IoT Innovation Forum (2015)

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COPYRIGHT © 2015 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

The Unbearable Lightness of IoT Forecasting

Marc Jadoul ( @mjadoul)

Dallas, 21 April 2015

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Good morning. How was your breakfast?

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Breakfast in 2020

Perfectly baked bread

thanks to the wireless

temperature sensor

implants in the dough.(1)

A connected egg tray tells

you how many eggs you have

left in your smart fridge.(2)(3)

Your cup monitors the

temperature of your tea.(6)

The smart bowl calculates the

calories you’re taking in.(4)

A smart spoon assists people

with hand tremors.(7)

(1) http://www.powerretail.com.au/case-profiles-studies/high-tech-bread/

(2) http://gigaom.com/2013/08/20/podcast-hard-boiled-quirky-and-ge-will-connect-your-eggs-and-crack-open-the-iot-space/

(3) http://www.nbcnews.com/tech/gift-guide/out-milk-lgs-new-smart-fridge-will-let-you-know-n99531

(4) http://www.npr.org/blogs/thesalt/2014/07/15/331402697/calorie-counting-machine-may-make-dieting-easier-in-the-future (5) http://www.telegraph.co.uk/technology/10364890/WiFi-kettle-allows-you-to-boil-water-from-bed.html

(6) http://www.instructables.com/id/Smart-Coffer-Cup-Temperature-Reminds-For-Your-Hot-/

(7) http://www.voanews.com/content/smart-spoon-allows-parkinsons-sufferers-to-feed-themselves/1830217.html

The iKettle was switched on

while you were still in bed.(5)

http://www.powerretail.com.au/case-profiles-studies/high-tech-bread/









http://gigaom.com/2013/08/20/podcast-hard-boiled-quirky-and-ge-will-connect-your-eggs-and-crack-open-the-iot-space/































http://www.nbcnews.com/tech/gift-guide/out-milk-lgs-new-smart-fridge-will-let-you-know-n99531























http://www.npr.org/blogs/thesalt/2014/07/15/331402697/calorie-counting-machine-may-make-dieting-easier-in-the-future



















http://www.telegraph.co.uk/technology/10364890/WiFi-kettle-allows-you-to-boil-water-from-bed.html

















http://www.instructables.com/id/Smart-Coffer-Cup-Temperature-Reminds-For-Your-Hot-/

















http://www.voanews.com/content/smart-spoon-allows-parkinsons-sufferers-to-feed-themselves/1830217.html















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A typical family home could contain more than

500 smart devices by 2022. Gartner, September 2014

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The next step in Internet evolution

Pre-internet era

Internet of

CONTENT Internet of

SERVICES Internet of

PEOPLE Internet of

THINGS

Social Web 2.0 WWW H2H M2M

+ + + +

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When 3 industries come together…

BIG data

M2M communications IT

enabled

COMMS enabled

CE enabled

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Source: Gartner, July 2014

Internet of Things

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Source: gsmaintelligence.com Image: http://gizmodo.com/a-map-of-every-device-in-the-world-thats-connected-to-t-1628171291

At the end of 2014 the number of mobile-connected

devices exceeded the world’s population

And this is just a beginning …

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The IoT in 2020: it’s going to be biiiiig

(though nobody really knows how big…)

28.1 billion “things” in 2020

26 billion “units” by 2020

$7.1 trillion global revenues

by 2020

$300 billion services revenues

in 2020

$1.9 trillion global economic

value in 2020

Source: IDC, October 2014 Source: Gartner, March 2014

18 billion M2M “connections”

by 2022

$1.2 trillion Global opportuniy

by 2022

of which

2.6 billion are cellular

Source: Machina Research, January 2013

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1 car Cellular data

Bluetooth

Wi-Fi

Homelink

TPMS

(GPS)

5 connections 100 sensors

Air–fuel ratio, blind spot monitor,

crankshaft position, curb feeler, defect

detector, engine coolant temperature,

Hall effect sensor, manifold absolute

pressure, mass flow, oxygen, parking

sensors, radar gun detector, speed,

throttle position, tire-pressure, torque,

transmission fluid temperature, turbine

speed, variable reluctance, water-in-

fuel, water-on-windshield, wheel

speed, etc. etc.

What are they actually counting?

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Did they count everything?

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(1) http://www.m2mnow.biz/2013/05/11/11795-container-tracking-systems-installed-base-grew-54-in-2012-says-new-berg-insight-report/ (2) http://www.dutchnews.nl/news/archives/2014/09/schiphol_airport_tests_cameras.php (3) http://www.bbc.com/news/technology-25197917 (4) http://www.psfk.com/2014/01/true-love-bra.html (5) http://www.idownloadblog.com/2014/01/06/ces-2014-kolibree-toothbrush/ (6) http://smartinteractionlab.com/whistle-connected-dog-collar/ (7) http://www.cnet.com/news/how-googles-robo-cars-mean-the-end-of-driving-as-we-know-it/ (8) http://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/gadgets-and-tech/baidu-launches-smart-chopsticks-to-detect-contaminated-food-9711478.html

(6)

(3, 4)

(8)

(1)

(2)

All ‘things’ great and small?

(5)

(7)

http://www.idownloadblog.com/2014/01/06/ces-2014-kolibree-toothbrush/






























http://smartinteractionlab.com/whistle-connected-dog-collar/


http://www.bbc.com/news/technology-25197917

























http://www.cnet.com/news/how-googles-robo-cars-mean-the-end-of-driving-as-we-know-it/

























http://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/gadgets-and-tech/baidu-launches-smart-chopsticks-to-detect-contaminated-food-9711478.html
























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The short tail vs the long tail

# Applications

KILLER APPS

THE LONG TAIL

SEGMENT/INDUSTRY/

BUSINESS SPECIFIC

Assets/Application

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A complex and diverse ecosystem

Based upon: Matt Turk, Sutian Dong, FirstMark Capital, 2013

TELE- COM

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Why should we care about the network?

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Within 3 years, 50% of IT networks will transition

from having excess capacity to handle the additional

IoT devices to being network constrained with nearly

10% of sites being overwhelmed.

Within the next 5 years, more than 90% of all IoT

data will be hosted on cloud-based service provider

platforms.

IDC, December 2014

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The network can make or break the IoT experience

http://www2.alcatel-lucent.com/techzine/iot-internet-of-things-network-can-make-break/

Performance Scalability Manageability Horizontalization

Flexible growth Security Interoperability Big data handling


















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Are you ready for

this new experience?

Fido @connected_collar 3h

Your dog needs a walk

Inventory @my_suitcase 2h

3 pairs of fresh socks left

Time Keeper @Timekeeper 2m

Conclude your talk NOW!

Mike @ETSI_microphone3 5s

The next speaker is ready ;-)

Home Discover Activity

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Thought of the day…

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Technology

IoT Innovation Forum (2015)