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Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

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Page 1: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy
Page 2: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

2

Through

Provides

“Investment Grade Wine” – Cases of physical wine from various vintages,

regions and producers

Diversification, to establish a collection, store of value, real asset

UK market, exchanges, direct

Individuals, Wealth Managers, Collectors, Trusts and Estates

WHAT

HOW

WHY

WHO

Page 3: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

3

Through

Provides

Provenance, Price, Profile and Performance

Analyze the market, trade on secondary market, write research

Wealth managers, investment advisors, to clients and clients to wine

Technology – Advent, Wine Owners, Liv-Ex, Auctions

ADVISE

CONNECT

RESEARCH

VALUE

Page 4: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

THE MARKET INFLUENCERS - WOMEN

Page 5: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

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Page 6: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

Women and Wine – The Stats Women do have more fungiform

papillae and taste buds

34% of all wine drinkers are

high frequency, 50% are women

Of 135 Master Sommeliers in

the US, 19 are women

Approximately 10% of the

winemakers in California are

women

There are 366 Masters of Wine,

93 are women

Men spend on average $4.00

more than women on wine 6

Page 7: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

Market Trends

70% of all wine sales in the

US are made by women

As a demographic over 55%

of the wine drinkers are

women, 100 million wine

drinkers in the US

80% of the readers of Wine

Spectator, Decanter and

Wine Enthusiast are men

Target millennial women7

Page 8: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

Marketing to Women, Really?

Skinny Girl

Smarty Pants, Rebel

Red, Drama Queen

Be, Flirty, Bright,

Fresh

Relax

Chateau

Domaine

Napa Valley

Willamette Valley

Burgundy

Premier Cru

First Growth8

Page 9: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

WHAT

Page 10: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

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Page 11: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

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Page 12: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

What Wine?% of Wines Offered by Region on Liv-ex

Argentina Portugal Bordeaux Red Bordeaux White

Burgundy Red Bugundy White USA Aus

Rhone Italy Spain Champagne

Chile NZ SFR Germany

Alsace

12

Burgundy, Bordeaux,

Champagne, Rhone, Italy,

California, Niche

The further from the vine, the lesser the

wine

Most liquid and transparent wines,

UK, France or exchange traded

Current and back vintages

Page 13: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

The Secondary

Market for

Investment Grade

Wine

IGW market, as measured by the London

International Vintners Exchange, Liv-ex, is

approximately $8 billion.

Niche market with unique supply and

demand characteristics

Secondary market provides liquidity, price

transparency

Daily pricing allows for “mark to market”

valuation

Secondary market volumes of wine are at a

record high with over 400 traders representing

33 countries

Christie’s Wine Department has

approximately 7,500 clients

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Page 14: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

Liv-ex Market

Recent Trades

Latest 25 Trades on Liv-ex

Source: Liv-ex as of 09/19/14. GBP. Current exchange rate 1.65.

14

Liv-ex 100 Index

C Region Wine Vin Size Last Eu/btt Qty

SEP bdxr Angelus 2012 12x75 2,139 223.3 10

SIB bdxr Cos d'Estournel 2011 6x75 390 81.5 14

SIB bdxr Reserve Comtesse 2010 12x75 220 22.9 4

SIB bdxr Pontet Canet 2009 12x75 1,330 138.9 2

SIB bdxr Reserve Comtesse 2009 12x75 235 24.5 10

SIB bdxr Duclot Collection 2007 9x75 2,450 340.9 1

SIB bdxr Malescot St Exupery 2006 12x75 339 35.4 8

SIB bdxr Mouton Rothschild 2005 12x75 3,420 357.7 1

SIB bdxr Haut Brion 2003 6x75 1,190 248.5 1

SIB bdxr Latour 2003 12x75 6,380 664.8 1

SIB bdxr Pontet Canet 2003 12x75 650 68.0 1

SIB bdxr Palmer 1996 12x75 1,550 161.7 1

SIB bdxr Mouton Rothschild 1993 12x75 3,015 315.8 1

SIB bdxw Yquem 2009 12x75 3,340 349.2 1

SIB bdxw Pape Clement Blanc 2005 6x75 495 103.5 2

SIB bgnr Lambrays, Clos Lambrays 2012 12x75 1,144 119.5 6

SIB bgnr Bouchard Pere et Fils, Vosne Romanee Suchots

2009 6x75 235 49.1 1

SIB cham Moet & Chandon, Dom Perignon 1999 6x75 440 92.0 5

SIB cham Bollinger, Special Cuvee NV 6x75 115 24.0 10

SIB rho Guigal, Cote Rotie Landonne 2010 12x75 2,690 280.7 5

SIB rho Guigal, Cote Rotie Mouline 2010 12x75 2,690 280.7 3

SIB rho Guigal, Cote Rotie Turque 2010 12x75 2,690 280.7 3

SIB rho Roquete, Chateauneuf Du Pape 2010 12x75 145 15.2 2

SIB rho Clos Papes, Chateauneuf Du Pape 2009 12x75 465 48.6 10

SIB sfr Tempier, Bandol Rose 2013 12x75 136 14.2 39

80

100120140160180200220240260280300320340360380

Jan

-03

Jan

-04

Jan

-05

Jan

-06

Jan

-07

Jan

-08

Jan

-09

Jan

-10

Jan

-11

Jan

-12

Jan

-13

Index Value (Dec 03 = 100)

Page 15: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

WHY

Page 16: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

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Page 17: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

Wine – Growing Demand,

Rare and Regulated

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Global wine market is valued at $200 billion

Lack of transparency, barriers to entry,

specialist knowledge

Auction house revenues for wine $400 million

US demand for wine up 34% since 2000

Source: International Organization of Vine and Wine, IWSR. Demeter Group

Page 18: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

Investment Grade Wine

18Source:Liv-ex

At a cyclical low point in traditional five year cycle

Supply diminishing, 2010 the last great vintage in Bordeaux,

Burgundy at historical low yields

Shift in market focus from Bordeaux to Italy, Champagne,

California

Market as measured by the Liv-ex 100 peaked in June 2011 and

has since pulled back

New trading platforms emerging helping transparency

80100120140160180200220240260280300320340360380

Jan

-03

Jan

-04

Jan

-05

Jan

-06

Jan

-07

Jan

-08

Jan

-09

Jan

-10

Jan

-11

Jan

-12

Jan

-13

Index Value (Dec 03 = 100)

Investables

S&P 500

Liv-ex Investables vs. S&P 500

Page 19: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

“IOP” Demand

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

NorthAmerica

Asia-Pacificex. Japan

Japan Europe Latin America Middle Eastand Africa

GlobalAverage

ALLOCATIONS TO INVESTMENTS OF PASSION (%)

Other Collectibles - Wine, Coins, Antiques Alternatives Sports Investments

Alternatives Art Alternatives Luxury Collectibles

Alternatives Jewelry, Gems & Watches

19Source: World Wealth Report 2013. HAGI.

Art Market $58 billion

Collectible Cars $12

billion

Investment Grade Wine Market $10

billion

Page 20: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

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1 year change Q3 ‘12 to Q3 ’13, Art, -3%, Furniture -2%, Chinese 3%, Jewelry 3%, Watches 4%, Wine 3%, Cars 28%, Stamps 5%, Coins 10%, Index 8%

Page 21: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

The Wealth Market

21Source: 2013 World Wealth Report.

Global High Net Worth Market

$46.2 trillion

Alternatives Market $4.6 trillion

Annualized Growth In HNW Investable

Wealth 6.5%

Ultra high net worth, $30 mm +, grew 10.9% 0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

US Japan Germany China UK

HIGH NET WORTH POPULATIONS('000)

2011 2012

1.2 1.7 7.3 10.2 11.6 10.81.1 1.7

7.110.1 11.4 10.7

1.3 1.8

7.510.9

12.7 12

1.4 2.2

8.3

13.115 15.9

A F R I C A M I D D L E E A S T

L A T I N A M E R I C A

E U R O P E N O R T H A M E R I C A

A S I A -P A C I F I C

INVESTABLE WEALTH ( U S $ T R I L L I O N )

2010 2011 2012 2015

Page 22: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

HOW

Page 23: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

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Page 24: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

The Catalysts Top storage – further

from the vine the lesser

the wine

Entry point, relative

price, too expensive to

drink, upside

Parker Points, PPP,

production, brand

History of aging,

consistency of vintages

Provenance

Price

Profile

Performance

24

Page 25: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

The Circle of Wine

AOCIA

Clients

Current

and

Future

Consumers

Producer/

Market AOCIA

Individuals

Collectors

Auction

Houses

Foundations

Endowments

Trust

Departments

Wealth

Advisors,

Brokers

•Wine producers, collectors and investors have an obligation to steward

the understanding of fine wine and future growth in the market

•Proper vintage management can support this process

•Engagement with younger demographics can help grow demand

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Page 26: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

Market Trends

Diversification away from

Bordeaux

Bordeaux now stabilizing,

new demand

Super Tuscans finding favor

Vintage champagne trading

well

Climate and price are

creating relative value in

back vintages26

Source: Liv-ex as of 9/12/14

Market Expands Beyond Bordeaux

Page 27: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

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21.1

22.2

25.5

30.6

31.3

31.7

35.2

35.4

38.3

40.4

41.4

42.9

45.3

49.2

62.6

82.8

88.7

145.0

400.0416.1

-50

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

2009 100 Point Wines Price per Point versus Performance

Page 28: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

Sell off in Bordeaux

Creates Opportunity

The 2009 and 2010 First Growths had an

average rating of 99 points, two of the top rated

vintages of all time in Bordeaux.

Since the release of the 2009 vintage en

primeur, Lafite Rothschild has contracted over

40%, Mouton Rothschild 28%, Margaux 22%,

Haut-Brion 19%, and Latour 5%.

Looking at the return profiles of the 2000 and

1990 Lafites, there appears to be substantial

upside, with returns of 533% and 1,410%,

respectively.

2009 and 2010 Haut-Brion is the second least

expensive per Parker point at $98 and $99

respectively.

En primeur pricing appears to be a major driver

of volatility and market perception.

28Source: Liv-ex as of 9/17/13. Constant

currency of 1.55 USD/GBP

En Market

Production % Change Primeur Price RP EP$/PP MKT$/PP

Lafite Rothschild 20,000 (43) 18,600 10,540 98 190 108

Mouton Rothschild 15,000 (17) 12,013 9,920 98 123 101

Margaux 10,000 (22) 12,276 9,610 99 124 97

Haut-Brion 10,500 (16) 11,774 9,920 100 118 99

Latour 18,000 2 17,050 17,360 100 171 174

Average (19) 14,342 11,470 99 145 116

En Market

% Change Primeur ($) Price ($) RP EP$/PP MKT$/PP

Lafite Rothschild (41) 20,150 11,974 99 204 121

Mouton Rothschild (28) 12,090 8,680 99 122 88

Margaux (22) 13,175 10,230 99 133 103

Haut-Brion (19) 12,090 9,765 100 121 98

Latour (4) 17,050 16,275 100 171 163

Average (23) 14,911 11,385 99 150 114

En Market

% Change Primeur ($) Price ($) RP EP$/PP MKT$/PP

Lafite Rothschild 635 2,868 21,080 98 29 215

Mouton Rothschild 364 3,410 15,813 96 36 165

Margaux 370 2,472 11,610 100 25 116

Haut-Brion 192 2,868 8,370 99 29 85

Latour 359 2,868 13,164 98 29 134

Average 384 2,897 14,007 98 30 143

2010 First Growths Return Profile

2009 First Growths Return Profile

2000 First Growths Return Profile

Page 29: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

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Cos d’Estournel 2009

Page 30: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

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Ducru Beaucaillou 2009

Page 31: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

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Montrose 2010

Page 32: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

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Guigal La Mouline, 2005

Page 33: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

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Chapoutier Ermitage l’ Ermite Blanc, 2009

Page 34: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

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DRC, DRC 2009

Page 35: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

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Grange 2008

Page 36: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

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Vega Sicilia 2004

Page 37: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

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Sassicaia 2010

Page 38: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

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Dom Perignon 1996

Page 39: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

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Screaming Eagle 2010

Page 40: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

WHO

Page 41: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

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Page 42: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

Our Clients are Your Clients

Individuals

Financial Advisors

Wealth Managers

Financial Institutions

Collectors

Wine Educators

42

Page 43: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

What Clients Want Access to wine

Easy to understand process

Trustworthy knowledge

Transparent inventory

Valuation services

Vintage management

Actionable content

Risk controls

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Page 44: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

AOCIA What We Do

Advise

Vintage Management

Research

Educate

Connect

Consult

Import

Taste – a lot

44

Page 45: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

The

Differentiator

45

Platform provides analysis of vintages, regions, producers, vineyards, color etc.

Active portfolio management to

maximize returns and minimize risk

As a “wasting” asset wine deserves active

management, for both current and future

wine lovers

AOCIA’s platform is familiar and

transparent, it looks just like any traditional brokerage statement

Partnered with Advent Software recognized as the “gold” standard in

RIA community

Page 46: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

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SAMPLE STATEMENT

Page 47: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

Wealth Managers and

Wine White Label

Customizable design elements

Static pages & content

Own URL/ SSL

White Label admin

Extensive security

Highly configurable

Data feeds/ Restful interfaces

Page 48: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

Peer to Peer Fine Wine

Trading Exchange

The worlds first peer-to-peer

fine wine trading exchange

Assured trading process &

faster settlement

Wine Owners facilitates, does

not participate

Page 49: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

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Page 50: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

Top Tips to Owning the List Start with Geography 101

Varietal, think region, if its hot, if its cold, basics of wine expression

Don’t play the margin game, Italian wines, lots of good but not great

Just because its from France or Napa it does not need to be expensive

Vintage matters in top wine, not as much in New World

Be willing to step outside of your varietal comfort zone

Be wary of Pinot from hot climates, 14% Pinots are an 80/20

proposition

Value regions, Jura, Languedoc, Spain, Southern Italy, Finger Lakes

New York, Argentina, Austria, Ontario, Sud-Ouest, Savoie, Rhone

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Page 51: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

Wine Menu Restaurant versus Retail

Chardonnay Cabernet Sauvignon

• Hedges, 2011, Red Mountain,

Yakima Valley, Washington $58/$20

• Colgin, Herb Lamb Vineyard, 2004,

Howell Mountain, Napa Valley,

California $775/$265

• Château Margaux, Premier Cru,

1995, Margaux $1200/$450

• Pichon Longueville-Comtesse de

Lalande, Réserve de la Comtesse,

2006, Pauillac $150/$40

51

• Au Bon Climat, Sanford &

Benedict Vineyard, 2010, Santa

Ynez Valley, Santa Barbara

County, California $70/$44

• Aubert, Lauren Vineyard, 2011,

Sonoma Coast, California

$225/$120

• Chevalier-Montrachet, Jean-

Marc Pillot, Grand Cru, 2008,

Côte de Beaune, $650/$300

• Bouzeron Aligoté, Aubert de

Villaine, 2010, Côte

Chalonnaise, $54/$20

Page 52: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

THE WINES OF THE NIGHT

Page 53: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

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Page 54: Wine As An Asset or Alternative Strategy

Sparkling

Domaine Chandon, Brut, Carneros

Whites

Blend, Seven Daughters, California

Viognier, Cline, Sonoma

Reds

Zinfandel, Kunde, Sonoma

Pinot Noir, Davis Byrum, Russian River

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