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(Big) data analytics in smart grids Citation for published version (APA): Mocanu, E., Nguyen, H. P., & Gibescu, M. (2016). (Big) data analytics in smart grids. Poster session presented at European Data Forum 2016 (EDF 2016), June 29-30, 2016, Eindhoven, The Netherlands, Eindhoven, Netherlands. Document status and date: Published: 29/06/2016 Document Version: Accepted manuscript including changes made at the peer-review stage Please check the document version of this publication: • A submitted manuscript is the version of the article upon submission and before peer-review. There can be important differences between the submitted version and the official published version of record. People interested in the research are advised to contact the author for the final version of the publication, or visit the DOI to the publisher's website. • The final author version and the galley proof are versions of the publication after peer review. • The final published version features the final layout of the paper including the volume, issue and page numbers. Link to publication General rights Copyright and moral rights for the publications made accessible in the public portal are retained by the authors and/or other copyright owners and it is a condition of accessing publications that users recognise and abide by the legal requirements associated with these rights. • Users may download and print one copy of any publication from the public portal for the purpose of private study or research. • You may not further distribute the material or use it for any profit-making activity or commercial gain • You may freely distribute the URL identifying the publication in the public portal. If the publication is distributed under the terms of Article 25fa of the Dutch Copyright Act, indicated by the “Taverne” license above, please follow below link for the End User Agreement: www.tue.nl/taverne Take down policy If you believe that this document breaches copyright please contact us at: [email protected] providing details and we will investigate your claim. Download date: 11. Mar. 2021

(Big) data analytics in smart gridsProceedings of the 19th Power Systems Computation Conference (PSCC), 20-24 June 2016, Genoa, Italy Demand forecast in a price-responsive context

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Page 1: (Big) data analytics in smart gridsProceedings of the 19th Power Systems Computation Conference (PSCC), 20-24 June 2016, Genoa, Italy Demand forecast in a price-responsive context

(Big) data analytics in smart grids

Citation for published version (APA):Mocanu, E., Nguyen, H. P., & Gibescu, M. (2016). (Big) data analytics in smart grids. Poster session presentedat European Data Forum 2016 (EDF 2016), June 29-30, 2016, Eindhoven, The Netherlands, Eindhoven,Netherlands.

Document status and date:Published: 29/06/2016

Document Version:Accepted manuscript including changes made at the peer-review stage

Please check the document version of this publication:

• A submitted manuscript is the version of the article upon submission and before peer-review. There can beimportant differences between the submitted version and the official published version of record. Peopleinterested in the research are advised to contact the author for the final version of the publication, or visit theDOI to the publisher's website.• The final author version and the galley proof are versions of the publication after peer review.• The final published version features the final layout of the paper including the volume, issue and pagenumbers.Link to publication

General rightsCopyright and moral rights for the publications made accessible in the public portal are retained by the authors and/or other copyright ownersand it is a condition of accessing publications that users recognise and abide by the legal requirements associated with these rights.

• Users may download and print one copy of any publication from the public portal for the purpose of private study or research. • You may not further distribute the material or use it for any profit-making activity or commercial gain • You may freely distribute the URL identifying the publication in the public portal.

If the publication is distributed under the terms of Article 25fa of the Dutch Copyright Act, indicated by the “Taverne” license above, pleasefollow below link for the End User Agreement:www.tue.nl/taverne

Take down policyIf you believe that this document breaches copyright please contact us at:[email protected] details and we will investigate your claim.

Download date: 11. Mar. 2021

Page 2: (Big) data analytics in smart gridsProceedings of the 19th Power Systems Computation Conference (PSCC), 20-24 June 2016, Genoa, Italy Demand forecast in a price-responsive context

Smart Grids:

Data Intensive Infrastructures

Research Programme Manager: Dr. M. (Madeleine) Gibescu Departments: Electrical Engineering, Mathematics & Computer Science, Built Environment, Innovation Sciences

(No) Data

Unsupervised energy prediction

Real-Time Data

Supervised energy prediction

Factored Conditional Restricted Boltzmann

Machine (FCRBM) applied to energy

prediction

Electrical energy demand forecast

(Big) Data Analytics in Smart

Grids

Elena Mocanu, Phuong H. Nguyen, Madeleine Gibescu

Department of Electrical Engineering, Electrical Energy Systems group

[email protected]

Results

Methods

Results

Methods

• Reinforcement Learning Q-learning SARSA

• Transfer learning • Deep Belief Network

a) A new type of building -Commercial to residential Transfer -Residential to Residential Transfer b) A rennovated building e.g. electric heating system ↔non-electric heating system c) New tariff strategies (e.g. static tariff →time-of-use tariff)

*Mocanu, E., Nguyen, P.H., Kling, W.L. & Gibescu, M. (2016). Unsupervised energy prediction in a smart grid context using reinforcement cross-buildings transfer learning. Energy and Buildings, 116, 646-655.

**Mocanu, E., Larsen, E.M., Nguyen, H.P., Pinson, P. & Gibescu, M. (2016). Demand forecasting at low aggregation levels using factored conditional restricted Boltzmann machine. Proceedings of the 19th Power Systems Computation Conference (PSCC), 20-24 June 2016, Genoa, Italy

Demand forecast in a price-responsive context

Reinforcement Learning problem

Transfer learning problem

Continuous states estimation problem

Problem formulation using

multi-agents system

Gaussian Restricted Boltzmann Machine (GRBM) applied to quantify

the influencing factors

Research on Prediction, Optimization and Control of Smart Grids