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Extreme Future of Energy
Dr. James Canton CEO & Chairman GlobalFuturist.com
Are you Future-Ready What is your Vision? Strategic Foresight
Institute for Global Futures
WE TRACK TRENDS
• Think Tank • Advise Global Fortune
1000 & Gov
Institute for Global Futures
Institute for Global Futures
Worldwide Clients
Key Ideas
• Energy demand drivers
• Energy is core to security and economic sustainability
• Future of bio-fuels
• Petro-Risk
• Top geopolitical risks
NeuroWeb: Thinking Network
Welcome to the Extreme Future
Extreme Future: More Risk More Opportunity
A Multi-polar World of Complex Risks
Disruptive Risk is New Normal
Extreme Future: Complex Threats
Top Global Risks: 2025
• Energy • Economy • Food • Ecology • Security • War
2020 Forecast: Energy-Challenged World
Global Population
Global Population has Doubled Over the Past 45 Years
Global Population Trend
By 2040, 80% of World’s 8 Billion People will Live in Developing Nations—9 Billion by 2050
The New Consumers: 1 Bn +
Two Worlds Challenge: Energy
Next Two Billion Energy Consumers
Global Megacities
The World of 2025 10 Megacities Most in China, India and S. America
By 2030: Most mega-cities in developing world
Next Middle Class: China, India, Latin
World GDP 2030: China Rising
Free World Academy 2003
27.8%
25%
22%
18%
7.2%
World GDP: 85,500 Trillion in 2030
China Scenarios: New Superpower, Huge Market, Fierce Competitor
China will be the World’s Largest Consumer Market in Future
• 2nd Largest Consumer of Energy • 3rd Largest Importer of Oil
China & India Population
China & India Make Up 1/3 of the Global Population – Biggest Food Demand
India will be the 2nd World’s Largest Consumer Market in
The Future
Largest Global Market
A Dynamic Global Marketplace with 3 Billion New Consumers is Coming Fast,
Will You be Ready?
Energy Security: Terrorism/Crime
2025 Energy Future Map
The Extreme Future of Energy Trends
1. Pop growth 2. Next Middle Class 3. GDP 5. Security
The Extreme Future: 10 Top trends
6. Fast Climate Change 7. Green Alternatives 8. Geopolitical Risk 9. Food & Water Stress 10. Unstable Economics
Uptrend Consumer Demand
Are you Future-Ready?
High Petro-Geopolitical Risk
Are you Future-Ready? CO2 2030
2020 US Emissions: Power Plants
2080 Reduction in Ag Prod
Are you Future-Ready?
Innovation Drives Competitive Advantage
Key Biz Driver: Innovation Darwinism Innovate or Die
Fast Breakthroughs Coming
Digital Biology: Hacking Life Extreme Future: Hacking Life
New Fuels: Hacking Matter
Future Energy Mix
Wind Power Capacity
Digitally Hacking the Planet Extreme Future: Hacking Planet
BioFuels Smart Grid: Ethanol Core
Space Based Solar
Mars Station
NanoBioNeuro Enhancement
NanoBioNeuro Enhancement
Mars Station
Mars Station
GRID Computing: Flexible On-Demand, High-Performance
Virtual, Distributed Communications
Source: Dietmar Erwin, “UNICORE and EUROGRID: Grid Computing in Europe,” EUROGRID and UNICORE
Space: The Next Frontier
Summary
Bio-Energy infrastructure is the future
Advanced bio-fuels will protect America’s future economy & security
Petro-Risk is geopolitical risk
Alternative energy non-C02 is key
A Sustainable Future with oil/gas
