puška, većaudaljenost,

ubojstvo

propust službi,

temeljitaistraga,

reorganiza-cija

Avar El

Sadat

predsjednik Republike

Egipat,komunist

1981. go-dina, pred-sjednička

republika –Egipat

Abas Moha-med, pro-fesionalac u sustavu, u suradnji s vojskom,

teorija

zavjere

politički, esktremna

skupina "Musli-mansko

bratstvo"

automat-ska puška,

manja udaljenost,

ubojstvo

disfunkcija, loša istraga,nema reor-ganizacije

Papa

Ivan

Pavao II

poglavar Katoličke crkve u

Vaktikanu

1981. godina, ap-solutno mo-

narhijsko uređenje – Vatikan

Mehmed Ali Agdža,

amater,teorija za-

vjere jer još

nisu razja-

šnjene sve

okolnosti

politički, religijski i

osobni

pištolj, neposred-na blizina, ranjavanje

propust službi, loša

istraga

Ronald

Regan

40. predsje-dnik SAD-a, republika-

nac

1981. godina, de-mokratsko uređenje –

SAD

John Hinckley, amater

osobni, skretanje

pozornosti na sebe,

fanatizam

revolver, neposred-na blizina, ranjavanje

propust službi,

temeljita istraga,

reorgani-zacija

Olof

Palme

predsjed-nik Vlade Kraljevine Švedske,Socijalno

demokrat-ska partija

1986. godina, de-mokratsko uređenje –

Švedska

Christer Pettersson,

amater,teorija za-

vjere jer još

nisu razjaš-

njene sve

okolnosti

politički i osobni

revolver, neposred-na blizina, ubojstvo

propust službi, loša

istraga,reorganiza-

cija

Zoran

Đinđić

predsjed-nik Vlade

Srbije, De-mokratska opozicija

Srbije (DOS)

2003. godina, de-mokratsko, tranzicijsko razdoblje –

Srbija

Zvezdan Jovanović,

profesi-onalac u

sustavu, u suradnji sa

OS

politički

snajperska puška, veća udaljenost,

ubojstvo

disfunkcija, temeljita istraga,

reorganiza-cija

Page 11: Elementi sustavne analize atentata i sigurnosti - mup.hr · Bjeličić, Solomun: Elementi sustavne analize atentata i sigurnosti štićenih osoba Polic. sigur. (Zagreb), godina 20

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Bjeličić, Solomun: Elementi sustavne analize atentata i sigurnosti štićenih osobaPolic. sigur. (Zagreb), godina 20. (2011), broj 1, str. 14-31

Benazir

Bhutto

oporbena

čelnica

i bivša

predsjed-

nica Vlade

Republike

Pakistan,

Pakistanska

narodna

stranka

2007.

godina, de-

mokratsko,

tranzicijsko

razdoblje –

Pakistan

nepoznati

napadači

profesional-

ci, teorija

zavjere jer

još nisu

razjašnjene

sve okol-

nosti

politički,

promjena

vlasti

pištolj i

bomba,

neposred-

na blizina,

ubojstvo

disfunkcija,

loša istraga,

nema reor-

ganizacija

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3.1. Propusti, zlouporabe i disfunkcije

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Bjeličić, Solomun: Elementi sustavne analize atentata i sigurnosti štićenih osobaPolic. sigur. (Zagreb), godina 20. (2011), broj 1, str. 14-31

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