Enhancing Our Heritage : Business Skills Sharing Pilot Project Business Planning Toolkit background...

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  • Enhancing Our Heritage : Business Skills Sharing Pilot Project Business Planning Toolkit background and status Pilot Project training to date Business Planning Toolkit overview Feedback from Pilot Project

  • Business Planning Toolkit Background and StatusShell Foundation developed Business Planning Toolkit specific to EOH project, with support from Shell International business consultants, in 2004/5Toolkit covers key areas of business planning, resourcing an organisation to realise the plan (finance and people)implementing the activities needed to achieve the planned goalsToolkit designed to provide clear guidance, useable by conservation organisations of all sizes, with a minimum of business jargonToolkit takes the form ofPowerpoint slidepack for each key business planning topic, provides overview and guidanceEmbedded tools provide instruction for more detailed analysis and plansEmbedded examples to illustrate the theory

  • Pilot Project Training To DateTwo pilot project trainings completed with Seychelles Island Foundation (SIF) and Uganda Wildlife Authority (UWA), to transfer business skills for the management of the Valle de Mai, Aldabra Atoll and Bwindi Impenetrable Forest World Heritage sitesEach organisation received 2 training visits to transfer skills and support them in developing a business plan as well as back office mentoring supportBusiness Planning Toolkit has been updated with feedback from both SIF and UWA to fill any identified gaps and improve the clarity of the language usedExamples from UWA and SIF have been used to illustrate the Toolkit

  • Business Planning Toolkit Overview

    UWA Vision

    To conserve biodiversity, physical and ecological process of BINP and MGNP, especially the globally endangered mountain gorilla, for the benefit of the people of Uganda and the global community.

    UWA Mission

    To work with partner organizations and local communities in managing BMCA so as to maximize benefits that accrue from the conservation area and ensure that any use of natural resource is equitable, financially and ecologically sustainable.

    BINP = Bwindi National Park

    MGNP = Mgahinga National Park

    BMCA = Bwindi-Mgahinga Conservation Area

    SWOT Analysis Template

    Internal Forces

    External Forces

    Strengths

    Opportunities

    Two very good products: Vallee de Mai known globally by tourists and Aldabra globally known by scientists/conservation/environmentalist

    Large market share of Seychelles tourist at Vallee de Mai

    Good relationship with government and NGOs: Good international contacts, e.g. Shell, Smithsonians, Royal Society

    Good reputation internationally

    Work force has a balanced skill set and an expert in the key locations of Aldabra and Vallee de Mai

    Good employee good first appeal and good remuneration

    Currently financially viable in the black. Have Foreign Exchange account

    Small, flexible and autonomous

    Accepting of change and new technology

    Increase revenue from tourists who visit Vallee de Mai by selling merchandising, food, ect

    Networking/co-operation with other organizations, e.g. exchange programme

    Large potential global funding opportunities, e.g. EU, World Bank, Private sector

    Large market of scientists/environmentalists/education visits which could increase revenue by fees, selling research, grants. This applies for Aldabra and Vallee de Mai

    Improve HR skill base through training

    Chance to reduce costs (e.g. communication:V sat, exchange)

    Extend World Heritage site territory with local/regional org.

    Increase revenue from tourists who visit Aldabra by selling merchandising, food, ect

    Increase revenue from online sales and fundraising campaigns

    Obtain revenue from global community or general visitors to Seychelles

    Weaknesses

    Threats

    Only one main revenue stream: Heavy subsidy to Aldabra which is a large cost centre

    Operations not efficient or optimal: inventory management, selling/marketing skills, procurement

    Lack of KPIs, targets and assessments for SIF and individuals (work plan)

    No business/marketing plan: no objective structure for long term. Skills important aspect

    Little experience in budgeting or budget vs actual tracking

    Do not have control of logistics to Aldabra as 3rd operates boat

    No experience in project proposal writing for funding

    Small: Lack of resources to exploit opportunities

    No HR policy

    Lack of office space

    Tourism reducing in the Seychelles

    Competition from Fon Ferdinand

    Natural disasters (e.g. fire, global warming, cyclone)

    Negative government intervention and change, e.g. lease arrangement, splitting two sites

    Boat logistics supplier outsources or closes

    Damage relationship with Preslin population

    Poaching increases at both sites

    UWA : Stakeholder analysis

    Stakeholder type

    Expectation and objectives

    Power and Influence

    Commonality & Conflict

    Government

    Ugandas rich biodiversity maintained.

    UWA contribution to tourism

    Regulation, policies, taxation, funding

    Increased tourism and biodiversity conservation

    MTTI

    Biodiversity maintained

    Tourism enhanced

    Appoint board, develop policies, laws

    Increased tourism and biodiversity conservation

    BoT

    UWA vibrant and self sustaining

    Develop policies and decisions,

    Increase in animal population

    Limited conflicts with communities

    Vibrant and motivated staff

    Staff

    Salary, job satisfaction and security,

    Staff turn over, visitor influence, good management

    Higher salaries may result into lower funds to run PAs but also higher staff morale and therefore better productivity

    Donors and NGOs

    Conservation of biodiversity

    Funding

    Publicity for themselves

    Biodiversity conservation

    Community benefits from conservation

    Researchers

    Data from the PAs

    Generate information used for decision making

    Failure to understand difficulties in management

    Provide info for better management.

    Local government

    Shared responsibility in management

    Influence community decisions and participation

    Share in revenue from entry into PAs

    Tourists

    Visitor satisfaction

    Bring their money

    Prefer lower tariffs

    Desire high populations and diversity of wildlife

    AUTO members

    Profits from sale of permits

    Marketing

    Desire more tourists in PA, prefer lower, profits

    Suppliers

    Long term orders, timely payment

    Quality, pricing

    Generally seek high prices and timely payment

    Surrounding community

    Local jobs, resources, local impact

    Opinion leaders, poaching, sabotage

    Would prefer land for agriculture, crop raiding costly for them.

    MTTI = Ministry of Tourism

    BoT = Board of Trustees

    NGO = Non-Governmantal Organisation

    AUTO = Association of Ugandan Tour Operators

    PA = Protected Area

    SIF PEST analysis

    Factor

    Examples

    Own business

    Political

    Taxation policy

    Environmental protection laws

    Government stability

    Favorable tax conditions for SIF: exempted from paying trade tax on imports; duty free fuel; no business tax

    Favorable environmental laws backed by political commitment

    Seychelles has political stability

    Economic

    GDP trends

    Unemployment

    Business cycles

    Seychelles has a high per capita income # USD8,000

    Low unemployment

    Seychelles has an expanding economy

    Seychelles has forex shortage

    Social

    Population demographics

    Lifestyle changes

    Levels of education

    Social mobility

    Fairly young population

    Enjoys good lifestyles adapted to western countries

    More than 90% literacy rate

    Seychellois travels a lot to different countries for holidays and shopping

    Technological

    New technologies

    Industry focus on technological effort

    Speed of technology transfer

    Adapts well to new technology

    Industries applies technology very quickly

    Technology is easily accepted and applied

    SIF Customer Profile

    CUSTOMER TYPE (OR NAME): Visiting tourist to Vallee De Mai and Aldabra

    Factor

    Examples

    Please provide a brief description of key client characteristics

    Demographics

    Age

    Sex

    Marital Status

    Education

    Profession

    Average age 30 to 50 years (VDM)

    Average age 40 to 65 years (Aldabra)

    Large % are couples and family groups

    Most are fairly educated on the environment

    Mostly western Europeans (VDM)

    Mostly Americans and western Europeans (Aldabra)

    Economic Factors

    High-Medium-Low Income

    Personal Debt

    Taxes

    Savings Tendency

    Most come from medium to high income bracket

    Occasionally some are rich personalities (Aldabra)

    Consumer Adoption Process

    Please identify category:

    Innovators

    Early Adaptors

    Early Majority

    Late majority

    Laggards

    Most want to visit VDM on their first to Seychelles

    Psychographics

    Customer demand

    Lifestyle

    Motives

    Interests

    Most are motivated by need to visit renowned tourist site

    Some are nature enthusiasts

    BINP-MGNP Marketing Objectives:

    Grow revenues from xxx to xxxx by end 2008

    Grow total visitor numbers by 15% by end 2008

    By targeting new markets/customer segments

    By developing low season incentives

    Develop and market 2 Golden Monkey groups for tracking in MGNP by end 2008

    Develop 2 additional products/packages for each BINP and MGNP with trained guides by end 2007

    Improve promotional items and merchandise

  • Business Planning Toolkit Overview ctd.

  • Agenda Brainstorming Meeting with SIF Board on 18/11/2004

    Resources

    Market Analysis

    Marketing Plan

    Key QuestionsSIF (corporate level)AldabraValle de Mai

    Customers Who are the key customers What criteria used to separate them (demographics, economics, lifestyle etc)Dealers/tour guidesPalm enthusiastsGrant giversScientists/researchesCruise ships: couples >50, European/USA, very wealthy.Uni research orgsFilm MakersRich nature enthusiasts Divers, single 30-50Tourists to Seych: couples >30,wanting a quieter holiday, Europeans, high income.Professional photoCruise ship visitors

    Positioning What is the competition Positioning in terms of service delivery and product Why should the customer buy you and not competitionOther global and local nature based NGOs, Manage two WHS sites, good international reputation, largest dist coco de Mai, extensive stakeholder network.Galapagos, Madagascar, Top dive locationsUnique, Global significant, WHS, Giant Tortoises, pristine, extreme remotenessAll excursion operators and Fond FerdinandMarket leaderUnique, accessible, serene, natural mystical, WHS

    CONFIDENTIAL

    This document is confidential. Distribution of this document is strictly at the discretion of OP Management Consultancy. Holders of this document are responsible for its secure management at all times. The copyright of this document is vested in Shell International Petroleum Company Limited, London, UK. All rights reserved. Neither the whole nor part of this document may be disclosed to any third party, reproduced, stored in any retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means (electronic, mechanical, reprographic, recording or otherwise) without the prior written consent of the copyright owner.

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    UNESCO / IUCN / UNF / Uni.of.QLD / SIF / SF / SIEnhancing our Heritage Skills Sharing Project

    Business Planning Toolkit Section 3Market Analysis

    August 2004

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    Table of Contents

    Market Analysis - OverviewMarket DefinitionPEST AnalysisCustomer ProfileCompetitionStrategic Options

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    Market Analysis Overview

    Usually after the Company Analysis the Business Plan typically includes a Market/Industry analysis. This is important as in order for the business to achieve its mission/goals, it must first demonstrate ability to understand/incorporate all external factors to its business planning processThe level of control the business has over different external factors varies greatlyIn addition, the volatility of the market influences the business planning process. Typically, markets can be grouped as:Stable (little or no change, well established relationships, mature markets)Dynamic (moderate change, new entrants, often are newly liberalised markets)Turbulent: (unpredictable rapid change, often high level of technological development)

    This Section will help you understand the external factors that affect your business. Managing these factors to your best interest is often the basis of competitive advantage

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    Market Analysis Overview (cont.)

    The type of market is important in business planning as in a stable market a well-defined plan can be developed from the outset; but in highly turbulent markets, strategic decision are more likely to evolve as events unfoldThe Market Analysis section typically includes paragraphs over the competitors, the clients, the macro and micro environment etcAn illustrative description of the market environment could be the following

    Suppliersraw materials, components, goods & services

    Competitors

    Routes to MarketDistributors, value added resellers, independent service vendors, etc

    Customers

    Prospective Customers

    Global, national, local, political, economical influences. Labor unions. Government etc

    OWN BUSINESS

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    Market Definition

    This is the first paragraph of the Market Analysis section and it includes information on:industry typespecific market typemarket sizemain market segmentsmarket shares (of own business and of main competitors)market growthmarket trendsIn this section there is often a brief description of the products, the main competitors, the suppliers and the main customers (these topics will be addressed in detail later on)Sources of information for this sections are: industry reports, government data, market reviews/magazines, competitor analysis, statistical data etc

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    Market Definition (cont.)

    It is also very useful for the reader if there is information on the way the market is structured. One common (and effective) way to illustrate the way the market is structured is by using M. Porters 5 Forces Framework

    Market Definition

    The market we operate could be defined as following [x]

    The [x] market is growing at a rapid/slow rate. The market for these products amounted to $[x] million in 19[xx]--representing a [x]% growth over $[x] million in 19[xx].

    The overall [x] market for the [x] industry is projected to be $[x] million/billion by the end of 19[xx]. The overall market potential for [product category] is estimated to be $[x] million by 19[xx], and the [additional products] portion of this market is estimated to be $[x] million. The area of greatest growth in the [x] market is in the area of [x].

    The stability of this market segment is [volatile, uncertain, solid, etc.], based on [x] product category performance over the past two years.

    What do industry forecasters predict for the next two years?

    Key points in defining the market segment for [product] are [x], [x], and [x].

    By product feature, by lifestyle of target consumers, by geographical location, by season, etc.

    Include charts where appropriate.

    The major market segments are:

    [Segment 1]

    [Segment 2]

    List, by broad category, the types of customers you are likely to sell to. (Retailers, Electrical Contractors, Mail-order catalogs, etc.)

    Currently, the market is shared by [x] participants.

    How is the market distributed among major participants?

    Summarize your view of the trends and implied opportunities.

    Porters 5 forces Framework

    Framework Presentation

    The five-force framework provides checklists to analyse the industry structure, environment, and trends affecting industry profitability. The five main factors are:

    Suppliers

    Byers (or clients)

    Substitute products

    Competition - threat from new entries

    Competition - among existing competitors

    It identifies the most important drivers no industry competition or profitability

    It provides a concise overview of an industrys structural attractiveness

    The goal of this analysis is to find a position in the industry where the company can best defend itself against the five competitive forces or can influence them in its own favor

    How to use the framework

    Template Examples

    Force

    Examples

    Own business

    SUPPLIERS

    Differentiation of inputs

    Switching costs of suppliers and companies in the industry

    Presence of substitute inputs

    Supplier concentration

    Importance of volume to supplier

    Cost relative to total purchases in the industry

    Impact of inputs on cost or differentiation

    Threats of forward integration by companies in the industry

    BUYERS

    Bargaining leverage

    Buyer concentration versus company concentration

    Buyer volume

    Buyer switching costs relative to company switching costs

    Buyer information

    Ability to backward integrate

    Substitute products

    Pull-through

    Price sensitivity

    Price/ total purchases

    Product differences

    Brand identity

    NEW

    ENTRANTS

    Economies of scale

    Proprietary product differences

    Brand identity

    Capital requirements

    Switching costs

    Access to distribution channels

    Absolute cost advantages

    Proprietary learning curve

    Access to necessary inputs

    Proprietary low-cost product design

    Government policy

    Expected retaliation

    SUBSTITUTES

    Substitution Threats

    Relative price performance of substitutes

    Switching costs

    Buyer propensity to substitute

    INTERNAL

    COMPETITION

    Industrial growth

    Fixed (or storage) costs/ value added

    Intermittent over capacity

    Product differences

    Brand identity

    Switching costs

    Concentration and balance

    Informational complexity

    Diversity of competitors

    Corporate stakes

    Exit barriers

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    _1155024738.ppt

  • Intensity of rivalry among existing competitorsRivalry occurs when one or more competitors either feel the pressure or see the opportunity to improve positionRivalry takes the form of price competition, advertising battles, product introductions, etc.

    Bargaining power of suppliersSuppliers can exert bargaining power over participants in an industry by threatening to raise prices or reduce the quality of purchased goods and servicesPowerful suppliers can thereby squeeze profitability out of an industry unable to recover cost increases in its own prices

    Bargaining power of buyersBuyers compete with the industry by forcing prices down, bargaining for higher quality or more services, and turning competitors against each other - all at the expense of industry profitability

    Pressure from substitute productsSubstitutes limit the potential returns of an industry by placing a ceiling on the prices companies in the industry can charge

    Threat of entryNew entrants to an industry bring new capacity, the desire to gain market share and often substantial resourcesProfitability can thereby be reduced through the bidding down of prices or the inflation of cost

    Other (e.g. technological)Different industries may have different forces that require special consideration

    GovernmentMany consider this the sixth force as unaccounted for in the five forces model. It is often a critical factor

    Exit barriersHigh barriers to exit may also have a significant effect on the structure of an industry

    Global economicsThe global economic situation can greatly influence the profitability of an industry

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    PEST Analysis

    PEST Analysis lists the Political, Economic, Social and Technological external factors that may affect business performancePEST is very useful framework to address a business macroeconomic environmentBesides being a useful part of the Business Plan PEST can also be used (in a workshop) to help management develop a complete picture of the companys external environmentSome of the issues that are often discussed during PEST Analysis are:Political (& Legal): Direct and Indirect Taxes, Corporate Taxation, Public Spending, Regional and Industrial Policy., Monetary Policy & Interest Rate, Changes in International Trade, Competition Law, Deregulation/Regulation Issues, Bureaucracy, Corruption, Legal Issues etcEconomic: Business Cycle, Employment Levels, Inflation, Exchange Rates, Stockmarket Prices, Economic Development etc

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    PEST Analysis (cont.)

    Social (& Environmental): Population Growth, Age Structure, Rural to Urban Migration, Social and Cultural Shifts, Environmental Impact & Pressure Groups, Racial Issues, Education Levels etcTechnological: Level of expenditure in Research & Development, New Markets (as a result of a new technology), Production Methods, Rate of adoption of new technology et

    PEST Analysis Template

    Objective

    To identify the key macro-environmental influences (past, present and future) impacting an organisation or industry

    Methodology

    Gather external data (external opinion/fact) on key elements identified in the following slide. (Sources: government statistics/ reports, independent research / media reports, interviews etc). Dont forget to look at future trends in addition to past and current position.

    Invite to a workshop a diverse range of personnel from different levels of seniority (e.g. Chairman, production/sales/public affairs staff etc) and possibly some external representatives.

    Using the external data and internal opinion/fact, brainstorm the key environmental influences under each PEST heading in turn, particularly focusing on the three key questions.

    Identify the 4 or 5 most important environmental influences impacting on the organisation

    Template Examples

    Factor

    Examples

    Own business

    Political

    Foreign trade legislation

    Environmental protection laws

    Taxation policy

    Employment law

    Government stability

    Economic

    GDP trends

    Interest rates

    Inflation

    Unemployment

    Business cycles

    Social

    Population demographics

    Income distribution

    Lifestyle changes

    Levels of education

    Social mobility

    Technological

    New technologies

    Industry focus on technological effort

    Speed of technology transfer

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    Developing Strategy into Reality

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    Customer Profile

    Knowing exactly who you are selling to is crucial in obtaining favourable response from your investors. As customers we define people from which your company is obtaining financial benefits or people that have the power to stop your business from getting these financial benefitsCustomer Profiles in Business Plans varies hugely in length. In some cases, there is just a brief description of the key customers and in some there are detailed profiles using diverse criteriaSome of the criteria used for developing the customer profiles areDemographics (Age, Sex, Marital Status, Education, Profession etc)Economic Factors (High-Medium-Low Income, Personal Debt, Taxes, Savings Tendency)Consumer Adoption Process (groups all customers in: Innovators, Early Adaptors, Early Majority, Late majority, Laggards)Psychographics (Customer demand, lifestyle, motives, interests etc)

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    Customer Profile (cont.)

    The description of the customer profiles of the business should be closely linked to the product/service offering (discussed in the marketing plan) and to the overall strategyEspecially in the case of non-profit organisations and NGOs it is important to understand that there are direct and indirect customers. Often the indirect customers (the ones who are not directly related to the product or service) are more influential and have to be consideredAnother interesting view is that of external and internal customers. In that way, many of the internal (to the business) stakeholders can be also seen as customers

    Customer Profile Template

    CUSTOMER TYPE (OR NAME):..

    Factor

    Examples

    Please provide a brief description of key client characteristics

    Demographics

    Age

    Sex

    Marital Status

    Education

    Profession

    Economic Factors

    High-Medium-Low Income

    Personal Debt

    Taxes

    Savings Tendency

    Consumer Adoption Process

    Please identify category:

    Innovators

    Early Adaptors

    Early Majority

    Late majority

    Laggards

    Psychographics

    Customer demand

    Lifestyle

    Motives

    Interests

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    Competition

    Of critical importance in the business planning process is the Competition sectionUnderstanding competition is also very important for the Risk section later onInformation about competition is not as easy to find as that for the market but it still accessible. Some of the best sources are: the internet, published accounts, competitor reports, financial institutions etcTypically, the competition section includes information about: Competitor products/services (price, quality, specs etc)Competitors Organisation (structure, management, staff etc)Track record (reliability, selling points, word of mouth reputation etc)In some business plans, competition analysis follows a specific checklist (see following)

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    Competition (cont.)

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    Competition (cont.)

    It is often very useful to conduct a brief SWOT for the main competitors. A more advanced but useful technique is to rank competitors according to key success factors and compare with the business (Aakers Model)

    Competition

    COMPETITOR TYPE (OR NAME):..

    Factor

    Please provide a brief description of key competitor characteristics

    Products & Services

    Pricing Strategy

    Distribution Strategy

    Promotion Strategy

    Brief

    Competitor

    SWOT

    Analysis

    Strengths

    Opportunities

    Weaknessess

    Threats

    Aaker Analysis Template

    Objective

    To see competive relative strengths and weaknesses (in comparison to own company) by using a weighted scoring model

    Methodology

    Agree on the key success factors on which you are going to assess the companys competitors. These can be from 5 to 10 factors. Common factors used:

    Market Share

    Distribution

    Brand Image

    Product Quality

    Product Variety

    Patents

    R&D

    Financial Resources

    Agree on relative importance of factors for your market. Give importance weights to each (sum of weights must be 1.00)

    Rate the competitors. For each factors give a score (from 1 to 5 with 5 being very good performance)

    Rate own business

    Calculate scores (weights x scores).

    Use overall score to rank competitor effectiveness and the graph to illustrate big gaps in performance

    Template Examples

    Key Success Factor

    Importance Weight

    Own Business

    Competitor A

    Competitor B

    Competitor C

    Rating

    Score

    Rating

    Score

    Rating

    Score

    Rating

    Score

    Market Share

    0.25

    4.0

    1.0

    Distribution

    0.20

    3.0

    0.6

    Brand Image

    0.16

    4.0

    0.6

    Product Quality

    0.13

    3.0

    0.4

    Product Variety

    0.11

    5.0

    0.6

    Patents

    0.08

    4.0

    0.3

    R&D

    0.04

    4.0

    0.2

    Financial Resources

    0.03

    3.0

    0.2

    Overall

    1.00

    3.8

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    Strategic Options

    Having presented the company and its environment in the previous sections the author is now able to talk about strategic optionsThere is no widely accepted view on where this section should be located. Some short business plans even omit it. However, not talking about the strategic options of the business is like trying to go through the planning process without knowing exactly what the goals/options areDepending on the type and length of the Business Plan this section can be from a simple list of different options and a simple choice of one (supported from some brief reasons) to a detailed analysis using various frameworks and evaluation techniquesOnce the a strategic options had been selected the author must use the rest of the Business Plan in order to demonstrate how it is going to be applied. Keeping focus on the strategic direction of the business is essential when the author is presenting the business marketing, operational and HR strategy

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    Strategic Options (cont.)

    There are several dangers when writing this section of the business plan. The author must make sure thatThe strategic options listed are well-defined and presented in a simple and clear wayAll strategic options should be in line with the mission & goals of the business (contradictions will confuse the readers of the plan)Previous strategies should also be taken into account (business planning is a continuous & learning process)The process of evaluating options and selecting the most appropriate should be transparent and logicalAll strategic options should arise naturally from the company and market analysis that was undertaken earlier and not look forced fit (this often happens when trying to satisfy an idea/belief of the management without having supporting information). The link between the strategic options and the analysis conducted before is illustrated in the following diagram

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    Strategic Options (cont.)

    Strategic Options

    Political

    ExistingPlayers

    NewEntrants

    Supply

    Customers

    Substitution

    SWOT

    Social

    Economic

    Technological

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    Strategic Options (cont.)

    Before looking into the future the company should first evaluate its past. Previous strategies provide valuable lessons learnt and should not be ignored

    Strategic Options can be identified using different methods (interviews, focus groups, brainstorming etc) and evaluated with diverse criteria (financial impact, market impact, proximity to current strategy, risk involved, feasibility etc). The selection of the method and of the criteria must be distinct for each organisation in order to fully meet its needs

    Briefly describe previous strategy

    Was or is the strategy effective? Why or why not? Should it be considered as a strategy for the future? Why or why not?

    Strategic Options Template

    Strategic issue(stated as a question)

    Proposed strategy

    Assumptions, facts, andvalues which support this proposed strategy?

    What possible obstacles do we face in implementing this strategy?

    What triggers might encourage us to re-evaluate this strategy?

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    Ranking Factors

    Financial impact

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    Risk

    Other .

    Overall

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    Strategic Options (cont.)

    Michael Porter identified three generic strategies: cost leadership, differentiation and focus (cost or differentiation). In some occasions, evaluating strategic options become clearer when trying to think the business strategy in these terms

    Equally popular, is Ansoffs market based approach to strategic options. According to this theory, there are four major strategies: market penetration, product development, market development and diversification

  • Differentiation

    Low Cost

    Focus

    Niche (narrow target)

    Head on (broad target)

    Cost Leadership

    Differentiation

    How to Compete

    Where to Compete

  • Present

    New

    CUSTOMER

    New

    Present

    MarketPenetration

    MarketDevelopment

    ProductDevelopment

    Diversification

    PRODUCT

    CONFIDENTIAL

    This document is confidential. Distribution of this document is strictly at the discretion of OP Management Consultancy. Holders of this document are responsible for its secure management at all times. The copyright of this document is vested in Shell International Petroleum Company Limited, London, UK. All rights reserved. Neither the whole nor part of this document may be disclosed to any third party, reproduced, stored in any retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means (electronic, mechanical, reprographic, recording or otherwise) without the prior written consent of the copyright owner.

    Shell Confidential

    UNESCO / IUCN / UNF / Uni.of.QLD / SIF / SF / SIEnhancing our Heritage Skills Sharing Project

    Business Planning Toolkit Section 4Marketing Plan

    August 2004

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    Table of Contents

    Marketing Plan OverviewMarketing StrategyProductPricingPlace (Distribution)PromotionMarket Forecasting

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    Marketing Plan Overview

    An essential part of any Business Plan is the Marketing PlanThe Marketing Plan includes detail information on the customers you wish to target, the products and services you are trying to sell them and the ways in which you plan to deliver them to the marketIn addition, it outlines your plans for future advertising and promotion activities and the costs associated with completing these activities.Lastly, it attempts to predict your future sales based on market research and customer information

    This Section will help you market your goods and services to your customers. Their support is necessary in achieving many of your business goals

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    Marketing Strategy

    The Marketing Strategy is the first section of the Marketing PlanTo develop the Marketing Strategy, the market and the potential customers must be analysedMarketing strategy differs from Sales strategy as marketing has a customer focus rather than a product focusThe marketing strategy process typically includes the following steps:

    Marketing Objectives

    Market & Customer Analysis

    Market Segmentation

    Market Targeting

    Marketing Mix

    Market Positioning

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    Marketing Strategy (cont.)

    The first part of your marketing strategy should set your marketing objectivesThe marketing objectives can be various and usually include:growth aspirations (% of sales, sales volumes, market share growth etc)target market segments (expansion of current segments, new market segments etc)target customers (new customer types for the same product, adapt product to approach new customers etc)The marketing objectives must be fully aligned with the goals & objectives (financial & non-financial) that were stated previously in the Business Plan

    Examples:Our objective is to increase our sales by x%, to expand it geographically into the a, b, & c new regions, and to gain more recognition among the y customer segment

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    Marketing Strategy (cont.)

    After stating the objectives, the Marketing Strategy usually continues with market and customer analysisThis is important as the more you know about your markets & customers, the better you will be able to target them with your marketing activitiesIn this section, the author of the Plan must try to avoid overlaps with previous sections (about the market and the customers). After reading this section the reader of the Plan should typically be able to answer the following questions:What market need does the business address?What products serve that need?Who buys the products?Why do customers buy?Who makes the buying decision?Where do customers buy?

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    Marketing Strategy (cont.)

    Even if the author of the Plan cannot answer all the above questions he/she must try to include a well-defined description of all current segmented customer types for all the goods and services provided. Understanding the markets and the customers is often quite difficult. According to professor M. Porter the key is to first understand the buyers behaviour

    Product,Price,Place,Promotion

    Marketing Stimuli

    Economic,Technological,Political,Cultural

    Other Stimuli

    Cultural,Social,Personal,Psychological

    Buyers Characteristics

    Problem recognition,Information search,Evolution,Decision,Post-purchase behaviour

    Buyers decision process

    Product choice,Brand choice,Retailer choice,Purchase timing,Purchase amount

    Buyers decisions

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    Marketing Strategy (cont.)

    After the market and customer analysis usually follows the market segmentation sectionA market segment is a sufficiently defined group of buyers with differentiated needs and preferences that can be targeted with a differentiated marketing mixMarket segmentation is an essential part of the marketing strategy as by adjusting the marketing mix to address specific segments needs the business can increase its sales / profitsA practical example that illustrates the value of segmentation is air travel. The business travelers are happy to pay a significantly higher price for some extra product attributes (flexible tickets, extra space etc). However, adjusting the marketing mix also results in increased costs. In that way, for the market segmentation to be of value the benefits must outweigh the incurred costsThe segments must be measurable, easily identifiable and distinct. There are four main segmentation methods (see following diagram)

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    Marketing Strategy (cont.)

    Based on geographic criteria. Using tools such as postcode databases etc

    Geographic Segmentation

    Based on lifestyle, personal values and attitudes

    Psychographic Segmentation

    Based on demographic criteria (such as age, gender, income, social class etc)

    Demographic Segmentation

    Based on criteria such as: customer knowledge of product, purchase patterns, intensity of use, loyalty etc

    Behavioural Segmentation

    market segments

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    Marketing Strategy (cont.)

    After segmenting the market/s the business can proceed to market targetingTargeting essentially refers to the process with which the business decides which markets to serve By targeting market segments, the business can allocate its limited resources to the most efficient useTargeting should be performed by using two basic criteriaMarket attractiveness (based on financial & non-financial measures)Availability of resources (some segments may appear very attractive but the business might not have the necessary resources & skills available to select them)When deciding which segments to target you must also consider that the same product often cannot apply to many different segments. Tailoring the product implies extra costThe selected target segments must be aligned with the other segments of the plan. For example if your product is primarily targeting at a teenage customer group (that doesnt read newspapers but watches on average 3 hrs. of TV per day) then the advertising section should not suggest promoting the product in the daily newspapers

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    Marketing Strategy (cont.)

    The marketing mix is a tool to position products in the target market segmentsIt is defined by the four Ps:ProductPricePlace (distribution)PromotionAll elements of the marketing mix together with service constitute the offerThe elements of the marketing mix should be interlinked so that the value proposition is consistent. For example, you cannot offer a luxury product (that is perceived as a status symbol) at a low price (in comparison to the market expectations). If you do, then most likely the market will perceive your product as of lower valueEach aspect of the marketing mix will be addressed separately in the later sections

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    Marketing Strategy (cont.)

    Market Positioning in marketing terms refers to the way which customers perceive your company and product, relative to competitionPositioning answers three basic questions:Who is the brand for (ie the Target Group)What is the competition (I.e. the Competitive Frame)Why should the customer buy this brand instead of the competition (Reasons to Prefer)Positioning can:Force you to come to terms with who our customer isLead you away from attempting to be all things to all peopleHelp you identify our strengths; both functional and emotionalKeep you focused on our real competitors

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    Marketing Strategy (cont.)

    Most important, effective positioning allows you to differentiate your companys product from competitionAn effectively differentiated product exists when:The difference provides additional value to the customerThere is sufficiently large demand for this differenceThe difference is easily communicated and perceivedThe incremental cost of producing this difference is lower than the incremental revenueYou should spell out your Positioning and it should be based on market research.Positioning information can be gathered from diverse sources: market research (I.e. questionnaire surveys, telephone interviews etc), focus groups (with the top management, with key customers etc)Professional research companies

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    Marketing Strategy (cont.)

    In order to understand your products positioning in the market the author of the Business Plan can use a positional matrix. The matrix is a useful tool that uses the two most important dimensions of a product (i.e. cost, performance, taste, status, ease of use, technological features or else) to show the relative positioning of the product in comparison to the competition

    TEMPLATE / SAMPLE

    4.1. Positional Matrix Template

  • High

    Dimension Y

    Product Positional Matrix - Template

    Low

    High

    Low

    Dimension X

    Instructions: Decide the two most important aspects (dimensions of the product) Rate your product and all competitive products according to a standard scale for both dimension Use a volume indicator (I.e. sales revenues) Input data into the chart (double click) View competitive positioning

  • Perceived Engine Power

    Product Positional Matrix - Example

    Perceived Safety

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    Product

    One of the four elements of the marketing mix, the Product section is an important part of the Marketing Plan Its purpose is to describe the goods and services that you are offering your customer. The author of the Plan should use this section to list the unique features of your goods and services and benefits to the customerThe product description should refer to both their tangible (size, weight, price) and intangible aspects (brand, status etc)

    Product examples for Seychelles Island Foundation:Access to Aldabra for research purposes, Access to Vallee de Mai for tourists, Sale of Coco de Mer Palm nuts, Sale of other tourist items, Research Data etc

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    Product (cont.)

    Typically in this section the Business Plan lists all the products and services that the business offers to its customers. Their description can be in terms of:DesignPrice (briefly)FeaturesQualityVariationsPackagingBrandService offering

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    Pricing

    Pricing is a critical part of your marketing plan as it is one of the main levers you have in your financial plan and goalsPricing is one of the most effective marketing tools you have to promote your business as price:Conveys imageAffects demandAssists in targeting your market segmentIn this Section, the author of the Business Plan should explain:What is the companys pricing policies for all of its different products and servicesWhich are the main reasons for the pricing policy you chose.How do the business prices compare to competitionOther pricing issues (bulk discounts, credit terms, payment methods etc)

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    Pricing (cont.)

    The most commonly used pricing techniques are:Mark-up and margin pricing: This is where your profit is either determined as a percentage of the cost price or of the sell price. Where the profit percentage is based on the cost price, it is referred to as mark-up. Where it is based on the sell price it is known as margin. Breakeven pricing: Breakeven pricing is where you calculate the breakeven point of your business - the point at which your sales income and your fixed and variable costs are equal - and set your prices by adding your profit margin onto your unit price.Perception pricing: This type of pricing technique may require a significant amount of market research. It is often suitable where a brand new type of product is being introduced into the marketplace and the price is determined by what your target market perceives to be its value, I.e. how much they would pay for it.

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    Place (Distribution)

    This section of the Marketing Plan represents the Place element of the marketing mix and describes the distribution model and channels the business uses to reach its customers (retail, wholesalers, brokers, door to door, mail order, internet, etc.)The determining factors in choosing distribution channels are: Customer profileGeographyProduct typeBuying Behavioural PatternsSeasonal variationsEfficient use of fundsAbility to use existing channels (already used by other company products)The author of the Plan should also explain how the choice of distribution channels will impact the customer service delivery or support the overall product offer

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    Promotion

    In this section of the marketing plan should describe the tools and methods you are going to use to increase your customers awareness of your products and servicesPromotion is often seen as a cost but if used effectively its a valuable and necessary investment. Promotional and advertising campaigns will increase your company awareness, your product recognition (among business managers, retailers, buyers and customers) and increase salesIn the Promotion section of your Marketing Plan, you should make it clear who the segmented customers are that you want to focus your promotional activities on, and if this includes retailers and buyers as well.This section should include a description of the process you will use to engage the advertising agents, or other contractors, who will undertake the promotional activities.It should also describe how your advertising/promotion objectives fit together to maximise the impact of your overall promotional campaign.

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    Promotion (cont.)

    Subsections often included in the promotion section are: Media Objectives: What do you want to get out of using the media, what image do you want to portray as an organisation, for example professional, reliable, eco friendly, etc?Media Strategy: What medium to you want to use, what publications do you want to target and in what position, how frequently do you want to use the media, what audience will you focus on (referring to your customer profile), Advertising Campaign: What look and feel do you want to convey about your company, what will be the delivery and tone of your statements, how big an audience do you intend to reach, what kind of response rate are you expecting,

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    Examples of Promotional Material:

    Promoting an Organisation: Amnesty International

    Promoting a Location: Queensland

    Promoting a Product:: Shell Helix

    Promotion (cont.)

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    Promotion (cont.)

    The author of the Plan should also provide a realistic budget for all promotional and advertising activitiesThe budget should include all costs associated with:AdvertisingDirect marketingSales promotionCouponsBundlingJoint promotionsLoyalty programsPublic Relations (PR)

    TEMPLATE / SAMPLE

    4.4. Marketing Budget Template

    Sheet1

    Marketing Budget

    20032004200520062007

    Advertising$6,000$3,000$2,000$4,000$6,000

    Direct marketing$3,000$3,000$3,000$3,000$3,000

    Sales promotion$3,000$3,000$4,000$4,000$5,000

    Coupons & Bundling$1,000$1,500$1,400$2,000$3,000

    Bundling$1,000$1,500$1,400$2,000$3,000

    Joint promotions$800$1,400$2,000$3,000$3,200

    Loyalty programs$1,000$1,500$2,000$1,300$1,000

    Public Relations (PR)$4,000$7,000$6,000$7,000$9,000

    Training$2,000$1,800$1,800$1,800$1,800

    total$21,800$23,700$23,600$28,100$35,000

    Sheet1

    Advertising

    Direct marketing

    Sales promotion

    Coupons & Bundling

    Bundling

    Joint promotions

    Loyalty programs

    Public Relations (PR)

    Training

    Marketing Costs By Year

    Sheet2

    Sheet3

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    Market Forecasting

    Marketing forecasting is an extremely important part of your Business Plan as it influences the companys profitability (if sales are underestimated) and also the quality of service (if sales are overestimated) The central role of market forecasting in the planning process is illustrated below:

    Addressable / Potential Market

    Sales Volumes

    Prices

    Market Value

    Market Forecasting

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    Market Forecasting (cont.)

    In order for the forecast to be accurate, the author of the Plan has to follow a concise and robust market forecasting process. This could be the following:Define the market to be forecastedDefine the required forecast intervals and forecast horizonEstablish time and financial resources available to make forecastSelect the appropriate forecasting techniqueGather data and size the existing and potential marketMake a forecast in form of time series (including assumptions)Test forecast for sensitivity and benchmarkingIteration (review forecast assumptions again)Present/Use forecast

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    Market Forecasting (cont.)

    Forecasting techniques can vary from very simple to extremely complex. In general, they are grouped into two main categories:Quantitative methods such as regression analysisQualitative or technological methods such as diffusion or innovation modelsForecasts should be based upon historical data with projected growth rates for each market segment. The author of the Business Plan must assure that the growth rates are be realistic and based on strong evidence (i.e. market research)Market Forecasts are often presented in graphical form as well as tabular form

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    Market Forecasting (cont.)

    It is important that all key market assumptions on which the market forecast is based on are documented. They should include assumptions on:The future political, economic, social and technological environmentThe attractiveness of the markets in which the business operates and its ability to compete in them.The relationship between the assumptions and the forecast figures should be clear.It is very important to include some sensitivity analysis around you assumptions to check the robustness of your market forecasting.

    Sheet1

    example of simple forecasting template (using SIF products)

    Market Forecast

    Potential CustomersGrowth20032004200520062007

    Coco de Mer Palms30%1000013000169002197028561

    Visitors to Vallee20%20002600338043945712.2

    Research groups to Aldabra10%100130169219.7285.61

    Other tourist items50%5006508451098.51428.05

    Sheet1

    Coco de Mer Palms

    Visitors to Vallee

    Research groups to Aldabra

    Other tourist items

    Market Forecast

    Chart2

    2003100002000100500

    2004130002600130650

    2005169003380169845

    2006219704394219.71098.5

    2007285615712.2285.611428.05

    Potential Customers

    Coco de Mer Palms

    Visitors to Vallee

    Research groups to Aldabra

    Other tourist items

    Market Forecast

    Sheet2

    Sheet3

  • Agenda Brainstorming Meeting with SIF Board on 18/11/2004

    Key QuestionsSIF (corporate level)AldabraValle de Mai

    Product Merchandise of actual products (Coco-de-Mer, Aldabra merchandise etc)Coco-de Mai, merchandising, Access to tourists, access to research, photo license, research reports, merchandising, adopt an animal Access to tourists, photographic licenses, lease out shop,

    Promotion Tools and methods for promoting corporate image and products (in terms of effectiveness and cost)Web site photo of the month initiative. More control on the image portrayed by Seychelles tourist mark auth.More regular newsletter and look at widening the audience (tour operators, scientist community, o/s network)Publish reports and send them to research and science community with brochures outlining research opportunity.Organise 2 week multi discipline research trip to Aldabra, Using o/s network to promote via speeches, e-mails, letters, pay for advertisements in science mag and write article about trip to publishPoster in airport Advertise in flight magTwice year write article to publish in flight mag.Attend hotel greeting nights once a weekUpdate brochure an consider paying commission to sell tickets

    Role Description Example

    Retailer

    The Retailer articulates an exemplary vision of customer service and is able to hire, train, and coach staff to provide this high level of service. The Retailer has superior management skills, understands the importance of bottom line performance and works to improve it by growing the business within the standards and guidelines set . Most importantly, the Retailer realizes that this must occur in an environment where the safety of their customers and staff is a foremost consideration.

    General Description

    Role Title

    Retailer

    Purpose of the role

    To deliver the customer promise on site/s by leading a well-trained and highly motivated team from the front, following adherence to all policies and procedures; whilst ensuring a profitable return.

    Key Accountabilities:

    Deliver the Customer Promise

    Actively engage with customers to meet their needs. Personally handle, or assist site staff to handle, difficult, complex or sensitive customer complaints or problems, by telephone or face to face. Ability to deliver high operational standards.

    Recruit and Train Staff

    Responsible for the recruitment and training of site / cluster staff. Encourages and supports a learning environment. Has the ability to coach and train staff to a consistently high standard.

    Sell

    Improves the competitive performance of the business by employing the service etiquette. Identifies and maximizes business opportunities, with compliance through attention to detail.

    Day to Day Management

    Manage one or a cluster of sites, with average staff per site of XX people, covering all aspects of day to day supervision, scheduling, training, motivation and welfare, to ensure a happy, energised team able to offer outstanding care and responsiveness to customers

    Adherence to Procedures & Policies

    Ability to work within given parameters, appreciates the impact of own and teams actions on the business. Protects and promotes the brand of Shell.

    Profitable Return

    Passionate for achieving and exceeding targets, sets and monitors team objectives and targets; proven ability to deliver results.

    Dimensions

    Manage costs and budgets with P&L responsibility. Manage one or a cluster of sites with team of up to YY people

    Gap Analysis

    Employees Name: BMCA Ranger Guide

    Instructions

    Complete this review form as comprehensively as possible after each review. Use one form per individual and enter the date of each review.

    Review all of the competency areas with the individual at the end of the assignment. Feedback your comments about his/her performance in terms of both strengths/weaknesses and identify and agree specific gaps and areas requiring improvement

    Metrics

    Scores are given using a 1 to 5 scale (with 5 indicating the highest level of performance)

    Weight Factors are also given on a 1 to 5 scale (with 5 indicating the highest importance)

    Assessment Factors

    The Gap Analysis between role requirements and actual employee performance will be based on the following 14 factors:

    Communication skills

    Language skills

    Sales & Marketing skills

    Public relations skills

    Problem solving skills

    Physical fitness

    Defence skills

    First Aid skills

    Tracking skills

    Map interpretation & GPS skills

    Health monitoring skills

    Product knowledge e.g. gorillas, birds

    Knowledge of culture, history, environment

    Knowledge of animal behaviours and health

    Explanation of factors is provided in the Appendix

    Step 1: Set the Skills Requirements of Role (including relative importance)

    SKILLS

    Weight - Importance

    Target Score - Expectation

    1. COMMUNICATION SKILLS

    5

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    2. LANGUAGE SKILLS

    3

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    3. SALES & MARKETING SKILLS

    4

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    4. PUBLIC RELATIONS SKILLS

    3

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    5. PROBLEM SOLVING SKILLS

    3

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6. DEFENCE SKILLS

    2

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    7. FIRST AID SKILLS

    4

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    8. TRACKING SKILLS

    1

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    9. MAP & GPS SKILLS

    4

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    10. HEALTH MONITORING SKILLS

    2

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    KNOWLEDGE

    Weight - Importance

    Target Score - Expectation

    11. PRODUCT KNOWLEDGE

    5

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    12. KNOWLEDGE OF CULTURE & HISTORY

    4

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    13. KNOWLEDGE OF ANIMAL BEHAVIOURS & HEALTH

    3

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    BEHAVIOUR

    Weight - Importance

    Target Score - Expectation

    14. PHYSICAL FITNESS

    4

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    Step 2: Use target scores above to identify the skills & competencies requirements of the role. Plot the results in the Gap Analysis Template at the end (Step 5)

    Step 3: Define employee performance during the assessment period

    SKILLS

    Weight - Importance

    Actual Score Current Status

    1. COMMUNICATION SKILLS

    5

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    2. LANGUAGE SKILLS

    3

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    3. SALES & MARKETING SKILLS

    4

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    4. PUBLIC RELATIONS SKILLS

    3

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    5. PROBLEM SOLVING SKILLS

    3

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6. DEFENCE SKILLS

    2

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    7. FIRST AID SKILLS

    4

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    8. TRACKING SKILLS

    1

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    9. MAP & GPS SKILLS

    4

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    10. HEALTH MONITORING SKILLS

    2

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    KNOWLEDGE

    Weight - Importance

    Actual Score Current Status

    11. PRODUCT KNOWLEDGE

    5

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    12. KNOWLEDGE OF CULTURE & HISTORY

    4

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    13. KNOWLEDGE OF ANIMAL BEHAVIOURS & HEALTH

    3

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    BEHAVIOUR

    Weight - Importance

    Actual Score Current Status

    14. PHYSICAL FITNESS

    4

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    Step 4: Use scores above to identify employee performance. Plot the results in the Gap Analysis Template using a different colour than in Step 2

    Step 5: Review Gap Analysis Template below in order to identify the major gap areas

    Step 6: List gaps in the table below and prioritise according to their importance (step 1). Write down the most important gaps first. Briefly comment on possible reasons that led to the gaps

    List of Gaps

    Skill Gap Area

    Comments

    Importance

    Why is it important for gap to be closed ?

    How will gap be closed ? e.g. training

    5

    5

    5

    4

    4

    3

    3

    2

    2

    1

    1

    4

  • Business Planning Toolkit Overview ctd.

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    SIF Risk Evaluation Framework

    Risk Impact

    Likelihood of Occurrence

    Low High

    Low High

    Competition from Fond Ferdinand

    Safety & Security

    Natural Disasters

    Government Intervention

    Human Resources Issues

    Relationship Management Issues

    Market Shifts

    High Priority Risk Items

    Low Priority Risk Items

    Comments / Definitions:1. Risk Impact Ratings took into account financial impact & environment impact2. Likelihood of occurrence is defined from frequency and location of event3. Safety & Security Risk include: Poaching, Human Accidents, Vandalism etc4. Natural Disasters Risk include: Global warming, Fires, Major storms and other natural disasters5. Government Intervention Risk includes: Changes in Legislation, Possibility of spliting SIF operations (in Aldabra and Vallee de Mai)6. Human Resource Issues Risk includes: Loss of key staff, strikes, Fraud etc7. Relationship Management Issues Risk includes: Local Community problems, Damage in Reputation, Problems with suppliers, Problems with Tour Operators etc8. Market Shifts Risk includes: Drop in tourism in Seychelles etc

    UWA Risk Responses

    Appendix 7.3.1: Competition from other Countries

    Heading

    Content Description

    Risk Description

    Competition from Rwanda for Gorilla tourism

    Link to Business Objectives

    Reduced tourists for gorillas

    Risk Owner (Focal Point)

    Chief Warden (John Bosco Nuwe)

    Current Risk Responses

    Low permit price

    Increased tourist numbers per habituated gorilla group from 6 to 8

    Impact / Likelihood Rationale

    Likelihood is high (4, could happen once a year in Bwindi or region) but impact is medium (3, cost of 600 million Shs).

    Actions

    Train tour guides for better service provision and interpretation

    Monitor quality of services provided by tour companies and hoteliers in PAs

    Improve gorilla surveillance and communication to ensure availability of gorillas for viewing

    Redesign gorilla tracking trails to ease tracking activity

    Improve transportation for trackers to convenient starting points

    Provide before and after tracking leisure activities to tourists

    Motivate efficient tour companies

    Improve access (Roads) to the PA

    Remarks

    (Optional)

    Appendix 7.3.2 Fire in Bwindi Forest

    Heading

    Content Description

    Risk Description

    FIRE

    Seasonal wild fires

    Human induced fires

    Link to Business Objectives

    Destruction of biodiversity

    Loss of Revenue

    Long-term cost to regenerate the infrastructure.

    Risk Owner (Focal Point)

    Edwin Kagoda (Monitoring and Research Warden)

    Current Risk Responses

    Fire lines in place.

    Fire fighting

    Impact / Likelihood Rationale

    Likelihood high (4, could happen once per year) but impact Medium (3, cost of 600million Shs).

    Actions

    Response plan.(Time.Responsible person. Cost)

    Training for staff and communities.

    Maintenance of fire lines.

    Equipment

    Alternative tourist trails.

    Remarks

    (Optional)

    Appendix 7.3.3: Disease outbreak (Human and livestock)

    Heading

    Content Description

    Risk Description

    An epidemic

    Human induced

    Domestic livestock induced

    Link to Business Objectives

    Increased expenditure

    Reduced tourism activities

    Possible Loss of some Gorillas

    Negative park publicity

    Risk Owner (Focal Point)

    Dr. Etimnedi (Veterinary coordinator)

    Current Risk Responses

    Constant monitoring

    Scrutinising tourists and other visitors for possible illnesses

    Proper waste management

    Regular Patrols to keep away domestic animals

    Gorilla tracking rules/regulations in place

    Impact / Likelihood Rationale

    Likelihood low (2, could happen twice in five years in Uganda) but impact is high (4, cost of 1billion Shs).

    Actions

    Issuing guidelines on prevention of disease transmission

    Community health sensitisation

    Maintain enough drug supplies

    Improve field and headquarter communication

    Vaccination of domestic animals around PA

    Remarks

    (Optional)

    Groups of Tourists tracking Gorillas has been increased from 6 to 8

    Appendix 7.3.4: Encroachment

    Heading

    Content Description

    Risk Description

    Cultivation inside park boundaries

    Illegal resource harvesting

    Illegal grazing inside PA boundaries

    Link to Business Objectives

    Loss of Park estate and integrity

    Depletion of park resources and revenue

    Risk Owner (Focal Point)

    Mr. Zabasaadda (Law Enforcement Warden)

    Current Risk Responses

    Patrols

    Zoning the park to provide a community resource use zone

    Executing MoUs with the communities

    Established CPIs

    Boundary re-opening

    Impact / Likelihood Rationale

    Likelihood is medium (3, could happen once a year in any PA in Uganda) but impact is also medium (3, cost of 600 million Shs).

    Actions

    Boundary demarcation and maintenance

    Community sensitisation

    Eviction and arrest of defaulters

    Use CPIs in community awareness programmes

    Remarks

    (Optional)

    Appendix 7.3.5: Poaching

    Heading

    Content Description

    Risk Description

    Hunting to kill for wild game meat

    Hunting to kill and obtain souvenirs

    Hunting to capture for pets

    Hunting to capture for international trade

    Link to Business Objectives

    Reduced wildlife numbers

    Migration of wildlife to neighbouring conservation areas

    Poor collaboration between staff and communities

    Reduced tourism activities

    Reduced revenues from tourism

    Risk Owner (Focal Point)

    Mr. Zabasaadda (Law Enforcement Warden)

    Current Risk Responses

    Constant patrols in the forest

    Community sensitisation

    Revenue sharing scheme

    Arresting and prosecution of poachers

    Impact / Likelihood Rationale

    Likelihood high (5, could happen twice a year in Bwindi) but impact is low (1, cost of less than 1 million Shs).

    Actions

    Research on wildlife meat markets and close them

    Deploy community members as information gatherers

    Revise, publicise and implement regulations on keeping wildlife animals as Pets, and also on wildlife souvenirs.

    Provide economic incentives to potential poachers e.g. jobs

    Remarks

    (Optional)

    Appendix 7.3.6: Migration of Gorillas for long period of time

    Heading

    Content Description

    Risk Description

    Crossing of gorilla groups to DRC and Rwanda for a long period e.g. in MGNP

    Un availability of habituated gorilla groups for tourism

    Link to Business Objectives

    Considerable loss of revenue from gorilla tourism

    Redundant staff

    Closure of gorilla tracking activity

    Cost of refunding already purchased tickets

    Risk Owner (Focal Point)

    Mr. Okoti M. (Warden Tourism)

    Current Risk Responses

    Monitoring Gorilla movements

    Regional cooperation initiatives

    Impact / Likelihood Rationale

    Likelihood is low (1, could happen once in ten years in Uganda) but impact is high (4, cost of 1billion Shs).

    Actions

    Habituate more gorilla groups

    Strengthen Regional cooperation

    Promote other tourist attractions

    Remarks

    (Optional)

    Two other groups of Gorillas have been ear marked for habituation

    Appendix 7.3.7: High staff turnover

    Heading

    Content Description

    Risk Description

    Dismissal of staff

    Staff resignations

    Non renewal of staff contracts

    Link to Business Objectives

    Increased costs of retraining and induction

    Stagnation of planned activities

    Loss of Organisational credibility

    Risk Owner (Focal Point)

    Chief Warden (John Bosco Nuwe)

    Current Risk Responses

    Transferring staff to and from different sections and departments

    Recruitment of new staff

    Impact / Likelihood Rationale

    Likelihood is medium (3, could happen once a year in any PA in Uganda) but impact is low (2, cost of 100 million Shs).

    Actions

    Counsel staff regularly

    Hold regular meetings with staff to discuss HR issues

    Build capacity of staff through training

    Remarks

    (Optional)

    Appendix 7.3.8: Dangerous wild animals in PA

    Heading

    Content Description

    Risk Description

    Presence of man-eating wild animals

    Link to Business Objectives

    Reduced staff activity due to fears

    Reduced numbers of visitors/tourists

    Risk Owner (Focal Point)

    Mr. Zabasaadda (Law Enforcement Warden)

    Current Risk Responses

    Constant monitoring and patrols

    Impact / Likelihood Rationale

    Likelihood is low (2, could happen twice in five years in Uganda) impact is also low (1, cost of less than 1 million Shs).

    Actions

    Information gathering for locations

    Animal cropping operations to reduce their numbers

    Provision of security

    Redesign trails to avoid dangerous areas

    Remarks

    (Optional)

    Appendix 7.3.9: Attacks of humans by Gorillas

    Heading

    Content Description

    Risk Description

    Ambushes with the intention to harm Staff and Tourists by un habituated gorillas

    Link to Business Objectives

    Reduced staff activity due to fears

    Reduced numbers of visitors/tourists

    Risk Owner (Focal Point)

    Mr. Zabasaadda (Law Enforcement Warden)

    Current Risk Responses

    Provision of security by Rangers and UPDF (SWIFT force)

    Impact / Likelihood Rationale

    Likelihood is low (2, could happen twice in five years in Uganda) impact is also low (2, cost of 100 million Shs).

    Actions

    Identify the feeding range of un habituated gorillas and plan accordingly

    Conduct research on behaviour response to such risk and disseminate the information

    Leave not more than 2 un habituated groups depending on their use and their feeding range

    Remarks

    (Optional)

    Appendix 7.3.10: Decrease of gorilla tourist numbers

    Heading

    Content Description

    Risk Description

    Numbers of tourists interested in gorillas reduce with time

    Link to Business Objectives

    Declining revenues from gorilla tourism

    Reduced internal revenues for self sustainability

    Dependency on donor funds to run activities

    Risk Owner (Focal Point)

    Chief Warden (John Bosco Nuwe)

    Current Risk Responses

    Increased marketing and publicity of PA

    Impact / Likelihood Rationale

    Likelihood is low (1, could happen once in ten years in Uganda) but impact is high (4, cost of 1 billion Shs).

    Actions

    Launch and promote other tourist activities/attractions

    Promote local tourism

    Intensify marketing activities

    Remarks

    (Optional)

    Appendix 7.3.11: Theft

    Heading

    Content Description

    Risk Description

    Theft of customer and UWA properties

    Link to Business Objectives

    Loss of property and hence costs for replacement

    Loss of credibility of the Organisation and its staff

    Poor collaboration with the neighbouring communities

    Reduced days of stay in PA by visitors

    Risk Owner (Focal Point)

    Mr. Zabasaadda (Law Enforcement Warden)

    Current Risk Responses

    Deployment of security staff

    Establishment of Security gates

    Impact / Likelihood Rationale

    Likelihood is high (4, could happen once a year in Bwindi or region) but impact is low (1, cost of less than 1 million Shs).

    Actions

    Scrutiny of visitors and staff entering and leaving the Gate

    Prohibition of entry of redundant members of the local community

    Develop by-laws on security measures and ensure that hoteliers provide their own internal security.

    Arrest and prosecute offenders in courts of law

    Remarks

    (Optional)

    Appendix 7.3.12: Donor fatigue

    Heading

    Content Description

    Risk Description

    Loss of donor funding for UWA and BMCA

    Link to Business Objectives

    Scaled down planned activities

    Risk Owner (Focal Point)

    Executive Director (Moses Mapesa)

    Current Risk Responses

    Improvement of internal revenue generating activities

    Recruitment of Marketing Manager

    Controlling fraud

    Managing recurrent expenditure

    Impact / Likelihood Rationale

    Likelihood is low (2, could happen twice in five years in Uganda) but impact is medium (3, cost of 600 million Shs).

    Actions

    Increase publicity and marketing for tourism potential in Uganda

    Diversify tourism attractions

    Start trust fund for UWA

    Remarks

    (Optional)

    Appendix 7.3.13: Community sabotage

    Heading

    Content Description

    Risk Description

    Community uprising against PA staff

    Link to Business Objectives

    Implementation of activities slowed down

    Spill over of effects to tourists

    Risk Owner (Focal Point)

    Mr. Benoni M. (Warden Community Conservation)

    Current Risk Responses

    Implementation of community related programmes e.g. Revenue sharing

    Staff and community sensitisation for good public relations

    Impact / Likelihood Rationale

    Likelihood is low (2, could happen twice in five years in Uganda) impact is also low (2, cost of 100 million Shs).

    Actions

    Use and or involve Government structures to implement conservation programmes

    Negotiate and also use 3rd parties as strategies and techniques to resolve conflicts

    Negotiate for MOUs with communities

    Carry out community sensitisation

    Remarks

    (Optional)

    Appendix 7.3.14: Flooding and Landslides

    Heading

    Content Description

    Risk Description

    Occasional occurrence of floods and landslides in and around the PAs

    Link to Business Objectives

    Creation of ugly scenic views which distract tourists and conservationists

    Biodiversity loss

    Risk Owner (Focal Point)

    Mr. Edwin Kagoda (Monitoring and Research Warden)

    Current Risk Responses

    Nil

    Impact / Likelihood Rationale

    Likelihood is medium (3, could happen once a year in any PA in Uganda) but impact is low (1, cost of less than 1million Shs).

    Actions

    Turn the sites into a tourist attraction by developing interesting tales/stories surrounding their creation

    Re-vegetate the sites affected

    Redesign trails away from those sites

    Remarks

    (Optional)

    Appendix 7.3.15: Fraud

    Heading

    Content Description

    Risk Description

    Embezzlement of funds through several ways by staff

    Link to Business Objectives

    Lack of accountability (financial and activity)

    Risk Owner (Focal Point)

    Chief Warden (John Bosco Nuwe)

    Current Risk Responses

    Hiring of external auditors

    Frequent field visits by Headquarter staff

    Reports

    Impact / Likelihood Rationale

    Likelihood is high (5, could happen twice a year in Bwindi) but impact is low (2, cost of 100 million Shs).

    Actions

    Staff motivation

    Arrest and prosecute Offenders in courts of law

    Improve staff remuneration

    Remarks

    (Optional)

    Appendix 7.3.16: Unsuitable infrastructure built next to PA

    Heading

    Content Description

    Risk Description

    Unplanned infrastructure around the PA by local communities

    Link to Business Objectives

    Visual abstraction

    Impediment to theft control

    Bad first impression received by new visitors to the PA

    Risk Owner (Focal Point)

    Chief Warden (John Bosco Nuwe)

    Current Risk Responses

    Nil

    Impact / Likelihood Rationale

    Likelihood is low (2, could happen twice in five years in Uganda) impact is also low (2, cost of 100 million Shs).

    Draft Budget

    SIF 3-YEAR BUDGET (SR)

    2005200620062006200720072007

    Current OperationsVDM ShopTotalCurrent OperationsVDM StoreTotal

    SalesComments

    Sales of Tickets in VDM4,000,0004,200,00004,200,0003,780,00003,780,000

    Sales of Coco de Mer600,000630,000144,000774,000567,000151,200718,200

    Sale of Merchandise25,00025,0001,367,5001,392,50025,0001,435,8751,460,875

    Total Sales4,625,0004,855,0001,511,5006,366,5004,372,0001,587,0755,959,075

    Cost of Goods Sold

    Direct Cost of Coco de Mer268,000281,40030,000311,400253,26031,500284,760Including: Licence Fees, Transportation

    Direct Cost of Merchandise10,50010,5001,159,7501,170,25010,5001,217,7381,228,238Including Cost of producing: T-Shirts, Books & Videos & Prints

    Commission90,000000000* Including costs in Vallee de Mai

    Total Variable COGS368,500291,9001,189,7501,481,650263,7601,249,2381,512,998

    % of Total Sales7.97%6.01%78.71%23.27%6.03%78.71%25.39%

    Fixed Cost of Goods & Services

    Labor488,250512,6630512,663538,2960538,296* Including total personnel costs in Vallee de Mai and 30% of the time of the Logistics manager in Aldabra

    Contributions8,4008,82008,8209,26109,261

    Facility Expenses & materials78,00081,900081,90085,995085,995* Includes Vallee de Mai: office running costs, vehicle running costs, fuel, refuse, telephone, uniforms & other materials

    Total Fixed Cost of Goods & Services574,650603,3830603,383633,5520633,552

    % of Total Sales12.42%12.43%0.00%9.48%14.49%0.00%10.63%

    Total Cost of Goods Sold943,150895,2831,189,7502,085,033897,3121,249,2382,146,549

    Gross Profit3,681,8503,959,718321,7504,281,4683,474,688337,8383,812,526

    % of Total Sales79.61%81.56%21.29%67.25%79.48%21.29%63.98%

    Operating Expenses

    Sales & Marketing

    Advertising0000000* Cost Item to be updated in line with marketing strategy

    Commissions20,00021,000021,00022,050022,050* Including Visa commissions for sales of tickets in Vallee de Mai

    Entertainment7,0007,35007,3507,71807,718* Cost to be updated in line with new SIF loyalty schemes (tour operators)

    Promotional material60,00063,000063,00066,150066,150* Including Vallee de Mai brochures,

    Salaries97,020101,8710101,871106,9650106,965* Includes 40% of management time in selling and marketing activities

    Contributions28,16029,568029,56831,046031,046

    Traveling15,00015,750015,75016,538016,538

    Total Sales & Marketing Costs227,180238,5390238,539250,4660250,466

    % of Total Sales4.91%4.91%0.00%3.75%5.73%0.00%4.20%

    Research & Conservation

    Salaries1,000,0201,050,02101,050,0211,102,52201,102,522* Includes all Aldabra staff saleries & 40% of management time in research & conservation activities

    Contributions257,250270,1130270,113283,6180283,618

    Fuel112,000117,6000117,600123,4800123,480

    Transportation260,000273,0000273,000286,6500286,650

    Other Expenses140,000147,0000147,000154,3500154,350* Including: accomodation, repairs & maintenanvce, net telephone costs, research, other cost of sales etc

    Special Projects140,000147,0000147,000154,3500154,350* Including the "Land Bird Project" and "Tortoise Project"

    Stock loss - Food & Drink20,00021,000021,00022,050022,050

    Total Research & Conservation Costs1,929,2702,025,73402,025,7342,127,02002,127,020

    % of Total Sales41.71%41.72%0.00%31.82%48.65%0.00%35.69%

    General & Administrative

    Accounting & IT55,00057,750057,75060,638060,638

    Admin Salaries246,960259,3080259,308272,2730272,273

    Contributions136,500143,3250143,325150,4910150,491

    Depreciation0000000

    Equipment Rental0000000

    Insurance113,000118,6500118,650124,5830124,583

    Bank Fees10,00010,500010,50011,025011,025

    Licenses and Permits5,0005,25005,2505,51305,513

    Office Expenses81,00085,050085,05089,303089,303* Including: subscriptions, repair & maintenance, printing & stationery, sundries

    Office Rental115,000120,7500120,750126,7880126,788

    Telephone70,00073,500073,50077,175077,175

    Utilities30,00031,500031,50033,075033,075

    Donations30,00031,500031,50033,075033,075* Including School Trip to Aldabra

    Other Expenses93,00097,650097,650102,5330102,533* Including: accomodatiion, fuel, vehicle running costs, AGM expenses etc

    Total G & A Costs985,4601,034,73301,034,7331,086,47001,086,470

    % of Total Sales21.31%21.31%0.00%16.25%24.85%0.00%18.23%

    Total Operating Expenses3,141,9103,299,00603,299,0063,463,95603,463,956

    % of Total Sales67.93%67.95%0.00%51.82%79.23%0.00%58.13%

    Income From Operations539,940660,712321,750982,46210,733337,838348,570

    % of Total Sales11.67%13.61%21.29%15.43%0.25%21.29%5.85%

    Other Income

    Grants / Donations150,000100,0000100,000100,0000100,000

    Landing Fees220,000220,0000220,000220,0000220,000

    Filming Fees14,00014,000014,00014,000014,000

    Rents75,00075,000075,00075,000075,000* Including Kiosk Rental in Vallee de Mai

    Interest Income28,00028,000028,00028,000028,000

    Interest Expense00150,000150,0000150,000150,000

    Total Other Income487,000437,000150,000587,000437,000150,000587,000

    % of Total Sales10.53%9.00%0.00%9.22%10.00%0.00%9.85%

    Income before Taxes1,026,9401,097,712471,7501,569,462447,733487,838935,570

    Taxes on Income0000000

    Net Income After Taxes1,026,9401,097,712471,7501,569,462447,733487,838935,570

    % of Total Sales22.20%22.61%31.21%24.65%10.24%30.74%15.70%

    assuming that VDM store will facilitate a 5% increase in the numer of visitors in site

    assuming that VDM store will facilitate a 5% increase in the sale of coco de mer

    caution: aldabra merchandise only - assume it remains stable

    assume a cost increase in line with increase in sales

    aldabra stock only. Cost remains the same in line with sales

    No commision paid in 2006. SIF operates store by itself

    All costs associated with the new VDM store (except interest paid) are under the Cost of Goods sold section (as they generate specific revenue). All other costs in VDM (warden, rengers, consumables etc) remain separate and we assume a moderate increase very year.

    Only highly reliable grant is of 100k SR from the Seychelles Government and 50 k from the Royal Society. All other grants are highly periodical and therefore in order to be conservative we dont inlude them in the budget.

    Interest paid to cover for loan (undertaken for VDM shop/visitors centre). We assume a loan of 1,500,000 SR that will cover all the initial costs associated with building a new shop in VDM (need to be confirmed in detail by SIF). Assume a 10% interest charge per annum

    Assume a 10% decrease in the number of tourists in VDM due to upcoming competition from Fond Ferdinand

    covered under ongoing VDM operations

    Detail Information on Sales and Opex calculations for the store (VDM spreadsheet)

    Additional sales of Coco de Mer through own VDM store (currently coco de mer) is sold in majority through SIF HQ in Mahe.We also assume extra supply wont be an issue (considering the newly acquired Fond Pepper estate

    total sales of merchandise through VDM store. Including all items such as:t-shirts, food & snack, replicas, books etc

    including 250 SR fee per coco de mer sold (to the Government). Estimated sales of cocos through site: 120 items

    Caution: As direct cost of merchandise we include all costs related to the VDM store oparations (excluding sales of coco de Mer and interest paid). It includes: salary costs (for the 5 VDM store employees only), cost of merchandise, store maintenance, store overheads etc

    Draft Operating Budget

    BMCA 3-YEAR BUDGET

    200620072008

    TotalTotalTotal

    SalesCommentsProjections Method

    Gorilla Permit feesProportional to visitor numbers

    Other park feesPark entrance, nature walks, birding etc.Proportional to visitor numbers

    Concession incomeProportional to visitor numbers

    Resale of ItemsT-shirts, publications, postcards etc.Proportional to visitor numbers + marketing effort

    Total Sales000

    Cost of Goods Sold

    Cost of resale itemsIncluding: Cost of purchasing, transportationProportional to visit

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