01Statistika-Deskriptivna Statistika 2012

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    SPORTSKA STATISTIKAKlasifikacija varijabli i uređivanje podataka

              V                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               J                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    E                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Ž                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              B                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    

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    U svakodnevnom životu prikupljamo mnoštvo podataka.Statistika nam daje metode za njihovo organiziranje isažeto prikazivanje, te izvlačenje zaključaka na osnovuinformacija sadržanih u tim podacima.

    Ime 'statistika' dolazi od latinskog status - stanje, situacija.

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     OSNOVNI STATISTIČKI POJMOVI

     Populacija - dobro definiran skup objekata koji nas zanimaju radimjerenja/ispitivanja jednog ili više obilježja/svojstava.

     Populacija može biti konačna ili beskonačna, realna ili hipotetska.

    Primjeri:  Svi stanovnici Republike Hrvatske na dan 12.03.2012. Svi sportaši u nekom gradu na dan 31.12.2011. Sve utakmice Lige Prvaka sezone 2011/2012. Svi automobili koji će se proizvesti na osnovu 5 prototipova.

    Svi mogući rezultati nekog mjerenja (npr. svi mogući ishodi bacanjanovčića, kocke; svi mogući rezultati određene utakmice...)

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    Uzorak - podskup populacije koji uzimamo na unaprijed određen

    način.

    Primjeri: Iz populacije svih hrvatskih sportaša odaberemo samo njih 100slučajnim izborom.

    U skladištu sportskih dresova odaberemo jednu kutiju ili odsvakog modela po 2 primjerka.

    Od automobila neke marke uzmemo samo one prodane u Splitu2011.

     Potrebno je pažljivo i oprezno odabrati uzorak da bi on bioreprezentativan.

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     Statistiku dijelimo na: deskriptivnu (opisnu)

    inferencijalnu (statističko zaključivanje).

     Deskriptivna statistika (opisna)

      Istraživač je prikupio podatke i želi ih organizirati, te sažetoopisati njihova važna svojstva. Pritom se koristi nekim grafičkimmetodama (histogrami, krivulje, kružni dijagrami,..) i računaodređene numeričke vrijednosti, tzv. parametre (prosjek,standardnu devijaciju, korelacijski koeficijent,...)

     Inferencijalna statistika (statističko zaključivanje) Istraživač je proučio uzorak i iz njegovih svojstava želi izvestizaključke o cijeloj populaciji. Ti zaključci predstavljaju procjenuparametra s određenom vjerojatnošću.

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      Na odabranoj populaciji mogu se mjeriti ili ispitivati različita obilježja

    (svojstva). Tako npr. na populaciji sportaša možemo ispitivati visinu,težinu, kojem klubu pripada, novčanaprimanja, kategoriju...

    Svaku funkciju sa skupa populacije u skup obilježja nazivamostatističkom varijablom.

     

    Na populaciji koja se sastoji od svih utakmica koje je odigrao određenikošarkaš u jednoj sezoni, možemo mjeriti npr. broj šuteva iz igre za 2 i 3,broj slobodnih bacanja, broj zgoditaka za svaku vrstu šuteva, brojasistencija, osvojenih lopti po utakmici itd..

    Kod ispitivanja visine sportaša, populacija je određeni skup sportaša, aobilježje je realan broj (tj. skup obilježja je skup realnih brojeva) astatistička varijabla „visina” je preslikavanje iz skupa sportaša u skuprealnih brojeva.

     

    DESKRIPTIVNA STATISTIKA

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     Više različitih varijabli koje djeluju na istoj populaciji možemopromatrati kao jednu višedimenzionalnu varijablu. Nju jenajprikladnije prikazati matrično (tablično), gdje vrijednost namjestu (i,j) predstavlja vrijednost j-te varijable nai-tompopulacijskom članu.

    Na sljedećem primjeru prikazani su statistički podaci jednoghrvatskog košarkaša za sva natjecanja sezone 2010/2011.

    Slika je preuzeta sawww.kosarka.org uz prethodnu dozvolu.

              V                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               J                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    E                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Ž                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              B                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    E                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    

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    http://www.kosarka.org/http://www.kosarka.org/http://www.kosarka.org/http://www.kosarka.org/http://www.kosarka.org/http://www.kosarka.org/

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              V                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               J                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    E                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Ž                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              B                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    E                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    

    1                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       

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    Neka je … od N elemenata statistička varijabla

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    N

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    KLASIFIKACIJA VARIJABLI 

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    KVALITATIVNE VARIJABLE

     Kvalitativne varijable dijelimo na nominalne i ordinalne.  Kod nominalnih varijabli svakom članu populacije jepridruženo neko obilježje na način da ta obilježja nisu uređenačak i ako su brojčana. Na primjer,

    mjesto rođenja, boja očiju OIB, JMBG političko opredjeljenje na referendumu (za-1; protiv-0)

     Kod ordinalnih varijabli članovima populacije je pridružen

    simbol ili broj pri čemu je određen njihov redosljed. Na primjer, stupanj stručne spreme, ocjene iz nekog kolegija...

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    UREĐIVANJE KVALITATIVNIH PODATAKA

              V                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               J                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    E                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Ž                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              B                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    E                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    

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      TABLICA - DISTRIBUCIJA FREKVENCIJA  najjednostavniji način zadavanja kvalitativne varijable

      PRIMJER:Kategorizirani vaterpolisti po odabranimžupanijama, izvorwww.hoo.hr

              V                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               J                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    E                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Ž                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              B                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    E                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    

    1                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       

    http://www.hoo.hr/http://www.hoo.hr/http://www.hoo.hr/http://www.hoo.hr/http://www.hoo.hr/

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    STUPČASTI GRAFIKON (DIJAGRAM)Prikazuje distribuciju frekvencija po županijama (obilježjima)za prethodni pimjer

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    STRUKTURNI KRUGPrikazuje razdiobu relativnih frekvencija za prethodni primjer

              V                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               J                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    E                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Ž                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              B                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    E                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    

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    Zadatak 1.

     

    Neka statistička varijabla X označava ocjenu iz matematike koja je

    izražena brojevima 1, 2, 3, 4, 5. Na kraju školske godine podaci iz

     jednog razreda su:

     1, 4, 2, 3, 1, 1, 2, 4, 2, 3, 4, 5, 3, 2, 2, 2, 5, 3, 2, 2, 3, 3, 4, 2, 3, 2, 3, 3,

    3, 2

      Načinite tablicu frekvencija i prikažite podatke stupčastim

    dijagramom.

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    Zadatak 2.

    Rezultat prodaje štucni određenog sportskog kluba tijekom veljače

    2012. u jednoj trgovini dan je sljedećom tablicom frekvencija

     

    Prikažite podatke stupčastim dijagramom i strukturnim krugom.

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    Paretov dijagram prikazuje istovremeno i frekvencije

    (poredane od veće prema manjoj) i kumulativne frekvencije.

    Sljedeći primjer se odnosi na ispitivanje kvarova tipkovnica

     jednog proizvođača u jamstvenom roku.

    PARETOV DIJAGRAM

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              V                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               J                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    E                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Ž                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              B                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    E                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    

    1                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       

    Tako se lakše uočava ako manji broj obilježja (u ovom slučaju

    kvarova) daje veći dio ukupne distribucije.

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    KVANTITATIVNE ILI NUMERIČKE VARIJABLE

              V                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               J                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    E                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Ž                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              B                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    E                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    

    1                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       

    Dijelimo ih na intervalne i omjerne.Intervalna varijabla pridružuje svakom članu populacije realanbroj. Uređaj brojeva definira i redosljed obilježja, a definirana je imjerna jedinica i dogovorna nula. Npr, varijabla koja svakomdanu pridružuje temperaturu zraka u isto vrijeme na istommjestu je intervalna.

    Omjerna varijabla je numerička varijabla koja ima istekarakteristike kao i intervalna samo što nula nije dogovornoutvrđena, već znači nepostojanje svojstva na promatranomelementu. Na primjer, varijabla koja njeri visinu neke ljudske

    populacije je omjerna. Tu ima smisla upotrebljavati omjerevrijednosti.

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    Druga podjela numeričkih (kvantitativnih) statističkih varijabli,prema gustoći skupa obilježja populacije X(S) je na diskretne ikontinuirane.

              V