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A business approach to poverty reduction: CSA and index insurance Helen Greatrex 1,2 , James Hansen 1,2 , Jon Hellin 3 , Dan Osgood 1 1: International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI), Columbia University, 2: CCAFS Flagship 2, 3: International Maize and Wheat Improvement Centre (CIMMYT) Montpellier March 16-18, 2015

A business approach to poverty reduction: CSA and index insurance - H. Greatrex et al

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Page 1: A business approach to poverty reduction: CSA and index insurance  - H. Greatrex et al

A business approach to poverty reduction: CSA and index insurance

Helen Greatrex1,2, James Hansen1,2, Jon Hellin3, Dan Osgood1

1: International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI), Columbia University, 2: CCAFS Flagship 2,

3: International Maize and Wheat Improvement Centre (CIMMYT)

Montpellier

March 16-18, 2015

Page 2: A business approach to poverty reduction: CSA and index insurance  - H. Greatrex et al

THE ISSUE

One of the aims of CSA is to improve productivity

Climate change: more bad years,

Adaptation: increase productivity in normal years

to cover bad year loss

But strategies that increase productivity in

most years face increased risk in bad years

Threat of 1 drought year out of 5 prevents

other 4 from being much more productive

Page 3: A business approach to poverty reduction: CSA and index insurance  - H. Greatrex et al

One key to adaptation is to relax risk

of bad year to unlock productivity options

Insurance:

reduce risk to unlock productive options

"The problem is that before the rainy season,

you have to make a choice.

If you make the wrong choice,

you risk losing everything." Oumar Sakho, Senegalese farmer

WHY INSURANCE?

Quote: http://wwwp.dailyclimate.org/tdc-newsroom/2013/05/africa-adapts-climate

Page 4: A business approach to poverty reduction: CSA and index insurance  - H. Greatrex et al

Insurance: reduce risk to unlock productivity

But problems with traditional insurance have

made it tough to implement

Recent innovation: instead insure an index

E.g. provide payout if there is drought or flood

Different families:

Weather index, Area yield index

Cheap, “easy” to implement, good incentives

Many limitations--often doesn’t pay

when farmer faces loss (basis risk)

Still in early years

INDEX INSURANCE

Page 5: A business approach to poverty reduction: CSA and index insurance  - H. Greatrex et al

HAS IT SCALED?

Plenty of examples where it hasn’t!

But there are examples:

ACRE (Kilimo Salama)

• 200,000 farmers in East Africa

• Menu of products

• Bundles with agricultural loans and seed

• Links to MPESA banking

• Some satellite, some raingauge

IBLIP Mongolia

• 20,000 pastoralists in Mongolia

• Based on a regional mortality index

• Transitioned from donor funded to commercial

• Layered approach to risk

Page 6: A business approach to poverty reduction: CSA and index insurance  - H. Greatrex et al

R4 Rural Resilience Initiative (WFP, Oxfam America and other partners)

20,000 farmers in Ethiopia

2,000 in Senegal

Moving into Zambia and Malawi

• Unsubsidized premium,

• non-loan bundled, non-mandatory

• Insurance for work

• Satellite rainfall estimate triggers payouts

• High demand (take-up exceeds capacity)

• Positive development impacts

Extremely participatory farmer design, validation, sales process-each village leads

their design through formal quantitative participatory process

But still many challenges (basis risk, logistics), not suitable for all

HAS IT SCALED?

Page 7: A business approach to poverty reduction: CSA and index insurance  - H. Greatrex et al

Link to protection of assets

or productive opportunities

Farmers make more money if they have

insurance that pays for the premium

Holistic approach

The only role of insurance is to protect against

years where everything else fails

Farmer driven design

People will buy a product that meets their needs.

Feedback channels & local context

Solid science

Index design must be statistically and

agronomically robust

GENERAL THEMES OF SUCCESS

Page 8: A business approach to poverty reduction: CSA and index insurance  - H. Greatrex et al

“CSA is an approach of trade offs and tools for synergies

and options linked to local priorities and conditions.”

Insurance is too expensive if it doesn’t unlock opportunity

or if displaces a more effective tool

INSURANCE IS NOT USEFUL IN EVERY SCENARIO

IT’S A TOOL WITHIN THE CSA APPROACH

Page 9: A business approach to poverty reduction: CSA and index insurance  - H. Greatrex et al

Who is the client? What do they want? How will insurance impact them?

What option does insurance unlock? What needs protecting?

What index best represents the farmer’s loss years?

EVERY CASE AND INDEX WILL BE DIFFERENT

Page 10: A business approach to poverty reduction: CSA and index insurance  - H. Greatrex et al

• Moves beyond the CSA ‘comfort zone’: Index insurance is more than just the index

• Iterative learning process

– Build strong relationships, solid science, strong distribution methods, validation

and improvement, transparent, understandable products

– Start slowly and carefully to scale quickly on solid foundation

NEW WAY OF THINKING

Re-insurers

Policy makers

InsurancepoolsIndividual

insurers

Banks / MFIs

Ag input suppliers

“Intermediaries”IndividualFarmers Extension

officers

Scientists/social/gender scientists

National met agencies/remo

te sensing

Donors

NGOs

INDIVIDUAL LOCAL REGIONAL/COUNTRY LEVEL GLOBAL

Farmer groups

Page 11: A business approach to poverty reduction: CSA and index insurance  - H. Greatrex et al

• CCAFS Flagship 2:

– CASCAID: Insurance and gender sensitive participatory processes in Ghana

– East Africa: Index design and the uptake of drought tolerant maize

– Indian and South Asia

• NASA

– IDS: Remote sensing in African index insurance

• IFAD

– WRMF: Remote sensing in African insurance, Senegal case study

• Studies on participatory approaches and economic research games

• Impact evaluations

NEW RESEARCH ON INSURANCE

Page 12: A business approach to poverty reduction: CSA and index insurance  - H. Greatrex et al

More details: [email protected]

Montpellier

March 16-18, 2015

IBLI Photo