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•••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• Victory Supermarket Expansion Strategy TEAM 33 Aydan Masmalizadeh Azad Bagirov Shahlar Bayramov Farid Akberov

Victory supermarkets expansion strategy

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Page 1: Victory supermarkets expansion strategy

••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••Victory SupermarketExpansion Strategy

TEAM 33Aydan MasmalizadehAzad BagirovShahlar BayramovFarid Akberov

Page 2: Victory supermarkets expansion strategy

Overview

Market Environment

Marketing Strategy

Financial Analysis

Risk and Mitigation

Conclusion

1

2

3

4

5

6

Page 3: Victory supermarkets expansion strategy

OVERVIEW

Retail / Grocery

Competitive Market

Funding Requirement

Obj

ectiv

es

Focus on quality & service

Increase Market Share

Keep the Chain Viable

Page 4: Victory supermarkets expansion strategy

Overview Environment Marketing Financial Risk Conclusion

Kingston

Twin city

Marlborough

Lancaster St

The OlderConventionalMarket Squares

Page 5: Victory supermarkets expansion strategy

Expand Rapidly

Derry Hingham

Decision Tree

Expand Slowly

Page 6: Victory supermarkets expansion strategy

DECISSION MATRIX

 Key factors Expansion Rapidly New Market Square

Competition

Up-front cost

Differentiation

Size of market

Sustainability

Positioning

Total 1 7

Page 7: Victory supermarkets expansion strategy

DERRY VS HINGHAM

Page 8: Victory supermarkets expansion strategy

RECOMMENDATION

1998-1999 2000-2005 2006-2008

New geographies, developing profitability

Increase efficiency, develop performance

Grow faster, acquire business

Penetrate & Develop ExpandRestructure

Page 9: Victory supermarkets expansion strategy

COMPETITORS

0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.50

50

100

150

200

250

Size: 1991 Revenues in bill

# of

sto

res

Page 10: Victory supermarkets expansion strategy

Demand

Market Strategy

Funding

Distribution

Page 11: Victory supermarkets expansion strategy

Demand Market Strategy FundingDistribution

under 14 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+0.00%

5.00%

10.00%

15.00%

20.00%

25.00%

Page 12: Victory supermarkets expansion strategy

Demand Market Strategy FundingDistribution

under 14 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+0.00%

5.00%

10.00%

15.00%

20.00%

25.00%

Page 13: Victory supermarkets expansion strategy

Demand FundingDistributionMarket Strategy

3 WAVES

Strategy

• Specialize • Differentiate• Personalizes

Restructure

• Quality-driven• Go niche • Grow faster

Penetrate • Extend scope• Greenfield• Expand

synergies

Expand

1998

2001

2005

Page 14: Victory supermarkets expansion strategy

Demand Market Strategy FundingDistribution

Depend on Supervalu

• Flexible• Meet our

needs• Greater

efficiency

After 5 years

• Increase sales volume

• Expand markets

Integrated firm

• Own wholesalers & retail

• Decrease cost

Page 15: Victory supermarkets expansion strategy

Demand Market Strategy FundingDistribution

Wholesaler

Supplier

Supplier

Supplier Retail Store

Retail Store

Retail Store

Page 16: Victory supermarkets expansion strategy

Demand Market Strategy Distribution Funding

Capital MarketPartnership

$ 39 M

$ 100 M+

$ 139 M

Victory

Supervalu

28%

72%

Total

Vote authority

Fleet financing

5 Years

Bank Loan

Page 17: Victory supermarkets expansion strategy

FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

Derry Hingham Derry & Hingham$0

$200,000

$400,000

$600,000

$800,000

$1,000,000

$1,200,000

$1,400,000

$1,600,000

$1,484,049

$49,484

$894,121

NPV

Page 18: Victory supermarkets expansion strategy

Derry Hingham Derry & Hingham0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25% 21.00%

3.3%

14.00%

IRR

FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

Page 19: Victory supermarkets expansion strategy

Derry Hingham Derry & Hingham0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

2.5

3.73.5

PPFINANCIAL ANALYSIS

Page 20: Victory supermarkets expansion strategy

SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS

Page 21: Victory supermarkets expansion strategy

SCENARIO ANALYSIS

optimistic base pessimistic

-5000000

-4000000

-3000000

-2000000

-1000000

0

1000000

2000000

3000000

by changing sales 10%

Page 22: Victory supermarkets expansion strategy

Choosing Derry, reject Hingham

Increase sales volume

Cost Control, Consumer Loyalty

RISK PYRAMID

Economic downturn

Short-term Financing

Competition

Page 23: Victory supermarkets expansion strategy

CONCLUSION

1998-1999

Set up just one store Derry

2000-2005

Increase market share

-variety of products and services-USP-POSITIONING

2006-2008

Continue to expand

Page 24: Victory supermarkets expansion strategy

What if expansion fails?

Page 25: Victory supermarkets expansion strategy

ALTERNATIVE PLAN

Continuous CustomersAlready Trained StaffLower Cost of Switching Higher

$117 <$177

$ 25 <

Page 26: Victory supermarkets expansion strategy

Feed family real foodFrom our family to Yours

Most Cleanest

Friendly Personalized Service

Socially Responsible

Exciting Shopping

Strategic Points of Difference

Page 27: Victory supermarkets expansion strategy

Thanks For Attention