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•Daily Operations Briefing Thursday, September 19, 2013

8:30 a.m. EDT

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Significant Activity: Sep 18 – 19 Significant Events: Colorado Flooding Tropical Activity: • Atlantic – Tropical Depression Humberto; Area 1 (High 70%); Area 2 (Low 10%) • Eastern Pacific – Hurricane Manuel • Central Pacific – No tropical cyclone activity expected through Friday evening • Western Pacific – No activity affecting U.S. territories Significant Weather: • Slight risk of severe thunderstorms – Upper Great Lakes to Central Plains • Rain & thunderstorms – Ohio/Tennessee valleys, Plains, Midwest, Upper Midwest and Gulf

Coast • Critical Fire Weather Areas & Red Flag Warnings: None • Space Weather: No space weather storms observed/predicted Earthquake Activity: No significant activity Declaration Activity: None

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Flooding – Colorado Situation:

• 5 US&R teams in CO: (3) Boulder (2) Larimer Counties • CA-TF2, TN-TF1 & FL-TF2 demobilized from alert status Impacts: • 6 confirmed fatalities; 299 residents missing/unaccounted • 18,147 (+50) residents evacuated • 14 shelters open with 368 (-5) occupants (ESF-6 7:00 a.m. EDT, Sep 19)

• 1,812 homes destroyed; 16,063 (+14) homes damaged • Sporadic power/gas outages continue

Colorado • CO SEOC fully activated • CO NG continues rescue/security operations

FEMA Region VIII • RRCC at Watch/Steady State • Region VIII IMAT deployed to CO • LNOs deployed to CO SEOC and Larimer/El Paso county EOCs • Logistics Federal Staging Area operational at Buckley AFB, CO • 10 MCOVs deployed, 4 en route, 7 open request • 8 Disaster Survivor Assistance Teams deployed to CO • DRCs opening in Boulder County and Larimer County

FEMA Headquarters • NRCC not activated; NWC at Watch/Steady State • National IMAT-West deployed to CO SEOC

= Counties w/evacuations

Colorado

= US&R Task Forces

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Updates at 2:00 am/pm and 8:00 am/pm EDT

Atlantic – Tropical Outlook

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Atlantic – Tropical Depression Humberto As of 5:00 a.m. EDT

• Located 1,030 miles WSW of the Azores • Moving N at 8 mph • Turn toward NE at faster forward speed expected by tonight • Maximum sustained winds 35 mph • Little change in strength forecast for next day or so • Could become post-tropical cyclone at any time • Forecast to be absorbed by a front by Fri night

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Atlantic – Area 1 As of 8:00 a.m. EDT

• Located over southwestern Gulf of Mexico • Moving WNW to NW at 5-10 mph • Conditions still appear conducive for formation of tropical

depression next day or two • Probability of tropical cyclone development:

• Next 48 hours: High (70%) • Next 5 days: High (80%)

• Will spread heavy rain over southern and eastern Mexico

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Atlantic – Area 2 As of 8:00 a.m. EDT

• Located midway between Bahamas and Bermuda • Moving NE over western Atlantic early next week • Although upper level winds do not appear conducive for

significant development, an area of low pressure forecast to form in this area next couple of days

• Could still acquire some subtropical characteristics • Probability of tropical cyclone development:

• Next 48 hours: Low (10%) • Next 5 days: Low (20%)

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http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_epac.shtml This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and 11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be issued as conditions warrant.

Eastern Pacific – Tropical Outlook

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Eastern – Hurricane Manuel As of 5:00 a.m. EDT

• Located 20 miles NW of Altata, Mexico • Moving N at 3 mph • Slow northward motion expected next 24 hours, followed by turn

NW • Maximum sustained winds of 75 mph • Weakening forecast next 48 hours • Hurricane force winds extend 15 miles • Tropical storm force winds extend 60 miles

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http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/cphc/ This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and 11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be issued as conditions warrant.

Central Pacific – Tropical Outlook

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http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/noaa/noaad1.pdf

National Weather Forecast

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Active Watches/Warnings

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/largemap.php

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http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day1-3.shtml

Precipitation Forecast – 3 Day

Day 1

Day 2

Day 3

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http://water.weather.gov/ahps/forecasts.php?current_color=flood&current_type=all&fcst_type=fcst&conus_map=d_map

River Forecast – 7 Day

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Convective Outlooks Days 1 – 3 Day 1 Day 2

Day 3

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Critical Fire Weather Areas Days 1 – 8 Day 1 Day 2

Day 3-8

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NOAA Scales Activity (Range: 1/minor to 5/extreme)

Past 24 Hours Current Next

24 Hours

Space Weather Activity: None None None

• Geomagnetic Storms None None None

• Solar Radiation Storms None None None

• Radio Blackouts None None None

http://www.swpc.noaa.n/index.html

Space Weather

Sunspot Activity

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/drap/global.html http://spaceweather.com/

HF Communication Impact

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http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats_ie.php

Hazard Outlook: September 21 – 25

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U.S. Wildland Fire Preparedness Levels

As of September 19, 2013

National Preparedness Level: 2 Minimal mobilization of resources from other Geographic Areas is occurring. There is moderate commitment of national resources with the potential to mobilize additional resources from other Geographic Areas. . PL 1

PL 2

PL 1

PL 2

PL 2

PL 1 PL 5

Minimal Extreme

PL 1

PL 1

PL 1

PL 1

PL 1

PL 2

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http://activefiremaps.fs.fed.us/lg_fire2.php

September 19, 2013 • National Preparedness Level: 2 • Initial Attack Activity: Light (62 new fires) • New Large Fires: 0 • Large Fires Contained: 0 • Uncontained Large Fires: 6 • *NIMOs Committed: 0 of 4 • National Teams Committed:

• Area Command Teams: 0 of 2 • Type-1 **IMT(s): 0 of 16 • Type-2 IMT(s): 3 of 35

• Affected States: CO, CA, OR, WA & MT

National Fire Activity

* National Incident Management Organization **Incident Management Team

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FMAG Requests and Declarations

Action (since last report) Total FMAG No. and State

Requests DENIED 0

Requests APPROVED 0

Approved FMAG Data

Year Current YTD MTD Monthly Average

Cumulative Acres Burned YTD

Cumulative Denied FMAGs YTD

2013 29 1 11 374,417 8

Year Total Previous FY ++ Yearly Average Total Acres Burned Previous Year

Total Denied FMAGs Previous Year

2012 48 61 580,716 17

* Reflects the 3-year average for current month/ ** Reflects 3-year total average

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Declaration Requests in Process Requests APPROVED

(since last report)

Requests DENIED (since last report)

4 Date Requested 0 0

PA – DR (Appeal) Severe Storms, Straight-line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding, and Mudslides

September 6, 2013

Rosebud Sioux Tribe – DR Severe Storms, Straight-line Winds, and Flooding

September 10, 2013

NC – DR Severe Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides September 12, 2013

Santa Clara Pueblo – DR Severe Storms and Flooding September 16, 2013

Disaster Requests & Declarations

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Joint Preliminary Damage Assessments

Region State / Location Event IA/PA Number of Counties Start – End Requested Complete

VI NM Flooding Sep 11, 2013 & continuing PA 5 0 TBD – TBD

VIII CO Flooding Sep 11, 2013 & continuing

IA 4 0 9/18 – TBD

PA 15 0 9/23 – TBD

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Open Field Offices as of September 19, 2013

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Deployed Detailed Available Not Available Total

27 1 9 3 40

OFDC Cadre Member Status

Total Available Type 1 Type 2 Type 3 Type 4

11* 2 5 2 2

As of: 09/17/2013

* All Type 1 FCOs are available unless deployed to a Level 1 event

Deployed Available Pending Hire On Board Positions

8 1 1 9 10

Federal Coordinating Officer

Federal Disaster Recovery Coordinator

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MCOV Fleet / Deployment Status

Fully Mission Capable 47 Partially Mission Capable 0 Non-Mission Capable 8 Total Not Deployed 41

MCOV FLEET STATUS MCOV DISASTER SUPPORT DEPLOYMENTS

Location Units Assigned

Available FMC

Deployed Committed PMC Unavailable DR-State OPCON En

Route Unit Prep Open Request Notes:

MERS Maynard 3 2 0 0 1 DR-4145-CO 10 4 0 7 RDD: 09/21

MERS Frederick 8 6 2 0 0 0 0 0

MERS Thomasville 14 13 0 0 1 0 0 0

DC Ft Worth 20 8 10 0 2 0 0 0

MERS Denver 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 0

MERS Bothell 4 1 0 0 3 0 0 0

Sacramento 4 3 0 0 1 0 0 0

TOTAL 55 33 14 0 8 TOTAL 10 4 0 7 Included in above totals, units

in route for turn-in. 0 0

Data as of: 09/19/13 @ 0600

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Active IA Disasters - Referral Status & Awards

Data as of: 09/19/13 @ 0700 # Max Grants = Applicants awarded maximum IHP ($31,900 as of FY 2013)

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IA Registration Statistics

IA Registrations and IHP Amounts as of September 19, 2013 @ 0700

DR/EM # - State Registrations Approved Applicants Total HA Approved Total ONA

Approved Total IHP Approved

4122 - AK 367 269 $1,288,111 $1,685,669 $2,973,780 4145 - CO 10,284 1,641 $4,492,002 $93,055 $4,585,056

Totals 10,651 1,910 $5,780,113 $1,778,724 $7,558,836 24 hour change +1,847 +914 +$2,538,537 +$50,419 +$2,588,956

NPSC Call Data for September 18, 2013 Total Calls Answered (Help Line + Registration Intake) 4,032

Average time to answer call 12 seconds Maximum / Minimum time to answer a call 42 seconds / 10 seconds

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Housing Inspection Statistics

Inspection Data as of September 19, 2013 @ 0700

DR #-State Inspectors Inspections Assigned

Inspections Completed Inspection % Complete Turnaround Time

(Days) 4122 – AK 1 406 390 96.06% 3.9 4145 – CO 186 8,224 2,233 27.15% 2.2

TOTAL 187 8,630 2,623 30.39% 0.6 24 hour change +78 +1,419 +1,260 +11.49% -0.5

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HIGHLIGHTS:. ND/SD/MT – Postponed Initiation of Regional Tribal Recovery Initiative because of Colorado Flooding Response AK - Activated USACE planner from Alaska District for Infrastructure Systems RSF Field Coordinator. CO – FDRC is preparing groundwork for AET. OK –TARC Strategic Planning meeting will be held on 9/16/13 with stakeholders to discuss organizational issues such as needed positions, position descriptions and other support documents

DISASTER STATE FDRC

Sandy CT James McPherson

Sandy NJ Peter Martinasco

Sandy

NY Ken Curtin

Isaac LA Wayne Rickard

Drought 39 States Colleen Callahan (USDA)

Tornado OK Wayne Rickard

Wild Fire CO Dan Alexander

Flood AK Joan Rave

Flood IL Earl Zuelke

Flood ND Dan Alexander

NDRF Operations

Legend Active NDRF Operations

NDRF Assessments Drought No NDRF Operations

Data as of: 09/18/13 @ 1500

AK

HI

AET – Advanced Evaluation Team FDRC – Federal Disaster Recovery Coordinator NDRF – National Disaster Recovery Framework RSF – Recovery Support Function TARC – Program to provide technical assistance for school safe room retrofitting USACE – US Army Corps of Engineers

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FEMA Workforce Status Report

Data as of 9/18/13

Workforce Type Total Available To

Deploy Deployed

Committed To Other Activities or Exempt from

Deployment

Operational Readiness

Reservist 6,343 3,696 (63%) 2,075 (29%) 572 (8%) Mission Capable

Cadre of On-Call Response Employees (CORE)

2,659 995 (40%) 1,661 (60%) 3 (0%) Mission Capable

Permanent Full Time (PFT) 5,058 1,881 (40%) 619 (10%) *2,558 (50%) Mission Capable

FEMA Corps 463 0 (0%) 313 (60%) 150 (40%) Mission Capable

DHS Surge Capacity Force 3,969 1,778 (44%) 0 (0%) ** 2,191 (56%) Awaiting DHS/FEMA Activation

Workforce Totals 18,492 8,350 (45%) 4,668 (25%) 5,474 (30%)

= <70% Deployed/Mission Capable = 70% - 79% Deployed/Partially Mission Capable

= >80% Deployed = >80% Committed to Other Activities- Awaiting DHS/FEMA Activation

*This number will continue to be refined as Directorates/Regions identify and solidify the number of personnel required to support “mission critical home station”, and Emergency Relocation Group personnel

**Deployable based on FEMA’s need for DHS activation

Employees may be committed to other activities or exempt from deployment based on: leave status, training, travel related issues, or personnel status as ERG or mission critical home station employee

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IMAT Status National Teams

Team Status Team Status Team Status

Blue/White East West CO

Regional Teams Team Status Team Status Team Status

Region I Region V Region VIII CO

Region II Region VI-1 Region IX-1

Region III Region VI-2 Region IX-2 Karuk Tribe

Region IV-1 Region VII KS Region X

Region IV-2

= Assigned/Deployed = Not Mission Capable

= Available/Mission Capable = Available/Partially Mission Capable

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Urban Search & Rescue INCIDENT SUPPORT TEAMS (Red-White-Blue) – Monthly On Call Rotation

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC

WEST CENTRAL EAST

Team Status Team Status Team Status

CA-TF1 Available AZ-TF1 Available FL-TF1 Available

CA-TF2 Available CO-TF1 State Activated FL-TF2 Available

CA-TF3 Available IN-TF1 Available MA-TF1 Available

CA-TF4 Available MO-TF1 Activated MD-TF1 Available

CA-TF5 Available NE-TF1 Activated NY-TF1 Available

CA-TF6 Available NM-TF1 Conditional PA-TF1 Available

CA-TF7 Available NV-TF1 Activated VA-TF1 Available

CA-TF8 Available TN-TF1 Available VA-TF2 Available

WA-TF1 Available TX-TF1 Available OH-TF1 Available

UT-TF1 Activated

= Assigned/Deployed = Out-of-Service

= Available/Mission Capable = Available/Partially Mission Capable

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Region RRCC Regional Watch Center I Watch/Steady State Maynard MOC (24/7)

II Watch/Steady State 24/7

III Watch/Steady State 24/7

IV Watch/Steady State 24/7

V Watch/Steady State 24/7

VI Watch/Steady State Denton MOC (24/7)

VII Watch/Steady State Enhanced Watch

VIII Watch/Steady State Denver MOC (24/7)

IX Watch/Steady State 24/7

X Watch/Steady State Bothell MOC (24/7)

RRCC / Regional Watch Center Status

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National Team Status

Team/Status Current Location Remarks

National Watch Center Washington, DC Watch/Steady State

NRCC Washington, DC Not Activated

HLT Miami, FL Activated

DEST Washington, DC Not Activated

Mission Capable Partially Mission Capable Not Mission Capable

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