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11.03.2016 Luca Nizzetto 1 INCA-Contaminants A simulator to predict chemical pollution accumulation and distribution in the environment Luca Nizzetto, Norwegian Institute for Water Research

A simulator to predict chemical pollution accumulation and ... › rapporter › sis-klimaeffekter-og... · - For supporting the industry, scientists and governance in risk assessment

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Page 1: A simulator to predict chemical pollution accumulation and ... › rapporter › sis-klimaeffekter-og... · - For supporting the industry, scientists and governance in risk assessment

11.03.2016 Luca Nizzetto 1

INCA-Contaminants A simulator to predict chemical

pollution accumulation and distribution in the environment

Luca Nizzetto, Norwegian Institute for Water Research

Page 2: A simulator to predict chemical pollution accumulation and ... › rapporter › sis-klimaeffekter-og... · - For supporting the industry, scientists and governance in risk assessment

11.03.2016 Luca Nizzetto 2

www.weareparis.be www.superiorglove.com

http://gvalaunch.guru

The holistic perspective on environmental pollution

Page 3: A simulator to predict chemical pollution accumulation and ... › rapporter › sis-klimaeffekter-og... · - For supporting the industry, scientists and governance in risk assessment

11.03.2016 Luca Nizzetto 3

The holistic perspective on environmental pollution

Ecosystem functions Biogeochemical cycles C cycle Water cycle Nutrient cycle

Structures of ecosystems Distribution and structure of vegetation (biopdiversity) Distribution of soil properties Etc.

Human society Land use Land management Chemical regulation

Analysis of exposure and risk

Chemical management / governance

Page 4: A simulator to predict chemical pollution accumulation and ... › rapporter › sis-klimaeffekter-og... · - For supporting the industry, scientists and governance in risk assessment

11.03.2016 Luca Nizzetto 4

The holistic perspective on environmental pollution

Can we achieve a sustainable and safe way to use chemicals? • Governance (in EU and Norway) requires

chemical risk assessment and management to be conducted.

• Costs are on the industry (up to 4 billion EUR in EU)

• The tools to performe exposure and risk assessment were still elementary and low- precision

Page 5: A simulator to predict chemical pollution accumulation and ... › rapporter › sis-klimaeffekter-og... · - For supporting the industry, scientists and governance in risk assessment

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Branching

INCA - Contaminants

A computer simulator of environmental processes and pollutant accumulation and transport to support risk assesment, environmental planning and management

INtegrated CAtchment

Page 6: A simulator to predict chemical pollution accumulation and ... › rapporter › sis-klimaeffekter-og... · - For supporting the industry, scientists and governance in risk assessment

1) It takes data on the characteristics of a selected environment and converts them into numerical information: - Climate and precipitation - Elevation of land - River network structure - Characteristics of soils - Land use (e.g. % of forest, agricultural land, grassland , urban, etc.)

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What INCA-Contaminants does?

Page 7: A simulator to predict chemical pollution accumulation and ... › rapporter › sis-klimaeffekter-og... · - For supporting the industry, scientists and governance in risk assessment

2) It simulates several environmental processes as a function of the environment characteristics and climate - Water storage and relase from soil - River discharge - Soil erosion - Sediment transportation in river - The cycle of organic matter (from production to mineralization in soil and water)

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What INCA-Contaminants does?

Page 8: A simulator to predict chemical pollution accumulation and ... › rapporter › sis-klimaeffekter-og... · - For supporting the industry, scientists and governance in risk assessment

What INCA-Contaminants does?

3) It simulates the emission, accumulation and losses of contaminants in the environment (as a function of the environment characteristics, climate and land and chemical management)

- Concentrations of the contaminants in water - Concentrations of the contaminant in soil - Conentration of the contaminants in sediments - Contaminants transport and losses

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Page 9: A simulator to predict chemical pollution accumulation and ... › rapporter › sis-klimaeffekter-og... · - For supporting the industry, scientists and governance in risk assessment

What is INCA-Contaminants useful for?

- For supporting the industry, scientists and governance in risk assessment and chemical management.

- For assessing the influence of climate change on future polllution.

- For assessing human activity influence on environmental pollution.

- For assessing the influence of extreme events (floodings) on contaminant emission and distribution.

- For estimating emission of contaminants to a given point of a river.

- For informing environmental planning for a sustainable development.

- Etc.

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Page 10: A simulator to predict chemical pollution accumulation and ... › rapporter › sis-klimaeffekter-og... · - For supporting the industry, scientists and governance in risk assessment

Completed case studies: Sandvikselva (Norway)

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1) Simulation of the future of persistent pollutants stored in forest soils

Nizzetto et al. 2015 Assessment of contaminant fate in catchments using a novel integrated hydrobiogeochemical-multimedia fate model, Science of Total Environment, 544, 553-563

Page 11: A simulator to predict chemical pollution accumulation and ... › rapporter › sis-klimaeffekter-og... · - For supporting the industry, scientists and governance in risk assessment

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2) Assessing persistent pollutants accumulation and temporal trends.

Completed case studies: Thames (UK)

Lu et al. 2016. Fate and Transport of Polychlorinated Biphenyls (PCBs) in the River Thames Catchment – Insights from a Coupled Multimedia Fate and Hydrobiogeochemical Transport Model. In revision by Sci. Total Env.

Page 12: A simulator to predict chemical pollution accumulation and ... › rapporter › sis-klimaeffekter-og... · - For supporting the industry, scientists and governance in risk assessment

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4) Assessing the long term dissipation of DDT from soils of a large Central European river

Completed case studies: Morava (Czech Rep. Austria, Slovakia)

Sanka et al. 2016 Modeling hydrological and biogeochemical controls of the dissipation of p,p’-DDT from soils. In revision byEnviron. Sci. Technol.

Page 13: A simulator to predict chemical pollution accumulation and ... › rapporter › sis-klimaeffekter-og... · - For supporting the industry, scientists and governance in risk assessment

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5) Estimating emission of emerging contaminants Perfluorinated alkyl substances (PFAS)

Completed case studies: Ganges (India)

Sharma, et al., 2016. Perfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) in river and ground/drinking water of the Ganges River basin: Emissions and implications for human exposure. Environmental Pollution 208, Part B, 704-713

Page 14: A simulator to predict chemical pollution accumulation and ... › rapporter › sis-klimaeffekter-og... · - For supporting the industry, scientists and governance in risk assessment

«Goodness» of INCA-Contaminants From the comments of anonimous peer-reviewers ”You and your co-authors have clearly developed a sophisticated model that fills the gap between complex site-specific chemical-hydrological models and relatively simple multi-media models” ” INCA contaminants is a very credible attempt to provide a ‘more realistic’ description of the multimedia behavior of contaminants” ” One particular strength is the models ability to assess multiple contaminants simultaneously and complex degradation pathways” ” the new model adds value to existing multimedia mass balance models and hydrology-based water quality models. This contribution to environmental science is greatly appreciated. I have read the paper with interest.”

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Page 15: A simulator to predict chemical pollution accumulation and ... › rapporter › sis-klimaeffekter-og... · - For supporting the industry, scientists and governance in risk assessment

Thanks for your attention

Luca Nizzetto NIVA, Gaustadalleen 21, 0349, Oslo [email protected] 98215393

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