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Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff- breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick & Courtney J. Conway USGS Arizona Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit, University of Arizona

Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

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Page 1: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the

southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. 

Chris Kirkpatrick & Courtney J. Conway

USGS Arizona Cooperative Fish and Wildlife

Research Unit, University of Arizona

Page 2: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

Pablo LeautaudPablo Leautaud

Page 3: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

Thanks to:

Field Assistants: Dominic LaRoche, Mike Schroff, Eli Rose, Kelly Bergstram, Brian Powell, and Mark Zepp

Logistical Support: Natasha Kline, Don Swann (Saguaro National Park), Josh Taiz (U.S. Forest Service), Bob Peterson (University of Arizona), Shelly Danzer, and Sheridan Stone (U.S. Department of Defense)

Bird Photography: Bruce Taubert and Tom Grey

Page 4: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

Empidonax fulvifronsEmpidonax fulvifrons

Page 5: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &
Page 6: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

Arizona New Mexico

from Bowers & Dunning (1994)

Page 7: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

from Conway and Kirkpatrick 2007

Page 8: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

91% reduction in U.S. breeding range

from Conway and Kirkpatrick 2007

Page 9: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &
Page 10: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &
Page 11: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

99% reduction in U.S. breeding range

Page 12: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

Arizona New Mexico

15% reduction in total breeding range

from Bowers & Dunning (1994)

Page 13: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

9 highest sky island mtn rangesWhat is current population trajectory?

Page 14: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

• TUCSON

NE

W

ME

XIC

O

MEXICO

AR

IZO

NA

• 71 surveys in Huachucas & Chiricahuas71 surveys in Huachucas & Chiricahuas

Page 15: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

• TUCSON

NE

W

ME

XIC

O

MEXICO

AR

IZO

NA

• 44 surveys in 7 adjacent mt. ranges44 surveys in 7 adjacent mt. ranges

• Replicated 1980-83 & 1995-96 surveysReplicated 1980-83 & 1995-96 surveys

Page 16: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

• At 200 m intervals along each survey route

• From April to July

• 3-min. passive period

• 3-min. broadcast period

Point-count surveys

Page 17: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

• Regress year vs # BBFLs for 23 routesRegress year vs # BBFLs for 23 routes• Test Test HHoo: average slope : average slope 0 0

# B

BF

Ls

Det

ecte

d

Page 18: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

bavg = -0.105P = 0.061

• BBFLs have declined on 16 of 23 routesBBFLs have declined on 16 of 23 routes#

BB

FL

s D

etec

ted

Page 19: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

bavg = -0.105P = 0.061

• BBFLs have declined on 16 of 23 routesBBFLs have declined on 16 of 23 routes

Carr Canyon

# B

BF

Ls

Det

ecte

d

Page 20: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

What’s happened to BBFLs in the U.S.?

Fire suppression implicated…

Page 21: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

Coniferous forests in the SW historically subjected to low-severity fires ~1x/decade

From Swetnam and Betancourt 2003From Swetnam and Betancourt 2003

Page 22: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

1909

1949

1992

From Covington and Moore 1994From Covington and Moore 1994

Page 23: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

Increase in understory fuel loads has contributed to recent increase in frequency

of wildfires in Southwest

from Swetnam and Betancourt 2003from Swetnam and Betancourt 2003

““Recent” FiresRecent” Fires

Page 24: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

If observed declines in BBFLs are due to decreased fire frequency, then….

1) Recently burned forests more likely to be colonized by BBFLs

2) Survey points with BBFLs more likely to have evidence of recent fires

3) Survey points with BBFLs more likely to have evidence of more frequent fire events

Page 25: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

If observed declines in BBFLs are due to decreased fire frequency, then….

1) Recently burned forests more likely to be colonized by BBFLs

2) Survey points with BBFLs more likely to have evidence of recent fires

3) Survey points with BBFLs more likely to have evidence of more frequent fire events

Page 26: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

5 recently burned survey

routes

no no BBFLsBBFLs

detecteddetected

1 pair of1 pair of BBFLsBBFLsdetecteddetected

5 unburned survey routes

Page 27: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

Potential Problems:

1) Severity of fires was low2) Sample size of survey routes was small

Page 28: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

If observed declines in BBFLs are due to decreased fire frequency, then….

1) Recently burned forests more likely to be colonized by BBFLs

2) Survey points with BBFLs more likely to have evidence of recent fires

3) Survey points with BBFLs more likely to have evidence of more frequent fire events

Page 29: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &
Page 30: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

00 11 22 33 44

0) no evidence of fire1) low-severity surface fire 2) moderate-severity surface fire 3) high-severity surface fire 4) high-severity crown fire

Modified from Ryan & Noste 1985

Burn Severity Index (5 classes):

Page 31: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

Burn Severity Class

Buff-breasted flycatchers more Buff-breasted flycatchers more common in burned woodlandscommon in burned woodlands

Page 32: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

1.5-2.0 2.0-5.0 5.0-10.0 >10.0

Height above Ground (m)

Per

cen

t C

over

(T

otal

) x

0 (n = 36)

1 (n = 11)

2 (n = 20)

3 (n = 20)

4 (n = 19)

Percent cover of vegetation at 4 heights differed among 5 burn-severity classes

Burn-severity Class

Page 33: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

1) Burn-severity index provides information on severity but not frequency of previous fire events

Potential Problem:

Page 34: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

If observed declines in BBFLs are due to decreased fire frequency, then….

1) Recently burned forests more likely to be colonized by BBFLs

2) Survey points with BBFLs more likely to have evidence of recent fires

3) Survey points with BBFLs more likely to have evidence of more frequent fire events

Page 35: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

1916 Fire

1865 Fire

1842 Fire

14 survey routes with

BBFLs

14 survey routes

without BBFLs

Page 36: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

tpaired = 1.8P = 0.048

Routes with BBFLs had more frequent fires

with BBFLs without BBFLs

Page 37: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

1) not all trees scar during a fire2) don’t know the severity of previous fires

Potential Problems:

Page 38: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

Summary of results

Fire severity Fire frequency

Page 39: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

Why didn’t BBFLs colonize our 5 recently (<10 yrs) burned survey routes?

1) recruitment and immigration insufficient?

2) low-severity burns insufficient?

3) BBFLs may require >10 years to locate and colonize burns

Page 40: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

Why didn’t BBFLs colonize our 5 recently (<10 yrs) burned survey routes?

1) recruitment and immigration insufficient?

2) low-severity burns insufficient?

3) BBFLs colonize areas >10 yrs post-burn?

Page 41: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

MEXICO

• Conducted surveys in 7 mt. ranges

adjacent to Huachucas & Chiricahuas

Last BBFL recorded 18 Aug. 1911

We detected:2 in 20004 in 2004

5 (incl. pair) in 2005

Page 42: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

What’s driving BBFLs to re-colonize the Rincon Mountains after 89 year absence?

70% of bird survey points burned (56%

burned severely)

Ignition Points

Burn Perimeters

Ignitions and Fire History, Rincon Mountains, Saguaro National Park

Mica Mt

Rincon Peak

Tucson

Page 43: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

Carr Canyon

<1976<197644

1983198399

199519951717

200420042323

19761976FireFire

Page 44: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

Santa Catalina Mountains

Bullock Wildfire (2002) & Aspen Wildfire (2003)Bullock Wildfire (2002) & Aspen Wildfire (2003)

Page 45: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

Santa Catalina Mountains

>90% burned Variation in burn severity

Page 46: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

Future work

• Continue monitoring BBFL populations in Arizona (and New Mexico?)

• Determine reproductive success to assess quality of habitat

• Determine status of Mexican population

Page 47: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

For more information:For more information:

Conway, C. J., and C. Kirkpatrick. 2007. Effect Conway, C. J., and C. Kirkpatrick. 2007. Effect of forest fire suppression on buff-breasted of forest fire suppression on buff-breasted flycatchers. flycatchers. Journal of Wildlife Management Journal of Wildlife Management 71:445-457.71:445-457.

Kirkpatrick, C., C. J. Conway, and D. LaRoche. Kirkpatrick, C., C. J. Conway, and D. LaRoche. 2007. Range expansion of the Buff-breasted 2007. Range expansion of the Buff-breasted Flycatcher (Flycatcher (Empidonax fulvifronsEmpidonax fulvifrons) into the ) into the Rincon Mountains, Arizona. Rincon Mountains, Arizona. Southwestern Southwestern NaturalistNaturalist 52: 149-152. 52: 149-152.

Kirkpatrick, C., C. J. Conway, and P. B. Jones. Kirkpatrick, C., C. J. Conway, and P. B. Jones. 2006. Distribution and relative abundance of 2006. Distribution and relative abundance of forest birds in relation to burn severity in forest birds in relation to burn severity in southeastern Arizona. southeastern Arizona. Journal of Wildlife Journal of Wildlife ManagementManagement 70:1005-1012. 70:1005-1012.

Page 48: Changes in the breeding distribution of Buff-breasted Flycatchers in the southwestern United States: the role of fire suppression. Chris Kirkpatrick &

For more information:For more information:

www.ag.arizona.edu/srnr/research/www.ag.arizona.edu/srnr/research/coop/azfwru/cjc/coop/azfwru/cjc/

• click on links to “Research”click on links to “Research”and “Past Project #8” and “Past and “Past Project #8” and “Past Project #9”Project #9”

[email protected]@email.arizona.edu