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ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Optimal production schedule in declining market for an imperfectproduction system
Nita H. Shah • Kunal T. Shukla
Received: 14 March 2010 / Accepted: 7 September 2010 / Published online: 22 September 2010
� Springer-Verlag 2010
Abstract This is a study about economic production in an
imperfect production system. The imperfect production
system means is a system in which the machine shifts from
an ‘in-control’ state to an ‘out-of-control’ state. This may
happen at any random time during the production period.
The classical economic production lot size model is based
on the assumption that the produced items are of perfect
quality. However, this is not observed during the produc-
tion phase. In the long run, the process shifts from the
‘in-control’ state to the ‘out-of-control’ state after certain
time due to continuous usage of the machine. The proposed
model is developed to study the optimal production when a
certain percent of total product is of imperfect quality.
These items are reworked to maintain the quality of the
products. The production cost per unit item is convex
function of production rate. The demand is assumed to be
decreasing function of time. The total cost of inventory
system per time unit is minimized. The development of the
model is validated by numerical examples and its sensi-
tivity analysis is carried out too.
Keywords Imperfect production process �Defective items � In-control-state � Out-of-control state �Declining demand
1 Introduction
The flexible manufacturing system helps the manufacturing
industries to reduce the rate of production to avoid piling of
inventories and defective items. The continuous usage of
machine for production decreases the quality of items. It is
observed that the percentage of defective items increases
with increase of production rate and production-run time.
At the start of production, system is ‘in-control’ state and
items produced are of 100% quality. After some time, it
may shift to an ‘out-of control’ state producing defective
items.
Rosenblatt and Lee [18] considered the time of shift
from ‘in-control’ state to ‘out-of-control’ state and this
follows an exponential distribution with a mean 1l, assum-
ing l to be very small. They derived closed form solution
for Economic Manufacture quantity using second order of
Maclaurin series expansion of the exponential function.
Lee and Rosenblatt [12, 13] derived an optimal production
run-time and optimal inspection policy simultaneously to
observe the production process. Cheng [2] has derived a
closed form expression for the optimal demand to satisfy
order quantity and process reliability while the demand
exceeds supply and the production process is imperfect.
Khouja and Mehrez [5] assumed that the elapsed time until
the production process shifts to an ‘out-of-control’ state to
be an exponentially distributed random variable. Hariga
and Ben-Daya [4] and Kim and Hong [6] have extended
Rosenblatt and Lee [18] model by considering the general
time required to shift distribution and an optimal produc-
tion run time shown to be unique. Makis [16] derived
several properties of the optimal production and inspection
policies in an imperfect production process. Some of the
above cited references assumed that defective items are
N. H. Shah (&)
Department of Mathematics, Gujarat University,
Ahmedabad, India
e-mail: [email protected]
K. T. Shukla
JG College of Computer Application, Drive-in road,
Ahmedabad, Gujarat, India
123
Int. J. Mach. Learn. & Cyber. (2010) 1:89–99
DOI 10.1007/s13042-010-0005-9
reworked instantaneously. Wang [23] discussed an imper-
fect Economic Manufacturing Quantity model for produc-
tion which is required and sold under free-repair warranty
policy. Sheu and Chen [22] derived a lot size model to
determine the level preventive maintenance for an imper-
fect production control. Lee [7–9] has extended the model
to increase the service level and reduce the defective items
in imperfect production system. Chen and Lo [1] formu-
lated an imperfect production system with allowable
shortage and items are sold with free minimal repair war-
ranty. The probabilities of defective items in both the states
(out-of-control and in-control) are considered to be dif-
ferent. Lee [10] investigated the investment model with
respect to repetitive inspections and measurement equip-
ment in imperfect production process. Sana et al. [20]
analyzed Economic Production Lot-size model for pro-
duction system producing items of perfect as well as
imperfect quality. The probability of imperfect quality
items increases with increase of production run time
because of continuous usage of machines. They assumed
that the demand rate of perfect quality item is constant
whereas the demand rate of defective items which is not
repaired is a function of reduction rate. Sana et al. [21]
derived a volume flexible inventory model with an
imperfect production system where demand rate of good
quality items is a random variable and the demand rate of
defective items is a function of a random variable and
reduction rate. Giri and Dohi [3] developed the inspection
scheduling in an imperfect production process when
machine shifts from ‘in-control’ state to an ‘out-of-control’
state. They assumed that the shift time follows an arbitrary
probability distribution with increasing failure rate and the
products are sold with a free minimal repair warranty. The
inspection during production period reduces the number of
imperfect quality products. Liao [14] analyzed an imper-
fect production processes that requires production correc-
tions and imperfect maintenance. Lo et al. [15] extended a
production-inventory model for a varying rate of deterio-
ration, partial back-ordering, inflation, imperfect produc-
tion process and multiple deliveries. Panda et al. [17]
formulated an economic production lot size model for
imperfect items in which production rate is constant and
the demand rate is probabilistic under certain budget and
shortage constraints. They have assumed that the percent-
age of defective items is stochastic and the nature of
uncertainty in the constraints is stochastic or fuzzy. Here,
the percentage of defective item is independent of pro-
duction rate and production-run-time. Lee [11] developed a
maintenance model in multi-level multi-stage system. In
this model, the investment in preventive maintenance is to
reduce the variance and the deviation of the mean from
the target value of the quality that reduce the proportion
of defectives and increase reliability of the product.
The proportion of defectives can be linked to the cost of
manufacturing, cost of inventory and loss of profit. The
total cost comprises of the cost of manufacturing, set-up
cost, holding cost, loss of profit and warranty cost. Sana
[19] derived model with assumptions that the percentage of
defective items varies with production rate and production-
run-time, and demand to be deterministic and constant.
The most prevailing scenario of recession is studied in
this paper. It is observed that the demand had decreased
during the recession period. The model assumes that the
percentage of defective items varies non-linearly with
production rate and production-run-time. The production
starts with a variable production rate up to an optimal time.
During production period, the machine may shift to an
‘out-of-control’ state after certain time that follows expo-
nential distribution. During this ‘out-of-control’ state, the
defective items are produced which are to be reworked
immediately. The demand is considered to be decreasing
function of time. The profit of an inventory system is
maximized with respect to production rate and maximum
produced items. The proposed model is validated by
numerical examples. The sensitivity analysis is carried out
to determine critical model parameters.
2 Assumptions and notations
The following assumptions and notations are considered to
develop the model.
2.1 Assumptions
1. The system under consideration deals with a single
item.
2. The rate of production is a decision variable.
3. The demand rate is decreasing function of time.
4. Lead time is zero.
5. Shortages are not allowed.
6. The production process shifts from the ‘in-control’
state to an ‘out-of-control’ state. During this shift, the
defective items are produced which require rework at a
cost immediately.
7. The planning horizon is infinite.
2.2 Notations
P Production rate in units per year (a decision
variable)
Im Production lot size in units
T (t1 ? t2) cycle time in years (a decision
variable)
t1 Production time period in year (a decision
variable)
90 Int. J. Mach. Learn. & Cyber. (2010) 1:89–99
123
t2 Non-production time period in year (a decision
variable)
A Set-up cost per set up
h Inventory holding cost per unit per year
Cr Cost of rework of one unit
R(t) (=a(1 - bt)), demand rate a [ 0 is scale
parameter of the demand and 0 \ b \ 1 is
the rate of change of demand
s An exponential random variable that depends
on P and denotes the elapsed time until the
process shifts to the ‘out-of-control’ state
k(t, s, P) Percentage of defective items produced at any
instant of time t, When the machine is in the
out-of-control state
C(P) Unit production cost as a function of the
production rate1
f ðPÞ The mean of the s where f(P) is an increasing
function of P
N The number of defective items produced
during the production period
EK Integrated expected total cost per unit time
3 Mathematical model
The production starts with the rate P at time t = 0 and
continues up to time t = t1, the maximum inventory Im is
reached. During the time [0, t2], the inventory depletes due
to the demand and reaches to zero at time t2 (See Fig. 1)
The differential equations governing inventory levels
are
dI1ðtÞdt¼ P� RðtÞ; 0� t� t1 ð1Þ
and
dI2ðtÞdt¼ �RðtÞ; 0� t� t2 ð2Þ
with initial condition I1(0) = 0 and boundary I1(t1) =
I2(0) = Im and I2(t2) = 0.
The solutions of differential equations are,
I1ðtÞ ¼ ðP� aÞt þ abt2
20� t� t1 ð3Þ
and
I2ðtÞ ¼ aðt2 � tÞ � ab
2t22 � t2� �
0� t� t2: ð4Þ
Clearly, Inventory level at any instant of time t can be
defined as,
IðtÞ ¼ I1ðtÞ; 0� t� t1I2ðtÞ; 0� t� t2
� �:
Using I1 (t1) = Im, we get the maximum produced units
are,
Im ¼ ðP� aÞt1 þabt2
1
2: ð5Þ
Since, I(t) is continuous function of t, we have
I1(t1) = I2(0) which gives the relation between time
periods t1 and t2 as
t1 �at2
P� a� abt2
2
2ðP� aÞ ð6Þ
and hence
T ¼ t1 þ t2 ¼Pt2
P� a� abt2
2
2ðP� aÞ: ð7Þ
The produced units are of perfect quality in the
beginning of the production process. The system remains
‘in-control’ state up to a certain time s, after which the
production process shift to an ‘out-of-control’ state. The
production rate of defective items is k(t, s, P) percent of
production rate P.
Define k t; s;Pð Þ ¼ aPb t � sð Þc ð8Þ
where b, c C 0 and t C s. Due to long usage of machine,
the percentage of defective items increases with increase of
production rate and production time. So k(t, s, P) is well
justified. The total defective items during [0, s] is zero and
during [s, t1] is,
N ¼ P
Zt1
s
kðt; s;PÞdt ¼ acþ 1
Pbþ1ðt1 � sÞcþ1: ð9Þ
Therefore, the total defective items during [0, t1] is,
N ¼ 0 if t1� sa
cþ1Pbþ1ðt1 � sÞcþ1
if t1� s
�ð10Þ
Consider, the distribution function of ‘out-of-control’
state to be GðsÞ ¼ 1� e�f ðPÞs such thatR1
0dGðsÞ ¼
f ðPÞR1
0e�f ðPÞsds ¼ 1:
In general, the exponential distribution is used to
describe the elapsed time to failure of machineFig. 1 Time-Inventory status
Int. J. Mach. Learn. & Cyber. (2010) 1:89–99 91
123
components. The mean time to failure, 1f ðPÞ is a decreasing
function of production rate, P. Therefore, the expected
number of defective items in a maximum production lot
size, Im is
EðNÞ ¼ acþ 1
Pbþ1
Zt1
0
ðt1 � sÞcþ1f ðPÞe�f ðPÞsds
¼ acþ 1
Pbþ1f ðPÞe�f ðPÞt1X1
n¼0
tnþcþ21 ðf ðPÞÞn
n!ðnþ cþ 2Þ: ð11Þ
The rework cost, CRW, of unit item is,
CRW ¼ Cr � EðNÞ
¼ Cra
cþ 1Pbþ1f ðPÞe�f ðPÞt1
X1
n¼0
tnþcþ21 ðf ðPÞÞn
n!ðnþ cþ 2Þ: ð12Þ
The production cost of unit item is [19]
CðPÞ ¼ Cm þg
Pþ gPd ð13Þ
where Cm is the material cost per unit item, g is the total
labor/energy cost per unit time of a production system
which is equally distributed over the unit time, so, the
second cost component decreases with increase in the
production rate. The third cost component in C(P) is due to
component failure of a machine which is proportional to
the positive powers of the size of production rate; P. Here,
many external and internal factors are responsible for
increasing cost of production. It is obvious that propor-
tional changes of fixed factors with variable factors are not
possible. This heterogeneous combination between fixed
and variable factors may increases the cost of production.
That is why we get the cost function to be convex.
The inventory holding cost per cycle is,
IHC ¼ h
Zt1
0
I1ðtÞdt þZt2
0
I2ðtÞdt
2
4
3
5: ð14Þ
The production cost of Im-units per cycle is, PC ¼CðPÞ � Im and set up cost, OC ¼ A.
The total expected cost per unit time is,
EKðt2;PÞ ¼1
TPC þ IHC þ OC þ CRW½ � ð15Þ
Lemma 1 If oEK
ot2¼ 0 ¼ oEK
oP has a positive root t�2 and P*
(P* [ R(T*)) such that the Hessian matrix
o2EK
o2t22
o2EK
oPot2
o2EK
oPot2o2EK
oP2
������
������at
(t�2, P*) is positive definite then EK(t�2, P*) attains minimum
value at (t�2, P*).
In the next section, we demonstrate the validity of the
model and special cases using numerical values for the
model parameters.
4 Numerical examples
Example 1 Consider the values of the model parameters
in appropriate units as follows:
a = 0.05, b = 0.25, c = 1.5, d = 1, Cm = $20, g =
$2 9 105, g = $2 9 10-4, a ¼ 300 units, b = 0.05, h =
$2.0, A = $200, Cr = $100, f(P) = 0.25 ? 0.0005P. The
optimal production of P* = 610.77 units results maximum
inventory level I�m = 75.25 units, total production cost
C(P*) = $347.52 per unit and integrated expected total cost
E�K = $53438.29 per unit time.
The convexity of expected total cost per unit time is
exhibited in Fig. 2.
Example 2 Taking c = 0.0 and other parametric values as
in Example 1, the optimal production of P* = 613.05 units
results maximum inventory level I�m = 42.53 units, total
production cost C(P*) = $346.30 per unit and integrated
expected total cost E�K = $53782.04 per unit time.
Fig. 2 The convexity of the total cost for Example 1
Fig. 3 The convexity of the total cost for Example 2
92 Int. J. Mach. Learn. & Cyber. (2010) 1:89–99
123
The convexity of expected total cost per unit time is
exhibited in Fig. 3.
Example 3 Here take b = 0.0 in Example 2, the optimal
production of P* = 611.91 units results maximum inven-
tory level I�m = 58.71 units, total production cost
C(P*) = $346.91 per unit and integrated expected total
cost E�K = $53579.08 per unit time.
The convexity of expected total cost per unit time is
exhibited in Fig. 4.
5 Sensitivity analysis
From Tables 1, 2, 3 which exhibit the sensitivity analysis
of the Example 1, Example 2 and Example 3 respectively,
it is observed that the optimal production rate P*,Fig. 4 The convexity of the total cost for Example 3
Table 1 Sensitivity analysis for Example 1
Parameters Variations in percentage P* I�m C(P*) RWC* E�K
c -20 0.03886 -4.22553 -0.03660 65.76346 0.02101
-10 0.01774 -1.92406 -0.01671 28.86438 0.00892
10 -0.01480 1.59957 0.01394 -22.52620 -0.00662
20 -0.02707 2.92237 0.02551 -40.06425 -0.01156
g -20 -0.00370 -0.01286 -0.00021 -0.02592 -0.00368
-10 -0.00185 -0.00643 -0.00011 -0.01296 -0.00184
10 0.00185 0.00643 0.00011 0.01296 0.00184
20 0.00370 0.01286 0.00021 0.02593 0.00368
d -20 -0.01325 -0.04614 -0.00019 -0.09323 -0.01261
-10 -0.00863 -0.03009 0.00001 -0.06087 -0.00808
10 0.01608 0.05634 -0.00069 0.11433 0.01439
20 0.04603 0.16169 -0.00311 0.32893 0.04005
a -20 -0.01314 1.43543 0.01238 -15.92528 -0.00494
-10 -0.00643 0.70355 0.00606 -7.77349 -0.00245
10 0.00617 -0.67726 -0.00581 7.42497 0.00240
20 0.01210 -1.33004 -0.01140 14.52791 0.00477
b -20 -0.01882 1.99751 0.01774 -22.25690 -0.00682
-10 -0.00991 1.05129 0.00934 -11.65293 -0.00364
10 0.01095 -1.16086 -0.01032 12.71026 0.00416
20 0.02297 -2.43443 -0.02163 26.46500 0.00889
g -20 0.66379 8.63542 -19.34224 28.69090 -18.75391
-10 0.29117 4.05333 -9.66880 13.01161 -9.37750
10 -0.23308 -3.62231 9.66476 -10.90083 9.37809
20 -0.42338 -6.88629 19.32597 -20.11418 18.75645
h -20 -0.02955 1.60256 0.02785 5.77598 -0.01413
-10 -0.01463 0.79326 0.01379 2.82997 -0.00704
10 0.01435 -0.77766 -0.01352 -2.71957 0.00698
20 0.02842 -1.54013 -0.02677 -5.33408 0.01391
Int. J. Mach. Learn. & Cyber. (2010) 1:89–99 93
123
Table 1 continued
Parameters Variations in percentage P* I�m C(P*) RWC* E�K
Cr -20 -0.01314 1.43543 0.01238 -15.92528 -0.00494
-10 -0.00643 0.70355 0.00606 -7.77349 -0.00245
10 0.00617 -0.67726 -0.00581 7.42497 0.00240
20 0.01210 -1.33004 -0.01140 14.52791 0.00477
A -20 0.12607 -9.31467 -0.11862 -29.03310 -0.07983
-10 0.06101 -4.49568 -0.05744 -14.90082 -0.03893
10 -0.05757 4.22150 0.05427 15.60979 0.03725
20 -0.11218 8.20689 0.10581 31.87747 0.07305
a -20 -20.51585 -18.34531 24.31756 -25.03225 -1.17078
-10 -10.29123 -9.06012 10.80776 -12.55677 -0.58652
10 10.35848 8.83925 -8.84257 12.52782 0.58874
20 20.78484 17.46380 -16.21119 24.93768 1.17970
b -20 0.18859 6.87811 -0.17734 25.06237 -0.05151
-10 0.09158 3.30430 -0.08619 11.55426 -0.02541
10 -0.08674 -3.06188 0.08179 -9.93713 0.02476
20 -0.16917 -5.90553 0.15964 -18.52918 0.04891
Table 2 Sensitivity analysis for Example 2
Parameters Variations in percentage P* I�m C(P*) RWC* E�K
g -20 -0.017855 -0.033441 -0.000332 -0.029104 -0.016992
-10 -0.017703 -0.033160 -0.000291 -0.028864 -0.016809
10 -0.017398 -0.032598 -0.000208 -0.028384 -0.016443
20 -0.017246 -0.032317 -0.000167 -0.028144 -0.016261
d -20 -0.013653 -0.025609 0.000098 -0.022330 -0.012645
-10 -0.008893 -0.016696 0.000201 -0.014574 -0.008100
10 0.016586 0.031212 -0.001048 0.027329 0.014440
20 0.047484 0.089484 -0.004151 0.078506 0.040186
a -20 -0.031247 8.445855 0.029441 -6.125451 -0.105760
-10 -0.014240 3.972625 0.013414 -2.809892 -0.051840
10 0.011980 -3.557894 -0.011282 2.409946 0.049979
20 0.022090 -6.767805 -0.020802 4.498396 0.098284
b -20 -0.057644 12.140664 0.054326 -9.033099 -0.147467
-10 -0.173552 5.724175 0.163752 -4.636057 -0.078137
10 0.027528 -5.951576 -0.025921 3.997236 0.085928
20 0.053853 -11.762542 -0.050696 7.630542 0.180844
g -20 0.700337 3.370253 -19.365241 5.225459 -18.606507
-10 0.309331 1.612098 -9.682018 2.543935 -9.304268
10 -0.250537 -1.495417 9.680843 -2.416853 9.305693
20 -0.457360 -2.894542 19.360553 -4.716087 18.612409
h -20 -0.009686 0.590275 0.009124 1.183907 -0.007935
-10 -0.004825 0.293823 0.004545 0.588455 -0.003962
10 0.004789 -0.291234 -0.004511 -0.581582 0.003950
20 0.009543 -0.579917 -0.008987 -1.156411 0.007888
94 Int. J. Mach. Learn. & Cyber. (2010) 1:89–99
123
Table 2 continued
Parameters Variations in percentage P* I�m C(P*) RWC* E�K
Cr -20 -0.031247 8.445855 0.029441 -6.125451 -0.105760
-10 -0.014240 3.972625 0.013414 -2.809892 -0.051840
10 0.011980 -3.557894 -0.011282 2.409946 0.049979
20 0.022090 -6.767805 -0.020802 4.498396 0.098284
A -20 0.097281 -10.657695 -0.091540 -20.051804 -0.141504
-10 0.047296 -5.183826 -0.044527 -10.028601 -0.068745
10 -0.045002 4.936479 0.042406 10.033831 0.065320
20 -0.088017 9.658776 0.082976 20.072747 0.127673
a -20 -20.540854 -8.647640 24.349583 -11.063052 -1.329888
-10 -10.302718 -3.943858 10.818869 -5.043802 -0.667348
10 10.366885 3.327932 -8.847155 4.236865 0.671788
20 20.797728 6.154988 -16.215998 7.809488 1.347720
b -20 0.129412 2.300774 -0.121735 4.431372 -0.027214
-10 0.064040 1.134874 -0.060280 2.174710 -0.013561
10 -0.062757 -1.105032 0.059148 -2.096708 0.013471
20 -0.124281 -2.181353 0.117205 -4.119142 0.026855
Table 3 Sensitivity analysis for Example 3
Parameters Variations in percentage P* I�m C(P*) RWC* E�K
g -20 -0.0037361 -0.0116700 -0.0001882 -0.0142017 -0.0036869
-10 -0.0018682 -0.0058356 -0.0000940 -0.0071018 -0.0018434
10 0.0018684 0.0058367 0.0000940 0.0071036 0.0018435
20 0.0037369 0.0116744 0.0001879 0.0142087 0.0036871
d -20 -0.0133635 -0.0418828 -0.0001054 -0.0510709 -0.0126247
-10 -0.0087035 -0.0273164 0.0000679 -0.0333373 -0.0080862
10 0.0162274 0.0511334 -0.0007943 0.0625540 0.0144091
20 0.0464468 0.1467506 -0.0034168 0.1798232 0.0400918
a -20 -0.0264114 3.6817106 0.0248873 -14.1230308 -0.0321126
-10 -0.0127898 1.7941768 0.0120501 -6.8061943 -0.0159178
10 0.0120242 -1.7079141 -0.0113259 6.3450690 0.0156538
20 0.0233422 -3.3359610 -0.0219843 12.2725382 0.0310558
g -20 0.6738871 7.6283845 -19.3486762 13.6202846 -18.7187970
-10 0.2962368 3.5790528 -9.6725313 6.3604290 -9.3600792
10 -0.2380083 -3.2000678 9.6693450 -5.6214733 9.3609094
20 -0.4329949 -6.0880563 19.3358575 -10.6279412 18.7223108
h -20 -0.0239357 1.4226033 0.0225539 2.8411414 -0.0124423
-10 -0.0118539 0.7038729 0.0111682 1.4008872 -0.0061992
10 0.0116336 -0.6895144 -0.0109582 -1.3630987 0.0061561
20 0.0230542 -1.3651467 -0.0217131 -2.6899056 0.0122701
Cr -20 -0.0264114 3.6817106 0.0248873 -14.1230308 -0.0321126
-10 -0.0127898 1.7941768 0.0120501 -6.8061943 -0.0159178
10 0.0120242 -1.7079141 -0.0113259 6.3450690 0.0156538
20 0.0233422 -3.3359611 -0.0219843 12.2725382 0.0310558
A -20 0.1262851 -10.4830477 -0.1188161 -19.6392020 -0.0910260
-10 0.0613815 -5.0934877 -0.0577886 -9.8023893 0.0012490
10 -0.0583764 4.8408962 0.0550254 9.7695967 0.0420761
20 -0.1141496 9.4629785 0.1076570 19.5078006 0.0822750
Int. J. Mach. Learn. & Cyber. (2010) 1:89–99 95
123
maximum produced units I�m and total expected cost per
unit time E�K are sensitive to changes in the parameters g, g,
d, a, b, c, h, Cr, A, a and b. From the Tables 1, 2, 3 and
Figs. 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, the following managerial
issues can be deducted.
1. I�m and P* increase and E�K decrease with increase in c(gamma)
2. I�m, P* and E�K increase with increase in g, d, a. The
model is very sensitive to index parameter d. It is
nearly equal to 1 ([20, 21])
3. I�m and P* decrease while E�K increases with the
increase in b.
4. Increase in labor/energy cost (g) decreases I�m, P* and
E�K significantly. The production of imperfect quality
units decrease with decrease in production rate and
hence, rework cost decreases. It also lowers production
run time.
5. I�m, P* decreases with the increase in the inventory
holding cost. It is obvious that with higher inventory
holding cost reduces the production rate and increases
total cost E�K significantly.
6. P*, E�K increase and I�m decreases with the increase in
rework cost Cr. Although the production-run-time
decreases with the increase in Cr, the number of
Table 3 continued
Parameters Variations in percentage P* I�m C(P*) RWC* E�K
a -20 -20.5280486 -16.0493690 24.3343898 -20.1731259 -1.2065348
-10 -10.2977932 -7.7852002 10.8148414 -9.9217730 -0.6047884
10 10.3657322 7.3273962 -8.8476869 9.5414018 0.6077508
20 20.7997994 14.2204200 -16.2199455 18.6688770 1.2183911
b -20 0.1735207 5.9825841 -0.1631811 11.7474856 -0.0447183
-10 0.0846693 2.8725110 -0.0796948 5.5647964 -0.0221006
10 -0.0809176 -2.6633577 0.0762898 -5.0339261 0.0216191
20 -0.1584504 -5.1414595 0.1495043 -9.6084985 0.0427887
-0.1
0
0.1
0.2
0.7 0.8 0.9 1 1.1
P1 IM1 EK1 P2 IM2 EK2 P3 IM3 EK3
Fig. 6 Sensitivity analysis for d
-0.04
-0.03
-0.02
-0.01
0
0.01
0.02
0.00014 0.00016 0.00018 0.0002 0.00022 0.00024
P1 IM1 EK1 P2 IM2 EK2 P3 IM3 EK3
Fig. 5 Sensitivity analysis for g
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123
-25
-5
15
250000200000150000
P1 IM1 EK1 P2 IM2 EK2 P3 IM3 EK3
Fig. 8 Sensitivity analysis for g
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
0.039 0.044 0.049 0.054 0.059
P1 IM1 EK1 P2 IM2 EK2 P3 IM3 EK3
Fig. 7 Sensitivity analysis for a
-1.75
-0.75
0.25
1.25
0.79 0.84 0.89 0.94 0.99 1.04 1.09 1.14 1.19
P1 IM1 EK1 P2 IM2 EK2 P3 IM3 EK3
Fig. 9 Sensitivity analysis for h
-7.5
-3.5
0.5
4.5
8.5
01108
P1 IM1 EK1 P2 IM2 EK2 P3 IM3 EK3
Fig. 10 Sensitivity analysis
for Cr
Int. J. Mach. Learn. & Cyber. (2010) 1:89–99 97
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imperfect quality items goes higher due to higher
production rate and that results in higher rework cost.
7. P* decreases and I�m and E�K increase with the increase
in set up cost A.
8. The increase in scale demand ‘a’ encourages the
manufacturer to increase the production rate P*, I�m.
Higher production rate increases the total cost of an
inventory system.
9. P*, I�m decreases with the increase in demand rate ‘b’
and increase in total cost E�K
The Changed optimal values in the decision variables
and the objective function are shown in Figs. 5, 6, 7, 8, 9,
10, 11, 12, 13.
6 Conclusion
The prevailing scenario of recession which resulted
decrease in the demand motivated to analyze the proposed
problem. The real life problem of manufacturing unit
-25
-15
-5
5
15
25
240 270 300 330 360
P1 IM1 EK1 P2 IM2 EK2 P3 IM3 EK3
Fig. 12 Sensitivity analysis
for a
-7
-5
-3
-1
1
3
5
7
0.04 0.042 0.044 0.046 0.048 0.05 0.052 0.054 0.056 0.058 0.06
P1 IM1 EK1 P2 IM2 EK2 P3 IM3 EK3
Fig. 13 Sensitivity analysis
for b
-12
-2
8
11080
P1 IM1 EK1 P2 IM2 EK2 P3 IM3 EK3
Fig. 11 Sensitivity analysis
for A
98 Int. J. Mach. Learn. & Cyber. (2010) 1:89–99
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producing imperfect quality items due to continuous usage
of machine is considered. It is observed that during ‘out-
of-control’ state, the defective items are produced. The
probability of defective items increases with increase of
production-run-time which in turn will increase rework
cost. The proposed model can be used by the decision
maker to reduce the total cost of manufacturing process
when demand is decreasing with time.
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