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Take A Chance, Roll the Dice, or Pay the Price
Team JJ
Description of Game
• Pay $10 to play each game• Roll two dice– Roll total of 8, win $20– Roll total of 4, win $30– Roll total or 2 or 12, win $60– Roll anything not totaling 2, 4, 8, or 12, win
nothing
Theoretical ProbabilityMean:20 (7/36)+ 60 (2/36)+ 30 (3/36)+ 0 (24/36)=9.72Average House Advantage= +$0.28 each time played
Standard Deviation:
Remember!Roll total of 8, win $20Roll total of 4, win $30Roll total or 2 or 12, win $60Roll anything not totaling 2, 4, 8, or 12, win nothing
Experimental Probability
• Found mean and standard deviation using 1-VAR STAT on calculator
• Mean: $9.60 ($10.00-$9.60=+$.40 house advantage)
• Standard Deviation: $17.77Remember!Roll total of 8, win $20Roll total of 4, win $30Roll total or 2 or 12, win $60Roll anything not totaling 2, 4, 8, or 12, win nothing
Results
• The experimental game trial had a higher house advantage by $0.12
• The results from the experimental game had a higher variability (standard deviation) than in the theoretical game
• In order to improve the game, we could tweak the numbers in order to slightly decrease the house advantage. This would then make the game more appealing to the players