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Global C4ISR OutlookGlobal C4ISR Outlook
Capabilities in DemandCapabilities in Demand
Brad Curran, Industry Analyst
Aerospace & Defense
11 February 201411 February 2014
© 2014 Frost & Sullivan. All rights reserved. This document contains highly confidential information and is the sole property of
Frost & Sullivan. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, copied or otherwise reproduced without the written approval of Frost & Sullivan.
Today’s Presenter
Brad focuses on monitoring and analyzing emerging trends, technologies
and market behavior in the Command & Control, Communications, Computers, Intelligence, Surveillance & Reconnaissance (C4ISR)
industry.
Brad Curran, Industry Analyst
Frost & Sullivan
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• Brad joined Frost & Sullivan after a US Marine Corps career in
Electronic Warfare/Signals Intelligence operations.
• He is quoted regularly concerning the C4ISR market and defense technology issues in publications such as the New York Times, Dow
Jones, Washington Post, Washington Times, National Defense, COTS
Journal, C4ISR and Networks, Military Embedded Systems, and Signal.
Focus Points
• Poll Questions
• C4ISR Segments and Technologies
• Major Challenges
• Major Drivers
• C4ISR Segments Market Share
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• C4ISR Regional Overview
• Key Countries
• Conclusions
• Next Steps
Poll Questions
• Do you expect any major defense industry mergers in 2014?
• Will nations like Saudi Arabia, Taiwan, and Vietnam be allowed access to more advanced C4ISR systems in 2014?
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• Will unmanned vehicles or missile defense systems be more in demand over the next decade?
C4ISR Segments and Technologies
Global C4ISR: Segments, Technologies, and Services
C4ISR applications are used across a variety of platforms such as satellites, aerostats, aircraft, ships, ground vehicles, fixed-ground bases, weapons, and unmanned vehicles. In this study, contracts labeled as multipurpose are included. Multipurpose
refers to contract information that includes technologies and services in more than one application area.
Command and Control (C2)
Communications Computers Intelligence S&R EW/IO
• Antennas
• Cybersecurity
• Information assurance
Networks
• Antennas
• Battle management
• Components
• Cybersecurity
• Cloud computing
• Components
• Cybersecurity
• Data Analytics
• Geospatial intelligence (GEOINT)
• Human intelligence (HUMINT)
• Biometrics
• Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear, high-yield explosives (CBRNE)
• EO/IR/MS/laser
• Information operations tools (Attack)
• IR countermeasures
• Multipurpose
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• Networks
• Satellite communications
• Telecommunica-tions
• Datalinks
• Information assurance
• Multipurpose
• Networks
• Radio
• Satellite Communications
• Smart Phones
• Telecommunications
• Displays
• Hardware
• Mobile Devices
• Multipurpose
• Networks
• Software
(HUMINT)
• Imagery/video
• Language/culture
• Measurement and signature intelligence (MASINT)
• Multipurpose
• Networks
• Processing exploitation dissemination (PED)
• Signals intelligence (SIGINT)
• EO/IR/MS/laser
• Full Motion Video
• Global positioning system (GPS)
• Identification friend or foe (IFF)
• Motion detection
• Multipurpose
• Night vision
• Radar/Lidar
• Sonar/acoustic/ magnetic
• Targeting pods
• Unmanned vehicles
• Weather
• Multipurpose
• Radio frequency (RF) countermeasures
• Radar warning receivers
Major Challenges
• Reduced defense budgets, force structure, tables of equipment, and platforms results in fewer C4ISR systems.
• Export restrictions result in lost opportunities and less capable equipment.
• COTS challenges include a lack of standardization,
questionable supply chain integrity, and component
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questionable supply chain integrity, and component reliability, especially under harsh conditions.
Major Drivers
• An emphasis on networked forces is spreading to all nations seeking to modernize their C4ISR systems.
• Increased spending by Middle Eastern and Asian Pacific nations drives improved and networked sensors, processing, and communications.
• A Surge in COTS systems acquisition reduces costs, speeds
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• A Surge in COTS systems acquisition reduces costs, speeds procurement schedules, eases integration, and promotes more frequent technology refresh rates.
C4ISR Segments Market Share
Total C4ISR Market: Estimated Percent Spending Forecast by Segment, Global, 2012-2021
C2, Intelligence and Electronic Warfare segments are expected to increase in relative marketshare through 2021
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Source: Frost & Sullivan
C4ISR Regional Overview
Market Growth Europe
MiddleEast
High Attractiveness
MediumAttractiveness
High
Asia-Pacific
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Source: Frost & Sullivan
Growth
Low
Low High
LATAM
Europe
LowAttractiveness
NorthAmerica
Africa
Market Value
The table represents spending and growth rate for C4ISR from 2014 to 2021.
Key Countries
Country Program Segment Technology Value ($ M) Contractor
Australia Wideband Global SATCOM-6 C2 SATCOM 234 Boeing
Brazil Army Communications and EW CommunicationsRadio, RF CM
400 Embraer Atech
Canada Arctic Patrol RQ-4B Polar Hawk UAV S&R EO/IR TBDNorthrop Grumman/L-3
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Source: Frost & Sullivan
France Battlefield Digitization MOIE SIC Terre Computers Networks 300 Thales/Airbus
Germany Combat Vehicle C4 Upgrades Communications Radio 150 Rohde & Schwarz
India Integrated Air Command & Control C2 Radar 300 Bharat
IsraelIron Dome, David’s Sling, Arrow 3 Missile Defense
S&R Radar TBDRaytheon, Rafael, IAI, Boeing
Italy Opsat 3000 Satellite S&R EO/IR 270IAI, Elbit, Finmeccanica/ Thales-Telespazio
Key Countries (continued)
Country Program Segment Technology Value ($ M) Contractor
JapanHawkeye Airborne Early Warning Replacement
S&R Radar TBDTBD-Northrop Grumman, Kawasaki
Saudi Arabia
Falcon Family Tactical Radios Communications Radio 500 Harris
South Africa
Project Hoefyster Infantry Fighting Vehicle Replacements
Multipurpose Radio 350Patria, Denel, Airbus, Saab
Hyundai, Daewoo,
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Source: Frost & Sullivan
South Korea
KDX-III Aegis Destroyers S&R Radar TBDHyundai, Daewoo,Lockheed Martin, Raytheon
Taiwan Patriot Advanced Capability 3 S&R Radar 1,300Lockheed Martin,Raytheon
Turkey Standoff Jamming Capability EW RF CM 1,000 Aselsan and TBD
United Kingdom
Airseeker ISR RC-135 Rivet Joint Intelligence SIGINT 400 Boeing
United States
Satellite Control Network C2, S&R SATCOM 550 Honeywell
Conclusions
• The Global C4ISR market is expected to grow steadily despite budgetary pressure among western nations. There will be increased demand for networked communications, national C2, sensor upgrades, space capability, intelligence, and electronic warfare systems among emerging and developing countries.
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developing countries.
• Missile Defense, Unmanned Vehicles of all types, and Software Defined Radio are areas of focus.
• COTS dominated solutions with open, scalable, and modular architecture are anticipated to eventually replace most legacy systems over the study period.
Next Steps
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For Additional Information
Jennifer Carson
Corporate Communications
Aerospace & Defense
(210) 247-2450
Brad Curran
Industry Analyst
Aerospace & Defense
(210) 477-8496
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Wayne Plucker
Research Manager
Aerospace & Defense
(210) 247-3869
Gary Leikin
Vice President
Aerospace & Defense
(415) 888-8074
