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108th WGAT meeting 25 September 2017
Study on ABS availability for agri / forestry vehicles with max design speed between 40
km/h and 60 km/h
Slide 1 of 33
© 2017 TRL Ltd
Study on the availability of anti-lock braking systems for agricultural and forestry vehicles with a maximum design speed between 40 km/h and 60 km/h
Presentation of final results WGAT Meeting, Brussels, 25th September 2017
Slide 2 of 33
the future of transport. © 2017 TRL Ltd
Apollo Vehicle Safety
Limited
Task 1: Stakeholder consultation and data gathering
Task 2: ABS technology assessment
Availability of suitable AVBS technology
Practical (and economic) applicability of ABS technology
Task 3: Cost benefits analysis of ABS installation
Task 4: Development of conclusions and recommendations
Findings from all tasks are presented in the final study report
(EC report ET-02-17-796-EN-N; ISBN 978-92-79-70240-2)
Project structure
Slide 3 of 33
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Stakeholder surveys: Bespoke online and MS Word surveys
National Authorities: >170 surveys issued, 5 Member States responded
Manufacturers of agricultural vehicles, trailers/ towed equipment, axles and braking
equipment systems: 72 surveys issued, 33 replies
Industry Bodies & Social Partners: 156 surveys issued, 12 responses
Stakeholder discussions: Face to face meetings and telephone discussions
Industry bodies, manufacturers of braking systems, vehicles, trailers and towed equipment
Literature reviews: Technical and manufacturer literature
Data reviews: Vehicle fleets, legislation & policy, costs, accident stats
Information gathering methodology
Slide 4 of 33
the future of transport. © 2017 TRL Ltd
Apollo Vehicle Safety
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What is a Category ‘b’ agricultural vehicle
A vehicle with a maximum design speed (Vmax) > 40 km/h
Conventional tractors with sufficient engine power to tow (heavy?) loads on-road > 40 km/h
This typically means > 130 hp / > 97 kW. To date this includes T1b but not T2b
Lightweight vehicles used for agricultural tasks with sufficient power-to-weight ratio to comfortably
exceed 40 km/h (e.g. an ATV or SbS)
Specialist agricultural tractors with Vmax > 40 km/h capability (e.g. T4.3b)
Agricultural trailers intended for use behind any of these vehicles at Vmax > 40 km/h
Interchangeable towed equipment intended for use at Vmax > 40 km/h
Photo copyrights: Deere & Co.; KYMCO; ATVEA; Aebi-Schmidt; Claas/Joskin
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Category T1 tractors
600 kg unladen mass, wheel track width > 1150 mm
Category T2 tractors
600 kg unladen mass, wheel track width < 1150 mm
Category T4.3 tractors
Low-clearance, low centre-of-gravity, ≤ 10,000 kg max. permissible mass
Side-by-side vehicles where type-approved as Category T1b
All-terrain vehicles where type approved as Category T3b
Other categories were excluded as they are unlikely to be used for road transport, and/or
may meet national approval requirements rather than EU type-approval
Vehicle categories included in the study
Photo copyrights: SDF; CNH Industrial
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Category R3 trailers
Sum of permissible masses per axle (MPMaxles) > 3,500 kg but 21,000 kg
Category R4 trailers
Sum of permissible masses per axle (MPMaxles) > 21,000 kg
Category S2 interchangeable towed machinery
Sum of permissible masses per axle (MPMaxles) > 3,500 kg)
Other trailer / towed machinery categories were excluded as they:
• Are of lower mass and pose less of a road safely risk when travelling at 40 – 60 km/h
• May be fitted with inertia brakes, for which ABS technology is not available
Trailer/interchangeable towed machinery categories included in the study
Photo copyrights: Fliegl/CEMA; Pöttinger/CEMA
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Apollo Vehicle Safety
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Current/future agricultural vehicle usage in the European Union
EU agriculture is changing
Fewer but larger farms
Greater geographic spread of land
Tractors required to travel further on-road to perform fieldwork
Fewer tractors sold, but they are of increasing engine power,
technical complexity and cost
Agricultural trailer capacity is increasing, both to utilize available
tractor power and match increased output of crop harvesting
machinery
Photo copyright: CNH Industrial
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Current/future agricultural vehicle usage in the European Union
Agricultural tractor capability is changing
Higher speed capability: Vmax > 40 km/h tractors have been widely
available for ~15 years (~2003 – 06)
Have proven very popular in the few EU markets which currently
permit their sale / use
Already represent ~50% of tractor production in certain power
categories (e.g. 150 – 300 hp / 112 – 224 kW)
EU market penetration is likely to increase substantially from
January 2018 due to EU type-approval legislation
Photo copyright: SDF
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Apollo Vehicle Safety
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Current/future agricultural vehicle usage in the European Union
Agricultural vehicle usage is changing
Larger / higher powered tractors are required to tow larger / heavier
trailers at V > 40 km/h
Tractor + Trailer laden mass ~ 35,000 – 40,000 kg is common
UK data suggests 150 – 300 hp (112 – 224 kW) tractors may spend up
to 50% of operating time engaged in either material transport or
general on-road travel
Larger capacity trailers tend to be towed by Vmax > 40 km/h tractors
Photo copyright: CNH Industrial
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Road accidents related to agricultural vehicles
Data suggests collisions involving agricultural vehicles are a small but possibly a growing problem
Fatality risk per unit of exposure is much greater than average
Increasing market penetration of Vmax > 40 km/h tractors may increase frequency & severity of collisions – but
may be partly offset by smaller speed differential with other vehicles
Risk of accidents involving loss of control, jack-knife or trailer swing increases with speed
Tests and statistical evidence show ABS has a strong positive effect on these specific collision types, but
statistics suggest a small net positive effect on crashes overall
Data shows ATVs and SbS vehicles were involved in only a very small proportion of (road) collisions
involving agricultural vehicles
On-road travel and/or transport apparently a minor activity for these vehicles Slide 11 of 33
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Generic ABS systems potentially suitable for agricultural vehicles
ABS Type Actuation Medium
Availability for off-road / agricultural vehicles
Comments
1. Pneumatic Pneumatic Yes – Mature systems • Truck ABS-derived system. • Requires compressor & air reservoir(s) on vehicle
2. Pneumatic Hydraulic: Brake Fluid
Yes – Mature systems • Adaptation of (1). • Only suitable for vehicles with limited brake
application fluid displacements
3. Pneumatic Hydraulic: Mineral Oil
Yes – Mature systems • Adaptation of (1). • Suitable for hydraulically-applied (internal) tractor
disc brakes (very common)
4. Hydraulic (Brake Fluid)
Hydraulic: Brake Fluid
Some mature systems, some proof-of-concept* systems Each only suited for certain (lower mass) vehicles
• Derived from Light Truck or Car systems. • Low installation space requirements. • Only suitable for vehicles with limited brake
application fluid displacements
5. Hydraulic (Mineral Oil)
Hydraulic: Mineral Oil
Under development* • Particularly suited to hydraulic oil-applied braking
systems (e.g. many tractors). • Lower installation space requirements
* Estimated time to market readiness/series production within timescale of currently-proposed legislative deadline for mandatory ABS introduction
Slide 12 of 33
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Agricultural vehicles which do currently offer ABS systems
Brake actuation: Pneumatic ABS Control: Pneumatic
Brake actuation: Hydraulic (brake fluid) ABS Control: Pneumatic
Brake actuation: Hydraulic (mineral oil) ABS Control: Pneumatic
Brake actuation: Pneumatic ABS Control: Pneumatic
Brake actuation: Hydraulic (brake fluid) ABS Control: Hydraulic (brake fluid)?
Photo copyrights: Fendt; CNH Industrial; JCB; Claas/Joskin; KYMCO
Slide 13 of 33
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Agricultural vehicles which do not currently offer ABS systems
Photo copyrights: CNH Industrial; Aebi-Schmidt; KYMCO; Valtra/Amazone; Fleming; ATVEA
Slide 14 of 33
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Effectiveness of ABS
Photo copyright: CNH Industrial
ABS benefits
Maintains vehicle directional control during braking on low-adhesion surfaces
Very effective in mitigating the risk of collisions involving loss of control, jack-
knife or trailer swing. Can be beneficial even if the trailer isn’t fitted with ABS
ABS dis-benefits
Can increase the risk of certain other collision types – Causes the net benefits of ABS to be less than expected
Other factors
ABS can provide a development platform for a wide range of other advanced control systems operating through
vehicle braking system (e.g. Electronic Stability Control) – Has delivered significant casualty reductions in cars
Intelligent control of the (agricultural vehicle) braking system can also provide operational benefits in-field Slide 15 of 33
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Issues affecting wider implementation of ABS on agricultural vehicles (1)
Vehicle brake actuation medium
Influences ease and economic feasibility of ABS installation
Majority of tractors utilize hydraulically-applied brakes, but mature ABS systems
mainly employ pneumatic control – Air-over-Hydraulic converters are required
Can present system packaging / installation challenges.
Wheel speed sensor installation
An engineering task / cost, but readily achievable – could be included as
‘standard-build’ in larger tractor front 4wd axles, if demand existed
Larger R3 & most / all R4 trailers already fitted with ‘sensor-ready’ axles
May increase cost of smaller R3 and some S2 vehicle axles
Photo copyright: CNH Industrial
Slide 16 of 33
the future of transport. © 2017 TRL Ltd
Apollo Vehicle Safety
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Issues affecting wider implementation of ABS on agricultural vehicles (2)
Off-Road Braking Behaviour
ABS can / will increase stopping distances on loose, off-road surfaces
‘Off-Road’ ABS operating strategies are readily-available to enable
more aggressive braking at lower speeds (< 40 km/h & < 15 km/h)
Can be selected manually or automatically
Photo copyright: Knorr-Bremse
Economic Availability
Overall system cost = Cost of ABS system to tractor manufacturer + installation cost + system development cost
Pioneering tractor manufacturers have incurred substantial development costs, but future users will benefit
Limited number of ABS system manufacturers, but situation reflects previous ‘step’ changes in agricultural
vehicle technical content. Limited market volumes discourage new entrants. Slide 17 of 33
the future of transport. © 2017 TRL Ltd
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Current status of generic ABS systems for use on agricultural vehicles Vehicle
type Vehicle Brake
Actuation Medium ABS Type (System Modulating
/ Control Medium) Current Technology
Readiness Stage (TRS)
T1b / T2b
Pneumatic Pneumatic TRS05
Hydraulic (mineral oil) Pneumatic TRS05
Hydraulic (mineral oil) Hydraulic (mineral oil) TRS02 or TRS03 *
Hydraulic (brake fluid) Pneumatic TRS05
T4.3b Hydraulic (brake fluid) Hydraulic (brake fluid) TRS04 or TRS05 *
ATV Hydraulic (brake fluid) Hydraulic (brake fluid) TRS01 or TRS04 *
SbS Hydraulic (brake fluid) Hydraulic (brake fluid) TRS01 or TRS04 *
R3/R4b Pneumatic Pneumatic TRS05
Hydraulic Hydraulic ABS not available
S2b Pneumatic Pneumatic TRS05
Hydraulic Hydraulic ABS not available
TRS01: Concept;
TRS02: Functional prototype, low maturity
TRS03: Functional prototype high maturity;
TRS04: Market ready;
TRS05: Readily available & proven in market
* TRS depends on system type
Slide 18 of 33
the future of transport. © 2017 TRL Ltd
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Conclusions: ABS availability and applicability (1)
Clear evidence exists that ABS is technically feasible and available for nearly
all relevant agricultural vehicle types (Categories T, R3, R4 & S2)
Ease & economic feasibility of installation depends on brake application method/medium
and available physical space
Dedicated adaptations of pneumatic truck/truck-trailer ABS systems are mature
and in commercial use on agricultural tractors/trailers.
Hydraulic (mineral oil) systems for agricultural tractors are mainly in
late-stage prototype form and expected to be in series production by 2019
Current ABS development/market availability schedules indicate no reason
to delay mandatory ABS on 40 < Vmax ≤ 60 km/h tractors beyond 2020/21
Photo copyrights: Deere & Co.; CNH Industrial
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ABS systems are currently not available for trailers / towed equipment fitted with
hydraulically-actuated braking systems
Limited market demand & significant development costs may restrict their future availability
ABS installation would require conversion of such (typically lower-mass, less expensive)
trailers / towed equipment to pneumatic braking systems
Higher specification axles may also be required to accept wheel speed sensors
Most trailers / towed equipment intended for V > 40 km/h use tend to feature
pneumatic braking systems & speed sensor-enabled axles, so there is every
possibility to fit ABS technology to such vehicles.
Conclusions: ABS availability and applicability (2)
Photos copyrights: Pöttinger/CEMA; Claas/Joskin
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Alternative criteria for ABS implementation?
Tractors can only pull heavy loads
at V > 40 km/h if they have
sufficient engine power – typically
> 150 hp / 112 kW
Maximum Permissible Mass
relates closely to tractor engine
power and influences vehicle
Kinetic Energy during transport
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the future of transport. © 2017 TRL Ltd
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Alternative criteria for ABS implementation?
K.E. of almost all V > 40 km/h
tractor + trailer combinations
exceeds that of a 12 tonne truck
at 60 km/h
Use a MPM threshold value in
combination with Vmax > 40 km/h
for ABS implementation?
For tractors? Also for trailers/trailed equipment?
Alternatively, select a different
Vmax implementation value for
ABS between 40 and 60 km/h
Slide 22 of 33
the future of transport. © 2017 TRL Ltd
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Alternative criteria for ABS implementation?
Possible Tractor ABS
implementation criteria:
Vmax > 40 km/h and
MPM ≥ 11,500 kg
Focusses ABS on T1b vehicles
of > 175 hp / 130 kW
Avoids T2b, T4.3b, ATV and SbS
vehicles
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the future of transport. © 2017 TRL Ltd
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Alternative criteria for ABS implementation?
Possible Trailer ABS
implementation criteria
Vmax > 40 km/h and
MPMaxles ≥ 12,000 kg
Focusses ABS requirement on trailers
of ≥ 11,000 kg carrying capacity
Some R3b and all R4b vehicles
Captures only very heavy S2b vehicles
– probably classified as Rb types
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Policy options used in CBA (Applicable speed range: 40 < Vmax ≤ 60 km/h unless stated)
Option Detail Tractors: ABS fitted to… Trailers: ABS fitted to…
0 Do nothing (Tractor ABS only) All Tb No R3b and no R4b
1 No ABS No Tb No R3b and no R4b
2 Partial ABS (Trailer only) No Tb All R3b and all R4b
3 Partial ABS (Larger Trailer only) No Tb All R3b with MPMaxles
≥ 12,000 kg & all R4b
4 Tractor + Trailer All Tb All R3b and all R4b
5 Partial ABS (Tractor + Larger Trailer) All Tb All R3b with MPMaxles
≥ 12,000 kg & all R4b
6 Partial ABS (Larger Tractor + Trailer) All Tb with MPM ≥ 11,500 kg All R3b and all R4b
7 Partial ABS (Larger Tractor + Larger Trailer) All Tb with MPM ≥ 11,500 kg All R3b with MPMaxles
≥ 12,000 kg & all R4b
8 Partial ABS (Faster Tractor + Trailer) All Tb where Vmax > 50 km/h All R3b and all R4b
9 Partial ABS (Faster Tractor + Larger Trailer) All Tb where Vmax > 50 km/h All R3b with MPMaxles ≥ 12,000 kg & all R4b
Photo copyrights: Deere & Co.; Claas/Joskin Slide 25 of 33
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Cost benefit analysis methodology
ABS (new vehicle registrations)
ABS (% of parc equipped)
ABS (Casualty prevention
effectiveness)
Projected baseline casualty numbers
(Option 1)
Forecast casualty numbers (Option 0)
Option
0 ABS (Fitment
costs Option 0) Casualty costs
(Option 0)
X
ABS (new vehicle registrations)
ABS (% of parc equipped)
ABS (Casualty prevention
effectiveness)
Projected baseline casualty numbers
(Option1)
Forecast casualty numbers (Option X)
ABS (Fitment costs Option X)
Casualty costs (Option X)
Repeat for each year 2018-35
Repeat for each year 2018-35
Effect of changing policy 0 to X
•Policy X - 0
•€negative = “benefit”
•€positive = “cost”
ABS Fit cost €
•Policy X - 0
•€negative = “Benefit”
•€positive = “cost”
Casualty cost €
•Benefits + costs
•Summed 2018-35 & discounted
•Negative good
Net present
value
•Sum Costs + ben 18-35 individually
•Total Benefits /Total Costs
•>1 good
Benefit to cost ratio
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All changes with respect to Option 0 (‘Do nothing’, i.e. ABS on all Category Tb)
Overview of CBA (based on upper estimates)
Option Description NPV of change BCR Change in fatalities
Change in serious
casualties
1 No ABS -€ 3.04bn [1] 308 [7] 46 [9] 125 [9]
2 Partial ABS (Trailer only) -€ 2.80bn [3] 384 [5] 32 [7] 93 [7]
3 Partial ABS (Larger Trailer only) -€ 2,80bn [2] 383 [6] 33 [8] 94 [8]
4 Full ABS (Tractor + Trailer) € 72.02m [9] 0.23 [8] -14 [1] -34 [1]
5 Partial ABS (Tractor + Larger Trailer) € 67.50m [8] 0.23 [8] -14 [1] -33 [2]
6 Partial ABS (Larger Tractor + Trailer) -€ 1,12bn [7] 608 [1] 7 [3] 24 [3]
7 Partial ABS (Larger Tractor + Larger Trailer) -€ 1,13bn [6] 596 [2] 7 [3] 24 [3]
8 Partial ABS (Faster Tractor + Trailer) -€ 2,08bn [5] 407 [3] 22 [3] 65 [5]
9 Partial ABS (Faster Tractor + Larger Trailer) -€ 2,08bn [4] 404 [4] 22 [3] 66 [6]
Photo copyrights: Deere & Co.; Claas/Joskin
Slide 27 of 33
the future of transport. © 2017 TRL Ltd
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Conclusions: Costs and benefits (1)
Data suggests collisions involving agricultural vehicles are a small but possibly
growing problem – this may increase as faster tractors become more numerous
Evidence shows ABS will have a strong positive effect on specific collision types
directly related to speed but a small net positive effect on crashes overall
Data suggests the cost to farmers of purchasing ABS on new vehicles is
considerably greater than for consumers buying a car
Tractor: €3000 – 5000, Large Trailer: €500 – 1000, Small Trailer: €1300 – 1900
Cost reduction associated with removing requirement for ABS will outweigh the
economic dis-benefits of failing to achieve anticipated ABS-related casualty
reductions.
Photo copyrights: Deere & Co.; CNH Industrial
Slide 28 of 33
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Conclusions: Costs and benefits (2)
Best CBA options in terms of Benefit to Cost Ratio (BCR)
1. All Tb with MPM ≥ 11,500 kg + all R3b & R4b
2. All Tb with MPM ≥ 11,500 kg + R3b with MPMaxles ≥ 12,000 kg & all R4b
3. All Tb where Vmax > 50 km/h + all R3b & R4b
4. All Tb where Vmax > 50 km/h + R3b with MPMaxles ≥ 12,000 kg & all R4b
BCR is not the only criteria for CBA option evaluation
Removing requirement to fit ABS would generate the largest monetary gain
(Net Present Value (NPV))
Requiring ABS on Tb > 50 km/h and (larger) R3b & R4b delivers relatively good
BCR and NPV
Photo copyrights: Deere & Co.; CNH Industrial
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The study has identified a wide range of alternative policy options regarding the mandatory requirement for ABS on agricultural vehicles where 40 < Vmax ≤ 60 km/h The selection of which, if any, of the identified policy options to implement is a matter for the Commission and the relevant regulatory committees, informed by the analysis presented in the study report.
Summary
Photo: © CNH Industrial
Cost Benefit Analysis:
Likely costs of ABS implementation are high & unlikely to be outweighed by monetised savings resulting from reduced casualty numbers in the 15 year evaluation period
Applicability of ABS: Systems are applicable for use on relevant agricultural vehicles deemed likely to undertake significant agricultural transport operations on-road.
Technical availability of ABS:
In the majority of instances, systems are readily available for relevant agricultural vehicles
Outcome:
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Category Description of measure
Braking
• Technologies described in Reg. (EU) No 167/2013 and supplementing regulations • Introduction of tractor-trailer braking compatibility corridors from Reg. (EU)
2015/68 and Reg. (EU) 2016/1788 • Control of trailer braking system via drive-stick input (CVT transmission / vehicle
travel speed control) • EBS for trailers and ESC for towing vehicles
Other vehicle controls
• V2V communications • Improved recognisability of slow-moving or turning agricultural vehicles • Vehicle distance control • Horizontal acceleration sensing/vehicle stability control
Other vehicle measures • Seatbelts and roll-over protective structures (ROPS)
Vehicle maintenance • Improved maintenance & roadworthiness checks
Vehicle conspicuity • Improved lighting and signalling (Possibly also improved markings)
Photo copyrights: Deere & Co.; Deere & Co.; Fliegl/CEMA
Alternative measures perceived by stakeholders to offer equivalent/greater safety benefits to ABS
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Alternative measures perceived by stakeholders to offer equivalent/greater safety benefits to ABS
Category Description of measure
Driver field of vision
• Improved field of vision for tractor driver (e.g. mirrors, cameras, blind spot proximity alarms)
• Camera systems for identifying OTHER road users when entering/crossing carriageway
• Driver assist systems that actively warn or actuate to avoid a crash • Surround sensing systems with autonomous vehicle interventions
Driver training • Improved driver training for tractor drivers • Minimum driver age and/or licensing • Improved driver training for OTHER ROAD USERS
Safety of other road users
• Minimum requirements for pedestrian protection • Mandatory helmets for T-category ATV users
Enforcement measures • Limiting allowed towed mass in relation to tractor mass • Improved accident reporting • Better police checking of on-road speeds
Photo copyrights: Deere & Co.; Deere & Co.; Fliegl/CEMA
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