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1
BASF: Fit for 2012 and beyond
Dr. Hans Engel CFO of BASF SE
New York,
January 10, 2012
2
This presentation includes forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties, including those pertaining to the anticipated benefits to be realized from the proposals described herein. This presentation contains a number of forward-looking statements including, in particular, statements about future events, future financial performance, plans, strategies, expectations, prospects, competitive environment, regulation and supply and demand. BASF has based these forward-looking statements on its views with respect to future events and financial performance. Actual financial performance of the entities described herein could differ materially from that projected in the forward-looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty of estimates, forecasts and projections, and financial performance may be better or worse than anticipated. Given these uncertainties, readers should not put undue reliance on any forward-looking statements.
Forward-looking statements represent estimates and assumptions only as of the date that they were made. The information contained in this presentation is subject to change without notice and BASF does not undertake any duty to update the forward-looking statements, and the estimates and assumptions associated with them, except to the extent required by applicable laws and regulations.
Forward-looking statements
3
Facts & figuresWorldwide leading chemical company
- Sales 2010: €64 billion
- EBITDA 2010: €11.1 billion
- EBIT
before
special
items
2010: €8.1 billion
- Net profit 2010: €4.6 billion
Customers in more than 200 countries and in virtually all industries
No 1-3 market position in over 75% of our businesses
Unique Verbund concept for integrated production
- Six Verbund sites in all major regions
- Production sites in 41 countries
110,000 employees, thereof over 9,000 in R&D
BASF – The Chemical Company
4
1 | Business review
2 | BASF’s strategy ‘we create chemistry’
3 | Financial targets 2015 / 2020
5
Sales €55.4 billion +16.8%EBITDA €9.1 billion +7.8%EBITDA margin 16.4 % 17.8%EBIT before special items €6.9 billion +8.8%EBIT €6.6 billion +9.5%Net income €5.1 billion +46.3%EPS €5.5 +46.3%Adjusted EPS €5.2 +20.0%
Business performance Jan - Sept’11 vs. Jan - Sept’10
Highlights January – September 2011
Volume in Chemicals activities grew by 4%Acquired Cognis business continues to perform strongly; synergy targets increasedAgricultural Solutions on track for record year in sales and earningsEBIT before special items amounted to €6.9 billion.
6
We expect to generate significantly higher salesWe aim to significantly exceed the 2010 EBIT before special itemsadjusted for non-compensable oil taxes (2010: €7.2 billion)We will earn a high premium on our cost of capital
Outlook 2011
Outlook 2011 confirmed
We aim to continuously increase the annual dividend, or at least maintain it at the level of the previous year.
Dividend policy
as of October
27, 2011; 3rd Quarter
2011 Reporting
7
1 | Business review
2 | BASF’s strategy ‘we create chemistry’
3 | Financial targets 2015 / 2020
8
BASF Today The leading chemical company
BASF outperformed global chemical production in growth by > 4 percentage points p.a. from 2001 to 2010
Active management of portfolio towards higher returns and less cyclicality
Strong and profitable growth in emerging markets
Focus on innovative products and solutions
Benchmark in operational excellence with unique Verbund concept
Strong earnings power, high cash flow generation and a strong financial profile
Generation of long-term attractive shareholder returns
9
Demographic challenges set the stage for the future of the chemical industry
Nine billion people in 2050 but only one earth
Resources, Environment & Climate
Food & Nutrition Quality of life
Chemistry as enabler
10
Key trends for the chemical industry
Integrated chemical companies remain cornerstone
Emerging markets players grow quickly
Raw material players invest further downstream
Competitive landscape will change
Use opportunities from sustainability
Increase resource efficiency
Renewables as raw materials
Stakeholder dialogue
Sustainability as strategic driver
Chemistry as enabler
Chemical products replace traditional materials
Create innovative sustainable solutions
Innovation gains in importance
Growth will accelerate
Industrial production > GDP
Chemicalproduction > GDP
Emerging markets will outgrow developed markets
Chemical industry remains an attractive growth industry
11
Assumptions 2010 – 2020
Growth 2001 - 2010
Global GDP 2.5% p.a.
Chemical production (excl. Pharma) 3.0% p.a.
Industrial production 2.4% p.a.
Growth 2010 – 2020 (Forecast*)
3.0% p.a.
4.0% p.a.
3.8% p.a.
* Assumptions 2010-2020: US$/€
Ø
1.40. oil price Ø
US$110/bbl
12
Our strategic principles
We add value as one company.
We innovate to make our customers more successful.
We drive sustainable solutions.
We form the best team.
13
Striving for strong profitable growth
Sales* in billion €
64
2010 Target 2020
Target 2015
Investments
Acquisitions
CAGR ~6%
Innovations
Investments
AcquisitionsInnovations
~85
~115
We will outperform chemical production by 2 percentage points p.a.* Potential impact of IFRS changes not included
14
All regions will deliver profitable growth
Regional sales targets 2020 (by location of customers)
in billion €
North America
2010 2020
13
~5.5% p.a.~22
South America, Africa, Middle East
~8% p.a.
5 ~11
Europe
~4.5% p.a.
33
~53
Asia Pacific
~8% p.a.
13~29
2010 2020
2010 20202010 2020
19%*20%*46%*52%*
25%*20%*10%*8%*
* Percentage of total sales
15
Doubling EBITDA by 2020
EBITDA in billion €
2010 Target 2020
Target 2015
* Assumptions 2010-2020: US$/€
Ø
1.40. oil price Ø
US$110/bbl
11.1
CAGR ~7.5%~23
~15Op. Excellence
Growth
Acquisitions
Op. Excellence
Growth
Acquisitions
16
Strategic levers
–
Portfolio development
–
Market approach
–
Innovations for a sustainable future
–
Investments
–
Operational excellence
17
Moving downstream towards customer industries
Functionalized Materials & SolutionsCustomized ProductsClassical Chemicals
2020in % of sales
Chemical Industry First customer industries*
2010 in % of sales
~ 40%
~30% ~ 70%
2001 in % of sales
~ 50%
~ 60%
~ 50%
* Agriculture, Construction, Consumer Goods, Health & Nutrition, Electronics, Energy & Resources, Transportation
** Sales without Oil & Gas
18
Building on our cross-divisional customer industry approach
BASF sales by first customer industry*
Bubble Size: BASF divisional sales by first customer industry (2010)**
* Excluding
Oil & Gas and Other
** Excluding Agricultural Solutions, Health & Nutrition, Oil & Gas and Other
> 15 %
< 10 %
< 10 %
> 15 %
Inorganics Petro-Chemicals
Construction Chemicals
Dispersions & Pigments
Catalysts Intermediates Coatings Care Chemicals
Performance Polymers
Poly- urethanes
Performance Chemicals
Paper Chemicals
Consumer goods
Transportation
Construction
Energy & Resources
19
Combining cross-divisional technology competencies with customer know-how
Smart forvision – joint concept car of Daimler and BASF
E-textiles
Solar roof with transparent
organic solar panels and
OLED modules
Multifunctional seat
Infrared-reflective coating
Infrared-reflective film
High performance foams
Lightweight tridion
cell
All-plastic wheel
20
Chemistry as an enabler for many customer industries
Sustainability in customer industries will drive our innovative growth fields
Health & Nutrition
Consumer GoodsConstructionTransportation Electronics Energy &
ResourcesAgriculture
Customerindustries
Energy management
Water solutions
Wind energy
Rare earth metals
recycling
Heat management
Enzymes Plant biotechnology
Batteries for mobility
Lightweight composites
Heat management
Functional crop care
Medical OrganicElectronics
GrowthFields*
*including growth fields still under evaluation
Ongoing inflow of new growth fields
21
Targeted €7 billion of EBITDA from innovations in 2020
Sales and EBITDA from innovations in billion €
2015 2020
~10
~30
Targeted spending of ~3% of sales (w/o Oil & Gas) p.a. on R&D
Sales from innovations launched within last 5 years
Sales from innovations launched within last 10 years
~2.5
~7EBITDA from innovations launched within last 5 years
EBITDA from innovations launched within last
10 years
22
Investments will boost future organic growth
Future investments in €
billlion
Thereof investments in emerging markets
Total investments
35-45%
15-20
30-40%
~15
2006 –
2010 2011 –
2015 2016 –
2020
10.9
~20%
23
Emerging markets: 45% sales target 2020 Recently announced major projects
MDI plant Chongqing, China Expansion Verbund site Nanjing*
Expansion Verbund site Kuantan*
Acrylic acid complex, Brazil Expanding gas production, Russia* 15% Stake in South Stream* Memoranda of Understanding signed
24
New operational excellence program “STEP”: Earnings contribution ~€1 billion
Annual earnings contribution in €
million
Optimization of processes, structures and production sites in all regionsMeasures:–
Fixed cost savings–
Margin improvement–
Capacity increase–
Better sourcingProject timeline: 2012 - 2015Targeted earnings contribution of about €1 billion by end of 2015
STrategic
Excellence
Program
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
2012 2015
Former cost saving programs NEXT STEP
Annual earnings contribution of more than €1 billion in 2012 will be achieved
New
EXcellence
Targets
25
1 | Business review
2 | BASF’s strategy ‘we create chemistry’
3 | Financial targets 2015 / 2020
26
Key financial targets 2015 / 2020
Grow at least 2 percentage points above chemical production
Earn a premium on cost of capital of at least €2.5 billion on average p.a.
Profitability targetsGrowth targets
2015
2020
Sales ~€85 billion
Sales ~€115 billion
EBITDA ~€15 billion
Double EBITDA to ~€23 billion (compared with 2010)
27
Our strategy will create shareholder value
Earnings per share in €
Business
growth1.30
4.96
2002 2010
0.5
0.9
0.8
1.5 Margin
Tax rate
Share buy-back
Target 2015
~7.5
„STEP“
Share buy-back
Growth
CAGR ~9%
28
BASF tomorrow – Roadmap to 2020
We add value as “One company”
Continued top and bottom line growth with key focus on emerging markets
Expansion of portfolio downstream towards functionalized materials and solutions
Strong focus on sustainability and innovation
Commitment to deliver long-term shareholder value
29
BASF: Fit for 2012 and beyond
30
We add value as one company
Hedging
Operational excellence
Financialstrength
Global reach
People Verbund
Customer Verbund
Production Verbund
Technology Verbund
Value chains
Construction
Electronics
Energy &Resources
Consumer GoodsTransportation
Agriculture
Health & Nutrition
31
Acquisitions will contribute to profitable growth in the future
Are EPS accretive by year three at the latest
Provide a minimum return on investment of 8% after tax
Financial acquisition criteria
Generate profitable growth above the industry average
Are innovation-driven
Offer a special value proposition to customers
Reduce earnings cyclicality
Strategic acquisition criteria
We want to acquire businesses which…
32
BackupBASF Today
33
Outperformed global chemical production by 4 percentage points p.a.
Sales to third parties in billion €
BASF total growth 7.8% p.a.
BASF volumes + M&A 6.6% p.a.
BASF volumes 4.1% p.a.
Global chemical production 3.0% p.a.
30
60
20
50
40
Prices
12
33
Volumes
14
64
M&A
11
Currencies
–6
70
2001 2010
34
€9bn(Sales excl. planned
measures)
Portfolio development towards more market driven and innovative businesses
Acquisitions
Crop protectionEngineering plastics Electronic chemicalsCustom synthesisCatalystsConstruction chemicalsWater-based resinsPigmentsPlastic additivesOil & Gas Personal care & food
€15bn(Sales)
BASF core business
Strong partnerships
GazpromMonsantoPetronasShellSinopecTotal
Divestitures
PharmaFibersPrinting systems PolyolefinsPolystyrene Americas Agro generics Vitamins premixFertilizers (planned)Styrolution (planned)
Selected transactions 2001 −
today
35
Strong and profitable growth in emerging markets
0
20
40
60
2001
CAGR 5.4%28%
34%CAGR 13%
2010
53
28
Developed markets*Emerging markets * BASF definition: Developed markets include EU15, Norway,
Switzerland, North America, Japan, Australia, New Zealand
22%
0
2
4
6
8
10
2001
CAGR 12%
34%
CAGR 18%
2010
8.2
2.5
25%
Sales BASF Group excluding Oil & Gas
in billion €
by location of customerEBITDA BASF Group excluding Oil & Gas
in billion €
by location of customer
36
Strong focus on operational excellence
BASF Group 2001–2010 Index
50
100
150
200
250
300
2001 2004 2007 2010
CAGR
12 %
8 %
2 %
EBITDA
Sales
Fixed costs
37
*
Cash provided by operating activities less capex
(in 2005 before CTA);
2009 adjusted for re-classification of settlement payments for currency derivatives
Continuous strong free cash flow generation
–0.5
2.8 2.6
3.33.5
3.2
2.5
–0.1
3.2
3.9
Free cash flow* in billion €
38
Delivering consistent, long-term value – Last 10 years
Long-term performance January 2002 – December 2011 (average annual performance with dividends reinvested)
BASF
Euro Stoxx 50
DAX 30
MSCI World Chemicals
+1.3%
+14.1%
Last 5 years
+7.2%
–1.9%
13.6%
–6.7%
-1.3%
3.2%
39
BackupBusiness development Q3 2011
40
Chemicals Significant sales growth driven by strong price increases
Intermediates671+4%
Inorganics356
+11%
Petrochemicals2,141+12%
€3,168+10%
617537
765674
621
0
200
400
600
800
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Sales development
Period Volumes Prices Portfolio Currencies
Q3’11 vs. Q3’10 (3)% 18% 0% (5)%
Q3’11 segment sales (million €) vs. Q3’10 EBIT before special items (million €)
2010 2011
41
Plastics Sales up mainly due to a strong Performance Polymers business
Polyurethanes1,480+2%
Performance Polymers
1,321+16%
€2,801 +8%
371
285
393 383
317
0
200
400
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Sales development Period Volumes Prices Portfolio Currencies
Q3’11 vs. Q3’10 2% 10% 0% (4)%
Q3’11 segment sales (million €) vs. Q3’10 EBIT before special items (million €)
2010 2011
42
Sales developmentPeriod Volumes Prices Portfolio Currencies
Q3’11 vs. Q3’10 (2%) 7% 23% (4)%
Performance Products Strong contributions from acquired Cognis businesses
370294
554513
440
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
PerformanceChemicals
904+9%
Care Chemicals1,265+85%
€3,991+24%
Paper Chemicals423-6%
Q3’11 segment sales (million €) vs. Q3’10 EBIT before special items (million €)
Nutrition & Health471+32% Dispersions
& Pigments 928
+5% 2010 2011
43
Sales developmentPeriod Volumes Prices Portfolio Currencies
Q3’11 vs. Q3’10 4% 11% 3% (6)%
Functional Solutions Strong performance of Catalysts
Catalysts1,608+19%
ConstructionChemicals
5990%
Coatings700
+9%
€2,907+12%
158
33
142167 162
0
50
100
150
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Q3’11 segment sales (million €) vs. Q3’10 EBIT before special items (million €)
2010 2011
44
Agricultural Solutions On track for record year in sales and earnings
66
95
0
50
100
150
Q3 Q3
Q3’11 segment sales (million €) vs. Q3’10 EBIT before special items (million €)
20112010
0
200
400
600
800
1.000
Q3 Q320112010
+9%
+44%
Sales developmentPeriod Volumes Prices Portfolio Currencies
Q3’11 vs. Q3’10 12% 3% 0% (6)%
832908
45
272 225
0
200
400
600
Q3 Q3
Exploration & Production534-39%
Natural Gas Trading
1,661+23%
€2,195 -1%
Sales developmentPeriod Volumes Prices/Currencies Portfolio
Q3’11 vs. Q3’10 (25)% 24% 0%
EBIT bSI
Natural Gas TradingEBIT bSI
Exploration & Production Net income
Q3’11 segment sales (million €) vs. Q3’10 EBIT before
special
items/ Net income
(million
€)
20112010
503227
573
350Non-compensable
oil
taxes
224
70 123
Oil & Gas EBIT before SI on last year’s level (adjusted for non-compensable oil taxes)