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The annual Future of Open Source Survey provides a report on the state of the open source industry and analysis of future trends. Now in its seventh year, this annual survey was supported by nearly 30 collaborators open source software industry leaders and collaborating organizations, and compiles results from hundreds of respondents from the open source community.
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OPEN The Open Source Leadership
Panel at OSBC May 21, 2012
SOURCE
THE FUTURE OF
2012
FUTURE OF OPEN SOURCE 2012
THE LEADERSHIP PANEL
Gil Yehuda Dir. of Open Source
and Open Standards
@gyehuda
Michael Skok General Partner
@mjskok
Tim Yeaton CEO
@black_duck_sw
Tom Erickson CEO
@tom_eric
Ryan Garner VP, Dir.-to-Consumer
Services
@ryanTgarner
2
FUTURE OF OPEN SOURCE 2012
AGENDA
Markets
Community
Investment & Innovation
3
LOOK FOR LIVE VOTING!
FUTURE OF OPEN SOURCE 2012
OPEN SOURCE COLLABORATORS
4
FUTURE OF OPEN SOURCE 2012
SURVEY RESPONSES
5
FUTURE OF OPEN SOURCE 2012
SURVEY RESPONDENTS
Vendors Non-Vendors
6
FUTURE OF OPEN SOURCE 2012
SURVEY RESPONDENTS’ TITLES
7
Marketing/
Advertising, PR
VP/Director
IT
IT
Management/IT
Staff S
yste
ms
Arc
hitect/E
ngin
eer
Professional
Services
(Lawyer/Investor)
CIO/CTO/
CSO/COO/
CFO/CMO Analyst
Educator
CEO/Founder/
Co-
Founder/Principal
President/GM
Software
Engineer/Developer
Sales/Business
Development V
P/
Dire
cto
r
Non-I
T
Line of Business
Manager
FUTURE OF OPEN SOURCE 2012
AGENDA
Markets
Community
Innovation & Investment
8
FUTURE OF OPEN SOURCE 2012
OSS DEPLOYED IN YOUR ORGANIZATION
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Open Source deployment is reaching a
tipping point
Open source deployment
has reached >75%
Open source will make up
51%–75% of deployment
FUTURE OF OPEN SOURCE 2012
VENDORS VS. NON-VENDOR COMPANIES
OSS DEPLOYMENT IN 5 YEARS
OSS as a % of Deployed Code
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Over 75% 51%-75% 26%-50% Up to 25%
% o
f R
esp
on
ses
Vendor
Non Vendor 23%
45%
31% 29%
14%
30%
18%
10%
10
FUTURE OF OPEN SOURCE 2012
3%
increase
WHAT % OF SOFTWARE PURCHASES WILL BE OSS
50% or more on OSS
IN 5 YEARS?
11
FUTURE OF OPEN SOURCE 2012
OPEN SOURCE TRENDS DRIVING INNOVATION
Enterprise adoption of OSS is rated most important
by companies with >1,000 employees
Adoption of open source into
non-technical segments
42%
Enterprise adoption of
open source
40%
12
FUTURE OF OPEN SOURCE 2012
WHAT MAKES OSS ATTRACTIVE?
2009
Lower costs
Superior security
Freedom from VENDOR lock-in
2010
Lower costs
Rapid pace of
innovation
Freedom from VENDOR lock-in
2011
Lower costs
Flexibility
Freedom from VENDOR lock-in
2012
Lower costs
Quality
Freedom from VENDOR lock-in
13
FUTURE OF OPEN SOURCE 2012
TOP BARRIERS TO OPEN SOURCE SELECTION
48%
47%
35%
14
FUTURE OF OPEN SOURCE 2012
12% Financial Services
23% Health/Medical/Life
Sciences
INDUSTRIES MOST IMPACTED BY OSS IN 2012
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44% Data
Management
FUTURE OF OPEN SOURCE 2012
CHARACTERISTICS THAT MAKE INDUSTRIES
LIKEY TO BE IMPACTED BY OSS
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Profit margins/ability
to invest in IT
51% 50% Technology
centric
46% Software development is an essential strategic
process
FUTURE OF OPEN SOURCE 2012
THE VIRTUOUS CYCLE – INNOVATION & OSS
OSS
Innovation
600,000+ OSS projects
100+ billion lines of code
10 million person-years of work …we are living in a golden age of open source innovation, with many of the
most exciting computing ideas…being explored through [FOSS].
Glyn Moody, H-Online.com (March 2012)
“ Source:
17
FUTURE OF OPEN SOURCE 2012
REVENUE STRATEGIES THAT CREATE THE
MOST VALUE FOR OPEN SOURCE VENDORS
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SaaS
52%
41% 40%
Support Subcription
Service Supprt Value-Added Subscription
Service
Support
FUTURE OF OPEN SOURCE 2012
AGENDA
Markets
Community
Innovation & Investment
19
FUTURE OF OPEN SOURCE 2012
OSS PROJECTS
20
Project maturity 43%
Availability of
commercial support 23%
Size of
community 19%
FACTORS INFLUENCING CHOICE OF OSS PROJECTS
FUTURE OF OPEN SOURCE 2012
Non-Vendor
OSS PROJECTS
21
Project maturity 43%
Availability of
commercial support 23%
Size of
community 19%
FACTORS INFLUENCING CHOICE OF OSS PROJECTS
46%
21%
20%
FUTURE OF OPEN SOURCE 2012
INDUSTRY CASE STUDY: AUTOMOTIVE What is Your Company’s Relationship to Using Open Source Software in Products?
22
Source:
Prof, Dr. Dirk Riehle Head of the Open Source Institute University of Erlangen-Nuremberg
CONDUCTED BY:
6%
9%
15%
21%
35%
59%
0% 20% 40% 60%
We are head of one or more projects
We have started one or more projects
We do not use it
We contribute to it
We are evaluating use
We use it
The Results:
OSS has arrived
in automotive
software
development
Management
and control of
OSS lags
adoption
The Study
FUTURE OF OPEN SOURCE 2012
HIRING: WHAT ASPECT OF OSS EXPERIENCE IS
MOST IMPORTANT?
23
Experience
with a variety
of projects
35%
Code
contributions
28%
FUTURE OF OPEN SOURCE 2012
AGENDA
Markets
Community
Innovation & Investment
24
FUTURE OF OPEN SOURCE 2012
SIGNIFICANT TECHNOLOGY INNOVATION FROM
NEW PROJECTS IN THE OSS COMMUNITY
25
Cloud 40%
Mobile Apps 19%
Mobile Enterprise 15%
FUTURE OF OPEN SOURCE 2012
Android gaining momentum,
share > 70%
iOS share declined, but number
of projects increased
OPEN SOURCE DRIVES MOBILE INNOVATION
26
Source:
New Mobile OSS Projects
>18,000 cumulative
projects
10,000 new in 2011
alone!
Share of Projects*
* Based on OSS projects that specify a mobile platform
FUTURE OF OPEN SOURCE 2012
48.5% 63.3%
1.4%
49%
OSS INVESTMENTS BY THE NUMBERS
Dollars
Invested
Deals
Completed
Avg. Deal
Size
Seed,
Series A
$452.8M 73 $6.8M $118.7M
$674.9m
72
$10.1M $192.7M
2010
2011
27
FUTURE OF OPEN SOURCE 2012
2012 2011 2010
HOT OSS COMPANIES
28
FUTURE OF OPEN SOURCE 2012
= Growth
Quality Innovation
29
FUTURE OF OPEN SOURCE 2012
WITH GROWTH COMES…
30
Revenue
Super-
Communities
Enterprise
Adoption
FUTURE OF OPEN SOURCE 2012
THANK YOU! OPEN SOURCE COLLABORATORS
31
FUTURE OF OPEN SOURCE 2012
FIND OUT MORE
32
Contact:
Michael J. Skok: [email protected]
Tim Yeaton: [email protected]
http://www.northbridge.com/software http://www.opensourcedelivers.com/