15
Elastisitas Permintaan untuk Berbagai Barang di Indonesia: Penerapan Metode Frisch* Oleh Boediono Summary The principal aim of this paper is to show that it is possible to obtain a complete elasticity matrix for various consumption demands (41 commodity groups) in Indone- sia only by using the, already available data, in particular the published (cross sec- tional) 1976 Susenas data. The method used was first expounded by Ragnar Frisch (1959), who showed that once we obtained the relevant set of income elasticities, budget shares, and the so-called Frischs parameter, all other direct and cross price elasticities could also be derived. This "trick" considerably reduces the data re- quiremerit for econometric estimation of demand elasticities, which is a useful trick when we are faced with scarcity of reasonably adequate time series data. The applicar tion of the Frisch method to Indonesia yields 'reasonable' estimates of various relevant elasticities of demarfd. Seringkali kita mendengar bahwa sebab utama mengapa sampai sekarang tidak banyak kita jumpai taksiran-taksiran' empiris dari elastisitas-elas- tisitas harga dari permintaan akan barang-barang di Indonesia adalah karena tidak tersedianya data yang cocok untuk studi semacam itu. Karangan i n i m e n c o b a m e n u n j u k k a n b a h w a dengan hanya menggunakan data yang minimal, khususnya data pola pengeluaran konsumsi rumah tangga (Susenas 1976 dan Susenas 1969/70), kita bisa mendapatkan taksir- an untuk semua elastisitas liarga secara lengkap. Metode yang dipakai di sini pertama kali diungkapkan oleh ahli ekonomi Norwegia pemenang hadiah Nobel, Ragnar F r i s c h d a l a m tahun 1959. Ciri khas'dari metodejni adalah diperlukannya data yang jauh lebih sedil Jt dibanding dengan cara- cara yang konvensionil dalam ekonometri, sehingga sangat cocok untuk ditcrapkan pada negara-negara sedang berkembang yang pada umumnya tidak mempunyai data^data s t a t i s t i k y a n g lengkap. Kegunaan dari taksir- an-taksiran elastisitas narga, maupun elastisitas pendapatan tak perlu di- H a s i l - h a s i l y a n g dilaporkan di sini adalah sebagian d a r i h a s i l - h a s i l d a r i p r o y e k peneiitian- yang lebih luas, yang bertujuan inembuat model perekonomian Indonesia secara me- nyeluruh. Perhitungan-perhiiungan dilakukan'pada Pusat Komputer Univcrsitas Gadjah Mada. Penulis berterimakasih kepada Dr. Douglas Medley atas segala bantuanriya. EKI, VOL. XXVI, NO. S, SEPTEMBER 1978' 343

Elastisitas Permintaan untuk Berbagai Barang di Indonesia

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Page 1: Elastisitas Permintaan untuk Berbagai Barang di Indonesia

Elastisitas Permintaan untuk Berbagai Barang di Indones ia : Penerapan Metode F r i s ch *

O l e h B o e d i o n o

S u m m a r y

The principal aim of this paper is to show that it is possible to obtain a complete

elasticity matrix for various consumption demands (41 commodity groups) in Indone­

sia only by using the, already available data, in particular the published (cross sec­

tional) 1976 S u s e n a s data. The method used was first expounded by Ragnar Frisch

(1959), who showed that once we obtained the relevant set of income elasticities,

budget shares, and the so-called Frischs parameter, all other direct and cross price

elasticities could also be derived. This "trick" considerably reduces the data re-

quiremerit for econometric estimation of demand elasticities, which is a useful trick

when we are faced with scarcity of reasonably adequate time series data. The applicar

tion of the Frisch method to Indonesia yields 'reasonable' estimates of various relevant

elasticities of demarfd.

S e r i n g k a l i k i t a m e n d e n g a r b a h w a s e b a b u t a m a m e n g a p a s a m p a i s e k a r a n g

t i d a k b a n y a k k i t a j u m p a i t a k s i r a n - t a k s i r a n ' e m p i r i s d a r i e l a s t i s i t a s - e l a s -

t i s i t a s h a r g a d a r i p e r m i n t a a n a k a n b a r a n g - b a r a n g d i I n d o n e s i a a d a l a h

k a r e n a t i d a k t e r s e d i a n y a d a t a y a n g c o c o k u n t u k s t u d i s e m a c a m i t u .

K a r a n g a n i n i m e n c o b a m e n u n j u k k a n b a h w a d e n g a n h a n y a m e n g g u n a k a n

d a t a y a n g m i n i m a l , k h u s u s n y a d a t a p o l a p e n g e l u a r a n k o n s u m s i r u m a h

t a n g g a ( S u s e n a s 1 9 7 6 d a n S u s e n a s 1 9 6 9 / 7 0 ) , k i t a b i s a m e n d a p a t k a n t a k s i r ­

a n u n t u k s e m u a e l a s t i s i t a s l i a r g a s e c a r a l e n g k a p . M e t o d e y a n g d i p a k a i d i

s i n i p e r t a m a k a l i d i u n g k a p k a n o l e h a h l i e k o n o m i N o r w e g i a p e m e n a n g

h a d i a h N o b e l , R a g n a r F r i s c h d a l a m t a h u n 1 9 5 9 . C i r i k h a s ' d a r i m e t o d e j n i

a d a l a h d i p e r l u k a n n y a d a t a y a n g j a u h l e b i h s e d i l J t d i b a n d i n g d e n g a n c a r a -

c a r a y a n g k o n v e n s i o n i l d a l a m e k o n o m e t r i , s e h i n g g a s a n g a t c o c o k u n t u k

d i t c r a p k a n p a d a n e g a r a - n e g a r a s e d a n g b e r k e m b a n g y a n g p a d a u m u m n y a

t i d a k m e m p u n y a i d a t a ^ d a t a s t a t i s t i k y a n g l e n g k a p . K e g u n a a n d a r i t a k s i r -

a n - t a k s i r a n e l a s t i s i t a s n a r g a , m a u p u n e l a s t i s i t a s p e n d a p a t a n t a k p e r l u d i -

• H a s i l - h a s i l y a n g d i l a p o r k a n d i s i n i a d a l a h s e b a g i a n d a r i h a s i l - h a s i l d a r i p r o y e k p e n e i i t i a n -y a n g l e b i h l u a s , y a n g b e r t u j u a n i n e m b u a t m o d e l p e r e k o n o m i a n I n d o n e s i a s e c a r a m e ­n y e l u r u h . P e r h i t u n g a n - p e r h i i u n g a n d i l a k u k a n ' p a d a P u s a t K o m p u t e r U n i v c r s i t a s G a d j a h M a d a . P e n u l i s b e r t e r i m a k a s i h k e p a d a D r . D o u g l a s M e d l e y a t a s s e g a l a b a n t u a n r i y a .

E K I , V O L . X X V I , N O . S, S E P T E M B E R 1978' 343

Page 2: Elastisitas Permintaan untuk Berbagai Barang di Indonesia

Y, ' I f i i y i ' . s - . j t i i j j I i - j A v ' J ' . t f " ", > • " 1 V •< -. !:'

t c k a n k a n l a g i . P r o y e k s i - p r o y e k s i d a n a n a l i s a - a n a l i s a k e b i j a k s a n a a n s e r i n g ­

k a l i h a r u s d i l a n d a s k a n p a d a k o n s e p - k o n s e p s e m a c a m i n i . D a n b i l a k i t a

t i d a k b i s a m e n j u m p a i t a k s i r a n m e n g e n a i p a r a m e t e r - p a r a m e t e r i n i k i t a

a k h i r n y a h a r u s m e n e r k a - n e r k a a t a u h a n y a m e n g a t n b i l t a k s i r a n y a n g t e l a h

d i h i t u n g u n t u k n e g a r a l a i n . S e d a n g k a n y a n g d i p e r l u k a n s e b e t u l n y a a d a l a h

t a k s i r a n y a n g m a n t a p y a n g d i h i t u n g d a r i d a t a - d a t a I n d o n e s i a .

M e t o d e F r i s c h - ?

D a r i t e o r i e k o n o m i k i t a m e n g e t a h u i b a h w a b e n t u k f u n g s i p e r m i n t a a n k o n ­s u m e n t e r g a n t u n g p a d a b e n t u k f u n g s i - g u n a ( u t i l i t y f u n c t i o n ) y a n g n i c -l a i i d a s i p e r i l a k u k o n s u m e n t e r s e b u t . D a r i b e r b a g a i b e n t u k f u n g s i - g u n a y a n g m e m e n u h i p e r s y a r a t a n - p e r s y a r a t a n t e o r i t i s a d a s a t u b e n t u k y a n g m e m p u n y a i k a r a k t e r i s t i k y a n g u n i k k a r e n a s a n g a t m e m p e r i n g a n t u g a s k i t a b i l a k i t a i n g i n m e n a k s i r s e c a r a e m p i r i s f u n g s i - f u n g s i p e r m i n t a a n y a n g d i ­t u r u n k a n d a r i p a d a n y a . F u n g s i - g u n a t e r s e b u t d i k a t a k a n m e m p u n y a i b e n ­t u k " p e n a m b a h a n l a n g s u n g " ( d i r e c t l y a d d i t i v e u t i l i t y f u n c t i o n ) d a n b e n ­t u k u m u m n y a a d a l a h :

U = U l ( X i ) + U j ( X j ) - + . . . + U n ( X n ) (1)

P a d a h a k e k a t n y a f u n g s i - g u n a s e m a c a m i n i m e n g g a m b a r k a n k e a d a a n d i

m a n a k e p u a s a n t a m b a h a n ( m a r g i n a l u t i l i t y ) y a n g d i p e r o l e h o l e h k o n ­

s u m e n d a r i k o n s u m s i n y a a k a n b a r a n g X i t i d a k d i p e n g a r u h i o l e h t i n g k a t

k o n s u m s i n y a a k a n b a r a n g X j ( i = j ) . S e b a g a i c o n t o h , k e p u a s a n t a m b a h a n

y a n g d i n i k i n a t i n y a d a r i s e p i r i n g n a s i g o r e n g ( X i ) t i d a k t e r g a n t u n g a p a k a h

i a s e d a n g m e n g e n a k a n s e p a t u b a r u ( X j ) a t a u t i d a k . P a r a a h l i n a m p a k n y a

m e n c a p a i k o n s e n s u s b a h w a a s a i s a j a k i t a m e n g g o l o n g k a n b a r a n g - b a r a n g

k o n s u m s i d a l a m k e i o t t i p o k - k e i o m p o k y a n g c u k u p b e s a r m a k a p e n g g u n a ­

a n b e n t u k f u n g s i - g u n a t e r s c b u t m u n g k i n t i d a k t e r l a l u m c m p c r k o s a r c a i i t a .

J a d i , m i s a l n y a k i t a t i d a k b o l e h m e n y e b u t X i s e b a g a i k o n s u m s i n a s i g o r e n g

d a n X j s e b a g a i k o n s u m s i n a s i g u l a i . D a l a m h a i i n i t e n t u s a j a k e p u a s a n

t a m b a h a n d a r i k o n s u m s i s a t u p i r i n g n a s i g o r e n g t e r g a n t u n g s e k a i i k e p a d a

b c r a p a b a n y a k n a s i g u i a i y a n g t e l a h m a s u k p e r u t k o n s u m e n k i t a i n i s e -

b e l u m i a m c n g l ^ o n s u m s i k a n s e p i r i n g n a s i g o r e n g t e r s e b u t . U n t u k b i s a

m e n g g u n a k a n f u n g s i - g u n a y a n g b c r b e n t u k " p e n a m b a h a n l a n g s u n g " t e r ­

s c b u t , p e n g g o i o n g a n b a r a r i g h a r u s c u k u p b e s a r , m i s a l n y a X 1 = m a k a n a n ,

X J = p a k a i a n , X , = p e r u m a h a n d a n s e t e r u s n y a .

A d a d u a h a i y a n g p e r i i i d i c a t a t m e n g e n a i s i f a t - s i f a t d a r i f u n g s i i n i .

Pertama, f u n g s i t e r s c b u t tidak b e r t e n t a n g a n d e n g a n p e r s y a r a t a n - p e r s y a r a t ­

a n d a s a r d a r i s u a t u f u n g s i - g u n a , d a l a m t e o r i e k o n o m i . B e n t u k f u n g s i t e r ­

s e b u t m i s a l n y a m e m u n g k i n k a n a d a n y a k e p u a s a n t a m b a h a n y a n g m a k i n

3 4 6 E K I , V O L . X X V I , N O . S, S E P T E M B E R 1978

Page 3: Elastisitas Permintaan untuk Berbagai Barang di Indonesia

m e n u r u n ( d i m i n i s h i n g m a r g i n a l u t i l i t y ) d a n k e p u a s a n m a k s i m u m y a n g t a k

k i i n j i i n g t e r c a p a i ( n o n - s a t i e t y ) .

Kedua, b e n t u k f u n g s i - g u n a t e r s e b u t s a n g a t m e n y e d e r h a n a k a n p e n a k s i r a n

e m p i r i s d a r i p a r a m e t e r - p a r a m e t e r f u n g s i p e r m i n t a a n k o n s u m e n . I n i b i s a

k i t a l i h a t d e n g a n i n c m b a n d i n g k a n n y a d e n g a n b i l a k i t a m e n g g i m a k a n

f u n g s i - g u n a l a i n n y a . D a r i s u a t u f u n g s i - g u n a y a n g u m u m U = U ( X j , X j ,

. . . , X „ ) k i t a b i s a m e m p e r o l e h s a t u s e t f u n g s i p e r m i n t a a n u n t u k b a r a n g -

b a r a n g X ] , . . . , X n .

X , = F i ( h | i , h i 2 l i i n . K i )

X n = f „ ( h n | , h „ 2 , . . . , h „ n , g n )

i l l ] a d a l a l i p a r a m e t e r d a r i l i a r g a b a r a n g X j d a l a m f u n g s i p e r m i n t a a n X j ,

m i s a l n y a : k o e f i s i e n e l a s t i s i t a s s i l a n g a n t a r a h a r g a j d e n g a n k o n s u m s i i . g j

a d a l a h p a r a m e t e r d a r i p e n g e l u a r a n t o t a l d a l a m f u n g s i p e r m i n t a a n a k a n

l i a i a n g X j , m i s a l n y a : k o e f i s i e n e l a s t i s i t a s p e n d a p a t a n . J a d i d i s i n i a d a n ' +

n p a r a m e t e r y a n g h a r u s d i t a k s i r s e c a r a s c n d i r i - s e n d i r i . U n t u k n = l O s a j a

i n i h e r a i i i I t a h w a s e l i a n y a k 1 1 0 p a r a m e t e r h a r u s d i t a k s i r s c e a r a i n -

d e p e i u i e n . I n i a d a l a h s u a t u t u g - s y a n g s e r i n g k a l i m u s t a h i l u n t u k d i ­

l a k s a n a k a n , k e c u a l i a p a l d i a k i t a k e b e t u l a n m e m p u n y a i d a t a ( k h u s u s n y a

( l a t a time series) y a n g s a n g a t b a n y a k . F r i s c h m e n y a r a n k a n s u a t u j a l a n

k c l u a r . ' I a m e n u n j u k k a n b a i i . v a d e n g a n m e n g a m b i l s c i i a g a i t i t i k a w a l

f u n g s i - g u n a y a n g b c r b e n t u k " p e n a m b a h a n l a n g s u n g " , t e r n y a t a t u g a s p c -

n a k s i i a n e m p i r i s l i i s a s a n g a t d i p e r i n g a n . F s c n s i d a r i m e t o d e F r i s d i a d a l a l i

b a l i w a k i l a I i a n y a h a r u s m c n a k s i r s e b a n y a k 2 n -+ 1 p a r a m e t e r s e c a r a

l a n g s u n g , d a n p a r a m e t e r - p a r a m e t e r l a i n n y a ( s e b a n y a k n ' ) l i i s a d i t u r u n ­

k a n d a r i p a r a m e t e r - p a r a m e t e r t e r s e b u t . K e 2 n - i - 1 p a r a m e t e r y a n g h a r u s

d i t a k s i r s e c a r a l a n g s u n g ( y a i t u d a r i d a t a r i i l ) , a d a l a h :

( i ) k o e f i s i e n e l a s t i s i t a s p e n d a p a t a n u n t u k s e t i a p b a r a n g ( s e b a n y a k n

p a r . i m e t c r ) , 7 ) 1 ( 1 = 1 n )

( i i ) p r o M ' i i i a s e p e i i g e l u a r a i i i m i u k s e t i a p b a r a n g t i a r i p e n g e h u i r a i i t o t a l

( a t a u " l i t i d g e t s l i a r e s ) , s e l i a n y a k n p a r a m e t e r , a ; i ( i = 1 , . . . , n )

( i i i ) s a t u p a r a m e t e r l a g i y a h g d i s c b u t " p a r a m e t e r F r i s d i " , t o ,

S e m u a e l a s t i s i t a s l i a r g a ( s e b a n y a k n ' ) l i i s a d i p e r o l e h s e c a r a t i d a k l a n g s u n g .

I n i d i m u n g k i n k a n k a r e n a d a l a i n k a s u s f u n g s i " p e n a m b a l i a n l a n g s u n g " , s e ­

t i a p e l a s t i s i t a s h a r g a m e m p u n y a i h u b u n g a n y a n g u n i k d e n g a n k e 2 n + !

p a r a m e t e r t a d i . H u b u n g a n - l i u b u n g a n i n i a d a l a h :

I R a n i i a r F r i v d i , " A C o i n p l c l r . S t l i c i n c l o r C o i n p i i l i i l K A l l D i r e c t a m ! C n w s D e i n a n c I K l a s l i i i l l f s i l l A M o d e l w i l l i M a n y S c c i o r s " Economelrica ( 1 9 . 5 9 ) .

t

(2)

E K I , V O L . X X V I , N O . S. S E P T E M B E R 1978 - 347

Page 4: Elastisitas Permintaan untuk Berbagai Barang di Indonesia

^ i i a d a i a h e l a s t i s i t a s h a r g a s e n d i r i ( o w n - p r i c e e l a s t i c i t y ) u n t u k b a r a n g i ,

s e d a n g k a n £ i j a d a l a h e l a s t i s i t a s h a r g a s i l a n g ( y a i t u p e n g a r u h p e r u b a h a n

l i a r g a b a r a n g j t e r h a d a p p e r m i n t a a n a k a n b a r a n g i ) . C a r a m e m p e r o l e h

h u b u n g a n - h u b u n g a n i n i d i s a j i k a n d a l a m i a m p i r a n d a l a m k a r a n g a n i n i .

K e u n t u n g a n m e t o d e i n i d a r i s e g i k e b u t u h a n d a t a a d a l a h s a n g a t b e s a r .

E l a s t i s i t a s p e n d a p a t a n u n t u k b e r b a g a i b a r a n g k o n s u m s i b i s a d i p e r o l e h d e - ^

n g a n m u d a h d a r i d a t a c r o j j section, s e p e r t i m i s a l n y a d a t a S u s e n a s . D a t a

" p r o s e n t a s e p e n g e l u a r a n " b i s a j u g a d i p e r o l e h d a r i s u m b e r y a n g s a m a , t e ­

t a p i b i s a j u g a d i p e r o l e h d a r i s u m b e r l a i n . D a l a m p e r h i t u n g a n e l a s t i s i t a s -

e i a s t i s i t a s h a r g a u n t u k I n d o n e s i a k i t a d i s i n i m e n g g u n a k a n d a t a " p r o s e n ­

t a s e p e n g e l u a r a n " ( b u d g e t s h a r e s ) d a r i t a b e l i n p u t - o u t p u t I n d o n e s i a t a h u n

1 9 7 1 . P a r a m e t e r F r i s d i m e m a n g a g a k s u l i t u n t u k d i t a k s i r s e c a r a l a n g s u n g

d a r i d a t a - d a t a e m p i r i s . D a r i L a m p i r a n k i t a k c t a h u i b a h w a p a r a m e t e r

F r i s c h ( w ) a d a l a h " e l a s t i s i t a s d a r i m a r g i n a l u t i l i t y d a r i u a n g ( X ) t e r h a d a p

p e r u b a h a n p e n g e l u a r a n t o t a l d a r i k o n s u m e n ( C ) . " ( L i l i a t L a m p i r a n , p e r ­

s a m a a n ( 1 6 ) . J e l a s k o n s e p i n i s u l i t u n t u k d i k a i t k a n l a n g s u n g d e n g a n d a t a -

d a t a o b s c r v a s i r i i l . U n t u n g n y a a d a i n t e r p r e t a s i l a i n y a n g b i s a d i k a i t k a n d e ­

n g a n d a t a o b s c r v a s i r i i l . I n t e r p r e t a s i d a r i p a r a m e t e r F r i s c h i n i a d a l a h s e ­

b a g a i b e r i k u t :

S a t u b e n t u k k h u s u s d a r i f u n g s i - g u n a y a n g s e r i n g d i p a k a i d a l a m p e n e i i t i a n

e m p i r i s a d a l a h :

U = / 3 , l o g X i + ( I j l o g X J + . . . 4 - ' ' . . i o g X „ (4)

P e r i i a t i k a n b a h w a b e n t u k f u n g s i i n i m a s i h t e r g o l o n g d a l a m g o l o n g a n

f u n g s i " p e n a m b a h a n l a n g s u n g " ( d i r e c t l y a d d i t i v e u t i l i t y f u n c t i o n ) y a n g k i ­

t a b i c a r a k a n d i a t a s , d e n g a n V; ( X j ) m e m p u n y a i b e n t u k k h u s u s ^ j l o g X ; .

K e i s t i m c w a a n d a r i f u n g s i - g u n a i n i a d a l a h b a h w a f u n g s i - f u n g s i p e r m i n t a ­

a n y a n g d i t u r u n k a n d a r i p a d a n y a b c r b e n t u k f u n g s i g a r i s i u r u s ( l i n i e r ) ,

F u i i g s i - f u t i g s i p c r t n i n t a a n s e p e r t i i n i t e r k e n a l d e n g a n s e b u t a n t l i e Linear

Expenditure System, dan scringkaW d i g u n a k a n p e n a k s i r a n e k o n o m e t r i d a r i

f u n g s i j i e r m i i i t a a i i . D i s i n i C a d a l a h p e n g e l u a r a n t o t a l d a r i k o i i s u n i c i i , P j

3 4 8 E K I , V O L . X X V I , N O . . 3 , S E P T E M B E R 1 9 7 8

Page 5: Elastisitas Permintaan untuk Berbagai Barang di Indonesia

a d a l a h l i a r g a d a r i b a r a n g i , X , a d a l a h j u m l a h b a r a n g i y a n g d i k o n s u m s i -

k a n ( c l i m i i i i a ) , 7 | o l e h S a m u e l s o n ( 1 9 4 7 - 1 9 4 8 ) d i s e b u t s e b a g a i j u m l a h

h a i a i i g i y a n g m i n i m a l d i l i u i u h k a n k o n s u m e n ( k o n s u m s i s u l i s i s t e n a t a u

k o n s i i i n s i t e r e n d a l i ) , d a n ^ P j T j a d a l a h p e n g e l u a r a n t o t a l y a n g d i p e r l u k a n

i i i u i i k m e m b e l i k e l i u t u h a n - k c b u t u h a n m i n i m a l i n i . ' D a r i p e r s a m a a n ( 5 )

k i l a l ) i s a m e m p e r o l e h r u m u s - r u m u s e l a s t i s i t a s h a r g a d a n e l a s t i s i t a s p e n ­

d a p a t a n .

e l a s t i s i t a s h a r g a s e n d i r i = - — • . • — — 1 P ; X .

. ( l - P i ) P i 7 i " - J

( 6 ) 1 — 1

e l a s t i s i t a s p e n d a p a t a n V: = 0- £l ' X i

S e k a r a n g k i t a k a i t k a n r u m u s - r u m u s i n i d e n g a n p e r s a m a a n ( 3 ) d i a t a s . D a r i

p e i s a m a a n ( 3 ) t e r s e b u t k i t a p e r o l e h

a , - V * Vi ca = —: C i i + a , - T l i

( 7 )

D r n q a i i m c i n a s i i k k a n r u m u s - r u m u s d a l a m ( 6 ) k e d a l a m p e r s a m a a n ( 7 ) k i t a m e n d a p a t ­

k a n

ca - - — ^ . • ^ ( 8 )

C , y a i t u " p e n g e l u a r a n t o t a l minimum" s e b a g a i p r o s e n t a s e d a r i

" p e n g e l u a r - a n t o t a l . " M c n a k s i r c o d e n g a n r u m u s ( 8 ) a d a l a h j a u h i e b i l i

m u d a h d a r i p a d a d e n g a n r u m u s ( 7 ) . i

. , , • * | ; ; IViu-i ' i ipan pnila Data Indones i a

P e r h i t i i n g i i n t e l a l t d i l a k u k a n d e n g a n . m e t o d e F r i s c h u n t u k I n d o n e s i a s e ­

c a r a k e s e l u r u h a n ( d a e r a h k o t a d a n p e d e s a a n t i d a k d i b e d a k a n ) . P a d a p r i n -

s i p n y a m e t o d e i n i b i s a d i t c r a p k a n p a d a s e t i a p d a e r a h d i I n d o n e s i a y a n g

m e m p u n y a i d a t a - d a t a p o l a k o n s u m s i s e p e r t i y a n g d i j u r n p a i d a l a m

S u s e n a s . K l a s i f i k a s i b a r a n g - b a r a n g d i s e s u a i k a n d e n g a n k l a s i f i k a s i y a n g t e r ­

d a p a t p a d a T a b e l I n p u t - O u t p u t I n d o n e s i a 1 9 7 1 d e n g a n s e d i k i t p e n y e d e r -

l i a n a a n d a n p e n g c l o t n p o k a n k e m b a l i , n =« 4 1 . ( d a l a m t a h a p p e n e i i t i a n

2 P . A . S a m u e l s o n , " T h e I m p l i c a t i o n s o f ' L i n e a r i t y ' " , Review of Economic Studits ( 1 9 4 7 - 1 9 4 8 ) .

E K I , V O L . X X V I , N O . 3, S E P T E M B E R 1978

Page 6: Elastisitas Permintaan untuk Berbagai Barang di Indonesia

p e n u l i s y a n g l e b i h l a n j u t , t a k s i r a n - t a k s i r a n e l a s t i s i t a s p e r m i n t a a n i n i a k a n

d i k a i t k a n d e n g a n a n a l i s a I n p u t - O u t p u t ) . S u m b e r d a t a y a n g p a l i n g u t a m a

a d a l a h S u s e n a s 1 9 7 6 y a n g t e l a h d i t e r b i t k a n o l e h B i r o P u s a t S t a t i s t i k , d i

t n a n a p e r l u d i g u n a k a n j u g a d a t a S u s e n a s I 9 6 9 / I 9 7 0 . D a t a - d a t a i n i d i ­

g u n a k a n u n t u k m e n g h i t u n g k o e f i s i e n - k o e f i s i e n e l a s t i s i t a s p e n d a p a t a n

d e n g a n m e m a k a i b e n t u k f u n g s i e l a s t i s i t a s k o n s t a n ( d o u b l e - l o g ) . P a r a ­

m e t e r F r i s c h d i t a k s i r d e n g a n r U m u s ( 8 ) d a r i d a t a S u s e n a s 1 9 7 6 . 2 ) i P i 7 i ,

p e n g e l u a r a n t o t a l m i n i m u t n , d i t a k s i r s e b e s a r R p . 3 . 8 0 8 , 1 2 p e r r u m a h t a t i g -

g a p e r b u i a n . A n g k a i n i a d a l a h a n g k a p e n g e l u a r a n r a t a - r a t a r u i n a i i t a n g ­

g a y a n g t e r m a s u k d a l a m g o l o n g a n p e n g e l u a r a n y a n g t e r e n d a h y a i t u y a n g

t e r c a k u p d i d a l a m k e i a s p e n g e l u a r a n d i b a w a h R p . 5 . 0 0 0 , — ( T a b e l 3 d a r i

S u s e n a s 1 9 7 6 — I n d o n e s i a , y a n g d i t e r b i t k a n o i e h - B P S ) . S e d a n g k a n C d i ­

t a k s i r s e b e s a r R p . 2 1 . 3 8 9 , 7 0 , y a n g m e r u p a k a n p e n g e l u a r a n r u m a h t a n g g a

p e r b u l a n r a t a - r a t a d a r i s e l u r u h s a m p l e ( T a b e l 3 , S u s e n a s 1 9 7 6 — I n d o n e ­

s i a , k o l o m t e r a k h i r ) . D e n g a n d e m i k i a n p a - a m e t e r F r i s c h ( c o ) m e m p u n y a i

n i l a i s e b e s a r — 1 . 2 1 6 5 9 7 . D a t a " p r o s e n t a s e p e n g e l u a r a n " ( b u d g e t s l i a r e s )

d i a m b i l d a r i T a b e l I n p u t - O u t p u t I n d o n e s i a 1 9 7 1 d e n g a n h a r g a p e i i i b e l i

( T a b c l B - I , k o l o m 3 0 1 ) .

H a s i l - h a s i l p e r h i t u n g a n d i s a j i k a n d a l a m T a b e l I d a n I I b e r i k u t i n i .

K h u s u s n y a u n t u k e l a s t i s i t a s h a r g a ( T a b e l I I ) , h a r u s d i b a c a s e b a g a i b e r i k u t .

A n g k a y a n g t e r i e t a k p a d a b a r i s i d a n k o l o m j - a d a l a h e l a s t i s i t a s p e r m i n t a a n

a k a n b a r a n g n o m o r i t e r h a d a p p e r u b a h a n harga b a r a n g j . N o m o r u r u t d a ­

i i n a m a - n a m a b a r a n g - b a r a n g d i s a j i k a n d a l a m T a b e l I I I .

3 5 0 E K I , V O L . X X V I , N O . S, S E P T E M B E R 1978

Page 7: Elastisitas Permintaan untuk Berbagai Barang di Indonesia

T A B E L I Income Elasticities and Budget Shares

No. Income Elasticities Budget Shares

I 0 . 3 0 0 0 7 8 0 . 0 3 7 9 2 9

2 1 . 1 7 0 2 0 9 e\ / \ o t £ O 1 0 . 0 8 1 5 2 1

3 0 . 0 0 . 0

• 4 , 1 . 0 7 0 4 2 1 f\ oono o 1 O ' . 0 2 9 o 9 l

5 0 . 9 3 5 7 0 9 0 . 0 1 1 5 7 4

6 1 . 0 9 3 7 7 1 o ooo e n i 0 . 0 2 0 5 9 7

7 U./:iy^a:D n r\nf\ i l l

8 luo 1 03 U.U2oU05

9 U . U A A 1 B A t ^ O O . U I 3 4 b 2

10 : 1 . 2 7 1 0 0 5 n n c c n o i 0 . 0 6 6 2 3 7

I I U.U U.UUU44D

l a . U.o t ̂ / 0 3 A A9SQ41 1

IS A n U.U

A A U.U

14 A A U.U A A 0 . 0

15 1 . 2 5 2 5 4 5 0 . 0 4 5 5 6 0

16 A £BOCOA 0 , o 5 9 5 9 o

n oriA A C O - 0 . 2 2 0 4 6 8

17 1 i 1 t 979 1.4 1 I / / 2 A nOQ1AO u . U 2 y l u y

18 A OQQ99A U.237225 A AAAAO O 0 . 0 0 0 0 3 3

19 • A A 0 . 0 A 1r\AAA A A 0 . 0 0 0 4 4 4

20 : 1 99ft97C 1 . 2 2 5 2 / 0

A AA A AAA Q . 0 0 4 2 U 9

21 Z . 0 0 4 I 7 5 A AA Q O C O ' 0 . 0 0 3 3 6 8

22 A A 0 . 0

A AAAAAC 0 . 0 0 0 9 9 5

23 1 . 3 1 0 7 5 0 A At ^ t A O 0 . 0 6 7 1 4 2

24 • 1 . 0 3 6 4 6 2 A AA t e e n 0 . 0 0 4 5 6 2

25 0 . 0 A AAAAA J

0 . 0 0 0 0 0 4 26 e\ e\ i o o t t

0 . 9 4 8 8 1 7 A A A J 1 A

0 . 0 2 4 1 2 7 27 1 . 3 1 0 7 8 8 0 . 0 0 0 7 9 5

28 2 . 1 2 4 2 5 2 0 . 0 0 2 3 3 4

29 : ; 0 . 0 0 . 0

30 2 . 1 2 4 2 5 2 A AAOAtO

0 . 0 0 3 0 6 3 31 n 1 o A o c n

2 . 1 2 4 2 5 2 A A A O A O ^

0 . 0 2 3 9 8 7 32 O 1 O 4 O £ O

2 . 1 2 4 2 5 2 0 . 0 1 5 7 4 3

S3 9 1 92 919 A AAQ 0 AO 0 , 0 0 3 8 9 8

34 1 . 7 3 1 3 9 7 0 . 0 0 1 5 7 5

35 1 . 7 3 1 3 9 7 0 . 1 7 6 2 6 0

36 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 1 1 1 9

S7 . 0 . 9 3 5 7 0 9 - 0 . 0 2 8 2 7 8

38 v 2 . 1 2 4 2 5 2 . 0 . 0 0 3 5 1 7

39 1 . 3 4 9 2 6 6 0 . 0 0 4 4 0 9

40 0 . 0 0 . 0

4 1 0 . 0 0 . 0

»

E K I . V O L . X X V I . N O . 3, S E P T E M B E R 1978

Page 8: Elastisitas Permintaan untuk Berbagai Barang di Indonesia

5W • :-i-»:i»

T A B E L I I

Complete Price Elajt idty Matrix Using Frisch's Parameter - - 1 , 216597

101) 103) (OJ) ( 0 ) ) 10!) ( 0 6 ) ( 0 2 ) (06)

1 . -0.255228 -0.00093S 0.0 -0.001078 -O.0OO8O2 -0.000624 -O.0OOI76 0.006587 2 -O.0SJ4S7 -0.965508 0.0 ' -0.004208 -0.003127 -0.002433 -0.000686 0.025688 5 0.0 0.0 q . o 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4 -0.OSO.559 -0.003S27 0.0 -0.8J3695 -0.002860 -0.002226 -0.000627 0.028497 i -0.026737 - 0 002909 0.0 -0.003361 -0.771621 -0.001946 -0.000548 0.020540 6 -O.05I255 -O.0OS400 0.0. -0.003928 -0.002923 -0.901316 -O.O5O641 0.024010 7' -O.00S550 -0.0009S0 0.0 -0.001075 M i . o o o s o p -0.000622 -0.246128 0.006568 S -0.06I95S -0.006 7 55 0.0 -0.007787 -0.005794 -0.004509 -0.001270 - 1 734574 9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0

10 -0.0S6317 -0.005951 0.0 -0.004565 -0.003396 -O.0O2643 -0.000745 0.027901 I I 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0

. 12 -0.02S224 -0.002526 0.0 -0.002919 -0.002172 -0.001690 -0.000476 0 017842 IS 0.0 o . a 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0,0 14 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 15 -0.0S5790 -O.0OS895 0.0 -0.004498 -0.003547 -0.002605 -O.0O07S4 0 027495 16 -0.019704 -0.002144 o . o -0.002477 -0.001843 -0.001434 -O.00O404 0015138 17 -0.040S2.5 -O.0O4S87 0.0 -0.005068 -0.0037 71 -0.002935 -0.000827 0050980 IS -0.0O855Q -O.0OO93O 0.0 -0.001075 - 0 . 00800 -0.000622 -0.000175 0.006568 19 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 20 -0 .0S50I I -O.0OSS09 0.0 -0.004401 -0.008274 -0.002548 -0.000718 0,025897 21 -0.059553 -0.006478 0.0 -0.007485 • - 0 005569 -0.004384 -0.001221 0045751 •22 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 25 -0.057454 -0.004074 0.0 -0.004708 -0.003503 -0.002726 -0.000768 0.028774 24 -0.029616 -0.008222 0.0 -0.003722 -0.002770 -0.002155 -O.0OO607 0,022752 25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0,0 0 0 26 -0.0271 I I -0.002949 0.0 -O.0OS4O8 • -0.002555 -0.001973 -0.000556 0.020828 27 -0.057454 -0.0O4074 0.0 -0.004708 -0.003503 - 0 002726 -0.000768 0 028774 2S -0.060698 -0.006603 0.0 -0.007629 - 0 005676 - 0 004417 -0.001245 0.016681 29 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 SO -0.060698 -0.0O660S 0.0 -0.007629 -0.005676 - 0 004417 -0.001245 0 046651 SI -0.060698 -0.006603 0.0 -0.007629 -0.005676 - 0 004417 -0.001245 0 046651 S2 -0.060698 -0.00660S 0.0 '-O.007629 -0.005676 -0,004417 -0.001245 0,046651 SS -0.060698 -0.006603 0.0 -0.007629 -0.005676 -0.004417 -0.001245 0.046651 S4 -0.049472 -0.005382 0.0 -0.006218 - 0 004627 -0.0O360O -0.001014 0.058007 S5 -0.049472 -0.005382 0.0 -0.0O62I8 -0.004627 -0.003600 -0.001014 0,058007 SO 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 S7 -0,026737 -0.04)2909 0.0 -0.003861 -0.002500 -0.001946 -0.0OO548 0.020540 SS -0.060698 -0.006603 0.0 -O.0O7629 -0.005676 -0.004417 -0.001245 0 046631 39 -0.03S55S -0.004194 0.0 -0.004846 -0.003606 -0.002806 -0.000791 0.029619 40 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 41 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0

352 E K I , V O L . X X V I , N O . 3 , S E P T E M B E R 1 9 7 8

Page 9: Elastisitas Permintaan untuk Berbagai Barang di Indonesia

S A M B U N G A N T A B E L 11 Complete Price Elasticity Matrix Using Frisch Parameter =» —1.216597

N: ( 0 9 ) ( 1 0 ) ( I I ) ( 1 3 ) ( l i ) ( H ) ( D ) ( 1 6 )

0 000889 —0.000134 _A A A 9 4 4 9 —U.UUiOOi 0.0 0.0 A 000404 \J ' V W 1 vJI

-0.028658 2 —0 01S7 55 A 005466

U. vUCtxUtl —0 000522 — U. VA/V/J i t.

—0.011238 0.0 0.0 0,001575 -0.111757 0 0 0 0 0 o " " 0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0

4 rt n 1 Ai in —U.U 144 lU - 0 000477 A A1A97Q —U,U iU* F S

0 0 0 0 0 00144] -0.102227 5 A n1ocni A AAOlIO

U.UU2f 72 —0.000417 A AASQSJL 0.0 0.0 A AAI OSiA -0.089362

6 A n 1 i t o J —0-014724 A AAff tj A (A005240

—0.000487 A A 1ACAi —U.U IU3U4

0.0 0.0 0.001472 -0.104457 7 A AAA AOH A AAAfl at) A AAA 14 4

—U.WH) 1 33 —0.002874 A f W l i n 4 U.UUU4U3 -0,028576

8 A A<>A 1 0 fl —U-U2y Ioa

A AA/: A o « 0.0UO423

A AAADAit A A0A4'l<) A A 0.0

n A 0.0

0 0^2919 -0.207065 9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0.0

10 A A 1 1 t t A —0-UI 7 1 10

— 1.040956 A AAACCt —0.UOU3OD A A1 lone 0.0 0.0 0.001 7 11 -0.121585 11 0.0 0,0 0.0 0 0 \'i - 0 1)1004 1 0.tH)240H -0.000362 -0,675870 0.0 0.0 0.001004 -0.077620 IS 0*0 0 0 0.0 0.0 O.Q 0.0 0.0 0.0 14 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0,0 15 —0 016862 0 003710

Xi.vJVJIi 1 Iv —0 000558

V ' V n n i W v —0 012025 0.0 0.0 — 1.02786 -0.119620

i6 —0 000285 A 002045 U.UUiU43

—0 000507 VJ, VIV wVIJVi I

—n 006629 —U.UUDOii

0 0 0 0 0 000928 -0.632681 17 -0.018999 0.004180 -0.000629 -0.013553 0.0 0.0 0.002900 -0.184779 18 - 0 004028 0 000896

ViVJVW JV —0 000133 —0 002874 0.0 0.0 0 000403

VI, VVJVJtv.! J -0028576

19 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20 - 0 016495

VI VI s \j V r j 0 003630 —0 000546

—SJ.VW JX u —0 011767 ^-\J-VJ 1 \ 1 V 1

0.0 0.0 0 001650 Ui W 1 VJV

-0.117016 21 -0.028057 0.006174 —0.000929 -0.020015 0.0 0.0 0,002806 -0.199042 22 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 25 -0!o 17645 0.003883 - 0 000584 -0.012588 0.0 0.0 0.001765 -0.125182 24 -0.016963 0.005070 -0.000462 -0.009953 0.0 0.0 0.001395 -0.098984 25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 26 -0.012773 0.002811 -0.000423 -0.009112 0.0 0,0 0.001277 -0.090615 27 -0.017646 0.003883 -0.000584 -0.012588 0.0 0.0 0.001765 -0.125182 28 -0.028597 0.006292 —0.000947 —0 020400 0.0 0.0 0 002860 -0.202889 29 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 SO -0.028597 0.006292 -0.000947 - 0 020400 0.0 0.0 0.002860 - 0 202869 SI -0.028.597 0 006292 -0.000947 -0.020400 0.0 0.0 0.002860 -0.202869 32 -0,028597 0 006292 -0.000947 -0.020400 0.0 0.0 0.002860 -0.202869 33 -0.028597 0.006292 -0.000947 -0.020400 0.0 0.0 0.002860 -0.202869 34 -0.023108 0.005129 - 0 000772 -0.016627 0.0 0.0 0.002331 -0.165551 35 - 0 023508 0.005129 -0.000772 -0.016627 0.0 0.0 0.002331 -0.165851 36 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 37 -0.012597 0.O02772 -0.000417 -0.008986 0.0 0.0 0.001260 -0.089362 38 -0,028597 0.006292 -0.000947 -0.020400 0.0 0.0 0.002860 -0.202869 39 -0.018164 . 0.003997 -0.000601 -0.012957 0.0 0.0 0.001815 -0.12883 40 0.0 0.0 O.Q 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 41 0.0 0.0 • 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Jv

s s s

Page 10: Elastisitas Permintaan untuk Berbagai Barang di Indonesia

S A M B U N G A N T A B E L I I Complete Price Elasticity Matrix Using Frisch's Parameter - - 1 . 2 1 6 S 0 7

v . . 117) ( I S ) f7W (30) ( 3 1 ) ( 3 3 ) ( 3 3 ) (36)

1 0.001398 -0.000007 -O.OOOISS 0.000009 0.000721 -O.0OO299 0.001560 -0.000209 2 0.005451 -0.000029 -0.0OO520 0.0O0035 0.0O28I1 -0.001166 0.006085 - 0 000790 J 0.0 0.0 0.0 ' . 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4 0.004986 -0.000027 -0.000475 , 0.000052 0.002571 -0.001066 0.005564 -0.000729 i 0.004558 -0.000023 -0.000415 0.000028 0.002247 -0.000932 0.004864 -0,000632 6 0.005095 -0.000027 -0.000486 0.000035 0.002627 -0.001089 0.005686 -0.000739 7 0.0O1594 -0.000007 -0.000158 0.0OOOO9 0.OOO719 -O.0O0298 0.001555 -0.000202 B 0.010099 -0.000054 -0.000963 0.000065 0.005208 -0.002160 0011271 - 0 001465 9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0;0 0.0

10 0.005920 -O.000032 -0.000564 0.000038 0.003055 -0.001266 0.006607 - 0 000859 11 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12 0.005786 -0.000020 -0.000361 0.000024 0001952 -0.000810 0.004225 - 0 000549 13 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 15 0.005854 -0.000031 -0.000556 0.000058 O.U03008 -0.001248 0.006511 -O.OOOB46 16 0.003212 - o . o o o o i ; -0.000506 0.000021 0.001656 -0.000687 0.005585 -0,000466 17 -1.153442 -0.000055 -0.000627 0.000042 0.005590 -0.001406 0.00755} -0.000955 IS 0.001394 -0.246960 -0.000138 0.000009 0.000719 -0.000298 0.001555 -0.000202 19 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 o . d 0.0- 0.0 0.0 20 0.009707 -0.000050 -O.0O0544 -1.007096 . 0 002945 -0.001220 0.006369 -0.0O0829 21 0.009708 -0.000052 -0.000925 0.000063 -1.708115 -O.002076 0.000834 -0.001408 22 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2J 0.006106 - 0 000053 -0.000582 0.000039 0.003148 -0.001806 -1.070608 -0.0OO828

2« 0.004828 -0.000026 -0.000460 0.000031 0.002489 -O.0010S2 0.005388 -0.952656 25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 26 0.004^420 -0.000024 -0.000421 0.000028 0.002279 -0.000945 0.OO4932 -O.0OO846 27 0.006106 -0.000033 -0.060582 0.000039 O.OOS148 -0.001506 0.000814 - 0 000885 29 0.009895 -0.000055 -0.000943 0.000064 0.005102 -0.002116 0.011042 -0.001635 29 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0,0 0 0 JO 0.009895 -0.000053 -0.000943 0.000064 0.006102 -0.002116 0.011042 -0.001435 ) l 0.009895 -0.000053 -0.000948 0.0O0O64 0.005102 -0.002116 0.011042 - 0 001435 32 0.009895 -0.000053 -O.P0094S 0.000064 0.005102 -0.002116 0.011042 - 0 001435 JS 0.009895 -O.0OOO53 -0.0O094S 0.000064 0.005102 -0.0O21I6 0.011042 - 0 001435 34 0.008065 -0.OOO053 -0.000769 0.OO0052 0.004158 -0.001724 0 009000 - 0 001178 35 0.008065 -0.00OO43 -0.000769 0.000052 0.004158 -0.001724 0.009000 - 0 001178 36 0.0 0.0 • 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 57 0.004358 -0.000028 -0.000415 0.000028 0.002247 -0.000982 0.004864 -0.000632 38 0.009895 -0.0OO053 -O.0OO943 0.OOOO64 0.005102 -0.002116 0.011042 -0,001435 39 0.006285 -0.000034 -0.000599 0.000041 0.003241 -0.001344 0.007014 -0.000911 40 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 41 .0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

s

354 E K I . V O L . X X V I , N O , 3, S E P T E M B E R 1978

Page 11: Elastisitas Permintaan untuk Berbagai Barang di Indonesia

S A M B U N G A N T A B E t I I Complete Price Elasticity Matrix Using Frisch's Parameter •• —1.216597

No. ( S i ) ( 3 6 ) (37) ( 3 1 ) (39) (JO) ( J l ) (J3)

1 -O.OOOOOl - 0 001594 O.OOOOIS 0.000523 0.0 0.000686 0.005370 0.005524 2 - 0 000005 -0.0O62I4 0.000072 0.002038 0.0 0.002674 0.020942 0.015744 9 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4 -0.000004 -0.005684 0.000066 0.001864 0.0 O.0O2446 0.019156 0.012572 4 - 0 000004 - 0 004969 0 000058 0001629 0.0 0.002138 0.016745 0,010990 e LOJ100004 - 0 005808 0.000067 0.0OI905 0.0 0002499 0.019574 0.0128(7 7 -0.000001 -0.001589 0.000018 0.000521 0.0 0.000684 0.005355 0.003514 8 - 0 000009 -0.011514 0.000133 0.003775 0.0 0.004955 0.058801 0.025466 9 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 ' 0.0 0.0

10 - 0 000005 - 0 006750 0.000078 0.002215 0.0 0.002904 0.022746 0.014921 I I 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 . 0.0 0 0 12 -0.000005 - 0 004816 0.000050 0001415 0.0 0.001857 0.014545 0 009546 19 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15 -0 000005 - 0 006652 0.000077 0.002181 0.0 0.002862 0.022415. 0.014711 16 - 0 000005 -0.003662 0.000042 0.001201 0.0 0.001376 0.012541 0.0O8899 17 -0.000006 -0.007495 0.000087 0.002457 0.0 0.003225 0.025256 0016576 18 - 0 000001 - 0 001589 0.000018 0000521 0.0 0.000684 0.005555 0.OO3514 19 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0.0 20 -0.000005 -0.006507 0.000075 0.002154 0.0 0.002800 0.021927 0.014391 21 - 0 000005 - 0 011068 O.0OO128 0.003629 0.0 0.004763 0.057298 0.024479 22 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 25 -0.0OO0O5 -0.006961 0 000081 0.002282 0.0 0.002995 0.028458 0.015396 24 - 0 000004 - 0 005504 0.000064 0.001805 0.0 0.002369 0.018548 0.012175 25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 26 - 0 000004 -0.754935 0.000058 0.001652 0.0 0.002168 0.016980 0.011144 27 - 0 000005 -0.006961 -1.077341 0.002282 0.0 0.002995 0.023458 0.015396 25 - 0 000008 - 0 001281 0.000131 -1.742362 0.0 0.004854 0,058015 0.024950 29 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 30 - 0 000008 -0.011281 0.000131 0.003699 0.0 -1.741206 0.058015 0.024950 51 -0,000008 -0.011281 0.000131 0 005699 0.0 0.004854 -1.708046 0.024950 32 -0.0OO008 0.011291 0.000131 0.003699 0.0 0.004854 0.038015 -1.721111 S3 -0.000008 -0 .01 I2S I 0.000131 0.003699 0.0 0.004854 0.038015 0.024950 34 -0.000007 -0.009195 0.000107 0.003015 0.0 0.005957 0.050985 0.020536 35 -0.000007 -O.0O9195 O.OOO107 0.0OS015 0.0 0.003957 0 030985 0.020536 36 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 37 - 0 000004 -0.604969 0.000058 0.001629 0.0 0.002158 0.016745 0.010990 33 -0.000008 -0.011281 0.000181 0.003699 0.0 0.004854 0.038015 0.024950 39 -0.000005 -0.007165 0.000083 0.002349 oja 0.003083 0024146 0.015847 40 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 , 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 41 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 f 0.0 0.0 0 0 0.0

E K I , V O L . X X V I , N O . 3, S E P T E M B E R 1978 3 5 5

Page 12: Elastisitas Permintaan untuk Berbagai Barang di Indonesia

S A M B U N G A N T A B E L I I Complete Price Elaiticity Matrix Using Frisch's Parameter - - 1 . 216597

No. (JJ) ( J l ) (J» ( J 6 ) ( 1 7 ) ( l a ) ( 1 9 ) ( 4 0 ) ( 4 1 )

1 0 . 0 0 0 3 7 3 0 . 0 0 0 2 0 8 0 . 0 2 2 3 8 1 - 0 . 0 0 0 3 5 6 - 0 . 0 0 1 9 5 9 0 : 0 0 0 7 8 7 0 . 0 0 0 1 4 4 0 . 0 0 . 0

2 0 . 0 7 3 4 0 3 0 . 0 0 0 7 8 0 0 . 0 8 7 2 7 9 - 0 . 0 0 1 8 0 9 - 0 . 0 0 7 6 4 0 0 . 0 0 3 0 7 1 0 . 0 0 0 5 6 3 0 . 0 o n S 0 . 0 0 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 o n 4 0 . 0 0 3 1 1 3 0 . 0 0 0 7 1 3 0 . 0 7 9 8 8 6 - 0 . 0 0 1 1 9 8 - 0 . 0 0 6 9 3 9 0 . 0 0 2 8 0 9 0 . 0 O 0 5 1 5 0 0 0 . 0

5 0 . 0 0 2 7 2 1 0 . 0 0 O 6 2 4 0 . 0 6 9 7 8 9 - 0 . 0 0 1 0 4 7 - 0 . 0 0 6 1 0 9 0 . 0 0 2 4 5 5 0 . 0 0 0 4 5 0 0 . 0 0 . 0

6 0 . 0 0 3 1 8 1 0 . 0 0 0 7 2 9 0 . 0 3 1 5 7 8 - 0 . 0 0 1 2 2 4 - 0 . 0 0 7 1 4 1 0 . 0 0 2 8 7 0 0 . 0 0 0 5 2 6 0 . 0 0 , 0

7 0 . 0 0 0 8 7 0 0 . 0 0 0 1 9 9 0 . 0 2 2 3 1 7 ^ - 0 . 0 0 0 5 3 5 - 0 . 0 0 1 9 5 4 0 . 0 0 0 7 8 5 0 . 0 0 0 1 4 4 0 . 0 0 . 0

S 0 . 0 0 6 3 0 5 0 . 0 0 1 4 4 5 0 . 1 6 1 7 1 2 - O . 0 O 2 4 2 6 - 0 . 0 1 4 1 5 6 0 . 0 0 5 6 8 9 0 . 0 0 1 0 4 2 0 . 0 0 . 0

9 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0

1 0 0 . 0 0 5 6 9 6 0 . 0 0 0 3 4 7 0 . 0 9 4 7 9 7 - 0 . 0 0 1 4 2 2 - 0 . 0 0 8 2 9 8 0 . 0 0 8 8 9 5 0 . 0 0 0 6 1 1 0 . 0 0 . 0

I I 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0

1 2 0 . 0 0 2 3 6 4 0 . 0 0 0 5 4 2 0 . 0 6 0 6 1 9 - 0 . 0 0 0 9 0 9 - 0 . 0 0 5 3 0 6 0 . 0 0 2 1 5 5 O . 0 O 0 S 9 1 0 0 0 . 0

I S 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 , 0

1 4 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 - 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 0

U 0 . 0 0 3 6 4 3 0 . 0 0 0 8 5 5 0 . 0 9 8 4 2 0 - 0 . 0 0 1 4 0 2 - 0 . 0 0 8 1 7 8 0 . 0 0 3 2 8 7 0 . 0 0 0 6 0 2 0 . 0 0 . 0

1 6 0 . 0 0 2 0 0 5 0 . 0 0 0 4 6 0 0 . 0 5 1 4 3 3 - 0 . 0 0 0 7 7 2 • - 0 . 0 0 - 5 0 2 0 . 0 0 1 8 0 9 0 . 0 0 0 3 3 2 OJO n o 1 7 0 . 0 0 4 1 0 4 0 . 0 0 0 9 4 1 0 1 6 5 2 5 8 - 0 . 0 0 1 5 7 9 - 0 . 0 0 9 2 1 4 0 . 0 O 3 7 0 9 0 . 0 0 0 6 7 9 0 , 0 0 0

I S 0 . 0 0 0 8 7 0 0 . 0 0 0 1 9 9 0 . 0 2 2 3 1 7 - 0 . 0 0 0 5 3 5 - O . 0 O 1 9 5 4 0 . 0 0 0 7 8 5 0 . 0 0 0 1 4 4 0 . 0 0 0

1 9 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 0

2 0 0 . 0 0 3 6 6 3 0 . 0 0 0 6 1 7 0 . 0 9 1 3 9 6 - 0 . 0 0 1 5 7 1 - 0 . 0 0 8 0 0 0 0 . 0 0 5 2 1 5 0 . 0 0 0 6 0 2 0 , 0 0 . 0

2 1 0 . 0 0 6 0 6 1 0 . 0 0 1 3 8 9 0 . 1 5 3 4 4 6 - 0 . 0 0 2 5 5 2 - 0 . 0 1 3 6 0 7 0 . 0 0 5 4 6 9 0 . 0 0 0 6 0 2 0 . 0 0 . 0

2 2 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0

2 J 0 . 0 O 3 S 1 2 0 . O O O 8 7 4 0 . 0 9 7 7 6 4 - 0 . 0 0 1 4 6 7 - 0 . 0 0 8 5 5 8 0 . 0 0 3 4 3 9 0 . 0 0 0 6 3 0 0 . 0 0 0

2 4 0 . 0 0 3 0 1 4 0 . 0 0 0 6 9 1 0 . 0 7 7 3 0 8 - 0 . 0 0 1 1 6 0 - 0 . 0 O 6 7 6 7 0 . 0 0 2 7 2 0 0 . 0 0 0 4 9 8 0 0 0 . 0

2 4 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0

2 6 0 . 0 0 2 7 5 9 0 . 0 0 0 6 3 2 0 . 0 7 0 7 6 7 - O . 0 O 1 0 6 2 - 0 . 0 0 6 1 9 5 0 . 0 0 2 4 9 0 0 . 0 0 0 4 5 6 0 . 0 0 . 0

2 7 0 . 0 0 3 8 1 2 0 . 0 0 0 8 7 4 0 . 0 9 7 7 6 4 - 0 . 0 0 1 4 6 7 - 0 . 0 0 8 5 5 8 0 . 0 0 8 4 5 9 0 . 0 0 0 6 5 0 0 0 0 . 0

2 S 0 . 0 0 6 1 7 8 0 . 0 0 1 4 1 6 0 . 1 5 8 4 8 5 - 0 . 0 O 2 3 7 7 - 0 . 0 1 3 8 6 9 0 . 0 0 5 5 7 4 0 . 0 0 1 0 2 1 0 0 0 . 0

2 9 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 0 0 0

3 0 0 . 0 0 6 1 7 8 0 . 0 0 1 4 1 6 0 . 1 5 8 4 5 5 - 0 . 0 0 2 3 7 7 - 0 . 0 1 3 8 6 9 0 . 0 0 5 5 7 4 0 . 0 0 1 0 2 1 0 0 n o S I 0 0 0 6 1 7 8 0 . 0 0 1 4 1 6 0 . 1 5 8 4 5 5 - 0 . 0 0 2 3 7 7 - O . O 1 3 8 6 9 0 . 0 O 5 5 7 4 0 . 0 0 1 0 2 1 0 , 0 0 - 0

3 2 0 . 0 0 6 1 7 8 0 . 0 0 1 4 1 6 0 . 1 5 8 4 3 5 - 0 . 0 0 2 3 7 7 - 0 . 0 1 3 8 6 9 0 . 0 0 5 5 7 4 0 . 0 0 1 0 2 1 0 . 0 0 0

J J 0 . 7 3 9 8 8 8 0 . 0 0 1 4 1 6 0 . 1 5 8 4 5 5 - 0 . 0 0 2 3 7 7 - 0 . 0 1 3 8 6 9 0 . 0 0 5 5 7 4 0 . 0 0 1 0 2 1 0 0 0 0

3 4 0 . 0 0 4 0 3 3 - 1 . 4 2 1 9 9 3 0 . 1 2 9 1 5 4 - 0 . 0 0 1 9 3 7 - 0 . 0 1 1 8 0 4 0 . 0 O 4 5 4 S 0 . 0 0 0 8 3 2 0 . 0 o n 3 4 0 0 0 4 0 3 4 0 . 0 0 1 1 5 4 - 1 . 2 9 4 0 1 2 - O . 0 O 1 9 S 7 - 0 . 0 1 1 3 0 4 0 . 0 0 4 5 4 3 0 . 0 0 0 8 3 2 n o o n 5 6 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 0 n o 5 7 0 . 0 0 2 7 2 1 0 . 0 0 0 6 7 4 0 . 0 6 9 7 8 9 - O . O O I 0 4 7 - 0 . 7 7 5 2 2 9 0 . 0 0 2 4 5 5 0 . 0 0 0 6 3 0 o p n o 3 3 0 . 0 0 6 1 7 3 0 . 0 0 1 2 1 6 0 . 1 5 8 4 5 5 - 0 . 0 0 2 5 7 7 - 0 . 0 1 3 8 6 9 - 1 . 7 4 0 4 8 7 0 . 0 0 1 0 2 1 0 0 n o 3 9 0 . 0 0 3 9 2 4 0 . 0 0 0 8 9 9 0 . 1 0 0 6 3 4 - 0 . 0 0 1 3 1 0 - 0 . 0 0 8 8 0 9 0 . 0 0 3 5 4 0 - 1 . 1 0 8 3 9 9 0 . 0 0 . 0

4 0 0 . 0 0 0 0 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 0 0 0

4 1 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 . 0 0 0

356 E K I . V O L . X X V I , N O . S, S E P T E M B E R 1978

Page 13: Elastisitas Permintaan untuk Berbagai Barang di Indonesia

T A B E L I I I

N O M O R U R U T D A N N A M A B A R A N G - B A R A N G

No. N ama No. N a ma

1 J a g u n g & : U b i - u b i a n 2 2 B e u a n g T e n u u Sc J a l i i i

2 S a y u r & ; B u a b - b u a h a n 2 3 B a h a n P a k a i a n

3 K a r i l 2 4 K c i i a s Sc I l a s i l - l u i s i l u y a

4 K e l a p a , k e l a p a s a w i l & h a s i l - h a s i l n y a 2 5 P u p u k 5 T e m b a k a u 2 6 B a h a n - l i a h a n K i m i a

6 T e l l & K o p i ' 2 7 H a s i l - b a s i l I n d u s i r * i l a r i K a r e t

7 R e i u p a l i - i e u i p a h 2 8 K a e a Se K e i a m i k

8 T e i i i a k & l i a s l l - l i a s l l n y a 2 9 S e i n e n

9 K a y u Se H a s i l H u l a n L a i n n y a 3 0 H a s i l - h a s i l I n d u s t r i L o g a l i i ,

1 0 P e r i k a n a n 3 1 M e s i n Sc A l a t - a l a t L i s t r i k

I I B a i a n g - l i a r a n g T a m b a n g b u k a n M e t a l 3 2 A l a t - a l a t P e n g a n g k u t a n

1 2 M i n y a k Sc G a s 3 3 H a s i l - h a s i l I n d u s t r i L a i n y a n g b e l u m

1 3 P e i i a i i i b a n g a n L o g a m t e r c a k u p

1 4 l ' e i < l a g a i i g a n 3 4 ( a s a L e m b a g a - l e m b a g a K e u a n g a n

1 3 P e n g a n g k u i a n Sc K o m u n i k a s i 3 5 J a s a - j a s a L a i n n y a 1 6 B e r a s , i 3 6 B a r a n g - b a r a n g y a n g l i d a k I r i s a d i -

1 7 G u l a g o l o n g k a n *

1 8 C e n g k c h 3 7 R o k o k

1 9 K a p a s Sc S e r a t L a i n n y a 3 8 B a r a n g - b a r a n g d a r i K a y u 2 0 M a k a n a n S u d a h J a d i 3 9 L i s t r i k , G a s Sc A i r M i n i m i

2 1 M i n u i i i a n 4 0

4 1

K o n s t r u k s i B a n g u n a n

P e m e r i n i a l i a n

* S e k t o r n o m o r 6 6 d a r i I n p u t - O u t p u t d e n g a n k l a s i f i k a s i 6 6 s e k t o r .

L A M P I R A N i P e n u r u n a n d a r i R u m u s - r u m u s F r i s c h

K o n s u m e n d i a n g g a p m e m i l i k i f u n g s i - g u n a y a n g b e r b e n t u k " p e n a m b a h a n

l a n g s u n g " ( d i r e c t l y a d d i t i v e u t i l i t y f u n c t i o n ) , U . d a n p e n d a p a t a n t o t a l C .

(1) U - L j U j ( X j )

( 2 ) c = S i P i X i J

M a s a l a l i k o n s u m e n t e r s e b u t a d a l a h m e m a k s i m u m k a n U d e n g a n l i a t a s a n C

y a n g i a m i i i k i :

M a x U d e n g a n b a t a s a n C , ; X j

D a n s i n i k i t a p e r o l c i i s y a r a t - s y a r a t m a k s i m u m o r d e p e r t a m a

( 3 ) U i ( X i ) - x P . = o : I V

E K I . V O L . X X V I . N O , 3. S E P T E M B E R 1978 . 857

Page 14: Elastisitas Permintaan untuk Berbagai Barang di Indonesia

( 4 ) C = S P j X ; _ ' •• i

| Z . ( X i ) = £ ^ ^ = ^ J i . ; X = m a r g i n a l u t i l i t y d a r i u a n g . ' 3 X i d X j

D a r i ( 3 ) d a n ( 4 ) k i t a b i s a p e r o l e h

( 5 ) X i = = h i ( P i P i P „ , C ) ; ( i - 1 n )

I n i m e r u p a k a n s a t u s e t f u n g s i p e r m i n t a a n

( 6 ) X = X ( P , P i . . . . P n , C )

I n i a d a l a h f u n g s i m a r g i n a l u t i l i t y d a r i u a n g . ;

3 X • S e k a r a n g k i u d e f i n i s i k a n • ' = h i j ,

0 P j

d a n = g j ; ( i , j = 1 , . . . , n ) .

L a n g k a h - l a n g k a h a l j a b a r b e r i k u t i n i d i t u j u k a n u n t u k m e n d a p a t k a n r u m u s

y a n g m e n g h u b u n g k a n a n t a r a h y d a n g j , a t a u a n t a r a e l a s t i s i t a s h a r g a E y

X ' X ' (— b j j — ! - ) d e n g a n e l a s t i s i t a s p e n d a p a t a n TJ j ( = , g • — - ) .

J P j C

D i f e r e n s i a s i d a r i ( 3 ) d a n ( 4 ) t e r h a d a p P j m e n g h a s i l k a n

( 8 ) P i h i j - - | - ^ P - X £ i j = 0

( 7 ) ? h i j P i = - X j .

a X

a p

,. , a * u d ' U i d i n t a n a p ^ = _ = _ , .

f = 1 b i l a i = j

4 \ = 0 b i l a i i t j

S e k a r a n g k i t a a m b i l d i f e r e n s i a s i d a r i ( 3 ) d a n ( 4 ) t e r h a d a p C d a n k i t a d a p a t -

k a n • .

( 9 ) S g . p . = 1 . d a n

3 5 8 . ; : E K I . V O L . X X V I . N O . 3. S E P T E M B E R 1978

Page 15: Elastisitas Permintaan untuk Berbagai Barang di Indonesia

D a r i ( 8 ) k i t a p e r o i e h s

( n ) h i j = - ^ ( | | ^ . P i + x C i j ) V

D a r i ( 1 0 ) k i t a p e r o i e h ' '

j u = O ^ / d C ) P i ^ y ^ ^ g ^ j ^ ^ s u b s t i t u s i k a n k e d a l a m ( 1 1 )

d a n k i t a p e r o l e h

' ) a x / a c ^' o x / a c ) . P i

K i l a k a l i k a n ( 1 2 ) d e n g a n P j d a n k e m u d i a n k i t a g u n a k a n ( 7 ) d a n ( 8 ) , k i t a

p e r o i e h

( 1 3 ) a x i

a x i a c a x / a c

K i t a S u b s t i t u s i k a n k e m b a l i ( 1 3 ) k e d a i a m ( 1 2 ) ,

" ^ ' ^ ' i = - ^ ' [ j ^ a x ^ ' ^ i - T ! ^ ] ;

I n i a d a l a h r u m u s d a s a r y a n g i n g i n k i t a p e r o l e h . K a l a u d i t e r j e m a h k a n k e

d a i a m e l a s t i s i t a s , k i t a m e m p e r o l e h

( 1 5 ) G i i = - T ? i [ a i + - ^ ( a . T J i - 1 )

( 1 6 ) e i j = - T ? i [ a j + - ^ a j T j j ] :

d i m a n a , = e l a s t i s i t a s h a r g a s e n d i r i d a r i i

G j j = e l a s t i s i t a s h a r g a d a r i i t e r h a d a p p e r u b a h a n h a r g a j

i j . = e l a s t i s i t a s p e n d a p a t a n d a r i i .

^ ' = " p r o s e n t a s e p e n g e l u a r a n " a t a u " b u d g e t

^ s h a r e s "

CO = ^ ^ d C ^ p a r a m e t e r F r i s c h . X / C

E K I . V O L . X X V I , N O . 3, S E P T E M B E R 1978 359