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A “Bulletin Board” System for Monitoring Statistical Capacity. Development Data Group World Bank November 2008 Neil Fantom ( [email protected] ) Naoko Watanabe ( [email protected] ). What we currently do. Since 2004, we have published an online database that: - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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A “Bulletin Board” System for Monitoring Statistical Capacity
Development Data GroupWorld Bank
November 2008
Neil Fantom ([email protected]) Naoko Watanabe ([email protected])
What we currently do
• Since 2004, we have published an online database that:− Provides information on national statistical systems− Helps assess statistical capacity in countries, using
composite statistical capacity score− Helps monitor progress in statistical development− Uses existing data sources− Covers 140 countries− We update annually at
www.worldbank.org/data/countrydata/csid.html
Uses
• Countries− Self assessment, performance monitoring and evaluation− Strengthening of own reporting of statistical activities
• Development partners− Help include statistical capacity issues in policy dialogue− Project identification, monitoring, and evaluation− Monitoring of regional and global trends in statistical capacity
Some trends in SCB Indicator
1999 2004 2008
All countries 53 63 65
IDA 48 57 59
IDA – Africa 49 52 52
IDA – Other 48 64 69
Biggest increases and decreases in SCB Indicator 2004-2008
Increases
• Afghanistan (+22, to 32)• Cameroon (+18, to 67)• Sierra Leone (+17, to 42)• Nigeria (+16, to 54)
Decreases
• Zimbabwe (-20, to 46)• Cote D’Ivoire (-17, to 63)• Chad (-16, to 43)• Gabon (-14, to 32)
We’re making improvements
• To allow updates by countries• To improve coverage• To improve the assessment tools
… in response to:
• Comments from users, and• A request from donors to the 15th replenishment of the
International Development Association (IDA) (initially we are covering IDA - low-income - countries only)
What’s changing?
OLD NEW
Sources Uses existing sources only + Data from countries
Coverage Surveys, methods, international data
+ Institutional capacity, other improvements
Interpretation Capacity score + Assessment tools
Presentation Tables, chart + Maps
Design based on existing frameworks
• PARIS21:− Statistical Capacity Building Indicators
• IMF:− Data Quality Assessment Framework
• African Centre for Statistics:− Africa Statistical Development Index
• Eurostat:− Questionnaire on Statistical Capacity (which is based
on the UN Handbook on Official Statistics)
Other topics also possible e.g. − Population census frequency− Houshold survey frequency− Statistical Capacity Indicator− Etc.
Quick information on countries appears on mouse hover
Click on a country to access “country page”
Tabs on main country page
• “Information”− Overview
• “Assessment”− Institutional Framework− Statistical Methodology− Data Sources− Periodicity and Timeliness
Landing page - overview
• Statistical legislation• Status of existing and next NSDS• NSDS budget• Human resources (of statistical office)• Recent censuses and household surveys• Contact information• Development partner support to statistics
1. Institutional framework
• Statistical legislation• Strategy/work plan• Coordination• User consultation• Budget• Human resources• Infrastructure/equipment, including IT • Dissemination practices• Data analysis
2. Statistical Methodology
• Macroeconomic statistics − Concepts/definitions (DQAF 2.1) − Classifications (DQAF 2.3)
• Socio-demographic statistics− Scope of statistics (DQAF 2.2)
3. Data sources
• Macroeconomic statistics − Source data (DQAF 3.1)
• Socio-demographic statistics− Source data (DQAF 3.1)− Statistical techniques (DQAF 3.3)
• Quality of sampling frames (business registers, hh survey frames)
4. Periodicity and timeliness
• Macroeconomic statistics− Most of the SDDS/GDDS indicators
• Socio-demographic statistics− Selected MDG indicators− Other indicators recommended by international
agencies
Statistical Capacity Indicator
• Overall composite score for each country on a scale of 0 to 100
• Scores for each “dimension” as well − Institutional Framework − Statistical methodology − Data sources− Periodicity an timeliness
• Each criteria is weighted according relative importance
Selected data will be used to derive the statistical capacity indicator
Indicator definitions appear on mouse hover
Ratings are provided according to the assessment results
On the same page, users can see the score for each criterion
…and detailed indicator definitions
Toggle
Expand
Users can send updates and general comments, including using Excel
Current and updated values can be seen side by side
Feedback form
Progress so far…
• Improvements in coverage of indicators• Proposals for new SCB indicator reviewed• Process of peer-review completed
− Involved selection of countries, plus PARIS21, UIS, WHO, IMF, UNSD, Eurostat, UNECA, DFID, SCBF, AfDB
• “Feedback” and other new features developed• Redesign of website underway
Work underway and to do
• Incorporate comments from peer reviewers (ongoing)• Pilot testing with selected countries (starting soon) • Populating database with existing data sources
(December 2008), e.g.− Africa Statistical Development Index− SDDS/GDDS− UN Country Profiles, etc
• Request to IDA countries to review and update content (start January/February 2009)
• Launch (mid-2009)
Some discussion issues
• Which countries should we include in the pilot?• How to encourage feedback from as many
countries as possible – and minimize reporting burden?
• What is the need to maintaining the existing Statistical Capacity Building Indicator series for analysis of trends?
• How to ensure a new SCB Indicator is robust to non-response?
• Expansion to all developing countries?
Thank you