Upload
rutgers
View
0
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 1
Mobilizing Human Thought into
Global Action
Austin T Tamutus
Interdisciplinary Honors Thesis
A thesis in partial fulfillment of the requirements
of the
Interdisciplinary Honors Thesis
Written under the direction of
Dr. Matt Matsuda
Department of History
and
Dr. Jeffrey Robinson
Department of Management and Global Business
School of Arts and Sciences, Rutgers University
2014-2015
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 2
Special thanks to those who encouraged me throughout the
process of writing this thesis.
Direct correspondence to Austin Tamutus,
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 3
Table of Contents
Abstract..................................................
Mobilizing Human Thought into Global Action...............
1. Foundation.............................................
Challenges of the Coming Century....................5
Solving Big Problems................................8
Approach............................................9
Personal Motivation................................11
2. Effectiveness.........................................
Thinking Global....................................14
Model of Resolving Problems........................16
Impetus for Maximizing Participation...............18
3. Objectives............................................
Education..........................................19
Deliberation.......................................22
Direct Participation.............................23
Building Consensus...............................27
Community Guidelines.............................30
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 4
Metrics for Projects...............................30
Task Delegation....................................31
4. Synthesis.............................................
Superstructure.....................................33
Community Curated Primers..........................33
Consensus Builder..................................34
Action Portal......................................36
Scenario...........................................37
5. Conclusion............................................
Figures..................................................
References...............................................
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 5
Abstract
Solidifying a support system for civic engagement is
paramount to systematically avoiding further global
catastrophe. The most powerful civic structures of today
typically depend on decisions made by small numbers of
people, failing to capitalize on humanity’s greatest
resource—the minds of the billions of people who are already
being affected by global adversity. Safeguarding our future
requires a civic action platform (CAP) that empowers the
aware and gives all willing citizens the opportunity to
change the world through world-wide collaboration. Instead
of suggesting how existing structures can be refined, I
propose a set of specific parameters for a new CAP that
ensures a comprehensive approach to global risks, pointing
to areas of research that should inform its construction.
This platform should be designed to facilitate conscientious
participation by providing tools for designing public action
plans to address global concerns. It should include a space
for participants to caucus and determine which plan[s] to
move forward. I posit CAP design elements that will augment
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 6
the ability of participants to design plans that will
positively impact the community. Finally, I outline how
these characteristics can be synthesized into a CAP that
organizes direct action rather than supplication to
representatives.
Keywords: anarcho-syndicalism, civic engagement, civic
action platform, direct democracy, representative democracy,
social preference, voting, web applications
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 7
Mobilizing Human Thought into
Global Action
1. Foundation
Challenges of the Coming Century
The human species has the power to make great changes
to our planet. Our race has already had profound effects on
our home world. We have cultivated vast surfaces of the
planet with agriculture, using 32% of Earth’s non-ice
landmass for crops and livestock grazing (Ramankutty 2008).
We have constructed mountain-sized skyscrapers like Burj
Khalifa, the height of 450 humans. We created the Internet,
a virtually real-time communication network that spans the
globe. Moreover, there seem to be no limits to what
unpredictable possibilities we will actualize in the coming
centuries. We may soon see an era of almost unlimited
abundance of virtually all material goods, made possible by
industrialized, atomically precise manufacturing (Drexler
2013). Computer intelligence seems poised to revolutionize
the efficiency and potential of numerous industries (Martin
2006, Urban 2015). Each year, we produce over 200 million
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 8
tonnes of plastics (Jambeck 2015), a type of substance never
seen on Earth before the twentieth century.
Humanity’s great power does not come without danger.
We possess the technology to create cataclysmic change that
could decimate civilization as we know it. At a time when
humanity’s reach is arguably beginning to exceed its grasp,
it is paramount that we become far more deliberate about
what we do as a species.
Martin (2006) illustrates how a number of global
systems are “metastable” and susceptible to immense and
irreversible change in the next century. As any system of
variables is changed, the direction of the change can often
be intuited by simply looking at its symptoms. In a
metastable system, there are stabilizing factors that keep
the system within certain boundaries. There may also be
positive feedback mechanisms that overwhelm these
stabilizing forces after certain thresholds are reached.
After surpassing those thresholds, which are not always
immediately apparent or simple, a number of factors will
start pulling the system towards a point further from the
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 9
norm, a different point of metastability. The task of
returning to a previous point of metastability is more
complicated than counteracting the work it initially took to
reach that threshold, because the positive feedback
mechanisms that followed must also be overcome.
Allowing global systems to surpass thresholds for
metastability will imprison us in those exacerbated
conditions until we can counteract both our own changes to
those systems and their natural feedback mechanisms. The
consequences of such huge shifts in conditions will be
devastating to the people living under them. A concrete
example of this danger is found in runaway climate change:
the effects of global temperature rise are already
devastating ecosystems around the world and taking away
dozens of species every day (Chivian 2008). Still, these
symptomatic losses are far easier to stomach than what could
happen to our planet after the polar ice caps melt and
oxygenating forests around the world are destroyed (McCarthy
2002). Currently, the ice caps reflect sunlight away from
our planet, keeping it cool and acting as a stabilizing
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 10
force on the global temperature; widespread forests keep our
own greenhouse gas emissions in check, and similarly act as
a stabilizing force. If natural climate stabilizers like
these disappear, our global temperature will rise even
further. This positive feedback would augment the changes
we are implementing, which could lead to widespread
agricultural shortages in developing or under-developed
regions of the world (Challinor 2001), causing famine where
food is already scarce.
In this example, if we allow processes to reach the
point of no return, then resolving the issue becomes more
difficult than merely reducing our carbon emissions. We
would have to either drastically change our way of living or
launch an organized and far-reaching program of reversing
the changes that we have caused. Either we have to hasten
the pace of our proactive measures, or we will be forced to
devote large amounts of resources into counteractive
measures. Whichever the case may be, the response of the
human race will have to be massive in scale. To counteract
the escalating dangers we have set into motion on the global
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 11
scale, we must effect processes that work in reverse on a
global scale.
The global climate is not the only system in danger of
being pushed beyond its boundaries for stability. Many
doomsday scenarios are rapidly becoming more feasible with
the development of powerful technologies. Urban (2015)
explains how the development of self-evolving artificial
intelligence could wipe out all life on Earth within moments
of its creation, and how most experts believe true AI might
be programmed within a few generations. Martin (2006)
illustrates more possible apocalypses: in a massively
global society with frequent transportation between
continents, a deadly synthetic pathogen with a long
incubation period and high infection rate could be created
in a laboratory, then wipe out huge chunks of society.
Another possible world future is the amplification of
international tensions, leading to a nuclear winter far more
devastating than what was technologically possible with the
weapons available during the Cuban Missile Crisis of 1962.
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 12
Solving Big Problems
Of course it is possible that none of these predictions
may come to pass. Listing hypothetical doomsday scenarios
would be nothing more than cherry picking if they were being
used as evidence that calamity is surely ahead of us,
because there are just as many alternative scenarios where
extant global powers guide us towards a future brighter than
today. There are already transnational entities,
influential national organizations, and grassroots movements
making great strides in solving important problems. But
these world powers only incorporate the opinions and labor
of a small handful of the world’s population. Ultimately,
they must perform a sort of triage on global risks,
addressing those which are most salient and which they are
politically capable of addressing.
That triage leaves open gaps in the agendas of global
powers. And as there is so far no institution capable of
categorically assessing and mitigating global risks, there
are also gaps between organizations in what they
collectively accomplish. In those gaps, some monumental
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 13
risks are ignored. For instance, despite the dangerous
possibilities of an ill-conceived self-evolving artificial
intelligence, researching AI security is not a priority
among world governments. AI security is only one of the
more sensationalized topics that civic structures are not
set up to handle.
A system in which the most powerful problem-solving
entities each take on some subset of global challenges
presumes that those problems can be clearly divided. This
assumption is often false; many global systems are
interdependent, and the problems that arise in one are often
inextricably linked to the trends of another. The Global
Risks 2015 report of the World Economic Forum, which
attempts to exhaustively outline the major risks to great
populations and to civilization itself, underlines these
relationships as crucial context for any solutions to global
problems:
“Rising socio-economic inequality, weak economic
growth, food price volatility and food insecurity,
unemployment, large-scale migration and the growing
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 14
heterogeneity and interdependence of societies are
among the key drivers of social fragility. Growing
social polarization, isolationism and nationalism in
turn have the potential to trigger geopolitical
conflicts” (Hanouz 2015).
As our world becomes more technologically advanced, as
socioeconomic inequality evolves, and as different regions
become increasingly interconnected by globalization, the
problems facing large populations will become more complex.
The way that we solve problems must adapt to this
complexity. Only an approach that somehow unifies these
challenges under the umbrella of “global risks” can be sure
to react to problems arising from the intersections of these
complicated issues.
As immense as some of this generation’s challenges may
be, humanity has proven its capacity to make planet-wide
changes and overcome similarly immense problems. Many of
these accomplishments, however, seem to be shaped more by
market pressures than a collective desire to deliberately
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 15
change the world. The power of humanity has not yet been
coupled to decision-making at the planetary level.
Approach
When I began working on this thesis, my goal was
initially to comprehensively identify the characteristics
ideal for a civic action platform (CAP) that empowers
humanity to solve problems more effectively. I hoped to do
this by looking at the ways people address global issues,
identifying in each platform the design elements that make
it successful or that hold it back, and researching how to
best implement the most successful design elements. This
was an enormous and misguided undertaking. After doing an
extensive survey of many of the topics that I intended to
draw from, I realized that the number of questions was
simply too vast to address in the scope of a single
expositional text. There exists a wealth of research on
democratic education, collaboration, organizational
optimization, and the various other topics that are integral
to the design of a CAP. Even so, the research that has been
done seems to be aimed specifically at refining existing
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 16
paradigms, rather than how to combine a set of civic
participation goals (e.g. education, collaboration, and
project implementation) into a new platform. In general,
there is a dearth of scholarship on how to design new action
platforms. For that reason, I decided to shift the focus of
my own writing entirely towards expanding on a new framework
of civic action, and how various elements should come
together to build a new tool for organizing large-scale
action.
I will respond to the shortcomings of today’s problem-
solving frameworks by developing a newly invented framework
of my own. Instead of trying to take apart successful
models for problem-solving and attempting to identify the
components that are responsible for their success, I will
start with a fundamental set of values and work up from
there. The first step of this process is to establish a
working definition for an “effective” platform. Here, I
will consider what it means for something to be effective as
a CAP, explicitly outlining what it entails. Next, I will
follow that contextualized definition of effectiveness to
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 17
its logical conclusion, generating a list of parameters that
a CAP should satisfy to be effective. In this section, I
will also point to questions that need to be asked in
designing such a platform. Finally, I will synthesize these
parameters into a unified vision of a workable CAP.
Personal Motivation
In an age of pervasive technological innovation, there
are a lot of things that I want to accomplish in the world,
but most of them are too grandiose for any one person to
tackle: finding the cure for aging, enabling commercial
space travel, curing neurodegenerative diseases, reversing
global climate change, and, most of all, engineering a way
to communicate with nonhuman animals using language. Making
any one of them my life goal would be a monumental
undertaking. Still, they are all important to me. Perhaps
it is that grandiosity itself that I admire, and my true
draw is to the atmosphere of ambition surrounding large
projects. Recognizing that I would find it difficult to
commit to any one of these projects at the expense of all
the rest, I have made it my mission to find a better way of
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 18
going about big projects—a way to accomplish greater things
in less time.
Two years ago, I stumbled across the perfect
opportunity to make this more than an abstract aspiration.
I applied to a research position with Dr. Matt Matsuda, then
dean of the Rutgers School of Arts and Sciences Honors
Program, with the broad pretext of investigating potential
uses for emerging technologies in the classroom. When I
entered the interview, however, he informed me of a separate
project that was being spearheaded by philanthropist James
Martin. Founder of the Oxford Martin School at Oxford
University, Martin wanted to work with Rutgers in
implementing Massive Open Online Courseware (MOOC) that
would teach college students about global issues. He
believed that one of the major barriers to solving massive
problems is the relatively small number of people who have
been taught the facts about major global issues. It’s
common for people to hear in passing about concepts like
“food security” or “environmental justice”, but even people
who are relatively worldly may hear mostly rhetoric and
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 19
politicized diatribes on these issues. Furthermore, the
severity of many world-wide issues is not proportional to
the focus of modern research and activism. By thematically
framing the most severe and widespread problems of our
generation as the challenges of the 21st century, Martin
hoped to rally the world in overcoming them.
The way that Martin originally framed this proposal,
these topics would be covered on a Rutgers-based MOOC which
could cover all of these issues in a semester, exposing
people to the fundamentals of each issue (e.g. giga-famine,
artificial intelligence, global climate change). Once I
obtained the position to work with Dr. Matsuda, I began to
discuss the project with my peers; two of my more driven
friends offered to help make the project even more
successful. Thus, Dr. Matsuda, his other research assistant
Fullamusu Bangura, Brian Lee, Mark Hansen and I decided to
expand the concept of this global issues MOOC into a broader
platform.
Over the next year, we would meet regularly to develop
a vision for this educational program. We already knew the
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 20
program would include a survey of the volatile dimensions of
humanity’s future, but we eventually concluded that a course
which taught about global issues would be incomplete without
material on how to affect change. We wrote this material,
drawing from a myriad of sources to compile those concepts
and tools which may help students from all academic fields
conceptualize civic action through social innovation or
social entrepreneurship. As complicated as this
multifaceted program became, it seemed reasonable to test it
out as a small seminar before we scaled it to an Honors
Program mission course, then perhaps a global initiative if
that proved successful.
We wrote the syllabus for the seminar, which ran in the
spring 2014 semester. The main project in this class was to
design some plan of action on a local scale that would
address one of the major global concerns covered in the
course. The experience of formatting this seminar
challenged many of my preconceptions about how people engage
with civic issues. Profoundly useful observations included
that open-ended dialogue tended to be relatively ineffective
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 21
at getting students to study the material more deeply, that
students developed skills the most expediently when they
were able to simulate their use in real-world scenarios,
that students developed much more innovative projects after
being required to answer a host of practical questions, and
that every student ended up extremely passionate about their
project. With this experience, I became sure that it was
possible to scale this seminar into something much bigger,
and decided to do my own research on how to create a
platform that facilitated civic action.
2. Effectiveness
As I discussed earlier, there are gaps in the agendas
of global powers, and these gaps include global risks that
current problem-solving paradigms are poorly prepared to
insure against. There are at least two reasons that these
paradigms are inadequate to guarantee success. First, there
is no standard method for coordinating the kind of planning
and action materially required to avoid global risks.
Second, there is not one particular “global power”
responsible for causing or solving these problems. This
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 22
makes it hard to ensure that enough resources can be
allocated to the solution if a problem arises.
These shortcomings are strong justification for
creating a better method of safeguarding our civilization’s
wellbeing. In this chapter, I will develop a framework for
thinking about global risks and problem-solving, proposing
that the way to maximize our protection is to create a
single platform that systematizes effective problem-solving
and empowers as many people as possible.
Thinking Global
While global risks may manifest as a conglomerate of
separate problems around the world, they often arise from
the interactions between global systems and local
conditions. Developing measures to avoid these risks
efficiently is thus a matter of understanding how individual
actions can be coordinated to counteract these harmful
global trends, then inspiring the efforts of multiple
factions around the world to combat these forces directly.
Simply combining lots of independent solutions is an
inefficient method of solving big problems, unless the
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 23
lessons learned from each local solutions are properly
contextualized. More complex problems require better
coordination between different communities. For example,
imagine a community decides that the best way to combat
climate change is to stop purchasing cars that use fossil
fuels. On a local level, this may reduce the community’s
carbon footprint, but car manufacturers will simply respond
to a successful boycott by redirecting any money they used
to advertise to this area into more advertising elsewhere,
diminishing the impact of this community’s local action. To
effectively eliminate fossil fuel usage by the automobile
industry, such boycotts would have to be coordinated on a
much larger scale.
In this scenario, simply scaling this protest into a
global boycott may be able to force a paradigmatic shift in
automobile construction, but often large-scale solutions
require more nuance than massively replicating a local
solution. Imagine, for instance, that runaway climate
change impeded standard agricultural practices, causing food
security to deteriorate around the world: the lack of
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 24
available food may be well combated in Idaho by an
initiative for growing and distributing potatoes among the
state’s starving population, yet the success of this
initiative would not be strong justification for
implementing a similar potato-growing program in Alaska. In
this scenario, a potato-growing initiative is a local
solution to the global problem of food insecurity. While
this initiative may deal with the local symptoms of that
problem, it does not address the root of the problem,
climate change, and thus will not prevent runaway climate
change from causing further difficulties for agricultural
practices. Even if initiatives around the world similarly
addressed food scarcity by developing better methods of
growing their own crops, this food scarcity is only a
symptom of climate change.
The aversion of global risks depends on understanding
their different dimensions, identifying what gives rise to
problematic circumstances, figuring out how to conceptually
change those circumstances, then contextualizing those
solutions wherever they need to be implemented. Because
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 25
efforts that repair the symptomatic damage done by global
issues often make positive change, it is easy to conclude
that these global problems are being successfully addressed,
but seeing this positive change hides the dangers of leaving
gaps in our problem-solving paradigms. It is not the lack
of progress that warrants better assessment of global risks,
it is the fallibility of our current methods.
Some global risks stem from gradually worsening
conditions and are salient enough to rally against: climate
change, human rights abuses, water pollution, and extreme
wealth disparity are major talking points in today’s
political climate. Other global concerns are much murkier
to the layperson, arising from the crucible of increasingly
potent technology and shifting cultural trends: the dangers
of self-evolving artificial intelligence, potential
outbreaks of synthetic viruses, and modern weapons being
misused for terrorism. Guarding against this latter type of
risk is more difficult to organize because it is not, per
se, a matter of visibly bettering the world, but of
developing precautions to secure against possible threats.
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 26
Reacting to worsening global conditions is impossible for
risks that are relatively asymptomatic until their fruition.
Any method of mobilizing global action to avert catastrophe
thus requires carefully orchestrated, proactive planning.
Model of Resolving Problems
For large-scale problems to be solved today, a variety
of conditions have to simultaneously be satisfied. For a
group of people to solve a problem, they first have to
become informed that the problem exists. They must then
learn about why the problem exists, why it needs to be
resolved, and what is needed to solve it. Among this group
of people, they must have skills which, when combined, are
capable of enacting a plan that solves the problem.
Furthermore, these group members must have among them the
ingenuity to come up with a solution that doesn’t require
any skills they don’t have. Of course, they also need to
have the resources required to implement their plan.
Lastly, their solution must have legitimacy among the people
it will affect, or else other people may fight against its
implementation.
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 27
Meeting all of these conditions is relatively
straightforward when there is a great deal of latitude in
solving the problem, and when the problem is of a scale that
the group is used to. For instance, if a group is faced
with the challenge of earning a minimum wage salary for each
of them, they could create one of an endless number of
businesses that capitalizes on their skills and resources.
But as each of the requirements that I described becomes
more difficult (e.g. the problem requires a very specific
solution, or it has a tremendous price tag), the likelihood
of the problem being solved decreases.
Global powers of today generally assume the form of
organizations. As organizations age and scale, the
decisions made by their executives have a tendency to become
inwardly focused and disconnected from the world around them
(Drucker 1967). Consequently, the operations of modern
global powers are far detached from the lives of average
citizens, and citizenries usually have little direct
interaction with the procedures of these global powers.
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 28
As society becomes more dependent on knowledge workers
and higher degrees of labor specialization, an individual’s
ability to contribute becomes more dependent on their place
in a group of people with complementary specializations
(Drucker 1967). As this trend continues, it becomes less
likely that an arbitrary number of concerned citizens will
collectively have a skillset that can be made effective for
a given task. This trend is true for organizations as well
(Drucker 1992): as the market globalizes and expands,
individual enterprises become more specialized, and it
becomes less likely that the people whose skills are
required to overcome a real-world challenge will spend time
together, further reducing the likelihood of global powers
coming up with solutions to real-world problems.
Conversely, as the problems facing civilization become
increasingly global in scale, they require broader, more
interdisciplinary sets of skills than before.
We cannot afford to take any chances with the survival
of our species. The human race must adapt to a changing
world by creating a new institution, a civic action platform
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 29
that is capable of and responsible for systematically averting
global catastrophe. An ideal CAP must eliminate as much of
this chance as possible by maximally satisfying the
requirements for solving a problem:
1. Raise awareness about problems that the CAP should
respond to.
2. Educate people about the circumstances that lead to
global risks.
3. Give citizens tools for implementing solutions.
4. Make it easier for good solutions to gain widespread
exposure.
Impetus for Maximizing Participation
It is unlikely that there are many imminent dangers
posed by current technologies or circumstances that are
noticed by nobody, out of the 7.175 billion people on the
planet (Central Intelligence Agency 2015). But without a
way to organize themselves, average citizens have limited
effective power, making it unlikely for their observations
to be acted upon. Ideally, the perfect CAP would
incorporate the ideas of every human on the planet to
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 30
increase the number of people participating increases the
pool of skills, resources, and perspectives that are used to
initiate action. In practice, any implementation of a CAP
is bound to include some and exclude others; identifying the
target membership and how the platform will reach them are
important questions in its design.
Today, power to influence global currents is largely
concentrated among governments, corporations, and wealthy
individuals, with average citizens having little direct
engagement with that power. If a community as a whole
believes that a certain change needs to happen in their
community, there exist no strong, general-purpose civic
systems that empower them to self-organize and make that
change. Representative governments give them the option to
elect somebody who will believe in making that change, but
this is an indirect and slow way of making something happen.
Besides, elected officials are more likely to be skilled
politicians than have the specific expertise required to
implement the change that the community desires. This
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 31
powerlessness is unacceptable, and serves as additional
justification for a CAP to reach as many people as possible.
Expanding civic power to the general population may
sound like it runs the risk of mob rule, but such fears are
irrational. Throughout history, communities have come
together to bring progress through social movements. There
are clearly cultural trends that drive people to change the
world even without structures, so by creating supportive
structures for that social change and global risk
management, communities will be able to bring progress even
more quickly. For the sake of that progress, conscientious
participation in those supportive structures should be
facilitated and incentivized, so that more and better plans
are made.
If people care passionately about an issue, they should
have a way to effect change. One’s participation in civic
issues should not be limited by their popularity, their
money, or their conventionality. A community should be able
to decide its fate, and an effective CAP is the perfect tool
to give them that power.
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 32
3. Objectives
Education
For a population who aims to solve its overarching
problems and avert disaster, it is direly necessary that
they understand the science behind those problems. If an
action plan is based on flawed knowledge of the world, then
it will fail. Yet people will form opinions regardless of
how much they understand a topic, so it is important that a
CAP places a high priority on spreading the facts about its
target issues. Notably, there is no robust system of
educating incumbent politicians about the issues they vote
on. Having lawmakers vote on issues they don’t understand
or fully appreciate is an unnerving thought, but it should
be expected without any system dedicated to keeping them
informed.
Providing education to civic participants is a question
of utility. If an issue is ideologically important to a
participant of a civic system, then they will engage in
discourse surrounding it, regardless of how little they
might understand the facts behind it. Thus, it is of great
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 33
benefit to the whole community for individuals to be given
facts in a comprehensible way. A forum of sensitive topics
is well served by some waypoint where users can gain access
to a quick, dense, and sound understanding of the issues
they’re discussing, based on well-vetted evidence.
So how can a CAP educate people about the issues?
Although this is an extremely dense question, it is
reassuring to remember that most global issues have given
rise to expansive dialogues, and many have spurred the
creation of textbooks and courses. In these cases, there’s
no need to reinvent the wheel; a CAP might be able to simply
compile materials from schools around the world, in some
format that is particularly expedient for teaching a diverse
population. One way to organize that knowledge might be to
crowdsource its compilation and condensation, after simply
laying out some guiding principles. The success of
Wikipedia in constructing a vast repository of knowledge has
proven the capacity of crowds to coordinate the assembly of
information (Viegas 2007).
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 34
There are a great number of major considerations for
the principles behind educating a user base: How is
information made accessible? Who decides what topics are
taught about? What is taught—current events, theory, or
practical skills? What kind of balance should be struck
between breadth and depth? How do environmental factors,
like visual organization or social context, interact with
participants’ ability to learn? How can a platform ensure
that it remains objective in what it teaches? How can a CAP
keep people engaged with learning? Do you make the
educational style universally appealing, or do you focus on
appealing to certain demographics who might use the
platform? How do you balance simplicity with complete
coverage of opposing viewpoints? Is learning done
asynchronously, through real-time online communication, or
in person?
When it comes to learning about issues that are heavily
politicized in today’s social climate, learning can require
people to change their deep-seated, prior understanding of
the world. To do this, participants must recognize where
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 35
their own beliefs contradict those of their peers, and
subsequently try to understand why they are different
(Scardamalia 1993). It would be somewhat unrealistic to
expect this level of introspection from everybody—every
participant in this civic learning environment would have to
understand, with rigorous nuance, how their own ideology
intersects with and contradicts the various ideologies being
thrown around. One of the difficulties of teaching about
global issues in school is that some material, like the
phenomenon of anthropogenic climate change, may contradict
the premises with which students enter the classroom, and
students who disagree will often dismiss what they’re taught
based on ideological grounds (Chan 2001). It seems possible
that this difficulty may limit the success of any education
platform that covers controversial topics, even if there
were a consensus about the facts to be taught, making
ideological differences an important factor to consider.
Luckily, it seems unlikely that every participant needs
to have a complete understanding of a topic for the group to
deliberate about it. For a given group of people, you can
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 36
ascribe certain qualities to that group that may not be
possessed by all of its members. Stahl (2006) writes that
“small groups are the engines of knowledge building. The
knowing that groups build up in manifold forms is what
becomes internalized by their members as individual learning
and externalized in their communities as certi able fi
knowledge.” A group can develop a collective state of
understanding, from which the group’s participants can
learn. This group cognitive state is not just a set of
individual cognitive states, which may differ greatly; it is
a pattern of discourse.
It is also important that civic participants have a way
to learn the skills that comprise good problem-solving. How
do you teach people how to innovate? What are the qualities
that predict a successful project? How do you design
something to be sustainable? These kinds of questions have
been asked by business educators and the emerging field of
social entrepreneurship, and to many of these questions,
there are practical answers (Bornstein 2010).
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 37
Deliberation
Maximizing conscientious participation is at the core
of designing an effective CAP. The format of the
participation is thus a crucial decision that must precede
any optimization of this participation. Technology and
political science jointly enable many different formats.
High-tech possibilities are becoming more popular in
determining public interest and guiding governmental policy-
creation. One could, for instance, data-mine the World Wide
Web to discover people’s opinions and map out political
beliefs (Awadallah 2012), implementing public policy based
on this survey. Yet, conscientious civic participation is
about more than collecting opinions that people have formed;
it is about deliberators getting to the root of their
disagreements and the holes in their knowledge, then finding
a way to move past them. Therefore, it is important for a
CAP to have some sort of forum for communities to explore
pertinent issues together, then collaborate towards workable
solutions as engaged citizens.
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 38
Direct Participation
Major contemporary paradigms of civic participation
that people look towards today—republics, referendums, and
petitions—seem to be inadequate as problem-solving
paradigms, because the number of people participating is
small, and the participation is not very conscientious
(Fishkin 2005, Palmieri 2007). In a representative
democracy, for instance, average citizens never have to make
many decisions about policies, and in fact are not able to
directly participate in the decision-making process.
Instead of having every person in the country make decisions
about every issue, we elect representatives who then make it
their job to make all of those decisions. When power is
concentrated among fewer individuals, and each of those
individuals has a greater fraction of power, corrupting them
is a far easier task for those who influence political
decisions through bribery or secret bargaining; perhaps
there are ways to correct for corruption, but it seems
dangerous to use a system that inherently makes corruption
and bribery expedient. The vulnerability of the system to
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 39
underhanded strategies brings up valid questions about the
moral legitimacy and practicality of a republic: To what
extent are our politicians corrupted behind the backs of
their constituencies? How did the two-party system come to
dominate our political scene, and why do political
discussions devolve so easily into dichotomous debates? To
what extent do the voters genuinely have control over what
happens in legislature?
In estimating how much power the electorate has in a
capitalist republic, especially where the government’s
finances are already spread thin, Noam Chomsky, one of the
leading modern proponents of the anarcho-syndicalist
movement, points out that in “representative democracy, as…
in, say, the United States or Great Britain, […] there is a
monopoly of power centralized in the state, and […] the
representative democracy is limited to the political sphere
and in no serious way encroaches on the economic sphere”
(Chomsky 1976). In 2014, $3.24 billion was spent on
lobbying US Congress and federal agencies (Center for
Responsive Politics 2015), compared to the $2.039 billion
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 40
required to fund Congress itself (Peterson 2014)—meaning
more money was spent by corporations to influence political
decisions than was spent on all of the operations of that
political structure combined. The general population has
little control over the economic sphere of politics, and the
power that it has to influence change through a republic is
thus significantly limited. This question of how to
centralize wealth that the population uses collectively
should be considered in CAP design, because material
limitations are even more important for an action-based
platform than a policy-based platform such as legislature.
More concern about the legitimacy of republics was
spurred by Kenneth Arrow’s treatment of social choice
theory. Arrow (1950) details that there are at least three
reasonable measures of fairness which cannot simultaneously
be satisfied by a rank-order voting system: that, if
everybody ranks a value X above a value Y, then the group as
a whole ranks X above Y; that the only way to change a
group’s preference for X or Y is to change that preference
in the group’s constituents; and that no single person can
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 41
decide the group’s preferences in every circumstance. Arrow
proves that “for any method of deriving social choice; by
aggregating individual preference patterns which satisfies
certain natural conditions, it is possible to find
individual preference patterns which give rise to a social
choice pattern which is not a linear ordering”, such that
imposing linear order will make it logically necessary that
a ballot’s results will sometimes be strictly unfair by one
of those three standards.
The final issue with republics is that, in practice,
there are far fewer candidates for election than real
configurations of values. It is unlikely that any
candidate, let alone the majority of them, can or will
dutifully advocate the collective values of their
constituency. Establishing a representation of social
preference by way of electing a set of individuals as
representatives is an extremely imprecise way of expressing
collective values. Furthermore, in term-based elections,
voting an official into office is the only time that a
population has substantive control over what they do or say.
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 42
Once a candidate has been elected in, they are essentially
free to implement whatever platform they please until the
end of their term.
Instead of focusing on improving representative
democracy, we should start building organizing structures
that make direct democracy possible. Representative
government may have been necessary at the time our
Constitution was written, because implementing a direct
democracy across such a large expanse of land would have
been a logistical nightmare. Without instantaneous long-
distance communication, it would have been impossible.
Today, we have the technology to make what would have been
extremely difficult very easy, so civic decisions can be
much more democratic and direct.
Democratizing civic action is not just made possible by
modern technology, it is made ideal by the great cognitive
power of large groups. As discussed before, groups engaged
in a discussion form, through collaboration, a gestalt
opinion and collective knowledge. This phenomenon has been
quantified by prediction markets, speculative markets where
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 43
people are rewarded for investing in accurate predictions
(Arrow 2008). Prediction markets have proven that a public
forum of enough non-experts can predict with as much
likelihood as experts what the future will hold (Wolfers
2004). When real money is used to buy predictions,
prediction markets may be considered online gambling, making
them illegal. There are still those that operate using play
money, and the results from both have proven that prediction
markets offer a robust measurement of collective
intelligence (Watkins 2007).
The structure of prediction markets makes it possible
to quantify collective preferences in a way that greatly
differs from a ballot. Part of the reason they can be so
accurate is that they are not susceptible to the errors
induced by imposing a linear order of people’s beliefs—a
user is not required to choose between competing
predictions, but invests in those they believe in with an
amount of money proportionate to their confidence in that
prediction. Perhaps more obviously, these markets’ accuracy
must be enabled by some impressive calculative capacity in
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 44
large groups of people. When you put a large number of
agents together, and you organize how they share
information, that collective can make quantitative
assessments so accurate that they can extrapolate into
future events.
Prediction markets prove that increasing the range of
civic participants would make solutions more likely to be
accurate. For a large population to predict the future, it
must collectively have the power to understand current
events and trends. What is fascinating is that the accuracy
of prediction markets is rarely dependent on the expertise
of the participants (Almeida 2010). The fact that even non-
experts are successful at making these predictions is a
marker that large groups of people can socially come to very
precise and sophisticated conclusions, even with (or maybe
especially with) vastly diverse individuals. If large human
communities have this kind of cognitive power when they
deliberate, shouldn’t they also be able to analyze
hypothetical alternatives for steering the future into the
right direction? What is it about the design of a
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 45
prediction market that allows it to harness this analytic
human power, and how might it be applied to problem-solving?
To be able to mobilize this cognitive power, an
effective CAP should have some method for quantitatively
establishing what people believe, and prediction markets
offer a possible model for this.
Building Consensus
Determining what a population prefers, the topic of
social choice theory, does not need to be a black-and-white
task. As discussed before, there is an intrinsic unfairness
in how rank-order voting represents a population’s
preferences. In a sense, a conclusion that is reached by a
rank-order voting system is not necessarily a legitimate
conclusion, and voting, by itself, does not allow for
oversight of those illegitimacies. The process of building
a consensus can, and should, include participatory
mechanisms that are more meaningful than ballots.
As powerful as they are, prediction markets do not
provide a compelling model for increasing the
conscientiousness of civic participation. They may inspire
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 46
a method for choosing action plans generated by a CAP, but
they do not entail a method for generating those action
plans. To do that, an effective CAP should still have a
focal location where people can build a collective
understanding and collaborate on good solutions.
Within any large group of individuals, given a problem
that they intend to solve, the members of that group are
bound to have a number of competing ideas about what the
best course of action is. Each person likely has their own
idea about a solution, and that idea depends on many
factors, such as their moral values, their knowledge of the
problem to be solved, their cultural predispositions, their
creative tendencies, and their intelligence. The diversity
of reasons for disagreement is important to consider in
determining how people should systematically build consensus
in a CAP.
People often draw conclusions with limited knowledge
and exposure to innovative ideas. A person who staunchly
supports a given plan of action might be introduced to a
completely different solution that even more strongly
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 47
resonates with their values than the one they originally
identified with. This effect is grossly exaggerated in
limited-party voting systems, in which people are pressured
by political realities to fall into one of a small number of
camps. Today, civic debate is often superficial because the
ballot options are always mutually exclusive—an arbitrary
number of options can be chosen. Increasingly, this is
causing people to think about complicated issues
dichotomously (Pew Research Center 2014). There is strong
argumentation from proponents of anarcho-syndicalism (Rocker
2004, Chomsky 1976) and deliberative democracy (Fishkin
2005) that the decisions of a society should not just be
items on a referendum, but the direct products of public
discourse. Voting is not, on its own, enough to qualify
conscientious civic involvement.
On the other extreme, with complete freedom in
discussion and no parties or practical considerations, it is
easy for discussions about problem-solving to become
incredibly abstract or trite. If a deliberation process is
not somehow solidified with concrete examples or actions,
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 48
then there is nothing to make actionable decisions about
(Drucker 1967). And even when realistic plans are part of
the discussion, people are drawn to that which is tried-and-
true, often to sidestep the socially strenuous conflict
involved in deep collaboration (Chan 2001).
These observation can be reduced to two restrictions on
an ideal collaborative environment: there should be a way
to stimulate deep dialogue between differing perspectives,
and there should be a way of making sure that people are
exposed to ideas that may resonate with their values more
strongly than the ideas they already have. Following these
restrictions will make it so that better and better
compromises will be uncovered. Then, if there exists some
solution to a problem that satisfies everybody, the dialogue
will continue to approach that ideal solution.
Taking into account all of these parameters, the
implementation of a consensus-building mechanism is highly
open-ended, but there are certainly more and less functional
design components. The details of such a mechanism should
be informed by contextual requirements and research on
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 49
collaboration—Austin (2000) presents a useful introduction
to how collaborative structures are built in the context of
business-oriented organizations, and Cross (2004) delineates
typical patterns of how knowledge can be distributed for
collaborative purposes.
Community Guidelines
Creating a place for civic discussion would require
careful planning. Any forum large enough to represent a
population would be filled with a massive number of
conflicting opinions, proposals, and facts on a great number
of topics. With such a diversity of speech, an open-ended
discussion space might be vulnerable to sociological forces
that shift the discussion away from its original purpose of
improving the community. Therefore, the space should be
designed in a way that strongly encourages people to craft
usable consensuses. This would entail a set of rules that
the participants agree on, which sets up a clear process for
distilling policy and action goals out of the overarching
dialogue. What those precise rules should be is beyond the
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 50
scope of this work, and highly dependent on the type of
community in which the CAP is being implemented.
Metrics for Projects
Once people have settled on what they want done, there
remains the question of how the goals will be carried out.
Sometimes, initiatives that people strongly support are
framed in plans that would never work successfully. Great
ideas are often poorly executed. As my own research with
Dr. Matsuda revealed, people create more actionable plans
when they are given a comprehensive set of universal project
metrics. To maximize the smart design and execution of
plans, an effective CAP should outline a focal set of
criteria that its plans should satisfy before being deemed
actionable.
Another reason to have explicitly outlined metrics for
judgment is that there are sociological factors that
interfere with the proper design and implementation of
strategies. For instance, republics inherently incentivize
hasty, heuristic measures of effectiveness, as outlined in
Bornstein (2010):
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 51
“The primary feedback mechanisms for policy makers—
press reports and elections—punish failure and demand
results in unrealistically short time frames.
Consequently, elected officials come to favor the
short-term appearance of success over actual success.
This dynamic understandably distorts policy making.”
There exist various available metrics that can be used
by a CAP’s participants in the design of good business
plans. Some noteworthy examples include the Balanced
Scorecard (Kaplan 1995), policy debate stock issues (Kerpen
1999), and social innovation evaluation plans (Alter 2000,
Social Innovation Fund 2014).
Measurement of results should not stop at the design of
plans. Any CAP that helps launch projects would greatly
benefit from setting up a system for monitoring them,
enabling the user base to adapt the action plan and task
list in response to shortcomings. Buzzetto (2006) describes
best practices for assessment as an ongoing practice, which
continually holds a plan against its projections, and
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 52
advises that e-assessment offers great utility in
determining users’ comprehension and completion of tasks.
Task Delegation
Once a plan is actionable, it must be carried out
before it has any impact on the world. In the an effective
CAP, whose primary resource is the large number of people in
its constituency, it would be logical for its implementation
to include a system of getting volunteers to carry out jobs
that are determined necessary. This system would need a way
of dividing the projects into individual tasks, and a way of
enlisting individuals to complete them. Although a system
for task management should be considered a vital part of a
novel CAP, the format for managing tasks would largely
depend on the CAP’s needs.
There is a wealth of research on task management for
businesses, and this research should be consulted when
designing the management of a CAP. French (1975) and Antoni
(2005) introduce two paradigms for managing teams and their
activities, and provide useful further reading for those
interested in designing CAP management systems.
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 53
Software for managing projects, teams, and tasks has
brought a lot of success to both large organizations, which
require thorough and streamlined organization at multiple
levels, and startup enterprises, who may entirely lack the
luxury of pre-existing organizational frameworks. There is
little research about task management software because of
its novelty, but there are many emerging options for
managing projects (Riss 2005). Related categories of
productivity software include collaborative software,
calendaring software, workflow software, and project
management software. Collaborative software in general has
received more focus in the literature; elements of this
software can be used for designing task management
frameworks.
4. Synthesis
In the first chapter of this thesis, I argued that
there is a pressing need to more actively address global
problems, using runaway climate change to demonstrate that
we must adopt a global problem-solving paradigm far more
effective than the ones we have today. The second chapter
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 54
responded to these tangible concerns by conceptually framing
a civic action platform. Building off of this definition of
an effective CAP, the third chapter translated this
definition into a list of objectives that a CAP must execute
in order to empower effective civic action. Here, I also
argued that the primary civic systems we expect to solve our
problems do not consistently or cohesively meet these
objectives, providing the impetus for the creation of a new
system that does. Now, I will visualize what an effective
CAP might look like if it was deliberately constructed to
meet all of these objectives.
Superstructure
This CAP would comprises three main sections: One
would teach about global risks. One would be a space for
deliberative problem-solving. One would be used for
managing tasks. This structure is diagrammed in Figure 1.
Taking advantage of the vast connective power of the
Internet and the organizational possibilities made possible
by computers, this platform would be implemented as a
website. Access to the website would be global and
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 55
unrestricted, but posting or uploading content would be
limited to people who have created user profiles. The
website would thematically be centered around a list of the
core global risks that the user base believes most urgently
need to be addressed.
Community Curated Primers
The first featured section of this CAP would be devoted
to informing the user base about the core global risks.
This educational content would be designed like executive
summaries, focusing on the key information to make learning
about the issues as expedient as possible. This content
would be compiled by the community that uses it, and
assembled according to strict guidelines requiring strong
evidential support and objectivity. Where controversy
exists, the reasoning for major opposing positions will be
outlined, much like the way that IssueVoter.org explains the
support for and opposition to each piece of legislation
passing through the US Congress.
In the spirit of Wikipedia, editing of the content in
this informational section would have a front page for
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 56
readers, and a “talk” page for people interested in editing—
this two-sided model has been shown to coordinate editing
and stabilize the information on encyclopedic webpages
(Viegas 2007). To facilitate efficient fact-checking, this
section would take advantage of databases of journals,
encyclopedias, and other sources that are established to be
trustworthy. Credibility, completeness, and clarity would
serve as the triple bottom line for judging information.
Consensus Builder
The consensus builder would be a space for
collaborative problem-solving, creating a new tool for
deliberative democracy. Conceptually, each core global risk
would be broken down here into a network of objects—
component challenges, questions, and projects. Complex
objects would be recursively divided into simpler ones. The
citizens using this CAP would hierarchically organize these
objects in order to discuss them with clarity. Similar to
the informational section, the consensus builder would have
two graphically distinct interfaces. In this case, the two
modes would be the forum and the network viewer.
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 57
The forum of the consensus builder would comprise of
talk pages for each object, formatted similarly to the talk
pages behind the primers. The forum would be designed to
maximize effective collaboration, taking advantage of
effective paradigms of online, group-based learning.
Because research on this topic is still burgeoning, the
interface of the forum would be highly experimental and
evolve greatly over time. The basis for adding or removing
functionality to this forum would be to augment
conscientious participation.
The network viewer would be a graphical user interface
(GUI) streamlined for rapid navigation of issues and editing
of connections. Graphically, this part of the web
application would constitute a sidebar with various
navigation tools and a blank workspace where the user would
load objects, each depicted as a node in a graph. Users
would use the sidebar to populate the workspace with nodes,
then to perform a variety of actions on the nodes, notably
adding, deleting, and modifying connections between them.
As users create these edges between pairs of nodes, the
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 58
website will keep track of how many times an edge has been
created from one to the other, storing this value as an edge
weight. As issues become explored in more detail, and as
projects are developed to address civic concerns, networks
will evolve among the issues, structuring these topics for
investigation and discussion.
Whenever a user loads a node, they will have the option
to load its edges with the greatest weight. They will then
be able to strengthen any pre-existing connection, causing
them to see that edge every time in the future that they
load the parent node. Alternatively, a user can delete
connections that they don’t agree with. The delete function
will eliminate the edge from their perspective, loading the
edge with the next greatest weight, but on the server side
the edge’s weight will simply decrement by one.
Incrementing or decrementing the weights of edges changes
the server’s representation of their relative weights,
aggregating into a social preference. This technically
makes it a Condorcet voting method, which renders it
susceptible to strategic voting. However, the user-side
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 59
consequences of strengthening or deleting nodes incentivizes
voting that is genuine rather than strategic.
In addition to setting relationships between different
nodes, the consensus builder would allow a user to judge a
plan by how effective it is likely to be, how well the plan
coincides with certain values, and how much evidence
supports the plan. Similar to a prediction market, users
would be able to assign percent values to each of these
characteristics, which would allow the CAP to calculate
which plans within a category have the greatest values for
each characteristic. This would enable the users to
formulate a collective opinion as to what should be done.
This process would be used to generate the list of global
risks at the core of the whole website.
When innovators explore this network and they see which
parts of a plan are agreeable and likely to work, they would
be able to incorporate these ideas into a new plan. Their
new plans may comprise largely of components that were
previously part of other projects, simply assembling them in
a creative and unpredictable way. This would allow the best
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 60
parts of distinct plans to be combined into overall projects
that find even more support from the citizens. The CAP
could then would prominently display the most agreed-upon
risk solutions, making it more likely that people would
investigate them.
Action Portal
The action portal of the CAP would be another form of
collaboration software. It would act as a separate GUI for
manipulating the projects and tasks that were created in the
consensus builder. The primary nature of this section of
the website is to allow for self-delegation among the
community, so it will have features that make it easier for
people to find tasks they are willing to do and capable of
doing. The citizens using this CAP will be able to self-
organize extremely efficiently for any issues they find
important, and they will be provided with frameworks for
continued project assessment to help them succeed.
Additionally, those projects that are highly approved in the
consensus builder will be more likely to attract volunteers
to complete their constituent tasks.
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 61
By making the functionality of the action portal
available to any project that is created on the CAP, voting
becomes much less important than the actual participation in
solutions. There would be two simultaneous processes
operating: in the consensus builder, you have people
analyzing how certain plans match up with their values, how
effective they might be, etc.; in the action portal, you
have people spearheading real-world initiatives that realize
those most widely supported plans. If people in a group are
widely aware of a debate that’s happening, and they
recognize it as possessing gravity for them, they will work
towards the solutions that they most strongly support. And
the more people that support a given plan, the more human
resources it will have. Ultimately, the market pressures of
supply and demand will push forward those plans that are
most in line with the people’s strongest collective desires.
Importantly, this market of ideas, unlike the contemporary
market of capital, does not allow for individuals to
concentrate resources; for a plan to become well-supported,
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 62
it must actually merit that support, as judged by the whole
community.
Scenario
To envision the actual use of this CAP, I will walk
through how a user may use it to engage with the global
concern of food security.
Let’s say a human rights activist is concerned about
improving food security around the world, but they’re unsure
where to start. They may not think of themselves as
particularly entrepreneurial, but they do know that they
want everyone to have access to healthy food. This user
logs on to the CAP website, and on the front page is a list
of major global issues that people are trying to address.
They see that food security is one of them. To learn more
about the issues that comprise food security, they read
through some of the primers that the website’s community has
put together. They see some major viewpoints on the issue,
and some key statistics and facts. This particular user
happens to have studied standards for food delivery into
food deserts around the world, about which they notice these
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 63
primers have little information. To fix this, they navigate
to the food security discussion page, share hyperlinks to
pertinent resources, and after having a conversation with
other users to better understand the history of the primers’
writing, the user directly edits the primer about food
delivery.
This user is confident about their knowledge of
agricultural practices involved in assisting food deserts,
so they head over to the consensus builder. They open up
the node for food security, then they load the most heavily
weighted edges. Their screen would look something like
Figure 2. Thinking through what they know about the issue
as a whole, they begin the process of breaking down the
issue in their own workspace, loading and creating nodes and
editing the connections between them. As they manipulate
their personal web of information and hierarchy of issues,
they delve into specifics behind various subtopics, looking
up resources to fact check. They only make changes where
necessary, depending for the most part on the consensus of
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 64
the community. Eventually, their screen resembles the
sketch in Figure 3.
Because the user happened to own a kumquat tree growing
up, they were confused when kumquats were listed as a fruit
that grows in the desert. In response, they go to the
“kumquat” discussion page, link to research that shows they
are not native to deserts, then return to their idea web and
delete the connection between “desert foods” and “kumquats”.
They then research what types of nutritious produce actually
grow in more arid regions. After navigating the issue of
food security very deeply, they believe they have figured
out how to use hydroponics to efficiently grow apples and
carrots in arid regions. Drawing from the various
dimensions of food security that they have studied, they
create a project node comprised of the major tasks that need
to be accomplished. In the action portal, they carefully
outline the specifics of each task and identify the
qualifications that somebody would need to complete each.
If this user has spent their whole life in suburban New
Jersey, their knowledge about farming in the desert may be
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 65
somewhat skewed. A number of their fellow users on the
platform think that the plan is very elegant, so they
strengthen its position in the “food security” solutions
network by up-voting the appropriate edges. Since these
users do not live in a desert or a food desert, they won’t
actually be implementing this plan.
Far away, in Arizona, somebody logs onto the platform
for ideas of how to change their community. They see this
plan and laugh at some implausible ideas, but ultimately
judge that it has good components. This Arizona resident
down-votes the tasks that are relatively ill-conceived and
creates some replacement tasks that would better assist in
implementing these hydroponic farms. They then inform their
acquaintances of this project. A handful of those
acquaintances will sign up for tasks that are suited to
their skillsets, and when they’ve finished these jobs, they
post their results under the task description and state, in
the task’s discussion section, that the task is completed.
After the entire hydroponics project is completed by
volunteers in the Arizona community, a local project will
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 66
have been accomplished, representing positive change in the
world. But down the road, as more projects like this are
implemented, the infrastructure for talking about food
security will have been refined immensely, allowing for a
much clearer understanding of the issue. The hierarchy of
topics that constitute “food security” will continue to be
streamlined and better organized. These changes in the
CAP’s knowledge networks will allow for projects of a bigger
scale to be conceptualized in the future. These larger
projects may include broader, more far-reaching initiatives
that are not merely a compilation of smaller projects. For
instance, with a greater understanding of the circumstances
that lead to food deserts may come an initiative to combat
changes in the climate that exacerbate agricultural
production in arid regions. Such an ambitious goal would be
broken down into subprojects, such as planting trees across
the country. This division of projects would be applied
recursively until it can be broken down into individual
tasks, such as getting a neighborhood to plant trees along
its roads.
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 67
Strictly speaking, this CAP framework could be used to
address any problem, and would allow enormous undertakings
to be assumed by communities as a whole, providing a
structure in which volunteers can self-organize direct
action. Through its continued use, it would develop through
group cognition more nuanced approaches to real-world
problems, and the accomplishment of each project would lay
the groundwork for more ambitious projects.
5. Conclusion
The evolving power of human technology makes possible a
number of catalytic changes that could wreak havoc across
the planet. If we invent a certain kind of artificial
intelligence, design the wrong kind of pathogenic virus,
allow runaway climate change to progress, or cross any
number of dangerous existential thresholds, humanity’s
ability to survive on Earth may be threatened in a way never
before seen. To protect the world from devastation, we need
to coordinate our global risk management as a species. I
posited in this thesis that the most legitimate and
effective way to coordinate widespread action is to create a
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 68
new civic action platform that maximizes conscientious
participation of citizens. Civic action platforms should
take into account a variety of principles established by
previous research, and I argued that there are certain
functions that a CAP should have in order to be impactful.
Having established a foundation for the creation of a
new civic action platform, I illustrated my own vision of a
platform synthesized at the intersection of those
principles. This CAP would educate the people about global
risks, making it more likely that people would take action.
It would stimulate collaboration in solving real-world
problems, giving the good ideas of a community more salience
for their respective merits than they might otherwise
achieve. Lastly, by creating a market of ideas, enabling
citizens to coordinate their resources, and organizing
specific task delegation, it would enable a community to
completely bypass existing institutions in creating social
change.
In practice, there are still many questions left to be
answered about the practical design of a civic action
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 69
platform: who should a CAP target to join its membership?
What problems should a CAP actually address? What utilities
should a CAP include? Who is in charge of informing people,
and how would they be held accountable for what they teach?
How does a CAP manage ideological differences?
Any project that affects communities at large will need
to take into account many social justice considerations:
how does it navigate cultural disagreements? How does it
account for hegemonic tendencies that may incite
geopolitical tension? In what language does the CAP
operate? To what extent does it incorporate cross-lingual
support? Who gets to participate in decision-making, and
what kind of engagement do they have?
It should be noted that there is potential for such a
CAP to pose its own risks if it were implemented
thoughtlessly. A platform that facilitates the building of
a consensus by its participants does not inherently have a
way of taking into account the needs and values of those who
do not participate. If outsider needs are not somehow
accounted for, then the platform could be construed as
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 70
facilitating the consolidation of power among particular
groups of people, who would then possess a degree of
hegemony over outsiders.
In response, a vital question for a CAP designer is how
to make sure that it doesn’t impose a biased sense of
justice on outsiders. The answer may lie in guaranteeing
access to as many people as possible, or it may lie in
somehow limiting the actions of this platform to
specifically avoid hegemony and oppression of non-users. The
platform that I synthesized would incorporate this awareness
into its rules and its culture: it would be a website
available to those with Internet access, but 4.250 billion
people—59% of the world—lack Internet access (Central
Intelligence Agency 2015) and would be effectively barred
from participation. It would be hard to artificially
restrict the platform’s user base from creating policies
biased against non-users, so as much as possible would be
done to stimulate awareness about intercultural differences,
and make deliberators constantly aware of the issues that
arise from a platform that doesn’t include non-Internet
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 71
users. Furthermore, ancillary efforts would be made to
expand the organizational paradigms used by the platform to
areas not currently connected to the Internet.
A website may not currently reach everybody in the
world, but creating a CAP that empowers 41% of the world’s
population to solve global problems is an improvement upon
current global problem-solving paradigms which place a
miniscule number of representatives in charge of finding
solutions. It is also important to consider that the
regions catalyzing global risks with advanced technology,
weaponry, and infrastructure are best poised to avert those
risks, and those regions are incidentally among the areas in
the world with Internet access.
The concepts I discussed throughout the thesis apply to
designing any type of civic action platform. A website is
one way to implement those principles, but it need not be
the only way. In areas in the world without Internet
access, those creating civic action platforms would be able
to use the means that are available to them. If the
principles I outlined can be used to make a website that
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 72
empowers Internet users, then they could just as well be
used to make social structures that empower non-Internet
users. Whatever the format of a CAP, if it takes advantage
of the guidelines described in this thesis and powered its
operations with a group of people invested in improving the
world, then it should give a citizenry much more direct
influence on the issues that affect them. Implemented
properly and on a large enough scale, a civic action
platform may be powerful enough to end humanity’s dependence
on the unjustifiable power structures of today.
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 73
Figures
Figure 1 - Superstructure of Proposed CAP:
Figure 2 - Loading Nodes in the Consensus Builder:
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 75
References
Almeida, D. (2010). The Relevancy of Group Expertise for the
Accuracy of a Prediction Market. Master Thesis in Economics
and Informatics.
Alter, S. (2000). Managing the Double Bottom Line: A
Business Planning Guide for Social Enterprises.
Retrieved April 14, 2015, from
http://www.virtueventures.com/files/mdbl-preface.pdf
Arrow, K. (1950). A Difficulty In The Concept Of Social
Welfare. Journal of Political Economy,58(4), 328-328. Retrieved
from
http://gatton.uky.edu/Faculty/hoytw/751/articles/arrow.
Arrow, K. J., Forsythe, R., Gorham, M., Hahn, R., Hanson,
R.,…Zitzewitz, E. The Promise of Prediction Markets
(2008). Science, 320 (5878), 877-878.
[DOI:10.1126/science.1157679]
Antoni, C. (2005). Management by objectives – an effective
tool for teamwork? The International Journal of Human Resource
Management, 16(2), 174-184.
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 76
Austin, J. (2000). The collaboration challenge: How nonprofits and
businesses succeed through strategic alliances (1st ed.). San
Francisco, California: Jossey-Bass.
Awadallah, R., Ramanath, M., & Weikum, G. (2012). Opinions
Network for Politically Controversial Topics. PLEAD
'12, 15-22. Retrieved from
http://dl.acm.org/citation.cfm?id=2389668
Bornstein, D., & Davis, S. (2010). Social entrepreneurship: what
everyone needs to know. New York: Oxford University Press.
Buzzetto-More, N. & Alade, A. (2006). Best Practices in e-
Assessment. Journal of Information Technology Education: Research,
5(1), 251-269. Informing Science Institute.
Center for Responsive Politics. (2015). Lobbying Database.
Retrieved May 4, 2015, from
https://www.opensecrets.org/lobby/
Central Intelligence Agency. (2015). The World Factbook.
Retrieved from
https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-
factbook/geos/br.html
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 77
Challinor, A. J., Watson, J., Lobell, D. B., Howden, S. M.,
Smith, D. R., & Chhetri, N. (2014). A meta-analysis of
crop yield under climate change and adaptation. Nature
Climate Change, 4(4), 287-291. Retrieved from
doi:10.1038/nclimate2153
Chan, C. K. (2001). Peer collaboration and discourse
patterns in learning from incompatible information.
Instructional Science, 29(6), 443-479. Retrieved from
http://dx.doi.org/10.1023/A:1012099909179
Chivian, E. & Bernstein, A. (2008). Sustaining life: How human
health depends on biodiversity. Center for Health and the
Global Environment. Oxford University Press, New York.
Chomsky, N., interviewed by Jay, P. (1976). The Relevance of
Anarcho-Syndacalism (Interview). In Chomsky on Anarchism.
Oakland, CA: AK Press.
Cross, R., & Sproull, L. (2004). More Than an Answer:
Information Relationships for Actionable Knowledge.
Organization Science, 15(4), 446-462. Retrieved from
http://dx.doi.org/10.1287/orsc.1040.0075
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 78
Drexler, K. (2013). Radical abundance: How a revolution in
nanotechnology will change civilization (1st ed.). New York, New
York: PublicAffairs.
Drucker, P. (1967). The effective executive. New York: Harper &
Row.
Drucker, P. (1992). The New Society of Organizations.
Harvard Business Review, 70(5), 95-105.
Fishkin, J. S., & Luskin, R. C. (2005). Experimenting with a
democratic ideal: Deliberative polling and public
opinion. Acta Politica, 40(3), 284-298. Retrieved from
http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/palgrave.ap.5500121
French, W., & Hollmann, R. (1975). Management by Objectives:
The Team Approach. California Management Review, 17(3), 13-
22.
Hanouz, M., Browne, C., Di Battista, A., Dreyer, G., Galvan,
C., Geiger, T.,…Crotti, R. (Eds.). (2015, January 15).
Global Risks 2015. World Economic Forum. Retrieved
April 12, 2015, from http://reports.weforum.org/global-
risks-2015/
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 79
Hobday, M. (2005). Systems Integration: A Core Capability Of
The Modern Corporation. Industrial and Corporate
Change, 14(6), 1109-1143.
Kaplan, R., & Norton, D. (1995). Putting the Balanced
Scorecard to Work. In D. Shaw, C. Schneier, R. Beatty,
& L. Baird (Eds.), Performance measurement, management, and
appraisal sourcebook (pp. 66-79). Amherst, Massachusetts:
Human Resource Development Press.
Kerpen, P. (1999). Debate Theory Ossification. Rostrum.
Retrieved April 10, 2015, from
http://debate.uvm.edu/NFL/rostrumlib/KerpenApr99.pdf
Martin, J. (2006). The meaning of the 21st century: A vital blueprint for
ensuring our future. New York: Riverhead Books.
McCarthy, James interviewed by Shaw, Jonathan. (2002). The
Great Global Experiment. Harvard Magazine.
NRC (2010). Advancing the Science of Climate Change. National
Research Council. The National Academies Press,
Washington, DC, USA. Retrieved from http://nas-
sites.org/americasclimatechoices/sample-page/panel-
reports/87-2/
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 80
Palmieri, S. (2007). Petition effectiveness: improving
citizens’ direct access to parliament. Parliament’s
Accountability to the People. Paper presented to
Australian Study of Parliament Group, Adelaide.
Peterson, R., & Brudnick, I. (2014, January 1). Legislative
Branch: FY2015 Appropriations. Retrieved May 5, 2015,
from http://fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/R43557.pdf
Pew Research Center (2014). Political Polarization in the American
Public. Retrieved from
http://www.people-press.org/files/2014/06/6-12-2014-
Political-Polarization-Release.pdf
Prendergast, C. (2003). The Limits Of Bureaucratic
Efficiency. Journal of Political Economy,111(5), 929-958.
Retrieved from
http://faculty.chicagobooth.edu/canice.prendergast/rese
arch/TheLimitsOfBureaucraticEfficiency.pdf
Ramankutty, N., Evan, A., Monfreda, C., & Foley, J. (2008).
Farming the planet: 1. Geographic distribution of
global agricultural lands in the year 2000. Global
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 81
Biogeochemical Cycles. Retrieved April 12, 2015, from Wiley
Online Library.
Riss, U., Rickayzen, A., Maus, H., & Van der Aalst, W.
(2005). Challenges for Business Process and Task
Management. Journal of Universal Knowledge Management, 0(2),
77-100. Retrieved from
http://www.jucs.org/jukm_0_2/riss/jukm_0_2_77_100_riss.
Rocker, R. (2004). Anarcho-syndicalism: Theory and practice (6th
ed.). Edinburgh: AK Press.
Scardamalia, M., & Bereiter, C. (1993). Computer Support For
Knowledge-Building Communities. Journal of the Learning
Sciences, 3(3), 265-283. Retrieved from
http://www.jstor.org/stable/1466822
Social Innovation Fund. (2014). Evaluation Plan Guidance: A
Step-by-Step Guide to Designing a Rigorous Evaluation.
Retrieved April 13, 2015, from
http://www.nationalservice.gov/sites/default/files/docu
ments/SIF Evaluation guidance 8 5 2014.pdf
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 82
Stahl, G. (2006). Group Cognition: Computer Support for
Building Collaborative Knowledge. MIT Press.
Stepin, V. (2004). Science, Education, and the
Transformation of Civilization in the Twenty-first
Century. In A. Olson (Ed.), Educating for democracy: Paideia in
an age of uncertainty (pp. 31-41). Lanham, Md.: Rowman &
Littlefield.
Urban, T. (2015). The AI Revolution: Road to
Superintelligence. Retrieved April 12, 2015, from
http://waitbutwhy.com/2015/01/artificial-intelligence-
revolution-1.html
Viegas, F. B., Wattenberg, M., Kriss, J., & Van Ham, F.
(2007). Talk before you type: Coordination in
Wikipedia. In System Sciences, 2007. HICSS 2007. 40th
Annual Hawaii International Conference on (pp. 78-78).
IEEE.
Watkins, Jennifer H.(2007). Prediction Markets as an
Aggregation Mechanism for Collective
Intelligence. Human Complex Systems. UCLA: Human Complex
MOBILIZING HUMAN THOUGHT INTO GLOBAL ACTION 83
Systems. Retrieved from
http://escholarship.org/uc/item/8mg0p0zc
Wolfers, J., & Zitzewitz, E. (2004). Prediction
Markets. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 107-126. Retrieved
from http://www.nber.org/papers/w10504.pdf