Daily Trade Journal - 29.04.2013

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  • 7/30/2019 Daily Trade Journal - 29.04.2013

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    p

    p

    Today's Turnover (LKR mn)

    Annual Average Daily Turnover (LKR mn)

    Volume (mn)

    Annual Average Daily Volume (mn)

    Market Capitalization (LKR bn)

    Net Foreign Inflow / (Outflow) [LKR mn]

    - Foreign Buying (LKR mn)

    - Foreign Selling (LKR mn)

    YTD Net Foreign Inflow / (Outflow) [LKR bn]

    YTD Performance

    S&P SL 20 Index

    39.5

    114.9

    8.5

    158.9

    44.0

    Monday, April 29, 2013

    822.2

    % ChangePoint ChangeToday

    65.3

    845.8

    0.09 %

    0.11 %

    2,286.3

    ASPI

    S&P SL 20 Index

    + 5.45

    + 3.78

    5,967.62

    3,363.14

    ASPI 5.8%

    9.0%

    Level 23, East Tower, World Trade Centre,

    Colombo 01

    Tel: +94 11 727 7000,

    Fax: +94 11 727 7099

    Email: [email protected]

    CSE Diary for 29.04.2013The bourse trading on marginal grounds: The

    market activities of the Colombo Bourse were

    rather stagnated in the early trading session.

    However the index denoted a sudden dip in late

    trading and recovered marginally thereafter. ASPI

    closed at 5,967.62 with a marginal gain of 5 points.

    Gains recorded in Ceylon Tobacco (+2.3%), LionBrewery (+2.1%) and Commercial Leasing and

    Finance (2.0%) weighted positively on the index

    performance. However losses in Lanka Hospital

    Corporation (-4.5%) and Asian Hotels and

    Properties (-1.4%) kept the index on the marginal

    ground. S&P SL20 too ended with a marginal gain

    of 3.8 points.

    Colombo Dockyard spearheaded the turnover:

    Colombo Dockyard spearheaded the daily

    turnover backed by a single off-board transactiontotaling 250k shares which was dealt at LKR.220.0.

    The counter too denoted two large on-board

    transactions of 200k shares and 130k shares at a

    price of LKR220.0. DOCK closed at LKR224.0 with a

    gain of 1.8%. Commercial Bank of Ceylon and

    John Keells Holdings too recorded crossings where

    the former transacted an off-board block of 267k

    shares at a price of LKR114.50 and the latter

    crossed 106k shares at a price of LKR249.6.Colombo Land and Development Companyextended gains with Pin Bar pattern: Retail

    favorite; Colombo Land and Development

    Company extended its gains today for the ninth

    straight day topping todays on-board turnover list.

    However the counter witnessed a bearish

    technically called pin bar bar pattern today

    where it reached a high of LKR56.80 before closing

    at LKR52.70 with a gain of 0.8%.Improved retail activity: Heavy retail activity was

    seen in Touchwood Investments, CentralInvestment & Finance and Colombo Fort Land and

    Building.

    Index traded on a volatilenote

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    Statistical Look Up

    Treasury Bill (%) 26.04.2013

    9.23

    10.23

    11.34

    13.45

    Inflation (%) Mar-13 7.5

    8.8

    All Share Price Index p

    S&P SL20 Index p

    Turnover (LKR mn)

    Turnover (USD mn)Volume (mn shares)

    Traded Entities

    Market Capitalization (LKR bn)

    Foreign Purchases (LKR mn)

    Foreign Sales (LKR mn)

    Net Foreign Inflow (LKR mn)

    Market PER (X)

    Market PBV (X)

    Market Dividend Yield

    SECTOR INDICES

    Banks, Finance & Insurance q

    Beverage, Food & Tobacco p

    Construction & Engineering p

    Diversified p

    Healthcare q

    Hotels & Travels q

    Land & Property q

    Manufacturing p

    Plantation q

    Telecom q

    3.82%

    2.2

    23.6

    390.7

    13,640.2

    % Change

    0.09%2.2

    -64.91%

    16.1

    0.78%

    1.37%

    1.45%

    6.62%

    % WoW

    ChangeLast Week

    1.62%

    -61.64%

    86.39%

    -70.58%

    414.4

    2,284.2

    105.5

    -4.45%

    -4.45%

    % WoW

    ChangeLast Week

    885.3

    7.0

    0.76%

    2.35%

    0.09%

    Today

    114.9

    2.2

    44.0

    16.1

    5,967.6

    0.11%

    2,286.3

    2.3

    158.9

    -37.08%

    -37.08%-38.08%

    -1.20%

    6.765.3

    248

    3,363.1

    1,344.4

    10.6

    251

    845.8

    0.09%

    -59.43%

    -31.51%

    Week ending

    2.29%

    77.60%

    2.90%

    1.62%

    0.74%

    1.62%

    241

    2,249.8

    5,872.4

    3,338.4

    36.8

    1.62%

    0.00%

    391.8

    64.2

    327.6

    Change %

    5,962.2

    3,359.4

    2.3

    0.09% 15.9

    Pre Day

    13,526.1

    16,614.9

    1,942.1

    3,485.5

    570.0

    -0.22%

    2,704.4

    1,916.1

    -0.08%

    1.08%

    0.95%

    0.01%

    2,740.3

    16,409.5

    532.6

    171.5 169.8-0.23%171.1

    2.3

    2,773.8

    16,795.1

    2,766.3

    1,942.3

    13,628.9

    Pre Day

    0.00%

    3 months

    6 months

    12 months

    YoY Change

    Annual Avg

    AWPLR

    Excess Liquidity (LKR 'bn) as at 29.04.2013

    Today

    -25.06

    685.2 691.3 -0.89% 639.9 7.07%

    804.4 810.1 -0.71% 803.9 0.07%

    2,671.8

    3,428.2

    -0.38%

    3,477.8

    567.8

    0.40%2,762.8

    5500

    5600

    5700

    5800

    5900

    6000

    Index

    ASPI

    3240

    3260

    3280

    3300

    3320

    3340

    3360

    3380

    Index

    S&P SL20

    0.0

    50.0

    100.0

    150.0

    200.0

    0

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    Volume('mn)

    TurnoverLKR('mn)

    Turnover Volume

    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 2.

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    High Index Calibre USD350 Mn

    Price Gainers Price Losers

    Top 05 Performers for the Day

    DOCKYARD

    COLOMBO LAND

    COMMERCIAL BANK

    TOUCHWOOD

    JKH

    Most Active

    Close

    249.90

    815.10

    249.00

    834.90

    163.00

    121.60

    710.20

    9.30

    Volume (mn)

    1.6%

    Turnover

    (LKR)

    2.6%

    146,113,725

    50,693,267

    48,153,924

    93,094,729

    60,571,150

    3.95

    1.72

    0.19

    1.2% 26,351,202

    35,608,697

    4.1%

    114.50

    7.30

    249.90

    S M B LEASING 1.00

    TOUCHWOOD 7.30

    % Change

    PIRAMAL GLASS

    BLUE DIAMONDS 4.30

    5.20

    13.17

    6.51

    4.10

    0.76%52.30

    0.53

    6.51-5.19%

    2.52

    8.00%

    -5.19%

    0.00%

    2.2%

    2.1%

    2.2%

    Contribution to

    Total T/O

    10,769,048

    0.16%

    6.40

    50,693,267

    5,209,743

    32.12

    HUNAS FALLS

    PARAGON

    Pre Day

    1.76%216.20 6.4%0.66

    Volume (mn)% Change

    8.16%

    + 4.30 8.92%

    220.00

    CompanyContribution to

    Total T/O

    143.00

    0.2%

    0.5%

    Turnover

    (LKR)

    153.10

    2.66

    1.42

    113.80

    57.00

    152.10

    42.80

    12,339.93

    71.40

    216.80

    162.70

    42.80

    708.10

    70.00

    17.90

    30.70

    TodayCompany

    153.50

    SERENDIB HOTELS [X]

    901.20

    97.31

    4.48568.13

    13.89

    83.18

    337.93

    6.49

    Today

    8.09%

    Turnover

    USD ('000)

    7.0010.33%

    Intraday

    Low (LKR)

    Turnover

    LKR ('000)

    60,571.15

    822.61

    477.66

    0.66

    800.00

    48,153.92

    Intraday

    High (LKR)

    250.00

    3.21

    141.60

    215.20

    121.50

    169.00

    43.50

    9.30

    % Change

    JOHN KEELLS HOLDINGS 192,895

    SAMPATH BANK

    ASIAN HOTELS & PROPERTIES 8,105

    1.7%

    11,021233

    39,701

    9.4%

    6.7%CEYLON TOBACCO

    CARSON CUMBERBATCHNESTLE LANKA

    SRI LANKA TELECOM

    COMMERCIAL BANK [V]

    3.9%

    3.2%BUKIT DARAH

    DIALOG AXIATA

    HNB [V]

    DFCC BANK

    CARGILLS

    27.90

    1,776.00

    114.90

    406.59

    13.53

    LOLC

    AITKEN SPENCE 124.00

    2.2% 43.20

    1,715.67

    164.90

    4,958.85417.58

    39.113.29

    440.10

    724.90

    9.50

    1,790.00

    114.50

    450.001,800.00

    1,761.53

    5,478.68

    4.0%

    2.2%

    1.2%

    117

    36,234

    10,803

    3,304

    4.2%

    173.90

    59.00

    3.3%

    169.20

    57.60

    449.50

    3.4%

    52.70

    0.35%

    1.6%

    2.3%

    Change

    - 0.70

    - 88.80

    - 1.60

    - 2.70

    % Change

    217.50

    7.70

    249.50

    114.10

    CDB [X]

    + 4.60

    CITRUS WASKADUWA

    70.00

    142.80

    Volume

    379.74

    3.12%

    4.88%

    529,050

    4,073.52

    180.47

    4,421 3,537.80

    1.4%

    Change

    29.90

    Company% of

    Mkt Cap

    6.60

    Today Pre Day

    2.50

    7.70

    1.00

    + 2.80

    DISTILLERIES

    28,621

    56,887

    CIFL 2.70

    Company

    32,386

    14,263

    1,179

    ON'ALLY

    SUNSHINE HOLDING

    Company Today

    1.5%

    CONVENIENCE FOOD

    ENVI. RESOURCES [W 0006] 2.90 + 0.30 11.54% CEYLON LEATHER [W 0014] 4.70 - 0.50 -9.62%

    -8.08%

    -8.21%

    -9.09%

    -8.97%

    216.50

    61.00

    52.50

    + 16.20

    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 3.

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    Currency Board Announcements

    Local - Indicative Rate against LKR Dividends

    Dollar Piramal Glass Ceylon PLC

    Yuan 0

    Euro 0

    Rupee 0

    Yen 0

    Ringgit 0

    Rouble 0

    Riyal 0

    Dollar Rights Issues / Scrip Dividend / Sub division / Capitalization

    Franc Company

    Baht No Announcements

    Pound 0

    Dollar 0Source: www.cbsl.gov.lk

    Global Markets

    p

    q

    p

    q

    q

    p

    * Time is as at ET Source: www.bloomberg.com

    Commodit Markets

    Crude Oil (Brent) q

    Crude Oil (WTI) p

    ICE Cotton #2 p

    CBOT Wheat p

    COMEX Gold p

    COMEX Silver p

    COMEX Copper p

    * Time is as at ET Source: www.bloomberg.com

    00-Jan-00

    To be notified

    1/0/1900

    1/0/1900

    00-Jan-00

    Description

    0.00

    0.00

    0 1/0/1900

    0

    XR Date

    00-Jan-00

    00-Jan-00

    00-Jan-0000-Jan-00

    Renunciation

    00-Jan-00

    0.00

    Time*

    USd/bu.

    86.07

    Price

    103.14

    93.39

    USD/bbl.

    102.72

    AGRICULTURE

    Hong Kong Hang Seng Index

    Nikkei 225

    ASIA

    FTSE 100 Index

    EU

    196.86

    0.38

    0.00 0

    Dates

    126.81

    0.0033.81

    Malaysia

    4.05

    130.74

    20.57

    2.33

    1.30

    41.86

    India

    Currency

    165.54

    Indicative Rate

    29.04.2013

    China

    0

    Payment DateDPS (LKR) XD Date

    6,424.1

    Singapore

    Switzerland

    Thailand

    UK

    -0.02

    33.1

    0

    2,697.4

    134.70

    1/0/1900

    1/0/1900

    4.34

    USA

    02:28

    -2.3

    1/0/1900

    Change

    0.52%

    -42.0

    04:01

    0

    00-Jan-00

    1/0/1900

    1/0/1900

    07:00

    07:00

    -0.04%

    07:00

    Company

    07:00

    07:00

    07:00

    26-Apr

    26-Apr

    06:51

    06:50

    Time*

    07:00

    0.99%

    Change %

    0.94%

    2.17%

    -0.02%

    0.42%

    -0.30%

    0.15%

    1.27%

    -2.9

    Change

    2.16%1.82

    0

    0.39

    Change %

    321.75

    USD/t oz.

    USD/t oz. 0.52

    699.00

    3.15

    24.31

    Index

    Dow Jones Industrial Average

    S&P 500 Index

    EUROPE

    EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR

    13,884.1

    Value

    14,712.6

    1,582.2

    USD/bbl.

    USd/lb.

    USd/lb.

    AMERICA

    6.50

    METALS

    ENERGY

    Commodity

    22,580.8

    Units

    0

    14.0

    Proportion

    00-Jan-00

    00-Jan-00

    0.00

    0.00

    0.08%

    -0.18%

    11.8

    Russia

    Saudi Arabia

    Japan

    1,472.00 18.40

    Australia

    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 4.

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    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 5

    CSE Announcements

    Introduction: Aitken Spence Plantation Managements Limited: Theshares of the above Company would commence trading from 3rd May 2013 and

    would be classified under the Plantations sector. These shares would be listed

    on the Diri Savi Board.

    Bank of Ceylon: The Secretary, Ministry of Finance & Planning has appointed Mr. K.M.M. Siriwardana,Director General, Fiscal Policy, General Treasury as the Ex-officio Director Bank of Ceylon with effect from

    24.04.2013, in place of Mr. S.R. Attygalle. Mr. R.M.A. Ratnayake has been appointed as the Alternate

    Director to K.M.M. Siriwardana.

    Dealings by Directors

    Local News

    Sri Lanka tourist arrivals up 11.6% in February: Tourist arrivals to Sri Lanka rose 11.6% in February 2013 to93,232 from a year earlier, helped by gains in Europe and East Asia, official data showed. Arrivals from

    Western Europe rose 13.7% to 43,635 with Britain growing 26.1% to 11,031 and Germany up 8.1% to 8,276.

    Arrivals from France rose 4.0% to 6,632, Netherlands was up 1.1% to 3,020 and Switzerland was up 27.1% to

    2,980. Visitors from Eastern Europe rose 17% to 7,218 with Russian arrivals up 9.6% to 3,286 and fromUkraine 2,788 up 38.7%. Visitors from the Middle East rose 5.8% to 3,887. East Asian arrivals rose 22.7% to

    12,589 led by an 89.1% increase in Chinese visitors followed by Japan at 2,676 up 14.1%. Sri Lanka's tourist

    authorities and the industry have been pushing for more tourists from China. In the first two months Chinese

    arrivals were up 57.9% to 6,145 from a year earlier. Malaysian visitors rose 27.9% to 1,973 while tourists

    from Singapore dropped 23% to 1,030 and those from Taiwan fell 67% to 262. Korean visitors also dropped

    23.7% to 492. South Asian visitors rose only 2.5% to 15,897, with India Sri Lanka's largest generating

    dropping 1.8% to 11,139.

    [Source: www.lbo.lk]

    1Q tea exports value up, volume down: The countrys tea exports in the first quarter saw an increase valuewise though in terms of quantity shipped was lower. Total tea exports amounted to LKR42.28 bn in the first

    three months of this year, up by near 6% from LKR40 bn a year earlier. Approximate average unit FOB value

    per kilo was LKR595.85 up by 13% or LKR68 from LKR527.92 in the first quarter of last year. Volume wise,

    exports amounted to 71 mn kilos, down by 4.9 mn kilos or 6% in comparison to first quarter of last year.

    Exports of tea in bulk (LKR16 bn), packets (LKR18.5 bn) and green tea (LKR1.5 bn) saw increase in value wise

    over last year whilst tea in bags (LKR6 bn) instant tea (LKR336 mn) were marginally down in 2013 first

    quarter. However the three categories showed increase in their average FOB price per kilo, all above

    LKR1,000 per kilo levels. Average price of other teas too rose.

    [Source: www.ft.lk]

    Planters look to trade union, worker cooperation to up productivity: The Planters Association of Ceylonstates that the latest plantation worker wage increase could ensure a monthly income of at least LKR15,500

    per person and called for trade union and worker co-operation to increase productivity and efficiency. Thedaily wage package was increased by 20% from LKR515 to LKR620. The wage increase will cause the cost of

    production of tea to escalate to its highest levels ever by an increase of LKR40 per kilogram effective from 1

    April this year. Sri Lankas cost of production of tea is the highest in the world.The Planters Association that

    Company Name Relationship Transaction Quantity Price (LKR) Date

    Pan Asia Banking Coporation [PABC: LKR21.0] Mr. W.D.N. H. Perera Director Purchase 1,176,786 20.0-21.0 24.04.13-26.04.13

    Type Security Code ISIN Total Number of Shares to be Listed

    Ordinary Voting Shares ASPM-N-0000 LK0421N00004 21,300,000

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    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 6

    represents the Regional Plantation Companies (RPCs) which subscribed to the new wage hike, have called for

    improved productivity and efficiency, stating them as a mustto mitigate the wage increase, which would

    erode profit margins of tea. Planters Association Chairman Lalith Obeyesekere emphasised the need for

    highest cooperation from trade unions and workers. The new wage package could be a win situation for the

    worker, he noted. The payment for a minimum 25 days work would enable a single worker to earn a

    minimum of LKR15,500 per month. A family of three would have a monthly household income of around

    LKR45,000. This is in addition to the non-wage benefits of free housing, child care, health and education thatare provided to all plantation families,Obeyesekere added.

    [Source: www.ft.lk]

    Perceived Economic Opportunity Index improves in March: The Perceived Economic Opportunity Index(PEOI) recorded a slight yet welcome increase for March after falling for three consecutive months. The

    index compiler, Foundation for Economic Freedom in Sri Lanka (FEFSL) said the uptick to 1.64 comes after

    the index registered its lowest point of 1.56 in February. Without any significant bad news on the

    economic front and with traditional April holiday shopping taking place during the first week of April when

    the survey was conducted and perhaps also buoyed by the fact that the currency having appreciated; the fall

    in optimism seemed to have taken a breather,FEFSL said. The question now is whether this uptick is a

    temporary phenomenon or if it is taking on a new positive path. Given that the PEOI is well below themidpoint of 2 and very much in to the relatively pessimistic territory there needs to be a significant rise in the

    PEOI to reflect a mood shift from pessimism to optimism,it added.

    [Source: www.ft.lk]

    Rishad, CEB start work on Lankas industrial power costs:Sri Lankas industrialists who flocked to Industryand Commerce Ministry on Friday, urged the CEB to become more efficient and consider alternative sources.

    Interestingly, they commended the Industry Ministry for the ongoing support in getting them connected to

    the high power grid. We shall be starting a series of industrialist-CEB consultations immediately on power

    efficiency and costs so that our industry sector can overcome the latest surge, Minister of Industry and

    Commerce said. The latest tariff hike on the Lankas industrial sector is a flat 15% for all categories which is

    lesser than the rate hike in the domestic sector which is minimum 25% and 40% at maximum. Industrialists,who were in talks with Bathiudeen, belonged to all the three categories. Bulk electricity consumers are

    represented in Categories I-2 and I-3 and both use Time of Use Tariffs. Of the 50,668 industrial electricity in

    2011s accounts, 91% belonged to I-1, though when it came to consumption, I-1 reported only 8% of total

    consumption while I-2 lead with 53% of the total 3,398 GW hours used by all industrial categories in 2011.

    Sri Lanka plans to have an additional 1,755 MW power generation through the projects of Puttalam Phase 2

    (2014), Trincomalee Stage 1, Broadland Hydro and Uma Oya Hydro (2016), Trincomalee Stage 2 (2017) and

    rest of Trincomalee Stage 2 (2018), respectively.

    [Source: www.ft.lk]

    SriLankan Airlines to boost cargo, cut costs with new Airbus aircraft: State-run SriLankan Airlines expects toboost freight volumes especially on long haul flights as well as cut running costs, with the acquisition of 13

    wide-body Airbus aircraft, chief executive Kapila Chandrasena said. SriLankan will replace six A340 aircraft

    which are up to 18 years old and seven A330-200 aircraft with six A330-300 aircraft and seven A350-900

    aircraft. Four will be acquired from Airbus and three from a leasing company. The newer aircraft will be

    more fuel efficient allowing costs savings in the region of 7% to 10% even after financing costs of acquisition,

    depending on the route flown, he said. As an aircraft gets older they become more expensive to operate and

    maintain but new models also incorporate technology that cut costs. Airbus has said the maximum take-off

    weight of the A330 has also been increased from 2012. The A350-900 aircraft in particular promises a 25%

    cut in operating costs according to its manufacturer Airbus. It is made of 53% composite material with a

    carbon fiber reinforced plastic fuselage. SriLankan has been boosting passenger factor, or the amount of

    seats filled as a share of total available, but at the expense of cargo on long haul flights. With the new

    aircraft no compromises on cargo would be needed. The A350 will be deployed on long-haul routes to

    Europe and Japan.

    [Source: www.lbo.lk]

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    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 7

    Global News

    Euro-Area Economic Confidence Declines More Than Forecast: Economic confidence in the euro areadecreased more than economists forecast in April as the 17- nation currency bloc struggled to emerge from

    a recession and the bailout of Cyprus renewed debt-crisis concerns. An index of executive and consumer

    sentiment dropped to 88.6 from a revised 90.1 in March, the European Commission in Brussels said today.

    Thats the lowest since December. Economists had forecast a decline to 89.3, according to the median of 26

    estimates in a Bloomberg News survey. Business confidence and investor sentiment in Germany, Europes

    largest economy, dropped more than expected in April. European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said

    on April 19 that the economic situation in the bloc hadnt improved since the beginning of the month. At the

    same time, Draghi expects the economy to recover from a recession later this year and economists forecast

    growth in the second quarter, a separate Bloomberg survey shows. The flawed bailout in Cyprus has revived

    uncertainty in Europe,said Annamaria Grimaldi, an economist at Intesa Sanpaolo SpA in Milan. But I think

    the concerns are only temporary and we will see modest growth in the second half of this year.

    [Source: www.bloomberg.com]

    China Industrial Profit Growth Slows as Economic Recovery Wanes: Growth in Chinese industrialcompanies profits slowed in March, adding to evidence the nations economic recovery is losing steam. Net

    income increased 5.3% from a year earlier to 464.9 bn yuan (USD75 bn), down from a 17.2% pace in the first

    two months, the National Bureau of Statistics said on its website on April 27. Profit in the first quarter rose

    12.1% to 1.17 trillion yuan, it said. Profits are only growing in line with sales and with problems of

    overcapacity and the sluggish global picture, it doesnt bode well for a speedy return to higher profit

    margins,said Louis Kuijs, chief China economist at Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc in Hong Kong. Heavy

    industries especially still face destocking and higher costs, but if there is a silver lining, industries catering to

    the consumer, like textiles, food and beverages, seem to be doing much better.

    [Source: www.bloomberg.com]

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    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 8

    Softlogic Equity ResearchDimantha Mathew

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