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By Robert Sansom, Imperial College Presented at 'UK Energy System in Transition: Technology, Infrastructure and Investment'; an event organised by the UK Energy Research Centre, ClimateXChange and the Edinburgh Centre for Carbon Innovation, on Tuesday 1 April 2014, 14.00-17.00, in Edinburgh, United Kingdom.
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Click to add title
Decarbonising heat: networks, pumps
or pipes?
Robert Sansom – Imperial College
UK energy system in transition:
Technology, infrastructure & investment
Edinburgh - 1st April 2014
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Click to add title Towards decarbonising heat Maximising the opportunities for Scotland
Four key challenges:
• Decarbonising heat
• Diversifying sources of heat
• Reducing pressure on household energy bills
• Seizing the economic opportunities
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Click to add title Decarbonising heat Total final energy consumption in Scotland 2011
Source: DECC. (2013). Total final energy consumption statistics (Sub-national): 2011.
Heat
Electricity
Transport
Heat accounts for 47% of total CO2 emissions.
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Click to add title Sources of domestic heat
Source: Scottish condition survey using 2012 data.
Heat
Electricity
Transport
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Click to add title Half hourly heat demand
Heat
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Click to add title Impact of temperature on UK gas demand
Heat is very temperature sensitive
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Click to add title UK daily temperature annual duration curves
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Click to add title Future heat demand High Government Intervention and Uptake scenario
• Very aggressive energy efficiency improvements
• Significant electrification (>50%) of heat using heat pumps
• Modest development of district heating
• No storage heating
TWh
Domestic
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Click to add title Impact on Scottish electricity infrastructure
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Click to add title Comparison of low carbon heat technologies
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1
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Running cost
Deployment
Performance
Optionality
Investment cost
Flexibility
Network impact
Heat output
Heat pumps District heating Electric storage heaters
5 = Good 1 = Poor
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Click to add title Summary and conclusions
• Decarbonising heat is essential to meet Scotland’s 2050 CO2target.
• A transformation of Scotland’s heat sector is required.
• There is considerable uncertainty in terms of costs, performance and
deployment of heat technologies.
• A “whole systems” approach is essential.
• Heat storage provides substantial opportunities to support intermittent and
inflexible generation.
• Consumer engagement is crucial to deliver:
reductions in heat demand.
selection of heating technology.