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Conflict Trends in Africa
Dr Paul D. Williams
George Washington University
ACSS, September 10, 2019
State Failure Events in Africa, 1955-2017
Source: Political Instability Task Force
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
19
55
19
57
19
59
19
61
19
63
19
65
19
67
19
69
19
71
19
73
19
75
19
77
19
79
19
81
19
83
19
85
19
87
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89
19
91
19
93
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95
19
97
19
99
20
01
20
03
20
05
20
07
20
09
20
11
20
13
20
15
20
17
Ethnic War Revolutionary War
Adverse Regime Change Genocide/Politicide
Political Conflict in Africa, 2000-2016
Source: ACLEDhttps://www.acleddata.com/
Political Violence & Protests in Africa
(1 Jan 2018—31 Aug 2019)
Source: ACLED
Number of Fatalities1989-2018
Source: UCDPhttps://ucdp.uu.se/#/encyclopedia
Africa: Total Organized Violence Fatalities, 1989-2016* Excluding one-sided violence in the 1994 Rwandan genocide
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
Battle-related deaths best estimate Best One-Sided Fatality Estimate
Best Non-State Fatality Estimate
Organized Violence Global Fatalities, 1989-2016
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
Non-State armed conflict (best estimated fatalities) One-Sided Violence (best estimated fatalities)
Battle-related Deaths (best estimate)
Rwanda genocide
A Typology of Organized Violence in Africa
Intrastate Armed Conflicts
Interstate Armed Conflicts
Non-State Armed Conflicts
One-Sided Violence
Military Coups
Electoral Violence
Livelihood Struggles
Resource Wars
Clash of (religious)
Civilizations
Greedy Warlords Ethnicity Kills
Post-Colonial
Elites
Colonial Legacies
Governance
SovereigntyResources
Key Drivers?
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