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25 May 2010
Mega Trends – 2011 and Beyond
Anthony Wong, President
Australian Computer Society
Mega Trends – 2011 and Beyond
Anthony Wong – Australian Computer Society25 May 2010
Factors influencing Mega Trends
The world is changing in three important ways creating major
future upside – a Smarter Planet
The world is becoming more Instrumented
By 2010, there will be some 30 billion RFID tags in use – up from 5
billion some 5 years ago
The world is becoming more Interconnected
With a trillion networked things—cars, roadways, pipelines,
appliances, pharmaceuticals and even livestock - the amount of
information created by those interactions grows exponentially
All things are becoming more Intelligent
Powerful systems and analytics can turn those mountains of data
into smarter decisions and actions
Matt English, Partner IBM Global Services and A/NZ Leader, Smarter Planet Initiative
Mega Trends – 2011 and Beyond
Anthony Wong – Australian Computer Society25 May 2010
Mega Trends Implications (Opportunity & Risk)
Mega Trends – 2011 and Beyond
Anthony Wong – Australian Computer Society25 May 2010
Is there a Silver Lining
in every Cloud?
Mega Trends – 2011 and Beyond
Anthony Wong – Australian Computer Society25 May 2010
LANNAS
LANSAN
LANSAN
LANSAN
LAN
LANSANLAN
NAS
Shanghai RomeBangkokColombo Taiwan
LANNAS
LANSAN
Los Angeles FrankfurtLondonMumbaiTokyoHK Singapore Auckland
LANSAN
LANSAN
LANSAN
LANNAS
LANSAN
LAN
Is there a Silver Lining in every Cloud?
1. Where are the Servers
located?
2. Where is your Data?
3. Which laws and
jurisdiction apply?
4. Which country is data
coming from?
5. Which country is data
going to?
Mega Trends – 2011 and Beyond
Anthony Wong – Australian Computer Society25 May 2010
Cybercrime and Security
Source: Published in The New Yorker July 5, 1993 by Peter Steiner
Mega Trends – 2011 and Beyond
Anthony Wong – Australian Computer Society25 May 2010
Cyber Identity
Mega Trends – 2011 and Beyond
Anthony Wong – Australian Computer Society25 May 2010
Security and Privacy
FACEBOOK founder Mark Zuckerberg
says the social networking service
made blunders that it hopes to fix with
changes to its privacy controls.
In response to news that personal information from members profiles
is being used:
“We made mistakes”, says Facebook founder
Source: SMH, 24 May 2010
Mega Trends – 2011 and Beyond
Anthony Wong – Australian Computer Society25 May 2010
Protection of Privacy = Regulation
of Conflicting Interests
• It is a balance of:– the individual's right to free speech and its converse, the right to personal privacy;
– the state's and regulator’s rights to information to combat crime;
– society's need for secure communications networks and secure infobase and its converse, access to freely available information;
– government, business and the media to obtain, use and publish information; and
– restricted access to commercial trade and government secrets
Mega Trends – 2011 and Beyond
Anthony Wong – Australian Computer Society25 May 2010
Australian Context
• National Broadband Network (NBN)
• eHealth
• Human Capital
Mega Trends – 2011 and Beyond
Anthony Wong – Australian Computer Society25 May 2010
National Broadband Network
• Ubiquitous high speed
• Going to accelerate the 3 Mega Trends
– Instrumented
– Interconnected
– Intelligent
• It is the products and
services over the NBN
that will make the difference
Mega Trends – 2011 and Beyond
Anthony Wong – Australian Computer Society25 May 2010
eHealth
• Significant Government priority on eHealth
records
• Who owns the Data?
– Data transferred across multiple providers
– Stored in the cloud
• Hosted offshore?
• What if the provider goes bankrupt?
• NEHTA is working hard on these issues
Mega Trends – 2011 and Beyond
Anthony Wong – Australian Computer Society25 May 2010
Human Capital
Mega Trends – 2011 and Beyond
Anthony Wong – Australian Computer Society25 May 2010
Conclusion
Ability to collect, understand and use data
Manipulation of data (both public and private
Data) is crucial for business
Cloud computing is changing traditional software and
content licensing and pricing models
Security, Cyber Identity and Privacy will continue to pose
even greater challenges
Ethical and Social implications of working and
living online