25
Reliability Engineering Fred Schenkelberg [email protected]

Reliability Maintenance Engineering 1 - 5 Measuring Reliability

Embed Size (px)

DESCRIPTION

Reliability Maintenance Engineering Day 1 session 5 Measuring Reliability Three day live course focused on reliability engineering for maintenance programs. Introductory material and discussion ranging from basic tools and techniques for data analysis to considerations when building or improving a program.

Citation preview

Page 1: Reliability Maintenance Engineering 1 - 5 Measuring Reliability

Reliability Engineering

Fred [email protected]

Page 2: Reliability Maintenance Engineering 1 - 5 Measuring Reliability

MEASURING RELIABILITY TO IMPROVE SAFETY AND AVAILABILITY

Day 1 Session 5

Page 3: Reliability Maintenance Engineering 1 - 5 Measuring Reliability

Objectives

• Reliability and the bathtub curve• Calculating PDF plot• What to do if you don’t have data at failure

mode level• Measuring reliability of Line Replaceable Units• Developing the next generation reliability

growth analysis

Page 4: Reliability Maintenance Engineering 1 - 5 Measuring Reliability
Page 5: Reliability Maintenance Engineering 1 - 5 Measuring Reliability

Early Life Failures

Decreasing hazard rate

Typical failure causes• Manufacturing defect• Shipping damage• Installation damage

Page 6: Reliability Maintenance Engineering 1 - 5 Measuring Reliability

Useful Life

Constant hazard rate

Typical failure causes

• Overstress• Random events

Note: rarely occurs in real life – may be useful if change in hazard rate is small enough

Page 7: Reliability Maintenance Engineering 1 - 5 Measuring Reliability

Wear out

Increasing hazard rate

Typical failure causes

• Material wear• Rust/Oxidation• Creep/Crack growth• Embrittlement

Page 8: Reliability Maintenance Engineering 1 - 5 Measuring Reliability

Discussion & Questions

Page 9: Reliability Maintenance Engineering 1 - 5 Measuring Reliability
Page 10: Reliability Maintenance Engineering 1 - 5 Measuring Reliability

Probability Distribution Plot

• Like a histogram• Construction notes

• Continuous distributions

• Discrete distributions

Page 11: Reliability Maintenance Engineering 1 - 5 Measuring Reliability
Page 12: Reliability Maintenance Engineering 1 - 5 Measuring Reliability

How to use PDF plot

• Probability plots

• How many will survive

• How many will fail

Page 13: Reliability Maintenance Engineering 1 - 5 Measuring Reliability

Discussion & Questions

Page 14: Reliability Maintenance Engineering 1 - 5 Measuring Reliability
Page 15: Reliability Maintenance Engineering 1 - 5 Measuring Reliability

Data and Level

• Failure mechanism level

• Subunit level (LRU)

• Unit Level

• System level

Page 16: Reliability Maintenance Engineering 1 - 5 Measuring Reliability

Plots and levels

• CDF with system and subunit information

• Continuous Distributions

• Discrete Distributions

Page 17: Reliability Maintenance Engineering 1 - 5 Measuring Reliability

time

Prob

abili

ty o

f Fai

lure

(log

sca

le)

Page 18: Reliability Maintenance Engineering 1 - 5 Measuring Reliability

Repairable Equipment

• MCF example

• How to interpret– Concave– Convex– Straight

Time

Cum

ulati

ve F

ailu

res

Page 19: Reliability Maintenance Engineering 1 - 5 Measuring Reliability

Discussion & Questions

Page 20: Reliability Maintenance Engineering 1 - 5 Measuring Reliability
Page 21: Reliability Maintenance Engineering 1 - 5 Measuring Reliability

Reliability Growth

• CDF reflecting changes

• Look for change in slope

• Look for change in scale

Page 22: Reliability Maintenance Engineering 1 - 5 Measuring Reliability

time

Prob

abili

ty o

f Fai

lure

(log

sca

le)

or

Page 23: Reliability Maintenance Engineering 1 - 5 Measuring Reliability

Cumulative Failures over time

• During development or improvement projects

• Plot total failures over time (more later with Duane and related plots)

Page 24: Reliability Maintenance Engineering 1 - 5 Measuring Reliability

Discussion & Questions

Page 25: Reliability Maintenance Engineering 1 - 5 Measuring Reliability

Summary

• Reliability and the bathtub curve

• Calculating PDF plot• What to do if you don’t

have data at failure mode level

• Measuring reliability of Line Replaceable Units

• Developing the next generation reliability growth analysis

Measuring Reliability to improveSafety and Availability