Daily Trade Journal - 22.03.2013

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  • 7/29/2019 Daily Trade Journal - 22.03.2013

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    p

    q

    Today's Turnover (LKR mn)

    Annual Average Daily Turnover (LKR mn)

    Volume (mn)

    Annual Average Daily Volume (mn)

    Market Capitalization (LKR bn)

    Net Foreign Inflow / (Outflow) [LKR mn]

    - Foreign Buying (LKR mn)

    - Foreign Selling (LKR mn)

    YTD Net Foreign Inflow / (Outflow) [LKR bn]

    2.2%

    7.4%

    ASPI

    S&P SL 20 Index

    + 5.05

    - 0.57

    5,768.88

    3,312.71

    ASPI

    Friday, March 22, 2013

    796.2

    % ChangePoint ChangeToday

    34.7

    1,070.7

    0.09 %

    -0.02 %

    2,217.8

    YTD Performance

    S&P SL 20 Index

    38.1

    153.8

    4.3

    414.5

    260.7

    Level 23, East Tower, World Trade Centre,

    Colombo 01

    Tel: +94 11 727 7000,

    Fax: +94 11 727 7099

    Email: [email protected]

    CSE Diary for 22.03.2013Bourse ended trading on a flat note: Bourse journeyed on a

    volatile path today as the benchmark index fluctuated with

    marginal gains and losses with improved buying interest

    leading the turnover to a 2-week high. Commercial Leasing &

    Finance (+6.45), Sri Lanka Telecom (+2.1%) and Carsons

    Cumberbatch (+1.1%) weighted positively on the index while

    losses in Nestle Lanka, John Keells Holdings and Distilleries led

    the bourse to close broadly flat at 5,768.88 points. The S&P SL20

    followed a similar pattern closing flat at 3,312.71 points.

    7 crossings breathed in 68% to the turnover: Investor hunt in

    John Keells Holdings persisted with the counter emerging to

    spearhead the turnover backed by 3 off-board blocks carrying

    c.995k shares which were crossed off at LKR248.0. The counter

    traded between LKR245.0 and LKR249.0 before closing with a

    marginal dip of 0.6% at LKR247.5. Union Assurance and Keells

    Food Products witnessed renewed participation as the former

    recorded a deal which carried c.2.8 mn shares at LKR91.9 while

    the latter added c.487k shares at a 52-week (off-market) price

    of LKR70.1. Sampath Bank encountered a crossing of 500k

    shares at LKR233.0 while on-board play in the counter was

    relatively dormant. National Development Bankbooked a slotin the top turnover with a block of 400k shares which was

    crossed off at a 52-week high (off-market) price of LKR163.0.

    BFI sector dominated trading contributing 56% to the turnover:

    Notable investor participation surrounded the BFI sector

    extending its trend supported by its strong 88% YoY growth in

    earnings during the December quarter. Banks enjoyed active

    play led by Sampath Bank and National Development Bank

    while each witnessed intra-day gains of 0.4%. Hatton Nation

    Bank [Non-Voting] too secured interest dipping 1.1% at its close

    of LKR130.1 while DFCC Bankcontinued to trade at tis 52-week

    high price at of LKR131.0.

    Renewed play in CLC & RAL: Commercial Leasing & Financewas among the top turnover slot with an on-board block of

    c.10.3 mn shares which was transacted at its intra-day high of

    LKR5.0 (+6.4%). Renuka Agri Foods which accounted for foreign

    outflows recently recorded several large trades while it traded

    at a 52-week low of LKR4.0. Asian Hotels & Properties saw a

    block of 250k shares being picked on-board at LKR70.0.

    Improved retail participation: Retail activity encountered some

    improvement as PC House, Free Lanka Capital and Panasian

    Power saw notable participation. Renewed interest was

    observed in the poultry sector with Bairaha Farms and Grain

    Elevators gaining 5.7% and 9.3% at their intra-day high levels

    respectively.

    Crossings carry theturnover to a 2-week highled by BFI sector

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    Statistical Look Up

    Treasury Bill (%) 22.03.2013

    9.22

    10.25

    11.26

    13.81

    Inflation (%) Feb-13 9.8

    8.6

    All Share Price Index p

    S&P SL20 Index q

    Turnover (LKR mn)

    Turnover (USD mn)Volume (mn shares)

    Traded Entities

    Market Capitalization (LKR bn)

    Foreign Purchases (LKR mn)

    Foreign Sales (LKR mn)

    Net Foreign Inflow (LKR mn)

    Market PER (X)

    Market PBV (X)

    Market Dividend Yield

    SECTOR INDICES

    Banks, Finance & Insurance p

    Beverage, Food & Tobacco q

    Construction & Engineering q

    Diversified q

    Healthcare p

    Hotels & Travels q

    Land & Property q

    Manufacturing p

    Plantation q

    Telecom p

    595.0 594.9 0.01% 602.6 -1.26%

    776.1 790.1 -1.77% 775.1 0.12%

    2,557.6

    3,299.1

    -0.68%

    3,318.2

    467.8

    0.66%2,550.8

    3 months

    6 months

    12 months

    YoY Change

    Annual Avg

    AWPLR

    Excess Liquidity (LKR 'bn) as at 22.03.2013

    Today

    -13.46

    169.5

    2.3

    2,567.7

    16,143.7

    2,726.0

    1,898.8

    13,341.4

    Pre Day

    0.00%

    166.7 167.71.64%

    13,029.5

    16,241.3

    1,901.5

    3,322.3

    471.0

    -0.12%

    2,724.0

    1,870.0

    0.42%

    -0.60%

    -0.30%

    -0.14%

    2,734.2

    16,159.4

    461.6

    219.4

    119.7

    99.7

    Change %

    5,763.8

    3,313.3

    2.3

    0.09% 15.4

    Pre Day

    Week ending

    0.07%

    71.70%

    2.60%

    1.15%

    1.54%

    1.13%

    231

    2,192.5

    5,704.5

    3,262.4

    20.2

    1.15%

    0.00%

    -0.02%

    2,217.8

    2.3

    414.5

    59.25%

    59.25%-4.64%

    -0.42%

    8.434.7

    237

    3,312.7

    672.4

    5.3

    238

    1,070.7

    0.09%

    88.90%

    117.70%

    Today

    153.8

    2.1

    260.7

    15.6

    5,768.9

    2,215.8

    36.3

    46.69%

    46.69%

    % WoW

    ChangeLast Week

    729.9

    5.8

    2.39%

    -0.10%

    0.09%

    1.03%

    1.54%

    0.58%

    1.34%

    % WoW

    ChangeLast Week

    1.15%

    16.55%

    1198.31%

    -54.16%

    355.6

    0.40%

    2.1

    20.1

    335.5

    13,286.2

    % Change

    0.09%2.1

    54.30%

    15.6

    5550

    5600

    5650

    5700

    5750

    5800

    Index

    ASPI

    3100

    3150

    3200

    3250

    3300

    3350

    Index

    S&P SL20

    0.0

    10.0

    20.0

    30.0

    40.0

    50.0

    60.0

    70.0

    0

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    3,000

    Volume('mn)

    TurnoverLKR('mn)

    Turnover Volume

    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 2.

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    High Index Calibre USD350 Mn

    Price Gainers Price Losers

    Top 05 Performers for the Day

    JKH

    UNION ASSURANCE

    SAMPATH

    NAT. DEV. BANK

    COMM LEASE & FIN

    Most Active

    0.40 + 0.10 33.33% HAPUGASTENNE 32.30 - 5.50 -14.55%

    -10.00%

    -11.45%

    -13.33%

    -12.50%

    1.50

    43.40

    24.70

    + 0.10

    3.10

    Today Pre Day

    4.70

    91.90

    4.10

    + 7.50

    DISTILLERIES

    45,426

    528,259

    COMM LEASE & FIN 5.00

    Company

    9,253

    10,005

    2

    MULTI FINANCE

    MIRAMAR

    Company Today

    1.6%

    MULLERS

    S M B LEASING [X]

    62,453

    5,906.43

    0.31

    3,209 2,566.40

    1.4%

    Change

    73.00

    Company% of

    Mkt CapVolume

    2,242.37

    3.33%

    0.00%

    91.50

    -0.04%

    1.7%

    2.4%

    Change

    - 280.00

    - 0.10

    - 3.40

    - 90.00

    % Change

    233.00

    162.50

    4.70

    232.10

    PARAGON

    + 2.90

    KALAMAZOO

    70.00

    130.10

    1,651.90

    113.90

    445.001,694.90

    2,264.37

    1,575.86

    4.0%

    2.1%

    1.2%

    3,655

    206,899

    13,612

    8,434

    4.0%

    173.00

    57.10

    3.3%

    170.00

    57.00

    445.00

    3.5%

    20.22

    1,650.00

    113.90

    992.15

    10.22

    LOLC

    AITKEN SPENCE 119.00

    2.3% 12.41

    1,297.84

    167.00

    534.62308.34

    4.212.43

    440.00

    720.10

    9.20

    JOHN KEELLS HOLDINGS 1,148,022

    SAMPATH BANK

    ASIAN HOTELS & PROPERTIES 252,102

    1.6%

    1,215186

    30,392

    9.6%

    6.8%CEYLON TOBACCO

    CARSON CUMBERBATCHNESTLE LANKA

    SRI LANKA TELECOM

    COMMERCIAL BANK [V]

    3.9%

    3.3%BUKIT DARAH

    DIALOG AXIATA

    HNB [V]

    DFCC BANK

    CARGILLS

    Turnover

    USD ('000)

    1,820.0011.45%

    Intraday

    Low (LKR)

    Turnover

    LKR ('000)

    7,092.49

    570.40

    55.87

    20.73

    790.00

    284,642.74

    Intraday

    High (LKR)

    249.00

    7.82

    128.50

    231.10

    116.60

    169.50

    43.40

    9.00

    % Change

    17,646.59

    17.84

    2,631.55

    1,884.46

    4.49

    Today

    7.14%

    Turnover

    (LKR)

    154.70

    14.85

    0.00

    113.00

    57.00

    154.30

    41.50

    123,055.31

    71.40

    232.00

    165.50

    42.90

    715.00

    69.50

    26.30

    810.00

    TodayCompany

    155.00

    LANKA ALUMINIUM

    0.70

    969.41

    139.02

    261,766,765

    11,130,503

    46.53

    THREE ACRE FARMS

    S M B LEASING

    Pre Day

    -0.60%249.00 12.8%1.15

    Volume (mn)% Change

    7.16%

    + 1.80 7.86%

    247.50

    CompanyContribution to

    Total T/O

    131.00

    0.5%

    0.2%

    2.71

    10.84

    2.85

    2.50

    -0.44%91.90

    0.53

    0.62-0.43%

    1.74

    6.38%

    -0.44%

    0.00%

    4.5%

    2.4%

    11.8%

    Contribution to

    Total T/O

    4,359,183

    6.38%

    3.00

    FREE LANKA 2.50

    232.00

    161.80

    5.00

    RENUKA AGRI 4.10

    UNION ASSURANCE 91.50

    % Change

    PC HOUSE

    284,642,736

    100,860,493

    54,121,604

    261,766,765

    123,055,314

    2.57

    2.85

    10.84

    0.4% 7,938,453

    54,121,604

    11.8%

    Volume (mn)

    2.4%

    Turnover

    (LKR)

    5.5%

    165.50

    117.20

    720.00

    9.10

    801.00

    Close

    247.50

    800.50

    245.00

    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 3.

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    Currency Board Announcements

    Local - Indicative Rate against LKR Dividends

    Dollar No Annoucements

    Yuan 0

    Euro 0

    Rupee 0

    Yen 0

    Ringgit 0

    Rouble 0

    Riyal 0

    Dollar Rights Issues / Scrip Dividend / Sub division / Capitalization

    Franc Company

    Baht No Announcements

    Pound 0

    Dollar 0Source: www.cbsl.gov.lk

    Global Markets

    q

    q

    p

    p

    q

    q

    * Time is as at ET Source: www.bloomberg.com

    Commodit Markets

    Crude Oil (Brent) p

    Crude Oil (WTI) p

    ICE Cotton #2 p

    CBOT Wheat q

    COMEX Gold q

    COMEX Silver q

    COMEX Copper p

    * Time is as at ET Source: www.bloomberg.com

    Australia

    1,610.80 -2.80

    METALS

    ENERGY

    Commodity

    22,115.3

    Units

    0

    1.0

    Proportion

    00-Jan-00

    00-Jan-00

    0.00

    0.00

    -0.62%

    -0.83%

    -90.2

    Russia

    Saudi Arabia

    Japan

    346.20

    USD/t oz.

    USD/t oz. -0.15

    726.50

    2.70

    29.06

    Index

    Dow Jones Industrial Average

    S&P 500 Index

    EUROPE

    EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR

    12,338.5

    Value

    14,421.5

    1,545.8

    USD/bbl.

    USd/lb.

    USd/lb.

    AMERICA

    -2.25

    -12.9

    Change

    0.09%0.13

    0

    0.50

    Change %

    0.79%

    Change %

    -0.31%

    -0.52%

    0.12%

    0.52%

    -2.35%

    -0.50%

    -0.19%

    07:26

    07:29

    07:28

    21-Mar

    21-Mar

    07:18

    07:18

    Time*

    07:28

    07:29

    07:28

    0.25%

    07:28

    Company

    00-Jan-00

    1/0/1900

    1/0/1900

    6,404.6

    Singapore

    Switzerland

    Thailand

    UK

    0.12

    -110.6

    0

    2,686.4

    134.13

    1/0/1900

    1/0/1900

    4.34

    USA

    02:28

    16.7

    1/0/1900

    Change

    0.10%

    -297.2

    04:01

    0

    Payment DateDPS (LKR) XD Date

    192.71

    0.00

    0.00 0

    0

    126.94

    0.0033.85

    Malaysia

    4.10

    132.33

    20.43

    2.33

    1.34

    40.74

    India

    Currency

    163.91

    Indicative Rate

    22.03.2013

    China

    0

    USd/bu.

    88.28

    Price

    107.60

    92.93

    USD/bbl.

    101.56

    AGRICULTURE

    Hong Kong Hang Seng Index

    Nikkei 225

    ASIA

    FTSE 100 Index

    EU

    00-Jan-00

    1/0/1900

    1/0/1900

    00-Jan-00

    Description

    0.00

    0.00

    0 1/0/1900

    0

    XR Date

    00-Jan-00

    00-Jan-00

    00-Jan-0000-Jan-00

    Renunciation

    00-Jan-00

    0.00

    Time*

    00-Jan-00

    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 4.

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    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 5

    CSE Announcements

    No Announcements.

    Local News

    Sri Lanka renewable energy, SME credit line from EIB: The European Investment Bank will loan 90 mn Eurosto Sri Lanka which will be used to finance for renewable energy projects and small and medium enterprises,

    minister Keheliya Rambukwelle said. DFCC Bank [DFCC: LKR130.1], Commercial Bank of Ceylon [COMB:

    LKR113.90]and Regional Development Bank will disburse loans to borrowers. Renewable energy loans will

    be given to entities in public or private sector, minister Rambukwelle said. EIB will loan the money to Sri

    Lanka at the EIB rate (about 2.9%) as a 20-year loan with a 15 year payback, which will be on-lent to banks

    by the government with 70% allocated for SMEs and 30% for renewable energy.

    [Source: www.lbo.lk]

    UNHRC triumphs over Lanka: For only the second time in its history as a UN member state, a resolutionagainst Sri Lanka was adopted at the UNs Human Rights Council in Geneva with 25 votes in favour

    yesterday, signalling that the country would remain on the international agenda for some years to come. The

    UNHRC resolution on Sri Lanka A/HRC/22/L.1/Rev.1 aimed at pushing the Government in Colombo to make

    good on post-war reconciliation, devolution of power and investigating allegations of violations ofhumanitarian law during the final stages of the war with the LTTE, was co-sponsored by 41 countries,

    including the United States. Twenty-five of the Councils 47 member states, including India voted in favour of

    US-sponsored draft, with 13 states voting against and eight abstentions when the resolution came up for

    voting around 11.30 a.m. Geneva time. Sri Lankas Head of Delegation to the UNHRC in Geneva Minister

    Mahinda Samarasinghe slammed the resolution as being intrusive and overwhelmingly pessimistic.

    Samarasinghe said the operative paragraphs of the text were indicative of an initiative based on a politicised

    process.

    [Source: www.ft.lk]

    Money market liquidity drops to a two month low: Sri Money market liquidity on an overnight basis dippedto a two month low of LKR8.18 bn yesterday with only an amount of LKR4.75 bn been mopped up from thesystem on an overnight basis by way of a Repo auction conducted by the Open Market Operations (OMO)

    department of Central Bank at a WAvg of 8.35%. However overnight call money and repo rates remained

    mostly unchanged to averaged 9.46% and 8.59% respectively, In secondary bond markets, the upward

    movement of bond yields experienced in the secondary market driven by Wednesdays Treasury bill auction

    results which saw weighted averages increased across the board reversed, with the 5 year Treasury bond

    yields reflecting a dip of 7 basis points to hit an intraday low of 11.38% while quotes on the 4 year maturity

    was at levels of 11.40%. On the contrary, in secondary market bills, selling pressure was witnessed on all

    three maturities above its respective weighted averages.

    [Source: www.ft.lk]

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    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 6

    RAM reaffirms EB Creasy and Company [EBCR: LKR950.0] PLCs A-/P2 ratings: RAM Ratings Lanka hasreaffirmed EB Creasy and Company [EBCR: LKR950.0]long- and short-term corporate credit ratings of A- and

    P2. The outlook on the long-term rating is stable. The ratings are supported by its diversity in business

    operations, major market positions in most of its business lines, the resilient demand for agrochemicals, and

    above-average debt-protection metrics. However the ratings are pressured by its exposure to the volatility inthe plantation segment and its vulnerability to fluctuations in raw material prices. EB Creasys ratings largely

    reflect the credit profile of its subsidiary Lankem Ceylon [LCEY: LKR152.0], which contributed about 75% of

    Group revenues and pre-tax profits in FYE 31 March 2012. Lankem is also rated A-/P2 by RAM Ratings Lanka.

    .

    [Source: www.ft.lk]

    Tea exports drop first two months: Exports of Sri Lankan Tea dipped by 2.97% Year-on-Year (YoY) betweenJanuary and February of this year to 43.9 mn kilograms (kg) according to data analyzed by Ceylon Tea

    Brokers [CTBL: LKR5.20]. In value terms, tea exports reached LKR25.9 bn at an average FOB price of LKR

    590.39, against LKR24.2 bn at LKR520.31 per kg in the previous year, largely accounted for by a weaker

    rupee subsequent to 2012s switch over to a floating currency from the Central Bank of Sri Lanka. Russia andIran remained the two largest exporting destinations. However Russian exports reduced by 0.94% YoY

    between January and February to 7.01 mn kg whilst Iranian exports declined by 0.56% YoY to 5.73 mn kg.

    [Source: www.dailymirror.lk]

    Global News

    German Business Confidence Unexpectedly Drops: German business confidence unexpectedly fell from a 10-month high in March as Cyprus inflamed the euro regions debt crisis. The Ifo institute in Munich said its

    business climate index, based on a survey of 7,000 executives, declined to 106.7 from 107.4 in February.

    Thats the first drop in five months. Economists predicted a gain to 107.8, according to the median of 42forecasts in a Bloomberg News survey. With the European Central Bank threatening to cut off emergency

    funding for Cypruss banks unless it agrees to the terms of a European Union-led bailout, the tiny

    Mediterranean island has re-ignited concerns about the euro and roiled financial markets. Still, German

    investor confidence unexpectedly rose to a three-year high this month and the Bundesbank said the nations

    economic recovery remains on track.

    [Source: www.bloomberg.com]

    Kuroda Rebuts Reflation Naysayers as BOJ Action Looms: Economy: Bank of Japan (8301) GovernorHaruhiko Kuroda said hes confident in achieving a 2% inflation target, rebutting doubters who predict his

    efforts will fail as he prepares to strengthen monetary stimulus. We will do whatever we can to achieve the

    2% price target at the earliest time possible, Kuroda said yesterday in his inaugural press conference aftertaking the helm of the BOJ this week. Kurodas anti-deflation campaign came under criticism even before it

    began, reflecting debate over whether monetary policy is capable of lifting Japan out of economic

    stagnation. Eisuke Sakakibara, an ex-Finance Ministry colleague of Kurodas, said hed fail to achieve the

    price goal, and former BOJ board member Atsushi Mizuno said hed hit a wall of reality because more

    bond purchases would escalate risks of a market bubble.

    [Source: www.bloomberg.com]

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    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 7

    Softlogic Equity ResearchDimantha Mathew

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277030

    Kavindu Ranasinghe

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277031

    Imalka Hettiarachchi

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277032

    Softlogic Equity SalesBranches

    Horana

    Madushanka Rathnayaka

    No. 101, 1/1, Aguruwathota Road, Horana

    [email protected]

    +94 34 7451000, +94 77 3566465

    Negambo

    Krishan WilliamsNo. 121, St. Joseph Street Negambo

    [email protected]

    +94 31 2224714-5, +94 77 3569827

    Kurunegala

    Bandula Lansakara

    No.13, Rajapihilla Mawatha, Kurunegala

    [email protected]

    +94 37 2232875, +94 77 3615790

    Matara

    Lalith Rajapaksha

    No.8A, 2nd

    Floor, FN Building, Station Road, Matara

    [email protected]

    +94 41 7451000, +94 77 3031159

    Dihan Dedigama

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277010, +94 77 7689933

    Chandima Kariyawasam

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277058, +94 77 7885778

    Shafraz Basheer

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277054, +94 77 2333233

    Sonali Abayasekera

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277059, +94 77 7736059

    Thanuja De Silva

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277053, +94 77 3120018

    The report has been prepared by Softlogic Stockbrokers (Pvt) Ltd. The information and opinions contained herein has been compiled or arrived at based upon

    information obtained from sources believed to be reliable and in good faith. Such information has not been independently veri fied and no guaranty, representation

    or warranty, express or implied is made as to its accuracy, completeness or correctness. All such information and opinions ar e subject to change without notice. This

    document is for information purposes only, descriptions of any company or companies or their securities mentioned herein are not intended to be complete and

    this document is not, and should not be construed as, an offer, or solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments.

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