PATRICIO A. OPORTUS ROMEROPATRICIO A. OPORTUS ROMEROSenior Mining EngineerSenior Mining Engineer

CHILE, Viña del Mar, Enero del 2017

KAREN OPORTUS QUIÑONESKAREN OPORTUS QUIÑONESTranslator Translator

Consulting OPORTUSConsulting OPORTUSWWW.CONSULTORIASOPORTUS.CL2

1. GLOBAL MEGATRENDS

2. FOURTH INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION

3. THE MINING OF THE FUTURE

4. PROPOSAL WITH A PROSPECTIVE VISION

5. REFLECTIONS

REFERENCES

INDEX

Consulting OPORTUSConsulting OPORTUSWWW.CONSULTORIASOPORTUS.CL3

Type D GS

GLOBAL TRENDS

Consulting OPORTUSConsulting OPORTUSWWW.CONSULTORIASOPORTUS.CL

GLOBAL TRENDS

4

Type D GS

SourceSource: World Bank: World Bank

Consulting OPORTUSConsulting OPORTUSWWW.CONSULTORIASOPORTUS.CL

FOURTH INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION

5

Type D GS

Industrial Revolution

Períod Year Geopraphic Zone

Energy Source

Inventions and/or Devlopments

Firts 1750-1850 1784UK, France, Germany, Belgium

Coal Vapor Machine, Mecanical Production.

Second 1851-1945 1870 Europe, Japan and USA

Oil Car, TV, Radio, Work Division, Electricity, Mass Production.

Third 1946-2010 1969 Developed Countries

Nuclear Rocket, Electronics, Mobile Phone, Computer, Internet.

FourthFourth 2011 2020 ? Global Relocation Renewable Energies

NBIC Convergence: Nanotechnology, Biotecnologhy, Infotecnologhy and Cognotech..

NEOTECNOCIENTIFICNEOTECNOCIENTIFIC

Source: Several AuthorsSource: Several Authors

1ª1ª 2ª2ª 3ª3ª 4ª4ª

Consulting OPORTUSConsulting OPORTUSWWW.CONSULTORIASOPORTUS.CL6

Type D GS

FOURTH INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION

Source: Several AuthorsSource: Several Authors

Consulting OPORTUSConsulting OPORTUSWWW.CONSULTORIASOPORTUS.CL7

Type D GS

Source: Patricio Oportus R.Source: Patricio Oportus R.

Innovation

Productivity

Human Capital

Water Resources and Energy

RSE and Environment

MINING OF THE FUTURE (2020-2050)

Consulting OPORTUSConsulting OPORTUSWWW.CONSULTORIASOPORTUS.CL

MINING OF THE FUTURE (2020-2050)

8

Type D GS

Source: Patricio Oportus R. Source: Patricio Oportus R.

DEVELOPMENT = LIDERSHIP + RESILIENCE + PROSPECTIVE + HOLISTIC + SUSTAINABILITY (Equation N°1)DEVELOPMENT = LIDERSHIP + RESILIENCE + PROSPECTIVE + HOLISTIC + SUSTAINABILITY (Equation N°1)

1. Focused Vision: In the Universe and the Ocean Floor

2. New Intelligence Systems: Value Chain

3. Intensive Satellite Support and Unmanned Ships (Drones)

4. Robotics, Nanotechnology, Biotechnology and Artificial Intelligence

5. Use of Autonomous and Remote Equipment

6. Communities and the Environment: Management Skills

7. World Class CEOs: Innovative Competency Profile

Consulting OPORTUSConsulting OPORTUSWWW.CONSULTORIASOPORTUS.CL

PROPUESTA CON VISIÓN PROSPECTIVA

Type D GS

Source: Patricio Oportus R.Source: Patricio Oportus R.

In the products

In the processes (RISKS)

In the management

Market

CREATE A DIVISION OF CREATE A DIVISION OF PROSPECTIVE AND DEVELOPMENTPROSPECTIVE AND DEVELOPMENT

9

WWW.CONSULTORIASOPORTUS.CL Consulting OPORTUSConsulting OPORTUS

LIDERSHIPLIDERSHIP

PROSPECTIVEPROSPECTIVE

INNOVATIONINNOVATION

EXCELLENCE

CREATIVITY

PROACTIVITY

DevelopmentDevelopment

DEVELOPMENT = LIDERSHIP ∩ INNOVATION ∩ PROSPECTIVE DEVELOPMENT = LIDERSHIP ∩ INNOVATION ∩ PROSPECTIVE (Equation N°2)(Equation N°2)

REFLECTIONS

Source: Patricio Oportus R. Source: Patricio Oportus R. WWW.CONSULTORIASOPORTUS.CL

WWW.CONSULTORIASOPORTUS.CL Consulting OPORTUSConsulting OPORTUS

ANALYSIS OF COMPLEXITYANALYSIS OF COMPLEXITY

Equation N°3

AC = Analysis of ComplexityEP = Predictable Scenario

EI = Uncertain ScenarioGC = Management of Change “with” and “without” Certainty

Dip = Predictable Dimension “i”

Gci = Management of Change “i” caused with and without certainty

Equation N°4

Dii = Uncertain Dimension “i”

REFLECTIONS

P(P-I)j =Weighting (predictable-uncertainty) j: 0%-100%

V(P-I)k = Variable (predictable-uncertainty), V: V1, V2, V3, ….Vn Di = Dimension, D: D1, D2, D3,…..Dn

Equation N°5

Interdependence

ChangeUncertainty

Multi-dimension

COMPLEXITYCOMPLEXITYAC = EP + EI + GC

Source: Patricio Oportus R. Source: Patricio Oportus R.

Consulting OPORTUSConsulting OPORTUSWWW.CONSULTORIASOPORTUS.CL12

Type D GS

¿A DÓNDE

QUEREMOS IR?

¿QUIÉNES SEREMOS?

Source: Several AuthorsSource: Several Authors

REFLECTIONS

Fuente: Patricio Oportus R. Fuente: Patricio Oportus R.

C H A N G E C H A N G E

CHANGES = EXTENSION + MAGNITUDE + PROBABILITY + IMPACT + SPEED CHANGES = EXTENSION + MAGNITUDE + PROBABILITY + IMPACT + SPEED (Equation N°6)(Equation N°6)

REFLECTIONS

WWW.CONSULTORIASOPORTUS.CL

Consulting OPORTUSConsulting OPORTUSWWW.CONSULTORIASOPORTUS.CL14

Banco Mundial (2014), 4° Bajamos la temperatura: ¿Cómo hacer frente a la nueva realidad climática?, WDC, USA.

Braidot, Néstor (2014), “NEUROMANAGEMENT: La revolución neurocientífica en la conducción del management, del management al neuromanagement”, Ediciones Granica S.A., Argentina.

Glenn, J., Gordon, T., Florescu, E., (2016), Estado del Futuro 2015-2016, Proyecto Milenio, WDC, USA.

Kaku, M. (2012), La física del futuro, cómo la ciencia determinará el destino de la humanidad y vida cotidiana en el siglo XXI, editorial DEBATE.

Oportus, P. (2014), Las nuevas tendencias mundiales y sus impactos en el desarrollo de la minería del futuro, Naciones Unidas, New York, USA.

Oportus P. (2015), The future of humanity, School of International Futures (SOIF), UK.

REFERENCES

Consulting OPORTUSConsulting OPORTUSWWW.CONSULTORIASOPORTUS.CL15

OPORTUS CONSULTINGOPORTUS CONSULTING