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Small Cell StatusFebruary 2016
Joe Madden, Principal Analyst
About Mobile Experts Market Research focused on wireless
6 Analysts + sales and office staff Based in Silicon Valley, Ottawa, NY, London, Denver Analysts are 20-year experts in their respective topics Deep Technology Analysis coupled to Business Analysis
Strategic Market Analysis Macro Base Stations Small Cells/DAS/Wi-Fi 5G RF for Mobile Devices and IoT
Small Cell Status UpdateFUN FACTS:
13.3 million Small Cells shipped to date $1 Billion in Small Cell Revenue in 2015 Non-residential shipments constituted 38% of total small cells in Q4 Non-residential small cells comprised 66% of SC revenue in 2015 In 2015, Enterprise shipments doubled In 2015, Urban shipments grew 280%
OUTLOOK: Enterprise Small Cell shipments will grow by 270% this year Urban Small Cell shipments will grow by 150% this year
Note: Small Cell Definition now includes low-power RRH units
Residential Shipments
-
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
Resid
entia
l Fe
mto
cell
Ship
men
ts
Non-Residential Shipments
-
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
Non-
Resid
entia
l Sm
all Ce
ll Shi
pmen
ts
2015 Small Cell ShipmentsN America, 790,460
L America, 124,083
Europe, 1,088,215
China, 264,643
APAC, 566,110
MEA, 282,590
N America, 151,960
L America, 30,683
Europe, 84,215
China, 61,343
APAC, 132,710
MEA, 35,190 Non-Residential Small Cells
All Small Cells
Small Cell Shipment Outlook
.0 M1.0 M2.0 M3.0 M4.0 M5.0 M6.0 M7.0 M8.0 M9.0 M
10.0 M
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Small
Cell
Ship
men
ts
Rural+RemoteUrbanEnterpriseResidential+SOHO
Note: SIGNIFICANT Enterprise growth expected in 2016, driven by true enterprise customers and by indoor carrier deployments
Small Cell Revenue Forecast
$0.0 B
$1.0 B
$2.0 B
$3.0 B
$4.0 B
$5.0 B
$6.0 B
$7.0 B
$8.0 B
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Annu
al Sm
all Ce
ll Rev
enue
Non-ResidentialResidential
Note: Revenue growth is enhanced by increasing ASP for Enterprise small cells
Detailed Analysis Mobile Experts publishes small cell
details:
Detailed Small Cell breakdowns
Semiconductors
Backhaul
Enterprise Adoption
Small Cell Cost Models
5G Radio Architectures
5G Expect Tower and Small Cell
deployment from Day One New Baseband splits Uplink/Downlink splits Aggregated Network Beamforming and Massive MIMO Wafer-scale Integration for
antennas and radios in mm-wave bands
Military technology will work for 5G
