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Debt & Equity 2006Strategy Presentation
Rich Fairbank
February 16, 2006
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 2
Forward looking statements
Forward-Looking Information
Please note that the following materials containing information regarding Capital One’s financial performance speak only as of the particular date or dates indicated in these materials. Capital One does not undertake any obligation to update or revise any of the information contained herein whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
Certain statements in this presentation and other oral and written statements made by the Company from time to time, are forward-looking statements, including those that discuss strategies, goals, outlook or other non-historical matters; or project revenues, income, returns, earnings per share or other financial measures for Capital One. To the extent any such information is forward-looking, it is intended to fit within the safe harbor for forward-looking information provided by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Numerous factors could cause our actual results to differ materially from those described in forward-looking statements, including, among other things: continued intense competition from numerous providers of products and services which compete with our businesses; an increase ordecrease in credit losses; financial, legal, regulatory or accounting changes or actions; changes in interest rates; general economic conditions affecting consumer income, spending and repayments; changes in our aggregate accounts or consumer loan balances and the growth rate and composition thereof; the amount of deposit growth; changes in the reputation of the credit card industry and/or the company with respect to practices and products; our ability to continue to securitize our credit cards and consumer loans and to otherwise access the capital markets at attractive rates and terms to fund our operations and future growth; our ability to successfully continue to diversify our assets; losses associated with new products or services or expansion internationally; the company’s ability to execute on its strategic and operational plans; any significant disruption in our operations or technology platform; our ability to effectively control our costs; the success of marketing efforts; our ability to execute effective tax planning strategies; our ability to recruit and retain experienced management personnel; the risks that the Hibernia businesses will not be integrated successfully and that the cost savings and other synergies from the transaction may not be fully realized; the long-term impact of the Gulf Coast Hurricanes on the impacted region, including the amount of property and credit losses, the amount of investment, including deposits, in the region, and the pace and magnitude of economic recovery in the region; and other factors listed from time to time in reports we file with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) , including, but not limited to, factors set forth under the caption “Risk Factors” in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2004, and any subsequent quarterly reports on Form 10-Q. You should carefully consider the factors discussed above in evaluating these forward-looking statements. All information in these slides is based on the consolidated results of Capital One Financial Corporation. A reconciliation of any non-GAAP financial measures included in this presentation can be found in the Company’s most recent Form 8-K or Form 10-Q concerning quarterly financial results, available on the Company’s website at www.capitalone.com in Investor Relations under “About Capital One.”
.
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 3
$0
$1
$2
$3
$4
$5
$6
$7
$8
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Capital One has generated strong growth and returns since the IPO in 1994
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Managed Loans$B
EPS
$105.5B$6.73
$
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 4
SkillsGeographies ChannelsProducts Brand
• Auto lending
• Small business
• Home equity
• Installment lending
• Medical finance
• Banking and deposits
• UK
• Canada
• Internet
• Dealers
• Stores
• Branches
• Mergers and acquisitions
• Personal selling
From a core business of credit cards, direct mail and IBS, we have transformed the company
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 5
We are diversifying both sides of the balance sheet
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Managed Outstandings
GlobalFinancial Services
($B)
Auto Loans
U.S. Credit Cards
Other(Includes Hibernia)
$47.9
$25.6
$22.4
$2.0$3.8
$8.4
$12.8
$17.3
$0
$5
$10
$15
$20
$25
$30
$35
$40
$45
$50
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Total Deposits($B)
$45
$60
$71
$80
$105.5
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 6
End Game PositioningStability Growth
Opportunities
We are well positioned for continued success
Financial Strength
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 7
Our strategy works backward from the marketplace
Market end game
• National Scale Lending
• Local Scale Banking
• Diversified assets and liabilities
• Advantaged customer accessWhere they buy (channels)In their wallet (relationships)In their hearts and minds (brand)
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 8
Consumer lending businesses are consolidating nationally
89%
66%61%
55%
42%
22%16%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Card Home Equity Mortgage Student Auto InstallmentLoans
Small BusinessLending
Top 10 Player Share - 2004
FragmentedConsolidatingConsolidated
Note: Share of originations for Home Equity, Mortgage, Student, Auto; Share of Outstandings for Card, IL, Small Business
Source: Company Reports, VISA, Masterard, SMR, Mortgage News, Department of Education, JDPower, Capital One Estimates
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 9
The pace of consolidation is rapid
Card
Home Equity
Auto
Mortgage
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Industry Consolidation- Share of Top 10 -
Student
21%31%
43%
62%
41%
Note: Share of originations for Home Equity, Mortgage, Student, Auto; Share of Outstandings for Card, IL, Small Business
Source: Company Reports, VISA, Masterard, SMR, Mortgage News, Department of Education, JDPower, Capital One Estimates
42%
66%
89%
55%
61%
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 10
First MerchantsSearch FinancialThe Money StoreWestern FidelityAegisRelianceNational AutoMonacoEagleJayhawkNational Auto Finance TFC enterprisesFirst EnterpriseMercuryAamesIownFinovaDelta FinancialThe Credit Store NAL Financial Royal Acceptance Commercial Financial ServicesNextCardDVI
Dead
IndyMacCountrywide AmericreditSallie Mae NelnetFirst MarbleheadConsecoNicholasCompuCredit
Existing Monolines
Consumer lending monolines
ArcadiaUgly Duckling BeneficialFirst USA Rock FinancialAdvantaReliastarAutofinance GroupFirst FidelityFirst InvestorsMS FinancialRegional AcceptanceHeller FinancialGreenTreeHouseholdOnyxProvidianMBNAWFS FinancialMetris
Acquired
The monoline graveyard is crowded
Note: Yellow indicates companies acquired in 2005
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 11
National scale players compete across multiple consumer lending businesses
Chase
B of A / MBNA
Citigroup
Wells Fargo
Capital One**
Washington Mutual
Countrywide
Company
Card(Outstandings
Rank)
2
1
3
10
4
9
--
2
1
3
6
20
5
4
Home Equity*
Auto(Non-captive)
1
3
12
5
2
--
--
4
6
7
2
68*
3
1
Mortgage
2005 Originations Rank
Source: Company Reports, VISA, Mastercard, SMR, Mortgage News, JDPower, Capital One Estimates*Data as of 2Q2005. **Capital One Mortgage includes HIB and eSmartloan. Auto includes Onyx and Hibernia. 1 – Estimate based upon $2.5B of FY2005 Originations. 2 – Estimate based upon $24.1B of FY2005 originations.
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 12
Deposits are the primary funding source for most lending products
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Card Mortgage Auto HomeEquity
SmallBusiness
InstallmentLoans
2004 Funding Mix
Deposits and other funding
Securitized
Note: Mortgage, Auto and Home Equity are as a % of originations; Card Small Business and IL are as a % of outstandingsOriginations are classified as funded through securitizations, even if they were initially whole loan sold.Source: CSFB; Bond Market Association; MBAA; Visa/Mastercard; Big Wheels. Small Business and IL COF estimated
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 13
$200 $300 $400 $500 $600
National deposit players do not exhibit cost advantages
Efficiency Ratio vs. Total Deposits
Note: Efficiency ratio = non-interest expense/revenue; Excludes banks with efficiency ratio >100%, 2004 dataSource: SNL.
Worse
Better
BofA
Citi
JPChase
Wachovia
Wells Fargo
Total Deposits ($B)
USBancorp
0%
10%
20%30%
40%
50%
60%
70%80%
90%
100%
$0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60 $70 $80 $90 $100 $110 $120
Hibernia
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 14
Local scale is critical in deposits
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
June 2005 - Top 25 MSAs
Branch Share**
* Excludes estimated corporate and other non-traditional deposits by excluding balances in excess of $200MM deposits for any individual branch. ** Counts all in-store and mobile branches as ¼ of a traditional branch.Source: SNL
Deposit %Branch % 0.9 1.0 1.2
Retail Deposit Share*
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 15
Branch banking is consolidating more slowly
Card
Home Equity
Auto
Mortgage
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Industry ConsolidationShare of Top 10
Student
Deposits29%
Note: Share of originations for Home Equity, Mortgage, Student, Auto; Share of Outstandings for Card, IL, Small BusinessSource: Company Reports, VISA, Mastercard, SMR, Mortgage News, Department of Education, JDPower, Capital One Estimates
35%
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 16
-4.2%
-1.2%
0.0%
1.1%
4.4%
-5.0%
-4.0%
-3.0%
-2.0%
-1.0%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
1-5 6-10 11-20 21-30 31+
*Excludes estimated corporate and other non-traditional deposits by capping balances at $200M deposits for any individual branchNote: Acquisitions completed to date have been applied retroactively to previous years. Source: SNL.
2000 – 2005 Change in Retail Deposit* Market ShareTop 20 US MSAs by 2005 retail deposits
‘05 Share 14.5% 6.1%12.4%52.0% 15.1%
The share gains of small banks is a reminder that there is a lot more to banking than scale
‘00 Share 15.8% 5.0%12.4%56.2% 10.7%
CAGR 4.0% 9.8%5.8%4.1% 13.2%
Rank
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 17
14%
32%
83%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
SB Card (Outstandings) SBA Loans (Originations) Other SB Lending(Outstandings)
2004 Estimated Share Among Top 10 Players
$50 $433 $980 EstimatedMarket Size ($B):
2 11
Source: FRB, SBA, MNW, SMR, NFO, HEW, SNL, Visa/MC, AXP, Earnings ReleasesNotes: 1) Card O/S and Other SB Lending O/S figures are rough estimates given general reporting requirements and mix of credit and charge card balances. Card O/S includes business card and personal cards for business use. Other SB Lending Includes IL/LOC, Real Estate, Equipment loans and leasing, Vehicle, other asset-backed loans, and owner loans (including HELOCS) 2) SBA Loans represents Top 10 for 7(a) lenders only 3) SBA Loan market size as of 9/30/2004
Most Small Business banking remains local
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 18
Card* 77% -- 8% 15%
Mortgage 5% 58% -- 37%
Home Equity 23% 17% -- 60%
Auto 5% -- 80% 15%
Student 7% -- 93% --
Small Business** 4% 4% 10% 82%
Bank Deposits 2% 7% -- 91%
Total 7% 28% 8% 57%
Despite banks’ best efforts, consumers resist single channels of distribution
Source: Inside Mortgage Finance, SMR, SNL, HEW, JD Power, CNW
2004 Percent Origination By Channel
*Card Outstandings
Point of SaleDirect BranchBroker
Meet customers where they are**Small Business includes Small Business Card and Vehicle Lending
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 19
As businesses go national, a few banks have built large customer bases
1. Citi*
2. Bank of America/MBNA**
3. JPM Chase*
4. Discover
5. Capital One
6. Wells Fargo
7. WaMu / Providian
8. USBancorp*
9. Wachovia
10. Fifth Third
200 M
105 M
90 M
50 M
49 M
23 M
23 M
13 M
11 M
6 M
2005 Customer Accounts
Source: Company reports. SEC Filings. All figures include domestic and international customers (if applicable).* Figures based on 2004 Annual Reports of total company customer base as of year-end 2004 (Domestic and International)** Includes 2006 disclosure of Bank of America customer base plus Q2 2005 Cardweb estimate for MBNA
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 20
A handful of banks are investing in national brands
Total Brand Awareness (%)
98
97
64
50
95
81
73
97
95
Question: “When you think about companies or banks that offer financial services products such as checking accounts, various types of savings
accounts, credit cards and loans, which ones come to mind?”
Source: Millward Brown Financial Services Brand Health Wave. January, 2006
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 21
Our strategy works backward from the marketplace
Establishend game positions
Leverage consolidation
for growth
Choose the right
businesses
Market end game
• National Scale Lending
• Local Scale Banking
• Diversified assets and liabilities
• Advantaged customer access
Where they buy (channel)In their wallet (relationships)In their hearts and minds (brand)
• National scale lending consolidation
• Local scale banking consolidation
• Secure end-game positions in chosen businesses before they consolidate
• Preserve doublings
• Structurally attractive (above hurdle at end game)
• Don’t need to be everywhere, but must be diversified
Secure advantaged
access to customers
• National brand
• National customer base
• Meet customers where they are
Execute at the right level
• Compete nationally in national businesses
• Compete locally in local businesses
How to createlong-term value
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 22
Capital One is well positioned in consumer financial services
US Card GFSAuto
Local Banking Customer Access
• # 4 Issuer • # 2 non-captive originator
• # 2 small business card issuer
• # 3 SBA loan originator
• # 20 home equity originator
• # 7 UK card issuer
• #1 Louisiana bank*
• #12 Texas bank*
• Successful de novo model
• 49M accounts
• Leading brand
• Every channel
National Lending
Note: Texas and Louisiana ranks are based on state deposit rank as of 6/30/2005.
Source: SNL
Debt Equity 2006Business Overview
Rich Fairbank
February 16, 2006
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 24
Capital One is well positioned in consumer financial services
US Card GFSAuto
Local Banking Customer AccessNational Lending
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 25Source: VISA, MasterCard, AmEx, Discover. 2005 estimated based on Q4 2005 reporting companies.
The credit card industry has consolidated
% of Credit Card Outstandings
37%57%
73%17%
20%
17%46%
23%10%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
1994 1999 2005
Top 5 providers
Next 5 providers
All others
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 26
6%
3%
21%
7%
13%
11%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Card Auto HomeEquity
SmallBusiness
Student Mortgage
The card industry is still among the most attractive in financial services
2.0%
1.2%1.1%
0.9% 0.9%
0.5%
0%
1%
2%
3%
Card Auto HomeEquity
SmallBusiness
Student Mortgage
Estimated Industry After-Tax ROA*
Annual Industry OutstandingsGrowth Rate (2000-2004)
Source: JDPower, SMR, Visa/Mastercard, SBA, National Mortgage News, Department of Education, SNL, Company Reports * Industry ROAs taken from representative companies / Industry monolines
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 27
We see several key industry risks
• Economy
• Competitive intensity
• Industry pricing practices– Long-teasers and repricing
• Erosion from substitute products– Home equity, debit cards
• Interchange
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 28
Capital One’s U.S. Card business is delivering strong profit growth
1,609
1,387
1,182
1,001
774
515
690
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
$1,600
$1,800
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
COF U.S. Card NIAT$M
Growth 34% 12% 29% 18% 17% 16%
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 29
Our outstandings growth has slowed
COF U.S. Card Outstandings
$15.5
$23.1
$33.0
$40.9
$46.3$48.6 $49.5
$0
$15
$30
$45
$60
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
$B
Growth 49% 43% 2%24% 13% 5%
Organic Outstandings Growth
American Express (Total Card) 15%
WaMu/Providian (U.S. Card) 8%
MBNA (Total Company) 5%
Bank of America (U.S. Card) 4%
JPM Chase (Card Services) 3%
Capital One (U.S. Card) 2%
Discover (U.S. Card) -3%
Citigroup (U.S. Card) -4%
’04-’05
Source: Company Reports
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 30
As the industry has matured, competitors are offering aggressive headline pricing and teasers
72%
81%86% 86%
83%86%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
5.86.2
8.48.9
10.4
12.3
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Industry % Mail with Teasers(Excludes COF)
Industry Average Teaser Length (Excludes COF)
Source: Capital One Analysis NOTE: Average Teaser Length is calculated only for BT and Purchase Teasers with the same lengths
Months
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 31
Aggressive teasers are not good long-term business
100
87
32
26
0
20
40
60
80
100
Response Rate(Indexed to rewards)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Rewards Low Price (No-teaser, No rewards)
Medium-length Teaser
Long Teaser Rewards Low Price (No-teaser, No rewards)
Medium-length Teaser
Long Teaser
Retention of peak balance at month 24(Indexed to rewards)
1.2X
2.6X
5.3X
1X
Source: Capital One Analysis
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 32
Capital One is staying out of the aggressive teaser business
Chase 94%
Citibank 86%
Discover 86%
Bank of America 72%
Washington Mutual/Providian 61%
MBNA 58%
HSBC 52%
American Express 19%
Capital One 8%
2005 % Mail Volume with 0% Balance Transfer Teasers
Source: Compremedia
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 33
Rewards cards have become a major force in the card business
48%44%
40%
33%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2002 2003 2004 Q32005
79%73%
69%63%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2002 2003 2004 Q32005
Industry Rewards as % of Total Purchase VolumeIndustry Rewards as % of Total Cards
Source: VISA
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 34
We are competing with uniquely positioned rewards offers
• Fly on ANY airline
• No blackout dates
• Redeem for travel, cash and merchandise
• Low APR
• No annual fees
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 35
Our rewards programs are driving purchase volume growth
Purchase Volume Growth
Capital One (U.S. Card) 16%
American Express (Total Card) 16%
Bank of America / MBNA 16%
WaMu/Providian (U.S. Card) 12%
JPM Chase (Card Services) 7%
Citigroup (U.S. Card) 5%
Discover (U.S. Card) 4%
’04-’05
COF U.S. Card Purchase Volume$B
$18.1
$30.8
$45.9
$58.1 $58.1
$64.0
$73.7
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
$80
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
70% 49% 16%27% 0% 10%Growth
*Bank of America / MBNA based upon MBNA actuals and BofA/MBNA estimate.Source: Nilson, Company Reports
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 36
Industry mail response rates continue to decline
0.0%
0.2%
0.4%
0.6%
0.8%
1.0%
1.2%
1.4%
1.6%
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
0.28%
1.39%
U.S. Credit Card Industry Direct Mail Response Rate
Source: Compremedia
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 37
Non-mail channels are emerging in Card
56%
30%
14%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Direct mail Non-Mail / Non-Internet*
Internet
Channel that Customers First Heard About Their Credit Card
Source: Forrester Ultimate Consumer Panel, June 2005. BCG Analysis* Includes Telephone, Branch, Media Ad and Tabling/Events
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 38
0
1
2
3
4
Capita
l One Citi
Discove
r
JPM
organ
/ Ban
k One
Amer
ican
Expr
ess
Prov
idian
HSBC
We are well positioned on the Internet
0
4
8
12
16
20
BofA
JPCh
ase
Capi
tal O
ne Citi
HSBC
Well
s Far
goAm
Ex
Wac
hovia IN
G
ETra
de
Source: Netratings*Week ending December 25th, 2005
2005 Average Unique Monthly Online Visitors(All Financial Services)
Top Online Credit Card Destinations(Weekly Audience)*
Millions
3.7
Millions
12.7
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 39
Our charge-off rate is among the best
*Providian FY2005 charge-off rate based upon estimate of 3Q2005 average outstandings. Company did not report Q32005 financial results.
Managed Charge-off Rate
Q4 2005
6.61%
5.92%
5.70%
5.76%
4.60%
5.02%
FY 2005
Citigroup (US Card) 5.79%
MBNA (Total Company) 4.49%
Capital One (US Card) 5.00%
Discover 5.23%
American Express (US Card) 4.13%
Well Fargo (US Card) 4.38%
9.49%Bank of America (US Card) 6.85%
JPMorgan Chase (Total Card)
7.28%
6.39%
7.81%
5.21%
Providian (Total Card)*
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 40
Our portfolio mix is comparable with that of other leading players
660-720<660**
% of Trust Receivables by FICO Score*
31%
35%
34%
31%
28%
26%
750+700-750<650**
20%30%22%
650-700
28%
Capital One
MBNA
Citibank
JPMorgan/Chase
720+
39%
37%
40%
* Data taken from January, 2006 Credit Card Trust Prospectuses. JPM Chase from February, 2006. **Includes “No Score”
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 41
Our U.S. Card business has consistently delivered strong returns
After-tax return on managed loans
20042003 2005
2.6%
3.1%
1.4%
1.7%
2.2%
2.6%
N/A
1.3%
1.4%
2.1%
Citigroup Card 2.0%
Bank of America Card 2.6%
JPM Chase Card 1.4%
Discover 1.2%
MBNA (Total Company) 1.5%
3.0%2.9%Capital One (US Card) 3.4%
Source: Company Reports
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 42
Our historical strengths are valuable in a maturing card industry
IBS
Credit Risk Management
De-averaging Economics
Targeted Marketing
Optimizing Customer
Relationships
Testing and Innovation
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 43
Capital One is well positioned in consumer financial services
US Card GFSAuto
Local Banking Customer AccessNational Lending
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 44
21%
13%11%
7% 6%
3%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
HomeEquity
Student Mortgage SmallBusiness
Card Auto
Auto finance is the slowest growing consumer lending business
Annual Outstandings Growth Rate (2000-2004)
Total 2004 Outstandings
$720B $200B $655B$7.5T $1.1T $1.2T
Source: Company Reports, VISA, Mastercard, SMR, Mortgage News, Department of Education, JDPower, Capital One Estimates
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 45
Captive finance companies have a significant share of the market
38%
57%
34%
49%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Q1 99 Q3 99 Q1 00 Q3 00 Q1 01 Q3 01 Q1 02 Q3 02 Q1 03 Q3 03 Q1 04 Q3 04 Q1 05 Q3 05
Captive Share of Loan Originations(New + Used)
Source: Power Information Network, a Division of J. D. Power and Associates
Note: Franchised dealers only
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 46
The industry is consolidating
21%25%
31%29%
37%
42% 43%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Top 10 Player Share of Non-Captive Originations
Source: Power Information Network, a Division of J. D. Power and Associates
Note: Franchised dealers only
Growth 15% 7% 0% 41% 14% 13%
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 47
7.8%
6.4% 6.3%
4.8%4.1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
Chase COAF B of A WFS /Wachovia
Wells Fargo
We are the #2 non-captive auto lender
Share of Non-Captive Auto Loan Originations - 2005
Notes: COAF include COAF Dealer and direct channel, ONXY and Hibernia; Wells Fargo includes WFFA and Wells Fargo Bank. Direct lendingdone by other lenders on this chart is not shown as the data is not available. Franchised dealers onlySource: Power Information Network, a Division of J. D. Power and Associates
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 48
$B
$0
$2
$4
$6
$8
$10
$12
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
$0.9
$2.9
$6.4 $6.6
$0
$2
$4
$6
$8
$10
$12
$14
$16
$18
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
$10.2
$8.5
$4.5
$1.2
Source: Company reports
$6.7$11.0
$B
Capital One Auto Finance is delivering strong growth
COF Auto Originations COF Auto Outstandings
$10.4
$17.6
Note: Above Data does not include Hibernia. Outstanding: Serviced outstandings
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 49
($23) ($21)($35)
$10
$132
$164
$99
($50)
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
COF Auto Net Income$M
Capital One Auto Finance is generating strong earnings
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 50
$0
$2
$4
$6
$8
$10
$12
$14
$16
$18
$20
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
PeopleFirst & COF DirectPlatform
COAF’s growth has come from successfully ramping up growth platforms
COF Auto Outstandings
Onyx Dealer Platform
Summit Dealer Platform
$B
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 51
We are growing across the credit spectrum
$0
$2
$4
$6
$8
$10
$12
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Non-Prime
Prime
$0.9
$2.9
$6.4 $6.6 $6.7
$10.4
COF Auto Originations$B
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 52
We have delivered strong credit performance
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
0 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32 36 40 44 48 52 56 60 64 68 72
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49
COF Auto Cumulative Net $ Charge-OffsDealer Non-Prime Direct Prime / Superprime
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
Q12005
COF Auto Cumulative Net $ Charge-Offs
Months since booking Months since booking
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 53
We have significantly expanded our dealer network
8% 10% 14% 24% 39% 42% 51% 73%
Note: Dealers include franchised and independent dealers that fund with Capital One
% of Franchised
Dealers
1,871 2,2533,131
5,384
8,4139,169
11,103
18,701
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Dealers
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 54
We see continued growth opportunities
Geographic Expansion
Full Credit Spectrum
Penetration of Individual Dealers
Expansion of Direct Channel
Mostly done
Continued penetration upmarket
Lots of upside
Internet
Cross-sell
Partnerships
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 55
Capital One is well positioned in consumer financial services
US Card GFSAuto
Local Banking Customer AccessNational Lending
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 56
Global Financial Services houses several emerging growth plays for COF
GFS
US International
• Small Business
• Home Loans
• Installment Loans
• Point of Sale / Healthcare Finance
• UK
• Canada
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 57
We are a significant player in the UK and Canada
Outstandings
$0
$2
$4
$6
$8
$10
$12
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
UK - #7 card player
Canada - #8 card player
Growth 34% 33% 45% 41% 1%
$B
Weighted Average Growth in local currency 40% 24% 28% 32% 9%
Source: Company Reports, Securitizations and Capital One estimates
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 58
The nature of the UK market made it vulnerable to a consumer lending downturn
Source: Economy.com, Bank of England, HM Treasury, Mortgage Bankers Association, National Mortgage News, COF estimatesNote: 1) Household Debt Service Ratio equates to the % of HH disposable income spent on servicing debt (principal and interest)
Variable Rate Mortgages as % of Total Mortgage Outstandings
(2004, by value)
63%
25%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
UK US
Household Debt Service Ratio1
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Mar
99
Sep
99
Mar
00
Sep
00
Mar
01
Sep
01
Mar
02
Sep
02
Mar
03
Sep
03
Mar
04
Sep
04
Mar
05
Sep
05
UK
US
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 59
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
Jan-04 Mar-04 May-04 Jul-04 Sep-04 Nov-04 Jan-05 Mar-05 May-05 Jul-05 Sep-05 Nov-05
EGG
MBNA*
Morgan Stanley
Barclays
Source: JP Morgan
Capital One
* MBNA’s loss number is based on its De-linked series. In Sept 2005, it differed from the loss number reported for its linked series because of new De-linked series issuance impacting the loss calculation.
The Capital One portfolio has been impacted
Gross Charge-offs of UK Card Players
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 60
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
Jan-04 Mar-04 May-04 Jul-04 Sep-04 Nov-04 Jan-05 Mar-05 May-05 Jul-05 Sep-05 Nov-05
Capital One
EGG
MBNAHousehold
Morgan Stanley
Barclays
Source: JP Morgan
The Capital One portfolio has been impacted
Delinquency of UK Card Players(% balance 30 day+)
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 61
$97.3
$145.1
$58.6
($35.6)($60)
($40)
($20)
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
$140
$160
2002 2003 2004 2005
Net Income from International Operations ($US)$M
International is still contributing to the bottom line
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 62
$190$235
$450
$650$719
$1,075$1,200
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
$1,600
$1,800
Mortgage ConsumerDeposits
AutoLending
SmallBusinessLending
HomeEquity
Card SmallBusinessDeposits
Student InstallmentLoans
Small Business Banking is an attractive opportunity
2004 Estimated Total Outstandings / Balances
Source: Mercer Oliver Wyman (MOW), McKinsey, Mortgage Bankers Association, SNL, JD Power, SMR, Visa/MC, SBA Office of Advocacy, Federal Reserve Board, Capital Resources Group Notes: Small Business estimate includes C&I loans at depository institutions and other finance company lending, family/friends/non-financial institution lending and owner loans. Overall size of Small Business deposit market difficult to estimate – estimate based on data from MOW. Card outstandings are general purpose only
$7,549$5,150
$B
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 63
We have grown our small business lending franchise
$4.1$3.3
$2.4$1.4
$0.7
$5.1
$3.5
$0
$2
$4
$6
$8
$10
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Small Business Outstandings*
Source: Capital One; Nilson Report. *Small Business is reported in the GFS segment.
Capital One
Hibernia
Growth 100% 71% 38% 24% 26%
#1 Visa/MC Small Business Card Purchase Volume
$B
$8.6
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 64
14%
32%
83%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
SB Card (Outstandings) SBA Loans (Originations) Other SB Lending(Outstandings)
2004 Estimated Share Among Top 10 Players
$50 $433 $980 EstimatedMarket Size ($B):
2 11
Source: FRB, SBA, MNW, SMR, NFO, HEW, SNL, Visa/MC, AXP, Earnings ReleasesNotes: 1) Card O/S and Other SB Lending O/S figures are rough estimates given general reporting requirements and mix of credit and charge card balances. Card O/S includes business card and personal cards for business use. Other SB Lending Includes IL/LOC, Real Estate, Equipment loans and leasing, Vehicle, other asset-backed loans, and owner loans (including HELOCS) 2) SBA Loans represents Top 10 for 7(a) lenders only 3) SBA Loan market size as of 9/30/2004
Most Small Business banking remains local
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 65
The home equity market is growing rapidly
Home Equity Originations
$57 $61 $64$81 $91 $100 $114
$137
$186
$254
$320
$405
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
$400
$450
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
1993-2004 CAGR: 20%
1999-2004 CAGR: 29%
$B
Source: SMR
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 66
77%
23%
7% 5% 5%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Card Home Equity Student Auto Mortgage
Next to credit card, home equity is the most direct marketed product in lending
Source: Inside Mortgage Finance, SMR, SNL, HEW, JD Power, CNW
2004 Estimated Percentage Origination through Direct Channels
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 67
In 2005, we acquired eSmartLoan to become our national Capital One Home Loans platform
Key Highlights
• $155MM transaction closed in February 2005
• Proprietary consultative selling platform
• Leads generated via multiple direct channels
• HELs, HELOCs, and First Mortgages
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 68
Home loans have become a major growth play for Capital One
Source: Company Reports
Notes: 2005 originations includes Capital One and Hibernia originations; Home Loans includes 1st and 2nd lien products
$2.2B
$0.5$0.0
$0.5
$1.0
$1.5
$2.0$2.5
$3.0
$3.5
$4.0
$4.5
$5.0
2004 2005
Capital One Home Loans Originations
eSmartloan$1.0
$1.5
$B
$2.5B
$4.7B
eSmartloan and Capital One
Hibernia
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 69
Overall GFS delivered strong growth in 2005
GFS Outstandings
$12
$17
$21$23
$0
$5
$10
$15
$20
$25
2002 2003 2004 2005
$B
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 70
GFS NIAT
GFS continues to contribute to the bottom line
$213
($8)
$65
$186
($50)
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
2002 2003 2004 2005
*Excludes South Africa, France, and Insurance 1 - Includes $51MM one time gain from South Africa and France 2 - Includes $18MM one time loss from Insurance
$1621 $2042GFS NIAT
(excluding exited businesses)
$MM
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 71
Capital One is well positioned in consumer financial services
US Card GFSAuto
Local Banking Customer AccessNational Lending
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 72
Branch deposits are among the most profitable banking businesses
20-25%
15-20%15-25%
40-50%
12-20% 12-15%10-12%
25-30%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
ConsumerDeposits
SmallBusinessBanking
Card Home Equity Auto Mortgage CRE Middle MarketBanking
Average ROE (2003 - 2005)
Source: Mercer Oliver Wyman study of medium-sized bank performance, 2003 & 2006; Capital One AnalysisSmall Business Banking includes Lending and Deposits
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 73
Banking is ripe for reinvention
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 74
We are expanding in Texas with a promising de novo strategy
Texas De Novo Strategy
Branches Completed:
Strategy:
IRR:
32
• Retail orientation• Great locations• Large offices• High level of service• Consumer and Small
Business focus
Well above hurdle
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 75
Hibernia’s de novo branches are outperforming competitors
$5.4M
$6.3M
$7.2M
$8.1M
$9.9M
$16.0M
$19.6M
$18.1M9Hibernia (new model)2
$8.8M7Wachovia7
$12.8M63
$10.5M11JP Morgan & Chase6
$12.0M24Washington Mutual5
$8.5M16Citibank8
151 $26.5MBank of America
2001-2003 De Novos Open 12+ Months
Avg. First 12 Month
Deposits per Branch
Dallas & Houston De novo Performance
Includes banks open between July 2001 to June 2003. Hibernia branches open between Dec 2003 and September 2004Source: SNL
Avg. First 18 Month
Deposits per Branch
$9.8M $13.2M13
Wells Fargo & Co.
4 Compass Bancshares
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 76
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
Mon
th 0
Mon
th 1
Mon
th 2
Mon
th 3
Mon
th 4
Mon
th 5
Mon
th 6
Mon
th 7
Mon
th 8
Mon
th 9
Mon
th 1
0
Mon
th 1
1
Mon
th 1
2
Mon
th 1
3
Mon
th 1
4
Mon
th 1
5
Mon
th 1
6
Mon
th 1
7
Mon
th 1
8
Mon
th 1
9
Mon
th 2
0
Mon
th 2
1
Mon
th 2
2
Mon
th 2
3
Mon
th 2
4
Hibernia’s recent de novo openings have been outperforming the competition in Dallas
Source: SNL; Capital One estimates; Actuals for Hibernia through month end December 2005. Competitor Avg. consists of Bank of America, Wells Fargo, Washington Mutual, JP Morgan & Chase, Citibank, Compass and Wachovia in Dallas de novo branches opened July 2001 to June 2003
Hibernia Dallas De Novos (16 Branches)Deposits per Branch $MM
Number of months open
Competitor De Novo
Median ($10.7 M)N=47**
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 77
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
Mon
th 0
Mon
th 1
Mon
th 2
Mon
th 3
Mon
th 4
Mon
th 5
Mon
th 6
Mon
th 7
Mon
th 8
Mon
th 9
Mon
th 1
0
Mon
th 1
1
Mon
th 1
2
Mon
th 1
3
Mon
th 1
4
Mon
th 1
5
Mon
th 1
6
Mon
th 1
7
Mon
th 1
8
Mon
th 1
9
Mon
th 2
0
Mon
th 2
1
Mon
th 2
2
Mon
th 2
3
Mon
th 2
4
Hibernia’s recent de novo openings have been outperforming the competition in Houston
Source: SNL; Capital One estimates; Actuals for Hibernia through month end December 2005. Competitor Avg. consists of Bank of America, Wells Fargo, Washington Mutual, JP Morgan & Chase, Citibank, Compass and Wachovia in Houston de novo branches opened July 2001 to June 2003
Hibernia Houston De Novos (15 Branches)Deposits per Branch $MM
Number of months open
Competitor De Novo
Median ($15.3 M)N=35**
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 78
Capital One brings significant value to banking
Brand Customer Base
Release From Deposit Growth
Constraints
Investment Capacity
National Scale
Lending
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 79
We are leveraging an experienced banking team
Texas De Novo
(Bob Kottler)
Branch Banking &
Retail(Paul
Bonitatibus)
Commercial Banking
(Rob Stuart)
Sales(Randy Bryan)
Chief Administrative
Office(Ron Samford)
President, Banking Segment(Herb Boydstun)
Integration(Miles Reidy)
CFO(Steve
Cunningham)
Chief Credit Officer(Marsha Gassan)
Hibernia Hibernia Hibernia Hibernia Hibernia HiberniaCapital One
Capital One
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 80
Growing banking is a key part of our strategic agenda
Attractive growth business
Invest in de novo growth
• Leverage the Hibernia growth platform
• Above hurdle growth opportunities
Maintain flexibility regarding future
acquisitions
• Growth platforms
• Access to new geographies and/or capabilities
• Attractive financial returns
• Structurally attractive
(above hurdle)
• Stable, low-cost funding
• Ripe for reinvention
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 81
Capital One is well positioned in consumer financial services
US Card GFSAuto
Local Banking Customer AccessNational Lending
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 82
1. Citi*
2. Bank of America/MBNA**
3. JPM Chase*
4. Discover
5. Capital One
6. Wells Fargo
7. WaMu / Providian
8. USBancorp*
9. Wachovia
10. Fifth Third
200 M
105 M
90 M
50 M
49 M
23 M
23 M
13 M
11 M
6 M
2005 Customer Accounts
Source: Company reports. SEC Filings. All figures include domestic and international customers (if applicable).* Figures based on 2004 Annual Reports of total company customer base as of year-end 2004 (Domestic and International)** Includes 2006 disclosure of Bank of America customer base plus Q2 2005 Cardweb estimate for MBNA
We have one of the largest customer franchises
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 83
Total Brand Awareness (%)
Our brand is among the most powerful in Financial services
Source: Millward Brown Financial Services Brand Health Wave. January, 2006
98
97
64
50
95
81
73
97
95
Question: “When you think about companies or banks that offer financial services products such as checking accounts, various types of savings
accounts, credit cards and loans, which ones come to mind?”
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 84
Our strategy works backward from the marketplace
Establishend game positions
Leverage consolidation
for growth
Choose the right
businesses
Market end game
• National Scale Lending
• Local Scale Banking
• Diversified assets and liabilities
• Advantaged customer access
Where they buy (channel)In their wallet (relationships)In their hearts and minds (brand)
• National scale lending consolidation
• Local scale banking consolidation
• Secure end-game positions in chosen businesses before they consolidate
• Preserve doublings
• Structurally attractive (above hurdle at end game)
• Don’t need to be everywhere, but must be diversified
Secure advantaged
access to customers
• National brand
• National customer base
• Meet customers where they are
Execute at the right level
• Compete nationally in national businesses
• Compete locally in local businesses
How to createLong-term value
Debt & Equity Conference – February, 2006 85
Capital One is well positioned in consumer financial services
US Card GFSAuto
Local Banking Customer Access
• # 4 Issuer • # 2 non-captive originator
• # 2 small business card issuer
• # 3 SBA loan originator
• # 20 home equity originator
• # 7 UK card issuer
• #1 Louisiana bank*
• #12 Texas bank*
• Successful de novo model
• 49M accounts
• Leading brand
• Every channel
National Lending
Note: Texas and Louisiana ranks are based on state deposit rank as of 6/30/2005. Source: SNL
February 16, 2006
Debt Equity 2006Business Overview and Strategy Presentation
Rich Fairbank