Autonomous Driving Anders EuGensson Volvo Cars

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Global Trends

• Urbanisation

• Growing mega cities

• Air quality major health

problem

• Traffic accident global health

issue

• Time for commuting

• Desire for time efficiency

• Desire for constant

connectivity

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Why AD? –

customer perspective

• What is it that modern people

are lacking?

• Time

• Constant connectivity

What if we can create a car that

drives itself and enables you to

make the time in the car

useful?

Societal challenges

Traffic challenges

Lost time

AD will be important for

a sustainable mobility

Shaping The Future Mobility

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Outlook of AD development

2020 20XX

Highway commute

Low speed environments

Urban streets

Less complicated

Median separated

No pedestrians, bikes

No intersections

Low speed (<25mph)

Parking

Pod vehicles

Shuttles

Enclosed environments

Full complexity

Mix of road users

Intersections

<50mph

Autonomous Drive During next 10 years we will have a scattered implementation of Autonomous Drive

DRIVER RESPONSIBLE DRIVER NOT RESPONSIBLE

No need for back-up systems, rely on driver if

difficult

2015 2020 -> 2015-2020

No driver to hand over control to in a critical

situation: need of back-up systems

Driver support Steps towards full AD Highly AV

Extended support offers without back-up systems

Driver monitoring

Pilots to pioneer Autonomous Drive in restricted use

C26

Our Road to Fully Autonomous Cars

?

Full AD Driver free to do what he/she

wants i.e. Volvo responsible

Semi AD Driver to supervise,monitor and intervene whenever

needed i.e. driver responsible

Pilot Assist

ACC

Drive Me

Concept

2006 2014 2017 2020

Leve

l of d

rive

r su

pp

ort

Auto

pilot

Ti

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e

• The worlds first large scale project for self-driving cars

• Project started in 2014

• Self-driving cars on public roads in 2017

• 100 customer cars

• 30 miles highway/ max speed 50 mph

• Automatic parking in 2015

• Project cost: 70 million GBP.

• SAE level 4/ NHTSA level 3

DriveMe – For Sustainable Mobility

• How to improving traffic

efficiency, traffic environment

and road safety

• Infrastructure aspects

• Suitable traffic situations

• Customer expectations on

autonomous vehicles

• How surrounding road users

interact with a self-driving car

• Legal aspects

The Drive Me project will give us knowledge about

New Ground Breaking Technology

• Camera

• Radar

• Laser

• Map data

• Cloud connection

• Traffic Control Centre

Issuer: Shilan Demir; Security Class: Proprietary

Autonomous Cars

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“Speeding officer? You’ll

have to ask the self-

driving car.”

AD Cars will:

• Be legal

• Be cautious

• Be polite

How should we tell

dad we’re taking

away the keys to

the self-driving

car?

Will offer individual mobility

for more people:

• Blind people

• Disabled

Technology may be used

also for heavy vehicles and

public transportation:

• Truck platooning

• Intermodal transports with

a combination of

individual mobility and

public transportation.

Autonomous Cars:

Will We Own Cars in the Future?

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• Order the car you need when

you need it from a car pool

• Performance and equipment

to be paid for when used.

• The car will come to you.

• You drive it to where you

want to go and it will take

itself to where it needs to be.

• Manufacturers will create a

life-long relationship with the

customers.

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Future of Autonomous Vehicles

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• 10 years from today: • A few cars with autonomous driving systems to be offered to regular

customers

• Limited use. Only certain stretches of highway.

• A few locations globally.

• Autonom parking offered on a few places.

• Assistance systems on all new vehicles.

• 15 years from today: • Most car models offer the basic levels of autonomy.

• Many locations will be able to offer the ability to go autonomous.

• Autonomous driving also in city centres.

• Autonomous self-rearranging and parking available to a high degree.

The majority of all cars have autonomous assistance systems.

• 20 years from today: • The first fully autonomous vehicles on the market.

• Almost all newly produced vehicles have autonomous systems built

in.

• All parking is done away from city centres.

• Most people do not own a carl. Car pooles and leasing dominates.

• 50% of the vehicle fleet with some level of autonomous function.

Effect on the Insurance Industry

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• With the help from autonomous assistance systems and

autonomous vehicles, most of the crashes, including all

minor crashes will disappear.

• The remaining part of the crashes will be from interaction

with older, non autonomous vehicles and some cases of total

collaps of the autonomous systems.

• 10 years from today:

• A reduction by 25% of the collision claims.

• 15 years from today:

• 50% reduction in collision claims.

• 20 years from today:

• 80% reduction in collision claims.

The Car – The Living Room of the Future?

• How do the

citizens of the

future want to be

mobile?

• What will be the

needs for mobility?

MB CES 2014

GM prediction of the car of the

future from the 60s

‘The winning automakers of the future will be

those that most fully embrace effortlessness

in transportation.’ Chris Paukert

Volvo Concept

C26

10/31/2016 18 ISSUER: ERIK COELINGH; 96020; SECURITY CLASS: CONFIDENTIAL

“Volvo will

assume

liability for its

autonomous

technology,

when used

properly.”

• Be safe, very cautious, polite and keeping the speed limits.

• Improve traffic flow:

• No crashes, no disturbancies

• Will cooperate with other cars.

• Set speed to optimize traffic flow

• Offer improvements to urban planning

• Autonomous parking

• Self-ranging cars

• Open up for improved car sharing

• Cars on demand coming to you

• Create new business models

• May have consequences for the insurance industry

• Merge public transportation and individual mobility

•Save people’s time and uncomplicating their lives!

Autonomous Cars Will:

In the Future!!

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Thank you! Any questions?