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A FUNDAMENTAL SKILL FOR SENIOR BUYERS Cost Modeling For Purchasing Purchasing Teams that effectively use cost modeling to support supplier selection and negotiation can drive significantly better cost results and improve supplier performance. Bill Kohnen Purchasing Fundamentals CPO Series 2014

Cost Modeling for Purchasing - A Fundamental Skill

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Purchasing Teams that effectively use cost modeling to support supplier selection and negotiation can drive significantly better cost results and improve supplier performance. Chief Procurement Officers should set standards and priorities for cost modeling and include it is as part of the training and development of the organization. Ability to effectively develop and use cost models to obtain results is a key skill for purchasing professionals to develop.

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Page 1: Cost Modeling for Purchasing - A Fundamental Skill

A FUNDAMENTAL SKILL FOR SENIOR BUYERS

Cost Modeling For Purchasing

Purchasing Teams that effectively use cost modeling to support supplier selection and negotiation can drive significantly better cost results and improve supplier performance.

Bill Kohnen Purchasing Fundamentals CPO Series 2014

Page 2: Cost Modeling for Purchasing - A Fundamental Skill

Cost Models For Purchasing

Developing Cost Models is a fundamental professional purchasing skill Category Supplier Specific Item Specific

Effective cost models are needed for all approaches to Purchasing Adversarial, Strategic , Collaborative.

Best practice suggests that providing training to make cost modeling a core skill for Category Managers and Senior Buyers, with support as needed from a small number of “experts,” ultimately produces better and more sustainable results than creating a large centralized purchasing cost group.

Bill Kohnen Purchasing Fundamentals CPO Series 2014

Page 3: Cost Modeling for Purchasing - A Fundamental Skill

Cost Models For Purchasing

Purchasing cost models do not need to be as complex and drill as far down into detail as traditional Cost Accounting models

Simple is better – focus on most important elements and drivers that you can actually get quality information for.

Dive into the marketplace to gather information Visits to multiple suppliers factories Industry trade events and seminars Formal and informal discussion with suppliers Lots of free information on web Look for people with long industry experience in a category that may have

been downsized but still have deep knowledge. Pay them something but could real value.

Use formal consultants as a last, high priced, resort.

Bill Kohnen Purchasing Fundamentals CPO Series 2014

Page 4: Cost Modeling for Purchasing - A Fundamental Skill

Most Basic Elements of a Cost Model

Describes Price Today

Materials

Labor

Overhead

Bill Kohnen Purchasing Fundamentals CPO Series 2014

Page 5: Cost Modeling for Purchasing - A Fundamental Skill

Cost Drivers Broad Categories(Examples)

Adding Cost Drivers enables “what if” and more Strategic Analysis

Technology Operations Location Quality Service Level Competitive Landscape Logistics Capabilities Energy

Between categories specific drivers would change For Example Energy: Data Center concern is access to free cooling options

Semiconductor Fab concern would be reliable uninterrupted power

Page 6: Cost Modeling for Purchasing - A Fundamental Skill

Steps to Create Models

1. Conduct companywide spend analysis and identify categories of spend. Typically grouping by supplier industry or technology is best.

2. Establish you total cost for each category including shipping, maintenance, service, training etc.

3. Build category models with cost drivers – take advantage of free publically available information or only for very critical categories consider paying for an industry report

4. Apply models for step 3 to your current and potential suppliers

5. Build most detailed specific service or product models for your most critical items

Bill Kohnen Purchasing Fundaments CPO Series 2014

Page 7: Cost Modeling for Purchasing - A Fundamental Skill

Where to prioritize

Cost Reduction as the GoalFocus on the high cost categories where you

currently do not have many options.

Engaging Suppliers to drive your growth and/or reduce risk as the Goal Look at how each category of spend can add

value to your most strategic business units and focus on those categories

Page 8: Cost Modeling for Purchasing - A Fundamental Skill

Samples

CPOs should establish basic format and process to facilitate training and easier sharing of information within organization

Samples presented as charts which might be final product for presentation

Basic work of models takes place on relatively simple excel spreadsheets

Taken out of context and without good input even the most perfect conceptual cost model is of little value. Therefore, strive to keep things as simple as they can be.

Page 9: Cost Modeling for Purchasing - A Fundamental Skill

High Level Sample Category Models

Overhead

Materials

Labor

Overhead

Materials

Labor

Semiconductors

Contract Assembly

Cost DriversAge of Fab

Process Capability

Location

Energy

Yields

Utilizati0n

Cost Drivers

Location

Workforce Capability

Supply Chain Mgmt.

Management

Bill Kohnen Purchasing Fundamentals CPO Series 2014

Page 10: Cost Modeling for Purchasing - A Fundamental Skill

Supplier Comparison Models

Overhead

Materials

Labor

Overhead

Materials

Labor

Supplier A Supplier B

Supplier A has 4 x Overhead of B but still lower cost.

Suggests present technology and operations advantage.

Cos

t

100

0

Bill Kohnen Purchasing Fundamentals CPO Series 2014

Page 11: Cost Modeling for Purchasing - A Fundamental Skill

Sample Detailed Item ModelSemiconductor Power Integrated Circuit

Overhead

Materials

Labor

Overhead

Materials

Labor

Ultra Low Power IC 28nm Bulk Planar process

Cost DriversAge of Fab

Process Capability

Bulk Planar

Location

Energy

Yields

Utilizati0n

Ultra Low Power IC 28nm FinFet process

Ultra Low Power IC 28nm FDSOI process

Overhead

Materials

Labor

Page 12: Cost Modeling for Purchasing - A Fundamental Skill

Summary

Senior Level Purchasing Professionals should take it upon themselves to know the basics of cost modeling

Chief Procurement Officers should set standards and priorities for cost modeling and include it is as part of the training and development of the organization.

Purchasing Teams that effectively use cost modeling to support supplier selection and negotiation can drive significantly better cost results and improve supplier performance.

Bill Kohnen Purchasing Fundamentals CPO Series 2014