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A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech Shmulik Shelach – Director of Research & Technology, IVC [email protected] A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech | November 2019

A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech · A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech | November 2019 4 Investment Trends In Israeli tech companies 2014 - 2019 Investment

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Page 1: A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech · A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech | November 2019 4 Investment Trends In Israeli tech companies 2014 - 2019 Investment

A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech

Shmulik Shelach – Director of Research & Technology, [email protected]

A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech | November 2019

Page 2: A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech · A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech | November 2019 4 Investment Trends In Israeli tech companies 2014 - 2019 Investment

The Importance of Data in the Start-Up Arena

• Asymmetry data flow between the companies, the market, and the service providers.

• Most of the data points suffer from inherent mistakes.

• Little is known about what is cooking in the R&D basements of the Tech behemoths.

• High Risk/Reward – Good information is highly valuable.

• Aggressive competition for the best companies and technologies.

2A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech | November 2019

Page 3: A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech · A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech | November 2019 4 Investment Trends In Israeli tech companies 2014 - 2019 Investment

Numbers of the Israeli Tech Landscape:

• Number of Active Start-Ups: ~8,700

• Number of Multinational Corp: 362

• Amount of Investors (of all kind): ~2,300

• Capital raised by Israeli start-ups in 2019 (Mid November): $7.5 b

• Number of Exits since 2010: 1,213

• Capital Raised by Israeli VCs since 2010: $13.6 b

• Number of Entrepreneurs: ~23k

3A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech | November 2019

Page 4: A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech · A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech | November 2019 4 Investment Trends In Israeli tech companies 2014 - 2019 Investment

The Israeli Start-Ups Landscape – Overall lookup

59 88 78 49 59 37 29 8 2

338372

514 580

828 878 937917

693

264

610

710

7 73

6

3

373

431

555 510

493 406205 88

18

3

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Start-Up Companies Status

Acquired Active Private Active Public Ceased

4A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech | November 2019

Page 5: A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech · A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech | November 2019 4 Investment Trends In Israeli tech companies 2014 - 2019 Investment

Investment Trends In Israeli tech companies 2014 - 2019

5A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech | November 2019

Page 6: A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech · A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech | November 2019 4 Investment Trends In Israeli tech companies 2014 - 2019 Investment

Investment Trends 2014 – 2019: Seed Deals, Non-VCs Backed

6A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech | November 2019

Page 7: A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech · A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech | November 2019 4 Investment Trends In Israeli tech companies 2014 - 2019 Investment

Investment Trend – Deals size and Deals Types

23%20%

17%14%

16%

11%

7%

27%26%

33%

38%39%

49%

57%

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Per

cen

tage

-o

f th

e to

tal A

mo

un

ts

Axis Title

Investments Amounts Patterns

< $5M(of Total $m) >$30m (of Total $m)

7A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech | November 2019

Page 8: A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech · A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech | November 2019 4 Investment Trends In Israeli tech companies 2014 - 2019 Investment

Exits Numbers and Valuations: 2015 – H1/2019

$8,582 $9,873 $8,368 $13,125 $7,579

138127

136

121

65$62.19

$77.74

$61.53

$108.47

$116.59

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

$-

$2,0 00

$4,0 00

$6,0 00

$8,0 00

$10 ,000

$12 ,000

$14 ,000

2015 2016 2017 2018 H1/2019 Exits $m # of Deals Average Deal $m

8A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech | November 2019

Page 9: A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech · A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech | November 2019 4 Investment Trends In Israeli tech companies 2014 - 2019 Investment

Exits Numbers and Valuations - Analysis by Deal Size

7491 88

75

31

23

12 13

14

6

19 12 9

10

5

144 15

13

15

55

8

4

3

22

2

1

5

11

1

4

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

2015 2016 2017 2018 H1/2019<$20m $20m-$50m $50m-$100m $100m-$250m $250m-$500m $500m-$1000m $1000m-$5000m

9A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech | November 2019

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Exits Numbers and Valuations - Exit Ratios

Average Exit Ratio 2015-H1/2019 Average Exit Ratio: VC-backed vs. Non-VC backed 2015-H1/2019

$4,786

$4,242

$5,579

$4,096 $3,859

$1,099 $1,089 $1,555 $1,407

$985

4.35

3.89

3.59

2.91

3.92

0.0 0

0.5 0

1.0 0

1.5 0

2.0 0

2.5 0

3.0 0

3.5 0

4.0 0

4.5 0

5.0 0

$-

$1,0 00

$2,0 00

$3,0 00

$4,0 00

$5,0 00

$6,0 00

2015 2016 2017 2018 H1/2019

Exits $m Capital Raised $m Average Exit Ratio

3.37 3.11 3.00

2.79

3.75

9.41

5.89

5.01

3.31

13.65

0.0 0

2.0 0

4.0 0

6.0 0

8.0 0

10. 00

12. 00

14. 00

16. 00

2015 2016 2017 2018 H1/2019

VC Backed Exits Non-VC Backed Exits

10A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech | November 2019

Page 11: A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech · A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech | November 2019 4 Investment Trends In Israeli tech companies 2014 - 2019 Investment

Multinational Corporation Activity - # of R&D Centers by Years

220

241249

266

300

334

354 351 351362

28 30 2432

39 44 40

14 18 23

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

No. of Active MNC's No. of Established MNC's

11A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech | November 2019

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Multinational Corporation Activity: # CVC Entry

58

31

46

104

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

Pre-1980 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s

12A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech | November 2019

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Multinational Corporation Activity: # Corporate Accelerators Established

2

5

9

17

14

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

2010-1 2012-3 2014-5 2016-7 2018-9E

13A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech | November 2019

Page 14: A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech · A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech | November 2019 4 Investment Trends In Israeli tech companies 2014 - 2019 Investment

Investors Preferences -Investments ($m) by investors type

2,603 , 47%

863 , 16%

596 , 11%

506 , 9%

469 , 8%

418 , 8%

40 , 1%

VC Funds

PE Funds

Corporate VCs

Investment Companies

Private Investors

Corporates

Accelerators & Incubators

14A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech | November 2019

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Investors Preferences - Investors Participate

3.083.35 3.30 3.43

3.66 3.754.02

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q1-Q3/2019

Average # of Investors per Deal

# of Investors per Deal

335

457

530 532579 605

320256

340396

426

497

589

439

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q1-Q3/2019

1st/Follow-On Investments By VCs Per Year

# of First VC Investments # of Follow-on VC Investments

15A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech | November 2019

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Investors Preferences: # of 1st investments by Investors Type

126

163

191

217 216

176

88

12 1232 30

59 55

41

69

100

133

158

194

211

152

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q1-Q3/2019

Investments in Israeli AI Companies

Angels Corporate VCs VC Funds

49

64

87

94

53

46

28

4 6

1821

14

31

17

35

52

67 68

75

102

51

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q1-Q3/2019

Investments in Israeli Cyber Companies

Angels Corporate VCs VC Funds

16A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech | November 2019

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Investors Preferences: # of 1st investments by Investors Type

69

9894

125

77

44

1511 1217 15

26

34

19

32

5561

76 77 75

42

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q1-Q3/2019

Investments in Israeli IoT Companies

Angels Corporate VCs VC Funds

74

114

76

98

88

64

29

5 6 9 14 16 17 17

33

61 60

82

71

86

45

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q1-Q3/2019

Investments in Israeli FinTech Companies

Angels Corporate VCs VC Funds

17A Quantitative Outlook of the Israeli High-Tech | November 2019