New Trends in Urban Planning and Development and their...

New Trends in Urban Planning and

Development and their Impact on Parking,

Transit and Community Transportation

Presented by:

R. C. “Rick” Mobley, ASLA, AICP

April 2013

Senior Transportation Consultant

Objectives

• Explore new trends in development for office, retail and

residential uses in urban areas

• Examine trends in changing development patterns and

densities

• Review current response to these new trends related to

transportation infrastructure

• Evaluate and plan for what our industry/community

response should be to these new trends

Where Have We Been ?

• Dense urban areas

• Exploration of the West

• Growth of the western

cities

• Suburbanization

• Sprawl

• New Urbanism

Dense Urban Areas

• Typically populated by newly

arrived immigrants to the U.S.

• Horses

• Trains

• Trolleys

• Canals

• Ships

Exploration of the West

• Pioneers forming agriculturally

focused communities

• Horses

• Wagons

• Trains

• The beginning of exploitation of vast

resources including timber,

minerals, agricultural production and

other raw commodities.

Exploration of the West

Exploration of the West

Growth of the Western

Cities

• Commodity Hubs

• Support of Local Mercantile

businesses

• Improved transportation and

communications to the

outposts

• Electrification

• Water resources development

Growth of the Western

Cities

Suburbanization

• Proliferation of single family

homes

• Advent of the Auto

• Self Sufficient Communities

with a central business district

• Phone (land line)

• “A chicken in every pot and a

car in every garage”

Sprawl

• Development of Edge Cities

• Higher speed transit and

commuter rail

• Reliance on the auto (multi auto

households)

• Fax machines, FedEx, UPS,

DHL, USPS next day

• Air Quality issues realized

New Urbanism

• Smart Growth, New

Community Design, Neo-

traditional design etc.

• Focus on multi-modal

accessibility

• Sustainability/

Environmental

stewardship

• Home computers, internet,

cell phones cable and

satellite communications

New Urbanism

Where are we Headed ?

• Demographic Changes

• Changes in Development

Patterns

• Transportation Changes/

Evolution

Demographic Changes

• Older population

• Young professionals

• Empty nesters

• Solopenures

• Cultural Diversity

• Demand for Modal

Choices

Changes in Development

Patterns

• Re-Densification

• Livable Centers

• Mixed Uses

• Refocus on Transit

• Walk able, bike able

communities

• Megalopolis

Relocate to Areas with Excellent Public

Transportation

Transportation Changes /

Evolution

• Transportation Demand

Management (TDM)

• Transportation Systems

Management (TSM)

• Parking Management

• Transit Oriented Development

(TOD)

• Vehicle Technology

• Transit Advancements

Transportation

Changes/Evolution

What Do We Face as an

Industry?

• Denser Urban Environments

• Different Work Environments

• Different Retail Experiences

• Changes in Transportation

Denser Urban

Environments

• Lower auto ownership

• Higher Transit ridership

• Mixed Uses for

live/work/play

environments

• More multi-modal

opportunities

• Escapees from the city

Vehicle-Miles Traveled Per Capita

Willingness to Give Up Auto

Ownership as Cost Not Justified by

Usage

Denser Urban

Environments

Different Work

Environments

• Satellite Offices

• Work Form Home

• Virtual Offices

• Shared work spaces

• Community work spaces

(collaboration spaces)

Different Retail

Experiences

• Big – Boxalypse

• Corner stores and support

retail

• Show rooms

• On line shopping

• Front door delivery

Changes in Transportation

• Multi-modalism

• Multi-modal hubs

• Proliferation of transit in

different forms/technologies

• Transportation Systems

Evolution (complete streets,

super streets)

• Commuter/high speed rail

So How Do We Respond ?

• Take advantage of technology and implement TDM

and TSM techniques across all modes

• Emphasize Shared use Facilities (roads, sidewalks,

parking)

• Take advantage of transit oriented development and

become more multi-modal in approach to solutions

• Recognize needs of different users and respond

appropriately in providing transportation solutions

Gasoline Sales Versus

Price Per Gallon

Estimated Vehicle Miles Driven and

Gasoline Prices

Estimated Vehicle Miles Driven on

All Roads

Estimated Vehicle Miles Driven on

All Roads

Monthly Unemployment Rate and the

Employment-Population Ratio Age 16 &

Over

Estimated Vehicle Miles Driven on

All Roads

Comments and Questions

?