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Creating a nutritious home for allCreating a nutritious home for all
STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTSTRATEGIC ENVIRONMENT
Western Cape Department of AgricultureWestern Cape Department of Agriculture
(Prepared by: Dirk Troskie, Specialist Agricultural Economist)(Prepared by: Dirk Troskie, Specialist Agricultural Economist)
STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTSTRATEGIC ENVIRONMENT
1.1. National EnvironmentNational Environment
2.2. Provincial Agricultural SectorProvincial Agricultural Sector
3.3. National StrategiesNational Strategies
4.4. Provincial StrategiesProvincial Strategies
STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTSTRATEGIC ENVIRONMENT
1.1. National EnvironmentNational Environment
SA: FOOD PRODUCTION & POPULATION GROWTHSA: FOOD PRODUCTION & POPULATION GROWTH
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
1970
1972
1974
1976
1978
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
Ind
ex
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
Po
pu
lati
on
(m
illio
ns
)
Index of food production (Volume) Total population
Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe LezolimoSource: Abstract (2008)
SA: AGRICULTURAL IMPORTS & EXPORTSSA: AGRICULTURAL IMPORTS & EXPORTS(Nominal values)(Nominal values)
0
5
10
15
20
25
1965
1967
1969
1971
1973
1975
1977
1979
1981
1983
1985
1987
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
(R B
illio
n)
Imports Exports Exports-Imports
Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe LezolimoSource: Abstract (2008)
SA: EXPORTS OF WINESA: EXPORTS OF WINE
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Year
Vo
lum
e (m
il l
itre
s)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
%
Export volume Export as % of harvest
Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe LezolimoSource: SAWIS (2008)
FAPRI % BFAP BASELINE PRICES:FAPRI % BFAP BASELINE PRICES:Wheat & BarleyWheat & Barley
Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo
Cereal Prices
50
80
110
140
170
200
230U
S $
/to
n
Yellow maize, US No.2, fob, GulfWheat US No2 HRW fob (ord) Gulf Sorghum, US No.2, fob, Gulf
Source: BFAP (2007)
BIOFUELS IN THE USBIOFUELS IN THE US
Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe LezolimoSource: OECD/FAO Outlook (2007)
WORLD CLOSING STOCKSWORLD CLOSING STOCKS
85
90
95
100
105
2001 -2005
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Mill
ion
To
nn
es
(R
ice
)
160
165
170
175
180
185
190
195
Mill
ion
To
nn
es
(W
he
at)
Rice Wheat
Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe LezolimoSource: OECD/FAO Outlook (2007)
PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION OF MEATPER CAPITA CONSUMPTION OF MEAT
23
23.5
24
24.5
25
25.5
26
26.5
27
27.5
28
2001 -2005
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
NO
N-O
EC
D (
kg
/ca
pit
a)
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
OE
CD
(k
g/c
ap
ita
)
Non-OECD OECD
Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe LezolimoSource: OECD/FAO Outlook (2007)
POPULATION ON CONTINENTSPOPULATION ON CONTINENTS
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050
Po
pu
lati
on
(M
illio
ns
)
Africa Asia Europe
Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo
WORLD POPULATIONWORLD POPULATION
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Po
pu
lati
on
(B
illio
ns
)
World
Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo
ANIMAL PRODUCTSANIMAL PRODUCTSIndex of nominal pricesIndex of nominal prices
Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe LezolimoSource: OECD/FAO Outlook (2007)
IMPACT ON THE MOST VULNERABLE: LSM1IMPACT ON THE MOST VULNERABLE: LSM1(Inflation = 6%; Food Inflation = 12%)(Inflation = 6%; Food Inflation = 12%)
-55
-5
45
95
145
195
245
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Ind
ex
Income Food expenditure Balance
Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe LezolimoSource: Own Calculations based on LSM Data (2007)
STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTSTRATEGIC ENVIRONMENT
1.1. National EnvironmentNational Environment
2.2. Provincial Agricultural SectorProvincial Agricultural Sector
WESTERN CAPE EXPORTSWESTERN CAPE EXPORTS2001 - 20032001 - 2003
Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo
PRODUCTPRODUCT VALUE % of TOTAL
CUMUL-ATIVE
%
% CHANGE
Fruit R5,186 19,4% 19,4% 75%
Wine, beer & spirits R3,333 12,5% 31,9% 58%
Fish R2,311 8,7% 40,6% 28,5%
Processed food R1,684 6,3% 46,9% -2,4%
Wood & products R0,429 1,6% 48,5% 75%
Hides, skins, leather R0,371 1,4% 49,9% -15,7
Meat R0,227 0,9% 50,8% -12,5%
R13,541 50,8%
Source: Quantec (2008)
PROVINCIAL AGRICULTUREPROVINCIAL AGRICULTURE
Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo
21.4%
14.5%13.2% 13.1%
10.9%
8.7% 8.2%
5.0% 4.9%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
% of National Ag
COMPOSITION OF WESTERN CAPE COMPOSITION OF WESTERN CAPE AGRICULTUREAGRICULTURE
Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo
Horticulture, 54%
Field Crops, 12%
Animal, 30%
Other, 5%
HORTICULTURE IN THE WESTERN CAPEHORTICULTURE IN THE WESTERN CAPE
Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo
Table grapes17%
Viticulture27%
Fynbos7%
Citrus6%
Deciduous fruit29%
Vegetables14%
CROP PRODUCTION: WESTERN CAPECROP PRODUCTION: WESTERN CAPE
Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo
Winter85%
Legumes1%
Oilseeds3%Summer
4%
Other1%
Fodder6%
ANIMAL PRODUCTION: WESTERN CAPEANIMAL PRODUCTION: WESTERN CAPE
Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo
Broilers12%
Livestock sales23%
Other Animal10%
Eggs9%
Animal Fibre4%
Ostriches16%
Dairy26%
STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTSTRATEGIC ENVIRONMENT
1.1. National EnvironmentNational Environment
2.2. Provincial Agricultural SectorProvincial Agricultural Sector
3.3. National StrategiesNational Strategies
Core StrategiesCore StrategiesEquitable access & privitisationEquitable access & privitisation
Global competitiveness & profitabilityGlobal competitiveness & profitability
Sustainable resource managementSustainable resource management
Complementary strategiesComplementary strategiesGood governanceGood governance
Integrated & sustainable rural developmentIntegrated & sustainable rural development
Knowledge & innovationKnowledge & innovation
International cooperationInternational cooperation
Safety & SecuritySafety & Security
STRATEGIC PLAN FOR SA STRATEGIC PLAN FOR SA AGRICULTUREAGRICULTURE
Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo
Gazetted 20 March 2008Gazetted 20 March 2008ObjectivesObjectives
Promote Economic Transformation / deracialisePromote Economic Transformation / deracialiseInvestment programmesInvestment programmesCommunity empowermentCommunity empowerment
ScorecardScorecardOwnershipOwnershipManagement ControlManagement ControlEmployment equityEmployment equitySkills developmentSkills developmentPreferential procurementPreferential procurementEnterprise developmentEnterprise developmentRural developmentRural development
Agri QSE (Qualifying Small Enterprises)Agri QSE (Qualifying Small Enterprises)R5 to 35 million turnoverR5 to 35 million turnover5 of the seven elements5 of the seven elementsEach 20%Each 20%
Agri EME (Exempted Micro Enterprises)Agri EME (Exempted Micro Enterprises)Less than R5 million turnoverLess than R5 million turnoverDeemed level 4 AgriBEEDeemed level 4 AgriBEECan use 2 of 7 elements (excluding employment equity)Can use 2 of 7 elements (excluding employment equity)Each 50%Each 50%
AGRIBEEAGRIBEE
Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo
RedistributionRedistribution5 million ha, 5 million ha, 10 000 new producers, 10 000 new producers, 5 Provinces, 5 Provinces, 2 years2 years
Increase black entrepreneurs by 10%Increase black entrepreneurs by 10%Universal access to agric. Support servicesUniversal access to agric. Support services
New Primary producersNew Primary producersFarm dwellersFarm dwellers
Increase agricultural production by 10-15%Increase agricultural production by 10-15%New Primary producersNew Primary producersFarm dwellersFarm dwellers
Increase agricultural trade by 10-15%Increase agricultural trade by 10-15%New Primary producersNew Primary producersFarm dwellersFarm dwellers
Note: 2014 target is 30% of white owned landNote: 2014 target is 30% of white owned land
LARPLARP
Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo
New Primary ProducersNew Primary Producers
Communal FarmersCommunal FarmersOther uses Other uses (food gardens, lifestyle)
Farm Dwellers Farm Dwellers (>50% of income)
Commercial farmersCommercial farmers
CitizensCitizens
TARGET GROUPS: WESTERN CAPETARGET GROUPS: WESTERN CAPE
Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo
5 6605 660
??????
280 717280 717
5 7785 778
4,5 m4,5 m
NEW PRIMARY & COMMERCIALNEW PRIMARY & COMMERCIAL
Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo
FARM DWELLERS FARM DWELLERS (>50% of HH income from farming)(>50% of HH income from farming)
Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo
Whites African Colourd Asian Total
Cape Metropole 0 22 009 3 355 0 25 364
West Coast 2 891 3 312 30 268 578 37 049
Cape Winelands 9 082 18 255 98 540 0 125 877
Overberg 5 627 9 200 31 054 0 45 880
Eden 937 3 877 33 162 0 37 977
Central Karoo 537 160 7 873 0 8 570
Total 19 073 56 814 204 252 578 280, 717
COMMERCIAL FARMERSCOMMERCIAL FARMERS
Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo
Male Female Total
Cape Metropole 146 41 186
West Coast 1 510 190 1 700
Cape Winelands 1 214 217 1 431
Overberg 763 107 870
Eden 1 074 132 1 206
Central Karoo 342 42 384
Total 5 050 728 5 778
THE COST OF PRODUCTIONTHE COST OF PRODUCTION(R/ha - Apples)(R/ha - Apples)
-300-200-100
0100200300400500600700800
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
R (
Th
ou
san
ds)
Gross Margin Net Farm Income
Cum Gross Margin Cum Net Farm Income
Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo
ANNUALIZED VALUEANNUALIZED VALUE(R/ha – Apples over 20 years)(R/ha – Apples over 20 years)
Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo
5 056
ANNUALIZED VALUEANNUALIZED VALUE(R/ha – Apples over 20 years)(R/ha – Apples over 20 years)
Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo
YIELD
-20% -10% Base 10% 20%
20% 785 13 600 26 415 39 230 52 046
10% -7 759 3 988 15 736 27 483 39 230
PRICE Base -16 303 -5 623 5 056 15 736 26 415
-10% -24 846 -15 235 -5 623 3 988 13 600
-20% -33 390 -24 846 -16 303 -7 759 785
STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTSTRATEGIC ENVIRONMENT
1.1. National EnvironmentNational Environment
2.2. Provincial Agricultural SectorProvincial Agricultural Sector
3.3. National StrategiesNational Strategies
4.4. Provincial StrategiesProvincial Strategies
VisionVisionA home for allA home for all
GoalsGoalsGrow and share the economyGrow and share the economyMore equal & caring society and eradicate More equal & caring society and eradicate povertypovertyPromote ecologically sustainable Promote ecologically sustainable developmentdevelopmentFoster greater spatial integrationFoster greater spatial integrationEffective governance & institutional Effective governance & institutional strengtheningstrengthening
IKAPA ELIHLUMAYOIKAPA ELIHLUMAYO
Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo
Path breakingPath breakingIntegrated transportIntegrated transportIntegrated human settlementsIntegrated human settlementsSkills developmentSkills development
Path shapingPath shapingWorld Cup 2010World Cup 2010Climate ChangeClimate ChangeSocial Transformation (i.e. 21 areas)Social Transformation (i.e. 21 areas)
Path ConsolidatingPath ConsolidatingProperty developmentProperty developmentEPWPEPWPGovernanceGovernancePoverty reduction & second economyPoverty reduction & second economySectoral DevelopmentSectoral Development
BPOBPOTourismTourismOil & gasOil & gasAgricultureAgriculture
Path supportersPath supportersManagement & reviewManagement & review
IKAPA ELIHLUMAYO:IKAPA ELIHLUMAYO:InterventionsInterventions
Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo
PROVINCIAL SPATIAL DEVELOPMENT PROVINCIAL SPATIAL DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK (PSDF)FRAMEWORK (PSDF)
Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo
SETTLEMENT INVESTMENT PRIORITIESSETTLEMENT INVESTMENT PRIORITIES
Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo
Town Investment: Town Investment: High Dev Potential / High Dev Potential / Low NeedLow Need
Social Investment: Social Investment: Low Need / High Low Need / High Dev PotentialDev Potential
Social & Town Social & Town Investment: High Investment: High Dev Potential / High Dev Potential / High NeedNeed
Leader Leader Towns: Towns: Highest Highest Growth Growth PotentialPotential
Minimal Minimal Investment: Low Investment: Low Dev Potential / Dev Potential / Low NeedLow Need
Betty’s Bay
Bredasdorp
Brenton-on-Sea
Caledon
Franskraal
Groot Brakrivier
Hawston
Herold’s Bay
Jacobsbaai
Jamestown
Keurboomsrivier
Kylemore
Langebaan
Malmesburg
Moorreesburg
BitterfonteinBitterfontein
BotrivierBotrivier
CalitzdorpCalitzdorp
ClanwilliamClanwilliam
De DoornsDe Doorns
De RustDe Rust
DoringbaaiDoringbaai
DysselsdorpDysselsdorp
EendekuilEendekuil
ElandsbaaiElandsbaai
FriemersheimFriemersheim
GenadendalGenadendal
GoedverwachtGoedverwacht
GoudaGouda
GraafwaterGraafwater
Cape TownCape Town
AshtonAshton
Beaufort West*Beaufort West*
CeresCeres
ElimElim
FranschhoekFranschhoek
GansbaaiGansbaai
George*George*
GrabouwGrabouw
HermanusHermanus
KalbaskraalKalbaskraal
KlapmutsKlapmuts
Knysna*Knysna*
Oudtshoorn*Oudtshoorn*
Paarl*Paarl*
Plettenberg BayPlettenberg Bay
Cape TownCape Town
Beaufort WestBeaufort West
GeorgeGeorge
HermanusHermanus
KnysnaKnysna
MalmesburyMalmesbury
MosselbayMosselbay
OudtshoornOudtshoorn
PaarlPaarl
StellenboschStellenbosch
SwellendamSwellendam
Vredenburg / Vredenburg / SaldanhaSaldanha
VredendalVredendal
WellingtonWellington
WorcesterWorcester
Agulhas / Agulhas / StruisbaaiStruisbaai
AlbertiniaAlbertinia
ArnistonArniston
AuroraAurora
BarrydaleBarrydale
BonnievaleBonnievale
BuffelsbaaiBuffelsbaai
CitrusdalCitrusdal
DarlingDarling
DwarskersbosDwarskersbos
EbenhaeserEbenhaeser
GouritsmondGouritsmond
GreytonGreyton
HopefieldHopefield
JongensfonteinJongensfontein
FoundationFoundation1996 Provincial Agricultural summit1996 Provincial Agricultural summit2001 Strategic plan for SA Agriculture2001 Strategic plan for SA AgricultureiKapa Elihlumayo StrategiesiKapa Elihlumayo Strategies
(MEDS, SIP, PSDF, Social Capital, HCD, etc.)(MEDS, SIP, PSDF, Social Capital, HCD, etc.)ASGISAASGISA
ProcessProcessPGDS of December 2003PGDS of December 2003
Agriculture identified as key sectorAgriculture identified as key sectorProcess launch in April 2004Process launch in April 2004
Steering committeeSteering committee8 persons for each of 4 social partners8 persons for each of 4 social partners8 Focus areas identified8 Focus areas identified
First draft released for public comment: 23 June 2005First draft released for public comment: 23 June 2005Signed by partners on 12 May 2006Signed by partners on 12 May 2006
AGRICULTURAL & AGRIBUSINESS AGRICULTURAL & AGRIBUSINESS STRATEGYSTRATEGY
Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo
THE CONTEXT OF FARMINGTHE CONTEXT OF FARMING
Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo
PEOPLE
PROFIT
PLANET
Land, water, climate
Πmax=∑(U,Y)-∑(P,X)
Human nexus
Schools
Relationships
Relaxation
Art
Remittances
Flora
Forests
Off-farmTax
R/$Tariffs
Subsidies
Mining
Sea
Itsy
Fauna
Fynbos
FeelyTree-hugging
HIV/Aids Climate change
THE STRATEGY: TURNING FARMINGTHE STRATEGY: TURNING FARMING
Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo
Land, water, climate
Πmax=∑(U,Y)-∑(P,X)
Human nexus
HRD, Social & Farm worker issues
Competitiveness, marketing & market access
Research & Development
Extension & Farmer support
Natural resources, food safety & security
Physical infrastructure
Institutional infrastructure
Land reform & Agribee
-100 Extension workers-Accelerated approval-Funding vehicle-Revisit ESTA Act
-Biodiversity-Food for all-Safe food
-Career paths-Security of tenure-Safe social environment
-More mentors-Access to tech.
-Innovation-Intelligence-Capacity-Climate
-Market identification & development-”Branding” the Western Cape
-Electricity-Housing-Roads-Education
-Agribusiness Investment Unit-Unified agriculture
THE STRATEGYTHE STRATEGYNumber of projects per focus areaNumber of projects per focus area
Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo
FOCUS AREAFOCUS AREA NrNr
Land reform & AgribeeLand reform & Agribee 1919
HRD, Social & Farm worker issuesHRD, Social & Farm worker issues 44
Competitiveness, marketing & market accessCompetitiveness, marketing & market access 1313
Research & DevelopmentResearch & Development 2424
Extension & Farmer supportExtension & Farmer support 66
Physical infrastructurePhysical infrastructure 1212
Natural environment, food safety & securityNatural environment, food safety & security 44
Institutional arrangementsInstitutional arrangements 88
TOTALTOTAL 9090
Provincial Economic Review & Provincial Economic Review & Outlook (PERO)Outlook (PERO)
TreasuryTreasury
Annual overviewAnnual overview
State of the Province Address State of the Province Address (SOPA)(SOPA)
OTHER PROVINCIALOTHER PROVINCIAL
Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo
Four Social PartnersFour Social PartnersNegotiations started on 3 June 2008Negotiations started on 3 June 2008Draft Resolution tabled on 18 June 2008Draft Resolution tabled on 18 June 2008Agreement on:Agreement on:
Food GardensFood GardensCommunal & HouseholdCommunal & HouseholdMap, consolidate, expandMap, consolidate, expandReview availability of public landReview availability of public land
Expand School FeedingExpand School FeedingMap Nutrition Centers (Soup Kitchens)Map Nutrition Centers (Soup Kitchens)
Fill gapsFill gaps
Investigate Food BanksInvestigate Food BanksEstablish CooperativesEstablish CooperativesBasic servicesBasic services
Threshold for basic servicesThreshold for basic servicesReview indigent policiesReview indigent policies
Focus onFocus on27 Areas27 AreasChildrenChildrenWomen are centre of strategy.Women are centre of strategy.
Establish strong links with retailersEstablish strong links with retailersConsult local communitiesConsult local communitiesFurther debate on long term issues and interventionsFurther debate on long term issues and interventions
FOOD SUMMITFOOD SUMMIT
Departement Landbou | Department of Agriculture | Isebe Lezolimo
the endthe end
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